OREGON MEDICAL ASSOCIATION HOUSE OF DELEGATES 129th Annual Meeting April 26-27, 2003 Salishan Lodge, Gleneden Beach EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Informational Oregon Medical Association Preliminary Report of The 2003 Physician Workforce Assessment 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Background and Purpose of Assessment .........................................................................................1 Methodology ....................................................................................................................................2 Key Findings ....................................................................................................................................2 Demographics ...........................................................................................................................2 Access to Physicians .................................................................................................................3 Possible Changes in Practice ..................................................................................................10 Professional Liability Insurance Issues ..................................................................................11 Changes Due to Professional Liability Insurance Cost/Availability ......................................12 Retirement...............................................................................................................................17 Career Satisfaction ..................................................................................................................19 Background and Purpose of Assessment 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 The 2003 Physician Workforce Assessment, the summary results and analysis that is presented in this report, was undertaken for several reasons, foremost of which was to provide more reliable data on the current and future capacity of Oregon’s medical community to provide access to the state’s citizens. There is significant anecdotal evidence that Oregon physicians are an aging demographic group, that they are retiring or contemplating retirement at greater than historical rates, and that it has become very difficult to attract young physicians to the state in order to neutralize the effects of attrition on what for many years has been an adequate workforce to meet the needs of Oregon patients. There is also ample evidence that qualitative access problems exist and are worsening, as geographic shortages in both primary and specialty care result in longer waits for diagnosis and treatment or for establishing a relationship with a primary care physician at all. The Workforce Assessment is intended to provide reliable data on which to evaluate the validity of these concerns. The survey was also undertaken to assess the effect of the increasing cost of professional liability insurance on access to care, both geographically and by clinical specialty. A study of obstetrical professionals conducted last year by OHSU indicates that a very significant minority of them either has already quit delivering babies or intends to do so in the near term. The Workforce Assessment would provide data on this concern for all clinical specialties. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Finally, the survey is intended to determine by region and by specialty whether physicians are willing or indeed financially able to care for patients based on their source of insurance coverage or lack thereof. For example, given that both Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement rates approach or are below the cost of providing medical services, the survey data should provide hard evidence as to the impact of low reimbursement on the ability of the elderly and the poor to obtain access to care. Methodology 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Questionnaires were mailed to 10,050 physicians listed as practicing in Oregon with an active Oregon license. Of the questionnaires mailed, 176 were returned because the physician did not practice in Oregon. 4,746 (48%) of eligible questionnaires were returned. This rate of return means that data is included in this report from approximately one-half of the physicians practicing in Oregon. Thus, the following analyses and findings represent the demographic data, activities, and plans of 1 out of every 2 physicians throughout the state of Oregon. Key Findings 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Demographics 68 percent OMA members. 