ASSESSMENT OF THE RELATION BETWEEN SERUM-ASCITES ALBUMIN CONCENTRATION GRADIENT WITH ESOPHAGEAL VARICES AND ITS COMPLICATION Entesar H El-Sharqawy MD, Reda El-Badawy MD, Eman M Fathy MD, Ibrahim El Attar MD and Hosam Amin MD. Department of Hepatology, Gastroenterology and Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Benha University, EGYPT. ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the correlation between serum-ascites albumin concentration gradient (SAAG) with esophageal varices (EV) presence and grading, and to assess the relationship between SAAG measurements and the occurrence of gastrointestinal hemorrhage in cirrhotic patients with ascites. METHODS: Our study included 45 nonalcoholic cirrhotic cases with ascites. They had routine clinical, ultrasonographic and laboratory investigations including ascitic fluid analysis. They had measurement of SAAG computed. An upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was done in all cases to assess the presence and size of EV. RESULTS: 36 of our patients (80%) had EV. The mean SAAG level was 1.46 ± 0.27 gm/dL for all cases. No correlation was found between SAAG and any of the studied clinical or biochemical parameters. By using the ROC Curve, a SAAG value at a level of (>1.55gm/dL), was a good predictor of the presence of EV with 100% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity. The presence of EV was positively correlated with serum bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), and spleen size. Meanwhile, it was negatively correlated with serum albumin, serum total protein, platelet count and total protein in ascetic fluid. On univariate analysis of variants associated with the presence of large esophageal varices, only the presence of splenomegaly could predict high grade varices. On comparing patients with and without bleeding varices, the EV grade, portal vein diameter (PVD), spleen size and creatinine level were significantly higher in the group of bleeding varices [p values were 0.002, 0.006, 0.01 and 0.012 respectively]. CONCLUSION: A SAAG score (≥1.55 gm/dL) is a useful predictor of the presence of EV in cirrhotic patients with ascites. This finding can assist clinicians in determining the urgency of care and referral for upper gastro-intestinal endoscopy in cases with ascites. Meanwhile, SAAG was not valuable in screening and predicting complications, such as bleeding from esophageal varices. Keywords: Ascites, Serum-ascites albumin concentration gradient (SAAG), Hematemesis, Esophageal varices (EV), Portal Hypertension (PHTN). Introduction and Aim of the Work SAAG is a good biochemical marker and a better discriminator of portal hypertension (PHTN) than ascites protein concentration. Patients with gradients of >1.1 gm/dL have PHTN, while those with gradients of <1.1 gm/dL do not, with accuracy rate 97% (Runyon et al 1992). Indeed, SAAG is now considered a useful physiological and clinical tool in the work-up of ascites. "High-albumin gradient" (>1.1 gm/dL) or "low-albumin gradient" (<1.1 gm/dL) have replaced the terms "transudative" or "exudative" in the description of ascites in all recent publications (Babu et al 2004 & Jain et al 2004). The correlation between SAAG and EV was emphasized. Additionally, SAAG was proposed to be a factor determining the degree of PHTN and the prognosis in the patients with cirrhosis due to alcohol (Torres et al; 1998). Despite that, such a correlation could not be proven in non-alcoholic cirrhosis. It has been reported that most of the nonalcoholic cirrhotic patients presenting with ascites and all of the patients with SAAG values greater than 2.0 had esophageal varices (Demirel et al., 2003). Another research group found that SAAG in patients with PHTN and ascites was correlated significantly with gastrointestinal bleeding and splenomegaly. They concluded that SAAG had a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 33.33% for prediction of bleeding EV (Mene