9 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction Implementation of the Flood Mitigation Project has in general been based on increasing the conveyance and hydraulic efficiency of the tributary and main river channels. This has been achieved by straightening the alignment of the rivers, formalizing the channel cross-section and ultimately concrete lining the channel sides where it was fully improved. The design has been based on conveying flood discharge through the city center. Increased hydraulic efficiency increases the celerity of the flood waves and has the effect of increasing peak discharges downstream through the city. The effect has been to efficiently convey increasing amounts of floodwater into the city center where the design capacity is breached. This effect has been compounded by a mismatch between the flood conveyance of newer upstream channels compared to the existing channels through the city center, exacerbated by various infrastructure and buildings reducing the available conveyance area of the river channels. In general the land and main drainage channels are steep in the northeastern and eastern areas of the river basin. Poor land development practice has resulted in very high sediment loads from developing areas resulting in sediment deposition and reduced flood 10 conveyance through the flatter (lower longitudinal gradient) river channels through the main city area. The previous and on-going cycle of upstream development and construction of more efficient drainage infrastructure and upstream river channels combined with constraints on the main river channels had therefore increased the risk of flooding in the city center. Another component of the overall flooding problem is inappropriate development in flood-affected areas. Implementation of structural flood mitigation works can only be effective in controlling and mitigating flooding up to the design flood event and structural works should NOT be relied on as the only measure to be implemented. Ultimately, the infrastructure will be not effective. A larger than design flood will occur or the design will be negated by upstream developments. Flooding may also occur in smaller flood events due to failure of a component such as a drainage gate or a section of floodwall. 3.2 The study on the Flood Mitigation of the Klang River Basin 1989’ by JICA The JICA Study performed flood analysis and modeling with the following stated aims: - “to investigate the retardation effects for flood peak discharge by existing dams, and - to formulate probable flood discharge distribution under present condition and with flood control works proposed by this (JICA) study.” 11 The study includes the following steps: i. construction of a river system model based on conceptual non-linear storages to convert rainfall excess to runoff ii. calibration of the storage parameters in the river system model iii. frequency analysis of annual maximum catchment rainfalls for 1961-1985 (computed using Thiessen Polygons) to estimate design catchment rainfalls for Average Recurrence Intervals up to 200 years iv. calculations of rainfall excess by use of the runoff coefficients v. computation of surface hydrographs at various locations within the river system by applying the design rainfall to the calibrated river system model vi. addition of base flow (taken as the monthly flow for the wet season) to produce complete flood hydrographs The adopted runoff coefficients for the catchment above Sulaiman Bridge were 0.36 for 1985 conditions and 0.39 for conditions forecast for 2005 (increase of 8%). The equivalent values for the catchment from Sulaiman Bridge to the mouth were 0.36 and 12 0.40 (increase of 11%). These coefficients were based on coefficients for various combinations of land use, slope and soils. The river system model was calibrated on the data from 3 floods (1974, 1981 and 1982) and was calibrated only at the gauging locations of Batu River at Sentul and Gombak River at Jalan Tun Razak. The model was not calibrated to the Sulaiman Bridge gauge. The land use conditions adopted for the design flood were the 2005 conditions. The model was also adjusted to Batu Dam and the raising of Klang Gates Dam, (both implemented after the calibration floods). An optional flood diversion channel from Gombak River to Batu River to be used in conjunction with a retention pond was also investigated. The design discharges for the case with Batu Dam and the raised Klang Gates Dam (but without diversion channel from Gombak to Batu) are presented in Table 3.1. Table 3.1: Design Discharge (m3/s) from JICA Model (with 2 dams) 13 RIVER LOCATION CATCHMENT AREA Batu 100 YEAR 50 YEAR 10 YEAR (km2) Inflow to Batu Dam 50.2 100 80 35 Outflow from Batu Dam 50.2 55 50 35 Downstream of Jinjang 97.2 155 135 75 147.2 270 230 125 Upstream of Batu confluence 122.0 240 190 95 Upstream of Klang 269.2 500 415 220 Inflow to Klang Gates Dam 76.7 145 110 50 Outflow from Klang Gates 76.7 130 120 70 153.8 295 255 145 At Sulaiman Bridge 458.2 795 665 360 At Puchong Drop 712 1130 920 485 At Klang Town 1288.4 1595 1250 625 confluence Downstream of Gombak confluence Gombak confluence Klang Dam Downstream of Ampang confluence The study is considered to have adopted an appropriate approach to the estimation of design floods within the Basin. However, the level of reliability of the seeding floods is considered to be limited by several factors: 14 i. there was no assessment of the quality of rainfall and discharge data ii. the river system model was calibrated at only two locations, with calibration on only one flood at one station (Gombak River at Jalan Tun Razak) and three floods at the other (Batu River at Sentul); iii. the model tended to consistently underestimate flood discharges for Batu River at Sentul, but overestimated flood discharges and the length of the recession for the one calibration flood for Gombak River at Jalan Tun Razak; and iv. as described above, the impact of urbanization and channel works was included in the model, however the computation of these effects as presented is not consistent with the description in the text and there is no other documentation of the basis for changes to the model. 