Vegetation Resources Inventory Overview on Adjustment Factor Development 1. Purpose of Attribute Adjustment The main concern of the attribute adjustment process is to reduce or eliminate bias in some key timber attributes. In principle there are two phases in the VRI data collection. In the first phase, data is collected on all polygons in the population using photo interpretation. It is held that the photo interpreted data are mere estimates of the true values, and that they may contain biases resulting from the nature of the photo interpretation process. The second phase of the data collection is the selection of a sample of polygons from the population for the purpose of ground sampling. The ground data is subject to sampling error due to the fact that only a few polygons (50 to 200) from a population consisting of thousands of polygons, and within the sample polygons, a random location is selected to supply data for analysis. In addition to sampling error, the ground sampling is subject to measurement error. Generally, it is held that measurement error is so small that it is negligible. Past experience suggests that it is in the range of 1% to 3%. In spite of the sampling and measurement error, it is generally accepted that the ground data, on the average, is a more accurate representation of the true attribute values as compared to the photo interpretation data. This belief is based on the fact the ground data is based on careful measurements and undergoes rigorous quality assurance, while the photo interpreted data is based on guesses and opinions of a photo interpreter. 2. Adjustment process Generally, the attribute adjustment may utilise either ratio or linear least squares regression or geometric mean regression estimators. Currently, the ratio estimator is the most common choice in the “Fraser Protocol”, which will be described below. However, the baseline attribute adjustment methodology, which is under development, will include combinations of all three estimators. The data preparation process and analysis consists of following steps: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Assemble the polygons in the target population Select sample polygons to be visited on the ground Collect Ground data from the sample polygons Merge photo interpreted and ground data Screen the merged data for data entry and other extraneous errors Develop adjustment factors for adjusting photo interpreted data Overview on Adjustment Factor Development -1- July 2003 7. Report the results of the data analysis 8. Apply the adjustment factors to the photo interpreted attributes in the VRI database. 3. Attributes to be adjusted All continuous timber attributes with corresponding ground measurements will be subject to adjustment. The list of attributes includes the following: 1) Height of 1st species – rank 1 layer. 2) Ht of 2nd species – rank 1 layer. 3) Age of 1st species – rank 1 layer. 4) Age of 2nd species – rank 1. 5) Site index of 1st species. 6) Site index of second species 7) Estimated site index 8) Species composition @7.5(?) – all layers combined. 9) Number of stems/ha @ 7.5cm utilization – all layers & species combined. 10) Basal Area @7.5cm utilization – all layers & species combined. 11) Basal Area @12.5cm utilization – all layers & species combined. 12) Lorey Ht @7.5cm utilization level – all layers & species combined. 13) Whole Stem volume @7.5cm – all layers & species. 14) Whole stem volume @12.5cm – all layers & species. 15) Volume net top & stump (CU) 12.5cm – all layers & species combined. 16) Volume net top, stump (CU + decay) & decay 12.5cm– all layers & species combined. 17) Volume net top, stump (CU +decay & waste), decay & waste 12.5cm – all layers & species combined. 18) Adjusted volume, net decay, waste & breakage @12.5cm utilization 19) Adjusted volume, net decay, waste & breakage @17.5cm utilisation level. There are biological and logic linkages between many of the attributes listed above. For instance, stand height and age are closely linked to stand volume. Therefore the adjustment of the three attributes has to occur in such a way as not to produce adjusted values which are illogical. An example of biologically inconsistent adjusted values would be a stand with an adjusted height of 30meters, adjusted age of 250 having an adjusted volume of 10cu.meters/ ha. An example of logical relationships within the 19 attributes is the requirement that adjusted whole stem volume be larger than or equal to close utilization volume (volume, less top and stump) for all polygons in the population. If the adjustment of the volumes at the different utilisation levels and for different net categories is not harmonised, situations could occur where adjusted whole stem volume would be less than close utilization volume. Such situations would not be acceptable during VDYP 7 inventory projection. Overview on Adjustment Factor Development -2- July 2003 At the beginning of the VRI implementation, it was determined that producing adjusted values for 19 timber attributes, which were harmonized to maintain biological and logical relationships, would require considerable effort. However, in order to facilitate the utilization of incoming ground sample data for short term timber supply analysis purposes, a simpler adjustment process commonly referred to as the “Fraser Protocol” was developed. 4. Fraser Protocol In the Fraser Protocol only 3 of the 19 attributes listed above are adjusted. To maintain the biological and logical relationships, a three stage adjustment process is used. Stage 1: Derive adjustment factors for Height and Age of the first species. Here the dependent variables are the ground measured Height and Age, and the independent variables are the photo interpreted Height and Age Stage 2: Use Adjusted Height and Age to generate interim stand net volumes (net decay waste and breakage) using VDYP version 6. Currently, unadjusted species composition and old FIP stocking class values are used to facilitate the production of interim VDYP net volume. Stage 3: Derive adjustment factors for net volume, with the ground net volume as the dependent (y) variable and the interim VDYP net volume generated in Stage 2 as the independent variable (x). In this three stage process, the effects of adjusting Height and Age are linked with the adjustment volume via the interim VDYP net volume. This way, awkward inconsistencies in the adjustments are avoided. In most cases ratios are used in the adjustment of the three attributes. A detailed description of the attribute adjustment procedures based on the Fraser Protocol are provided at the following web site: http://srmwww.gov.bc.ca/tib/veginv/publications.htm 5. Baseline Attributes Adjustment Procedures The 19 attributes listed in section 3, constitute the minimum number of attributes that should be adjusted in order to allow the initialisation of VDYP 7 projection. No VDYP 7 projection will occur for a given polygon unless the adjusted attributes are harmonised to ensure that biological and logical relationships are maintained. A procedures manual with detailed descriptions of the harmonisation process and the stages of developing adjustment factors will be provided in the near future. The release of these procedures will coincide with the release of VDYP 7. Overview on Adjustment Factor Development -3- July 2003