et al., 2003). In the current work, we aimed to evaluate whether such a correlation exists between SAAG values and esophageal varices, presence and grading, and to assess the relationship between SAAG measurements and the occurrence of gastrointestinal bleeding in a group of non-alcoholic cirrhotic patients with ascites. Patients and Methods Patients: Fourty five patients with ascites due to liver cirrhosis were chosen between July 2004 and June 2005 from the inpatients of the department of Hepatology, Gastroenterology and Infectious diseases, Benha University Hospital. Diagnosis of the cases was based on history taking including past history of schistosomiasis and/or viral hepatitis, clinical examination, laboratory investigations, plus ultrasound or previous liver biopsy. None of our cases was alcoholic. Exclusion criteria included the presence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatic or extrahepatic metastasis, portal or splenic vein thrombosis, medical contraindications for gastrointestinal endoscopy, other etiologies of ascites, and hematemesis due to other causes than portal hypertension complications. separated by normal mucosa; (GIII): the varices are confluent around the circumference of the esophagus and cannot be depressed by the endoscope. Statistical Analysis: SPSS software (version 10) was used for statistical analysis. Descriptive values were expressed as mean ± standard deviation. Unpaired t-test was used to compare the mean values between 2 groups. Spearman correlation (r) test and univariate analysis of variants were used for analysis of correlations. P values <0.05 were considered as significant. The diagnostic value of SAAG for prediction of EV presence was assessed using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. Overall, diagnostic value was given by the area under the curve (AUROC); where an AUROC from 0.9-1.0 describes an excellent test, from 0.8-0.9 a good test and from 0.7-0.8 is a fair test. Then sensitivity and specificity for a given cut off were calculated. Methods: During the first 24 hours of hospital admission, ascitic fluid paracentesis was done under aseptic conditions. Blood samples were taken simultaneously or within 30 minutes of paracentesis. Ascitic fluid and blood samples were immediately sent to the laboratory to be analyzed for albumin concentration. Smears of ascitic fluid were fixed and stained by hematoxylineosin and microscopically examined for their cellular content. Routine laboratory investigations included CBC and liver profile tests were done. Detection of anti-schistosomal antibodies in serum was done by indirect hemagglutination assay using Schistosomiasis Fumouse Kit. Hepatitis viral markers; Anti-HCV-Ab, HBsAg, HBsAb and HBcAb, were done using ELISA technique. Ultrasound examination of the patients was performed by Toshiba Eccocee machine using a convex sector probe (3.75 MHz). The biochemical and serological and ultrasonographic measures were done in the departments of Clinical Pathology and Radiology at Benha university hospital as a part of the routine workup of the cases after admission to the department of Hepatology, Gastroenterology and Infectious diseases. Sigmoidoscopy was done, and rectal snips were taken and examined for schistosomal infection. All patients had upper gastrointestinal endoscopy performed by GIF 230 Olymbus esophago-gastroduodenoscope. Esophageal varices were graded according to the Japanese classification in North Italian Endoscopic Club (1988) as follows: Grade I (GI): the varices can be depressed by the endoscope; (GII): the varices cannot be depressed by the endoscope and are Results Eighteen males and 27 females (45 patients) with hepatic ascites were included in our work. The mean age of our patients was 49.84 ± 7.28 (range: 37-67) years. The causes of liver cirrhosis were: hepatitis C virus in 33 (73.33%) and hepatitis B virus in 6 (13.33%) cases. The etiology could not be determined