CRUSTAL SHEAR WAVE ANISOTROPY STUDY ALONG THE CHELUNGPU FAULT BY USING THE DATA OF 1999 CHI-CHI,TAIWAN,EARTHQUAKE Xiu-Fen Zheng1)、Chau-Huei Chen2) and Chia-June Lu2) 1) 2) 2) (鄭秀芬 、陳朝輝 、盧佳君 ) 1) Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, P.R.C. 2) Institute of Seismology, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, R.O.C. ABSTRACT The 1999 Chi-Chi(Taiwan) earthquake brought about 100-km ruptures along the Chelungpu fault. On the two sides of the fault, the seismograms recorded by 16 free-field strong-motion stations during the period of 1998-2000 will be used to analyze the crustal shear wave anisotropy. The purpose of this study is to investigate the preseismic、coseismic and postseismic variations of fast polarization directions and time delays between fast and slow shear waves. We also want to know if the time delays can monitor the stress build up before large earthquake and the stress release as earthquake occur. If the variations in shear-wave splitting can be used for short term stress-forecasting, it can provide meaningful information of the source processes in earthquake preparation zones. Fig. 1 Blue solid line indicates the Chelungpu fault, solid triangles are denoted as the locations of the strong-motion station and the epicenter of mainshock is denoted by red solid star Figure 1 shows the locations of station used in this study. These stations are operated by CWB(Central Weather Bureau,Taiwan). There are 9 stations on the hangingwall of Chelungpu fault, and other 7 stations on the footwall. INTRODUCTION Seismic shear wave splits into two approximately orthogonal polarizations when travelling through anisotropic media. Stress-aligned shear wave splitting is widely observed in the Earth’s crust. It appears to be caused by propagation through the fluid-saturated stress-aligned vertically oriented parallel grain-boundary cracks and intergranular pores present in almost all rocks (Crampin,1994,1999). For propagation within about 45° of the vertical, the polarization direction of the faster split shear wave is approximately parallel to the direction of maximum horizontal stress indicating fluid-saturated microcracks oriented(Gao et al.,2003). The source region of the Chi-Chi earthquake is in the upper crust that is mainly composed of Tertiary marine sediments, which should have incorporated a large amount of fluid during their formation. It’s assumed that the Chi-Chi source region is practically saturated with fluid. The high Vp/Vs values(Chen et al.,2001) indicate that the upper crust of the source region is fluid saturated and highly fractured. Temporal changes in time-delays before earthquakes have been observed from several places in America and Europe (Peacock et al., 1988, Crampin et al., 1990, Crampin et al., 1991, Crampin et al., 1999, Booth et al., 1990, Liu et al., 1997, Volti and Crampin, 2003a and Volti and Crampin, 2003b). On one occasion, the time and magnitude of a (M=5) earthquake in SW Iceland was successfully stress-forecast in real time during an extensive study of shear-wave splitting in Iceland (Crampin et al., 1999, Volti and Crampin, 2003a and Volti and Crampin, 2003b). Gao(Gao et al.,2003) have demonstrated similarities between laboratory and field observations of changes in shear-wave splitting before earthquakes. This tends to confirm that shear-wave splitting in the crust is caused mainly by stress-aligned fluid-saturated grain-boundary cracks and low aspect-ratio pores. The key for stress-forecasting is the need for persistent swarms of small earthquakes. 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