76 percent Male - 24 percent Female. 18 percent under age 40, 54 percent age 40 to 59 years, 28 percent age 60 years or older. Gender 26.3 30 Percent Female 24% Age Group 20 28 17.7 15.3 12.7 10 0 Male 76% < 40 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 - 69 Age 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Over three-quarters (3,580) currently have a clinical practice in Oregon. 750 (15.8%) physicians were retired with no clinical practice. An additional 277 – 5.8 percent had no professional time in direct patient care. A total of 3,719 respondents could have answered questions included in this analysis. 70 + OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 The primary specialties reported most frequently included family practice (816), internal medicine (768), obstetrics-gynecology (299), pediatrics (299), psychiatry (274), anesthesiology (254), and surgery (251). For purposes of this report, the responses of four high-risk specialties were highlighted. These included physicians in obstetrics, neurological surgery, general surgery and orthopedic surgery. Over one-half (52.3%) of the respondents practice in the greater Portland metropolitan area. Geographic Area Portland Metro 8% Mid-Willamette Valley 2% 4% NW OR 11% Southern OR 2% 52% Eastern OR 21% SW OR Central OR 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 In addition to English, the most frequent languages in which respondents can communicate adequately for most clinical purposes include Spanish (733), French (154) and German (141). Over two in five physicians (43.3%) have held a medical license for more than 20 years. 43.1 percent of females have held a medical license 10 years or less, while only 23.1 percent of males have done so. 60.6 percent of respondents practice in a private office or clinic while 30.5 percent reported that they practice in a hospital setting. About one third of the respondents practice in a large group of ten or more physicians. 21.7 percent reported they have a solo practices; another 21.4 percent practice in a small group practice and 21.1 practice in a medium-sized group. Access to Physicians OVER ONE-HALF OF PHYSICIANS HAVE SOME RESTRICTIONS ON ACCEPTING NEW PATIENTS INCLUDING 9.5 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS WHO DO NOT CURRENTLY ACCEPT ANY NEW PATIENTS. “I worry about the health and viability of many primary care practices in this state-where will patients go for care.” - Survey respondent OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Over 10 percent of physicians in the Mid-Willamette Valley (12.1%) and SW Oregon (15.5%) do not currently accept new patients. Physicians in SW Oregon were least likely to be open to all or most patients. 13 percent of physicians in primary care do not accept new patients. Only one third of primary care physicians (34.0%) were open to all patients compared to almost double that amount for medical (65.0%), and surgical specialties (62.7%). Practice Status Accepting New Patients 10% 22% Open to All 43% Open to Most Open to Some Not Open 25% Percent Grouped Specialties-Accepting New Patients 70 Open to All Not Open 35 Surgical Specialties Medical Specialties Primary Care 0 10 11 12 13 14 ALMOST 40 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS (39.4%) FOR MEDICARE FEE FOR SERVICE AND 38.9 PERCENT FOR MEDICARE + CHOICE) DO NOT CURRENTLY ACCEPT MEDICARE PATIENTS OR LIMIT ACCEPTANCE OF MEDICARE PATIENTS. 15 16 “I am a young physician and do not see Medicare or Medicaid patients due to low reimbursement and rules/regulations.” - Survey respondent 17 18 19 Over one-half of physicians in primary care do not currently accept Medicare patients (27.9%) or limit their acceptance (23.8%). OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 21.4 percent of physicians in the Portland area do not accept Medicare patients. Physicians in the Mid-Willamette Valley were most likely to report that they did not accept any Medicare patients (23.0%). Approximately 45 percent of physicians in the Mid Willamette Valley, Southern Oregon and SW Oregon do not currently accept Medicare patients or limit their acceptance of Medicare patients. 