3.3 “Klang River Basin Integrated Flood Mitigation Project, Malaysia, 1994” by Kinhill in association with Ranhill Bersekutu Sdn.Bhd, 1994. 15 This was a Project Preparatory Technical Assistance (PPTA) commissioned by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), comprising a feasibility study to integrate the three ongoing flood mitigation projects in the Klang River Basin into one project for the Government of Malaysia. The integrated three ongoing projects were to be packaged for investment purposes and the overall objectives of the integrated project were to mitigate major flooding problems in the Klang River Basin. 3.4 Klang River Flood Mitigation Project –Klang River Improvement Works (from Klang Lama to Klang Town – Review Report (DNA September 1996) This report includes a short review of the assumption, criteria and methodologies adopted by the Klang River Basin Integrated Flood Mitigation Project, Malaysia (KRBIFMPM) Kinhill, 1994. The review encompassed further analysis on the hydrology and hydraulics of the whole Klang Valley basin. The review supported the overall approach adopted in Kinhill (1994) and the catchment sub-division adopted for the RORB rainfall-runoff model. However, the review proposed an alternate method for apportioning catchment storage within sub-catchment, which in the KRBIFMPM model was based only on reach length. The review proposed that the catchment storage should be based on reach length divided by the square root of the average gradient in the reach. The latter approach is recommended in the RORB manual for river gradients that vary substantially. In the review, the percentage impervious for all catchment was varied from that adopted in calibration. (Note that runoff coefficient is considered to be the same as fraction impervious in the review). For example, according to the DNA review Kinhill (1994) adopted 19% impervious fraction for the catchment area upstream of Sulaiman Bridge. The DNA review varied these figures based on topographical maps; aerial photographs and 16 proposed future land use maps and adopted 15% impervious for the January 1971 flood, 32% for the 1988 flood and 34% for the “Future Case”. For the catchment from Sulaiman Bridge to the river mouth, the Kinhill study adopted an average impervious fraction of 11% while the DNA review increased this in their model to 33%. The DNA review also adjusted the parameters that represent the slope and form of the channels within the basin. The review adopted react slope and form based on the data available at the time of the review. The RORB model was calibrated on the recorded floods for 1971, 1981 and 1988. The plots presented in the report show that the RORB model agreed very well with the recorded hydrograph for the May 1988 flood Sulaiman Bridge, and agreed reasonably well with the January 1971 flood at the same location. The only hydrographs presented for the Gombak and Batu Rivers are for the 1971 floods. These show the RORB model rising much faster than the recorded hydrograph, and having a much shorter recession than the recorded hydrograph. One possible explanation for this is that the RORB model underestimates storage within the catchment for very large, long duration floods although it adequately represents catchment storage effects for smaller, shorter duration floods (such as the 1988 flood). However another explanation might be that the storage within the catchment, particularly storage associated with ex-mining ponds had reduced obviously from the year1971 to 1988. 3.5 Formulation of Master Plan and Proposed Flood Mitigation Plan 17 Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) considered that flooding is caused by both depression type monsoon storms and thunderstorms. JICA summarized the reasons for flooding in the Klang River Basin as: 3.5.1 Increase in Run-Off i. Increase of run-off coefficient due to rapid urbanization ii. loss of ex-mining ponds as potential retention ponds due to refilling housing developments iii. Improvement of trunk drainage or tributaries to an excessive scale compared to the discharge capacity of downstream stretches; and iv. flowing down of floating logs and debris in the river channel during floods 3.5.2 Problems of Drainage Facilities i. Inadequate flow capacity of river channel or trunk drainage 18 ii. Existence of low lying areas iii. Insufficient clearance at bridge crossing; and iv. Tidal effect in the downstream reaches The proposed flood mitigation plan included the following measures: i. Construction of the Batu Retention Pond ii. Construction of the 4.3 km long Gombak Diversion Channel iii. Use of the Natural Retarding Basin at Sungai Rasau iv. Channel Improvement to 94.7 km of the Klang, Gombak and Batu Rivers; v. Construction of a pumping station in Kampung Baru ; and vi. Reconstruction of 10 bridges 19 3.6 Proposed Klang River Components As an outcome of the technical studies and feasibility study phases of the Project Preparatory Technical Assistance (PPTA), seven sub-projects were identified for inclusion in the Project that is briefly detailed below: i. Sub-project 1: Klang River Channel Improvement ii. sub-project 2: Klang River Levee Extensions iii. sub-project 3: Sediment Trapping iv. sub-project 4: Tributary River Channel Improvement v. sub-project 5: Flood Forecasting and Warning vi. sub-project 6: Integrated Catchment Management Pilot Programmed vii. sub-project 7: Solid Waste Management 20 In general terms, the outcome of the PPTA can be considered as a consolidation of the ongoing project into defined project packages and programs for future implementation.