in the remaining 6 patients (13.33%). Serum was positive for anti-schistosomiasis antibodies in 37 cases (82.3%) while rectal snips were positive in 25 (55.96%) of all patients. According to Child-Pugh classification ,15 patients (33.33%) were class B & 30 patients (66.66%) were class C. Twenty four (53%) of the patients had a history of gastrointestinal bleeding. On endoscopic examination 36 patients (80%) had EV that was (GI) in 6 (13.33%), (GII) in 16 (35.56%) and (GIII) in 14 (31.11%) patients. Gastric varices was combined with EV in 9 (20%) and portal gastropathy was found in 32 (71.1%) patients. On comparing the patients' criteria in 36 cases with EV (group I) versus 9 caeses without EV (group II), only spleen size was statistically significant, p<0.001 (Table 1). The presence of EV showed a significant positive correlation with serum bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), and spleen size in addition to a near significant positive correlation with Child-Pugh grade & portal vein diameter (PVD) (r = + 0.32, p = 0.054 for both). Meanwhile, a significant negative correlation of the presence of EV could be detected with each of serum albumin, serum total protein, platelet count and ascetic fluid total protein (Table 2). SAAG between 1.5 and 1.99 gm/dL and in the only case with SAAG value greater than 2.0 gm/dL (p>0.05; Figure 1). On univariate analysis of variants associated with the presence of large esophageal varices, only the increase in the size of the spleen size was a predictor of high grade varices; p<0.05 (Table 3). No correlation could be found between SAAG and any of the studied clinical, biochemical parameters, or the presence or grade (Table 4) of EV. By using the ROC Curve to evaluate SAAG in prediction of EV presence (Figure 2), a SAAG value at a level ≥ 1.55 gm/dL, is a good predictor of the presence of EV. The AUROC was (0.85 ± 0.09), with 100% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity. Table (5) shows a comparison of the criteria of 24 patients with hematemesis (group A) versus 21 cases without (group B). Each of the EV grade, PVD, spleen size, and creatinine level was significantly higher in those with hematemesis, with p values of 0.002, 0.006, 0.01, and 0.012 respectively. The assessment of different cut-off values of SAAG in relation to the presence of EV revealed that EV was present in each of the 2 patients with SAAG less than 1.1 gm/dL; 17 of the 22 cases with SAAG between 1.1 and 1.49 gm/dL; 6 of the 20 patients with Table (1): Comparison of the patients' criteria in the group (I) with Esophageal Varices (n=36) versus the group (II) without Esophageal Varices (n =9). Parameter Group Mean SD Platelet Count (Thousands/ml) PT (seconds) S. Bilirubin (mg/dL) S. Albumin (gm/dL) S. Total Protein (gm/dL) Ascitic fluid Protein (gm/dL) Ascitic fluid Albumin (gm/dL) SAAG (gm/dL) S. creatinine (mg/dL) PVD (mm) Spleen size (cm) I II I II I II I II I II I II 98.84 69.89 18.6 17.9 2.59 3.09 2.68 2.39 5.68 5.7 2.32 2.03 65.53 9.02 2.7 3.3 1.35 1.19 0.32 0.45 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.55 I II 1.25 0.86 0.35 0.22 I II I II I II I II 1.08 1.5 1.53 1.37 14.22 13.56 15.41 12 0.13 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.87 1.74 2.3 1.15 t p 0.007 > 0.05 0.167 > 0.05 0.193 > 0.05 0.05 > 0.05 0.457 > 0.05 0.094 > 0.05 0.0002 > 0.05 0.294 > 0.05 0.043 > 0.05 0.156 > 0.05 5.628 < 0.001 p>0.05 [non signficant]; p<0.05 [significant]; p<0.001[highly significant] Table (2): Correlation between the presence of EV and the studied Clinical, Ultrasonographic and Biochemical parameters. Presence of EV r p Child-Pugh Score S. Albumin S. Total Protein Ascitic fluid Protein Ascitic fluid Albumin SAAG S. Bilirubin Platelet Count PT PVD +0.32 -0.39 -0.34 -0.57 -0.13 -0.28 +0.60 -0.38 +0.54 +0.32 = 0.054 < 0.05 < 0.05 < 0.0001 > 0.05 > 0.05 < 0.05 < 0.05 < 0.05 = 0.054 Spleen size +0.43 < 0.05 Parameter p>0.05 [non signficant]; p<0.05 [significant]; p<0.0001[highly significant] Table (3): Comparison of the mean ± SD of different subgroups of the group of Esophageal Varices according to the grade of EV in different studied parameters Variants GI (n=6) G II (n=16) G III (n=14) F Platelet Count (Thousands/ml) S. Bilirubin (mg/dL) S. Total Protein (gm/dL) S. Albumin (gm/dL) PT (Seconds) SAAG (gm/dL) PVD (mm) Spleen size (cm) 74.33 ± 57.31 94.29±61.06 3.43 > 0.05 3.44±1.66 91.60±69.8 0 2.89±1.27 1.99±1.14 2.75 > 0.05 5.73 ± 0.72 5.83 ± 0.54 5.63 ± 0.55 3.42 >0.05 2.75 ± 0.32 2.67 ± 0.36 2.59 ± 0.27 1.82 > 0.05 17.6 ± 4.1 18.2 ± 3.9 18.9 ± 3.2 2.63 > 0.05 1.53 ± 0.25 1.49 ± 0.26 1.14 ± 0.053 3.83 > 0.05 14.33 ± 0.82 14.38 ± 0.89 14.89 ± 1.78 14.07 ± 0.99 1.68 > 0.05 16.99 ± 1.23 4.21 < 0.05 13.44 ± 1.37 p>0.05 [non signficant]; p<0.05 [significant] p Table (4): Spearman's Correlation Coefficients (r) of Serum-Ascites Albumin Concentration Gradient (SAAG) to different Parameters: Parameter Child-Pugh Score Hematemesis. EV presence EV Grading S. Bilirubin Platelet Count PT S. Albumin Spleen size PVD r p -0.12 +0.35 -0.28 +0.31 +0.14 -0.08 +0.24 +0.28 +0.23 +0.18 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 > 0.05 p>0.05 [non signficant] 18 16 14 12 10 No.of Cases 8 6 4 2 0 Esophageal Varices Presence Esophageal Varices Absence <1.1 1.11.49 1.51.99 >2 SAAG(g/dl) Figure (1): Distribution of esophageal varices in relation to different cut–off values of SAAG. Figure (2): ROC curve testing the ability of SAAG value To identify the presence of Esophageal Varices. ROC Curve 1.00 .75 .50 Sensitivity .25 0.00 0.00 .25 .50 .75 1.00 1 - Spec if ic ity Diagonal seg ments are produced by ties. (The AUROC = 0.85±0.09) Table (5): Comparison of the patients' criteria between cases of group (A) [n =24] with the hematemesis versus those without hematemesis of group B [n=21]. Parameter Platelet (Thousands/ml) S. Bilirubin (mg/dL) S. Creatinine (mg/dL) S.Albumin (gm/dL) Ascitic fluid Protein (gm/dL) Ascitic fluid Albumin (gm/dL) SAAG (gm/dL) PVD (mm) Spleen Size (cm) EV grading Group Mean SD A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B 89 93 2.51 2.91 1.59 1.41 2.62 2.66 2.02 2.4 1.09 1.26 1.51 1.19 15.2 13.15 16.3 14.13 2.48 1.29 67.71 49.30 1.35 1.29 0.27 0.22 0.24 0.46 0.51 0.50 0.31 0.42 0.30 0.33 1.44 2.30 1.54 2.14 1.08 1.31 Discussion Esophageal varices may cause life-threatening bleeding with attendant high hospital cost. Since effective preventive modalities for variceal hemorrhage have been established, early detection of esophageal varices is t p 0.21 > 0.05 0.57 > 0.05 2.76 0.012 0.41 > 0.05 2.05 > 0.05 2.03 >0.05 1.81 >0.05 3.13 0.006 2.99 0.01 3.48 0.002 critical for prevention of bleeding. Currently, endoscopic screening is widely recommended to patients who have the diagnosis of cirrhosis. Urgent or emergent endoscopy is still advocated to accurately diagnose bleeding esophageal varices. However, endoscopic screening also burdens medical resources. An accurate non-invasive diagnostic model to predict the presence of esophageal varices may reduce unnecessary endoscopic procedures and prophylactic medication and may improve costbenefit of these approaches. A highly significant correlation was observed by Kajani et al (1990) between SAAG and the portal pressure in patients with alcoholic liver disease. They concluded that, SAAG and portal pressure are statistically correlated in individuals with alcoholic liver disease but not in those with a non-alcoholic cause of cirrhosis. The correlation between SAAG and esophageal varices was emphasized and additionally, SAAG was proposed to be a factor determining the degree of PHTN and the prognosis of the patients with cirrhosis due to alcohol in the study of Torres et al., (1998). In a more recent study, no correlation was found in patients with non-alcoholic cirrhosis (Demirel et al; 2003). Meanwhile, Mene et al (2003) found that SAAG, in patients with PHTN and ascites, was correlated