75 50 25 0 Medicare Accept None The graph above is based on the numbers for Medicare Fee for Service (which were very similar to Medicare+Choice) and on the numbers for OHP-OMAP Fee for Service (which were very similar to OHP – Medicaid HMO). Accepting Patients with Medicare Fee for Service by Geographic Area 60 50 40 30 20 10 Limit Acceptance Accept None Central OR SW OR Eastern OR Southern OR NW OR MidWillamette Valley 0 Portland Metro Percent 7 8 9 10 11 Limit Acceptance OHP-Medicaid Accept All Percent Medicare - OHP-Medicaid Accepting New Patients OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 6 Accepting Patients with Medicare Fee for Service by Grouped Specialties 60 50 Percent 40 30 20 10 0 Primary Care Medical Specialties Limit Acceptance Surgical Specialties Accept None 1 Accepting Patients with OHP-OMAP Fee for Service by Geographic Area 60 50 Percent 40 30 20 10 Limit Acceptance Central OR SW OR Eastern OR Southern OR NW OR MidWillamette Valley Portland Metro 0 Accept None Accepting Patients with OHP-OMAP Fee for Service by Grouped Specialties 70 60 Percent 50 40 30 20 10 0 Primary Care Medical Specialties Limit Acceptance Surgical Specialties Accept None OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 7 1 2 3 4 5 OVER ONE IN FIVE PHYSICIANS (22.8% FOR OMAP FEE FOR SERVICE AND 24.0% FOR MEDICAID HMOS) DO NOT CURRENTLY ACCEPT OREGON HEALTH PLAN (HMO) PATIENTS. ADDITIONALLY, OVER ONE IN FOUR PHYSICIANS (27.4% FOR OMAP FEE FOR SERVICE AND 26.9% FOR MEDICAID HMOS) LIMIT THEIR ACCEPTANCE OF THESE PATIENTS. 6 7 “OHP provides well below the cost of providing care—it asks physicians to provide essentially free care under the guise of a governmental coverage program.” - Survey respondent Physicians in primary care were most likely to report that they accepted no OHP patients (28.0% for OMAP Fee for Service and 29.2% for Medicaid HMOs) or limited their acceptance of OHP patients (33.1% for OMAP Fee for Service and 32.4% for Medicaid HMOs). Over one-fourth of the physicians in the Portland Metropolitan area (27.7%) do not accept Medicaid HMO patients and 26.1% do not accept OMAP fee for Service patients. Approximately one-half of physicians in Southern Oregon do not accept Oregon Health Plan patients or limit their acceptance. This was also true of physicians in NW Oregon. OVER ONE-FOURTH OF PHYSICIANS (27.3%) DO NOT ACCEPT PATIENTS FOR WORKERS’ COMPENSATION. Physicians in primary care (33.7%) were most likely to report that they did accept workers’ compensation patients. OF THE PHYSICIANS WHO REPORTED THAT THEY LIMIT ACCEPTANCE OR NO LONGER ACCEPT MEDICARE PATIENTS, THE MAJORITY MADE THIS DECISION DURING OR AFTER 2001. Of the physicians who made the decision to limit acceptance of Medicare patients, about one third made this decision in 2002 (31.5 for Fee for Service and 34.9% for Medicare + Choice) Of the physicians who made the decision to close their practices to Medicare patients, one-fourth made the decision in 2002 (28.1% for Fee for Service; 24.2% for Medicare + Choice) OF THE PHYSICIANS WHO REPORTED THAT THEY LIMIT ACCEPTANCE OR NO LONGER ACCEPT OREGON HEALTH PLAN PATIENTS, APPROXIMATELY THREE-QUARTERS MADE THIS DECISION DURING OR AFTER 2000. Year Restricting Accepting OHP-OMAP Fee for Service Patients Year Restricting Accepting Medicare Fee for Service Patients 80 80 60 60 Percent Percent 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 40 40 20 20 0 0 2003 2002 2001 2000 2003 2002 Year Limiting Acceptance No Longer Accepting 2001 2000 Year Limiting Acceptance No Longer Accepting OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Of the physicians who made the decision to limit acceptance or close their practices to Oregon Health Plan patients, approximately one-fourth made this decision in 2002. Over ten percent of additional respondents who reported limiting their practices or closing their practices to Oregon Health Plan patients did so in 2003. IT TOOK AN AVERAGE OF 12.62 CALENDAR DAYS FOR ESTABLISHED PATIENTS TO BE SEEN FOR NONURGENT APPOINTMENTS. Physicians in SW Oregon (16.42 days), Southern Oregon (14.50 days), and Eastern Oregon (12.76 days) reported longer average time frames. Physicians in medical specialties reported the longest average time frames (17.95 days) with ten percent of established patients seen after 30 days for non-urgent appointments. It took an average of 16.52 days to see an obstetrician-gynecologist for a non-urgent appointment. The average number of days for some selected specialties are 27.21 days for gastroenterology, 20.74 