ECON 474 Economic Development Name: Quiz: Suppose there is a risk-neutral farmer whose output is either zero or one. The probability that the farmer gets an output of one is e, where e is a number between zero and one that represents the effort level chosen by the farmer. The farmer’s cost of providing effort e is 1 given by e 2 . 2 A) Find the efficient level of effort for the farmer to supply. The efficient level of effort maximizes the expected output minus the cost of providing effort. (5 points) Solution: Probability of high output = e Probability of low output = 1 – e Expected output = e*1 + (1 – e)*0 = e 1 Expected gain = Expected output – cost of providing effort = e e 2 2 Take the derivative with respect to e and set equal to zero to find the optimal effort: 1–e=0 e=1 B) Suppose that the farmer enters into a sharecropping contract in which she keeps a fraction s of the output. What effort level does she choose? (10 points) Solution: Since the farmer only keeps a fraction s of output: 1 Expected gain = se e 2 2 Take the derivative with respect to e and set equal to zero to find the optimal effort: s–e=0 e=s C) Now suppose there are two contractual options for the tenant to choose from: 1) Rental contract: Keep all of the output, pay fixed rent of ¼ 2) Sharecropping contract: Keep ½ of the output (no additional rent) Suppose that there is no possibility of default and that the tenant has zero nonlabor income. Which option will this risk-neutral tenant prefer? Carefully justify your answer by finding the tenant’s utility under each contract. (10 points) Solution: You need to find the tenant’s utility under the two contracts Rental contract: Sharecropping contract (s = ½): 1 1 Expected gain = e e 2 2 4 1 1 1 Expected gain = se e 2 e e 2 2 2 2 You found in part A) that e = 1 when the tenant keeps all the ouput. You found in part B) that e = ½ if the tenant keeps ½ of the output. 1 1 1 1 1 Exp. gain = 1 12 1 2 4 2 4 4 11 11 1 1 1 Expected gain = 22 22 4 8 8 2 1 1 under the rental contract and only under the sharecropping contract. 4 8 Therefore, the tenant will choose the rental contract. So utility is D) Describe how your answer to part C) might change if the tenant was risk-averse rather than risk-neutral. Consider a more realistic environment in which the probability of the harvest being a success is not entirely determined by the tenant’s effort, but that there are other factors (such as the weather) beyond her control. (5 points) Solution: A risk-averse tenant would be more likely to choose the sharecropping contract. The sharecropping contract ensures that the tenant will not incur a loss of ¼ when the bad outcome of zero output occurs.