significantly with each of gastrointestinal bleeding and splenomegaly. In this study we have tried to propose a cutoff value for SAAG in discriminating patients with and without esophageal varices and to assess any association between SAAG measurements and the occurrence of gastrointestinal hemorrhage in a group of cirrhotic patients with EV and ascites. In the present study, the mean SAAG was 1.46 ± 0.27 (0.9-2.1) gm/dL. Two of our cases (4.4%) had low SAAG (<1.1 gm/dL) and 43 (95.6%) patients had high SAAG (>1.1 gm/dL).This is in consonant with the findings of the study of Samal and associates in 2001.They reported the SAAG level of their cirrhotic patients was 1.33 ± 0.36 gm/dL. Among 132 cirrhotic patients, Al-Knawy (1997) found that SAAG was 1.71 ± 0.61 gm/dL, and that five patients had a SAAG <1.1 g / dL. The mean SAAG in the study of Dittrich et al (2001) was 2.0 gm/dL. On the contrary, Jain et al, (2004) found that, 19 patients with documented PHTN had low SAAG (<1.1g/ dL), and none of them was found to have any other cause of ascites. They have attributed this finding to high serum globulin or low serum albumin, and they have postulated corrected SAAG ratio for patients with high globulin by this formula: { corrected SAAG = SAAG [0.21 + (0.208× Serum globulin gm/dL)}. No correlation was detected in our work between SAAG and the presence or grading of EV (Tables 1, 2, 3 & 4, and Figure 1). This coincides with Demirel et al, (2003) who found no significant correlation between SAAG and EV in patients with non-alcoholic cirrhosis. They concluded that, most of the patients presenting with ascites and all of the patients with a SAAG value greater than 2.0 had EV. On the other hand, the studies of Torres et al (1998) and Gurubacharya et al (2005) concluded that, in patients with ascites and high SAAG, the degree of SAAG is directly related to the presence of EV but not to the size of the EV. This difference in the results can be attributed to the difference in the population samples. In these studies, most of the patients with high SAAG were alcoholic liver cirrhosis, and there was inclusion of some non-cirrhotic patients as acute fulminant hepatitis and congestive heart failure, and the low SAAG ascitic patients were non-portal hypertensive (they were diagnosed as tuberculous and malignant ascites). In our study, anti-HCV-Ab was positive in 73.3% of cases, and 55.96% of the patients were proven to have schistosomiasis, by rectal snip, which aggravate the periportal fibrosis, PHTN and development of portosystemic collaterals (Abdel Wahab et al 1993). No correlation was found between SAAG values and Child-Pugh score, platelet count, PT, bilirubin, PVD and spleen size in our study as in table (4). This is coincident with Torres et al (1996) who demonstrated that the degree of high SAAG does not have any association with PT, serum bilirubin, degree of encephalopathy or the grade of ascites but weakly associated with serum albumin. By using the ROC Curve (Figure 2), for evaluation of SAAG as predictor of EV presence, the area under ROC was (0.85 ± 0.093), which indicates that SAAG can be a good test for prediction of the presence of EV. SAAG at cut-off value of 1.55 gm/dL is an accurate indicator of the presence of EV, with 100% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity. This is in agreement with Torres and associates (1998) who found that a SAAG value of ≥ 1.435 gm/dL is an accurate indicator of the presence of EV (positive predictive value = 87.5% and negative predictive value = 66.7%). In a study on 26 cirrhotic pediatric patients, Das et al (2001), concluded that SAAG can differentiate cirrhosis with EV from those without EV with sensitivity 91%, specificity 50%, positive predictive value 91%, negative predictive value 50% and efficacy 85%. Bjelakovic et al (2003) found that the cut-off value for SAAG of 11 gm/L had high sensitivity (97.56%) but low specificity (46.34%). They used ROC