days for urology and 11.74 days for psychiatry. IT TOOK AN AVERAGE OF 20.64 CALENDAR DAYS FOR NEW PATIENTS TO BE SEEN FOR NON-URGENT APPOINTMENTS. Physicians in Southern Oregon (27.25 days), SW Oregon (26.67 days), Central Oregon (22.34 days), and NW Oregon (21.53 days) reported longer average time frames. Calendar Days for Non-Urgent Appointment Established Patients New Patients Central OR SW OR Eastern OR Southern OR NW OR Mid-Willamette Valley Portland Metro 0 5 10 15 20 Calendar Days 25 30 OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Physicians in medical specialties reported the longest average time frame (24.40 days) with 21 percent of new patients seen after 30 days for non-urgent appointments. It took an average of 21.51 days to see an obstetrician-gynecologist for a non-urgent appointment. The average number of days for some selected specialties are 50.66 days for gastroenterology, 18.60 days for urology, and 27.71 days for psychiatry. Calendar Days for Non-Urgent Appointment Urology Gastroenterology ObstetricsGynecology All Respondents 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Calendar Days Established Patients PHYSICIANS IN OREGON SPENT AN AVERAGE OF 34.90 HOURS PER WEEK SEEING PATIENTS AND AN AVERAGE OF 9.45 HOURS PER WEEK DOING PAPER WORK OR ADMINISTRATIVE TASKS RELATED TO PATIENT CARE (TABLES BB AND CC). (These hours do not include time spent for professional time outside of direct patient such as teaching, research, etc.) Hours Per Week in Direct Patient Care Activities by Grouped Specialties 60 50 40 30 Paperwork/ Admin 20 Seeing Patients Other HospitalBased Practice Surgical Specialties 0 Medical Specialties 10 Primary Care Hours 8 9 10 11 12 New Patients OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 PHYSICIANS REPORTED AN AVERAGE OF 39.71 HOURS PER WEEK ON CALL. Physicians in rural areas were more likely to report greater hours spent on call per week (NW Oregon 60.54 hours; Southern Oregon 42.62 hours, SW Oregon 42.17 hours, Eastern Oregon 61.44 hours and Central Oregon 46.28 hours). Physicians in surgical specialties reported the greatest number of hours spent on call per week with 55.84 hours. Number of Patients Per Week 100 Patients 80 60 40 New Patients 20 Established Patients 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Other HospitalBased Practice Surgical Specialties Medical Specialties Primary Care 0 PHYSICIANS SAW AN AVERAGE OF 55.53 ESTABLISHED PATIENTS AND 14.26 NEW PATIENTS PER WEEK. Physicians outside of the Portland metropolitan area reported a higher average number of established patients seen per week. Physicians in primary care reported more established patient visits per week (64.47 patients). Possible Changes in Practice COST OR AVAILABILITY OF PROFESSIONAL LIABILITY INSURANCE (3.87%), THE COST OF DOING BUSINESS/OVERHEAD (3.72%) AND ADMINISTRATIVE BURDENS/PAPERWORK (3.72%) WERE RATED THE HIGHEST BY PHYSICIANS ON A SCALE OF 1 TO 5 AS IMPORTANT IN THEIR DECISIONS TO MAKE CHANGES WITHIN THE NEXT TWO YEARS. “I gave up most of my private practice 2 years ago—reimbursement and overhead were big issues.” Survey respondent Medicare Reimbursement (3.70%), Oregon Health Plan Reimbursement and the Increase in Government Regulations were also rated highly. Physicians outside of the Portland Metropolitan area and the Mid-Willamette Valley were more likely to rate Medicare and Oregon Health Plan reimbursement as an important issue. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 11 1 2 3 4 Physicians in selected specialties of obstetrics-gynecology (4.50%), physicians in neurological surgery (4.86%), physicians in orthopedic surgery (4.28%) and physicians in general surgery (4.31%) all rated the cost or availability of professional liability insurance as their most important factor regarding any changes to their practice. Importance of Issues on Changes - Rating 1-5 Scale Cost/Availability of Liability Insurance 3.87 Cost of Doing Business/Overhead 3.72 Administrative Burdens/Paperwork 3.72 ReimbursementMedicare 3.70 ReimbursementOregon Health Plan 3.56 Increase in Government Regulations 3.53 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Rating 5 6 7 Professional Liability Insurance Issues “OMA’s #1 priority should be tort reform.” - Survey respondent 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 “My malpractice insurance has quadrupled because I live in Oregon.” – Survey respondent The majority of physicians (78.5%) report their source of professional liability insurance from commercial insurance companies. The amount of professional liability coverage that most physicians reported carrying is $1 million per claim/$3 million aggregate. THE AVERAGE ANNUAL PREMIUM FOR THE RESPONDENTS WAS $13,786. The annual premium amount decreased with age. Physicians in surgical specialties reported higher premiums ($25,019 average). OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 12 1 2 Physicians in selected specialties reported high premiums (obstetricians-gynecologists $35,044; neurological surgeons $46,942; orthopedic surgery $22,176; and general surgery $24,166). Annual Liability Insurance Premium by Selected Specialties 50,000 45,000 40,000 Dollars 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Annual Premium 10,000 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 General Surgery Orthopedic Surgery Neurological Surgery All Respondents 0 ObstetricsGynecology 5,000 PHYSICIANS IN OREGON HAD AN AVERAGE OF LESS THAN ONE CLAIM (0.90 CLAIMS) FILED DURING THEIR CAREER. Physicians in obstetrics-gynecology (1.35), neurological surgery (3.93), orthopedic surgery (1.96) and general surgery (1.73) averaged higher than one claim filed during their career. Surgical specialties had the highest rate of claims filed (2.16) during their career. The number of claims paid per physician during their career average less than one-third of a claim (0.29). Changes Due to Professional Liability Insurance Cost/Availability SIX PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS HAVE ALREADY STOPPED OR DEFINITELY WILL STOP PROVIDING DIRECT PATIENT CARE. Physicians in NW Oregon (9.7%), SW Oregon (10.6%) and Eastern Oregon (13.2%) were most likely to report that they have already stopped or will definitely stop providing direct patient care. 8.4 percent of physicians in surgical specialties have already stopped or will definitely stop providing direct patient care. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Over eight percent of physicians in obstetrics-gynecology (8.2%), and orthopedic surgery (8.4%) have already stopped or definitely will stop providing direct patient care. Almost one third of physicians in neurological surgery report that they have stopped (4.3%) or will stop providing (26.1%) direct patient care. Physicians from 60 to 69 and physicians older than 70 were most likely to report that they had stopped or would definitely stop providing direct patient care. 17.5 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS HAVE ALREADY STOPPED OR WILL DEFINITELY STOP PROVIDING CERTAIN SERVICES. 13 14 I just changed practices and dropped OB and am now GYN only. Thus far I feel it was a tremendously wise move for me.” - Survey respondent Stop Providing Certain Services Due to Professional Liability Insurance 50 Percent 40 30 Definitely Will 20 Already Have 10 General Surgery Orthopedic Surgery Neurological Surgery ObstetricsGynecology 0 Selected Specialties 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 An additional 15.8 percent of physicians will consider a change. The percentage of physicians who have stopped providing certain services increases with age. Physicians in areas outside of the Portland Metropolitan area were most likely to report that they had stopped providing certain services or would do so: Mid Willamette Valley (19.7%); .NW Oregon (29.5%); Southern Oregon (24.1%); Eastern Oregon (29.2%); SW Oregon (29.9%); and Central Oregon (20.8%). Physicians in primary care (19.9%) or surgical specialties (23.5%) were most likely to report that they had stopped providing certain services or would do so. 23.5 percent of physicians in obstetrics-gynecology, 43.4 percent of physicians in neurological surgery and 27.1 percent of orthopedic surgeons reported that they had stopped providing certain services or would do so. The most frequently reported services that physicians had stopped providing or would consider not providing were obstetrics, surgery, high risk or complex cases, hospital services and emergency department coverage. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 14 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 OVER TEN PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS (10.9%) HAVE STOPPED PROVIDING OR DEFINITELY WILL STOP PROVIDING SERVICES TO SPECIFIC GROUPS OF PATIENTS. Higher percentages of physicians in rural areas of the state were likely to report that they had stopped providing services to specific groups or would do so: NW Oregon (18.7%); Southern Oregon (15.0%); Eastern Oregon (15.8%), and SW Oregon (16.4%). 