curve analysis to determine a new cut-off value, and it was 15.86 gm/L. So, they concluded that the cut-off value for SAAG has to be corrected to a higher level to achieve the maximal sensitivity and specificity, and they proposed the new cutoff value of 16 gm/L for discriminating the patients with and without PHTN, as this value seems to have higher sensitivity and specificity, than the previous value of 11 gm/L. In the current study, patients were classified according to the varix size on endoscopic examination. Out of 36 patients (80%) with EV, (GI) EV was found in 6 (13.33%), (GII) EV in 16 and (GIII) EV in 14 (31.11%) patients. Gastric varices were found in nine 9 (20%) and portal gastropathy was found in 32 (71.1%) patients. Prevalence of EV in cirrhosis varies among studies from 85.29% (Adrover et al., 2004); 76.6% (Prihatini et al., 2005) to 50% (Thombolus et al., 2003). In this study, a significant positive correlation was found between EV presence and bilirubin, PT & spleen size (p < 0.05). The positive correlation with Child-Pugh score and PVD just failed to reach statistical significance (r = 0.324, p = 0.054). A significant negative association of EV was found with each of serum albumin, serum total protein, total ascetic fluid protein & platelet count (Table 2). This is in agreement with Madhorta et al (2002) who concluded that the prevalence of EV in cirrhosis increases with the severity of liver disease, and Thombolus et al (2003) who found that esophageal varices presence is directly correlated with hyperbilirubinemia (p=0.01), thrombocytopenia (p<0.0001), and splenomegaly (p<0.0001) and that these factors are independent predictors of large EV in cirrhosis. The study of Serwar et al (2005) documented that serum albumin less than 2.95 gm/dL, platelet count less than 88,000 /µL and PVD more than 11 mm were associated with presence of varices and they concluded that these patients are candidates for surveillance endoscopy. In the study of Prihatini et al (2005), it was reported that a platelet count of 82,000/µL( 90.9% sensitivity ; 41.7% specificity), PVD of 1.15 cm (75% sensitivity; 54.5% specificity) and an anteroposterior splenic measurement of 10.3 cm (83.3% sensitivity; 63.6% specificity) were predictive factors for esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis. In the current study, using univariate analysis of variables associated with the presence of large esophageal varices, only splenomegaly was associated with high grade varices (Table 3). This is consistent with the study of Adrover et al (2004) which reported that the presence of large EV was associated only with splenic volume index ≥ 45 (p=0.02). bleeding, SAAG had a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 33.33%, positive predictive value of 71.4% and negative predictive value of 100%. This variability of the results may be due to the difference in the study population. In the Mene et al study (2003), patients were diagnosed as PHTN with and without cirrhosis, and they were Child-Pugh grades A and B. They did not exclude cases with non-variceal bleeding as endoscopy was not done in their study. CONCLUSION: A high SAAG score (≥1.55 gm/dL) is a useful predictor of the presence of esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients with ascites, and it can assist clinicians in determining the urgency of care, and can help identify patients who need early referral for upper gastro-intestinal endoscopy. Meanwhile, SAAG was not valuable in screening and predicting complications, such as bleeding from esophageal varices. Further prospective studies might result in a discriminating algorithm to predict which patients with cirrhosis would benefit from early or regular endoscopy to detect clinically significant varices, and may help in optimizing prophylactic therapy and where available, improving the cost effectiveness of screening endoscopy. 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