15.7 percent of physicians in surgical specialties have stopped providing or definitely will stop providing services to specific groups of patients. 16.4 percent of physicians in obstetrics-gynecology, 19 percent of physicians in neurological surgery and 18.9 percent of physicians in orthopedic surgery and 15.6 percent of physicians in general surgery reported that they had stopped providing services to specific groups of patients or would do so. The specific groups physicians most frequently reported they had stopped or would stop providing services to were patients on Medicaid, patients on Medicare, complex or high risk patients and OB patients. Stop Providing Services to Specific Groups Due to Professional Liability Insurance Percent 20 10 Definitely Will Already Have Other HospitalBased Practice Surgical Specialties Medical Specialties Primary Care 0 Selected Specialties 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 TWENTY PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED DIAGNOSTIC PROCEDURES OR PLAN TO DO SO. Physicians in rural areas of the state were more likely to report that they have already increased the diagnostic procedures they perform or plan to do so. Over one-fourth of the physicians in Southern Oregon have already increased diagnostic procedures or plan to do so. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 Physicians in orthopedic surgery (27.6%) or in general surgery (25.2%) reported that they have already increased the diagnostic procedures they perform or plan to do so. 4.3 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS HAVE ALREADY CLOSED OR SOLD THEIR PRACTICES OR WILL DEFINITELY DO SO. Close or Sell Practice Due to Professional Liability Insurance Central Oregon SW Oregon Eastern Oregon Southern Oregon Already Have Definitely Will NW Oregon Mid-Willamette Valley Portland Metropolitan 0 5 10 Percent 15 7 8 9 “If tort reform or some other relief of increasing liability costs is not enacted I will leave the state or quit practice.” - Survey respondent 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Physicians in Eastern Oregon (12.0%) and SW Oregon (10.9%) were most likely to report that they have already closed or sold their practice or that will definitely do so. Physicians in obstetrics-gynecology (6.7%) and physicians in neurological surgery (11.2%) reported that they have closed or sold their practice or that they will definitely do so. 4.5 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS HAVE ALREADY RELOCATED THEIR PRACTICES OR DEFINITELY WILL DO SO. “Oregon needs to ‘do something’ to keep good doctors from leaving.” - Survey respondent 22 23 24 25 26 27 Another 14.9 percent of the respondents may consider doing so. About one in five physicians under the age of 49 will consider relocating their practice (physicians under 40 – 20.7%; physicians 40-49 – 18.0%.) OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 16 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Physicians in NW and Eastern Oregon were more likely to report that they would relocate their practices (NW Oregon – 8.3%; Eastern Oregon – 8.9%) Nearly one third of physicians (29.7%) in Eastern Oregon would consider relocating their practice. Approximately one in five physicians in surgical specialties (23.9 %) or in hospital-based practices (19.8%) would consider relocating their practices. Relocate Practice Due to Professional Liability Insurance Central Oregon SW Oregon Eastern Oregon Southern Oregon Already Have Definitely Will NW Oregon Mid-Willamette Valley Portland Metropolitan 0 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 5 Percent 10 OVER 10 PERCENT OF PHYSICIANS (10.7%) HAVE REDUCED THEIR PATIENT CARE HOURS OR WILL DEFINITELY DO SO. Physicians in rural areas of the state were more likely to report that they had reduced their patient care hours or planned to do so. One in five physicians in SW Oregon (21.1%) reported that they had reduced their patient care hours or planned to do so. 16.6 percent of physicians in Eastern Oregon reported the same. 20 percent of neurological surgeons reported that they would reduce their patient care hours. Thirteen percent of physicians in obstetrics-gynecology and fourteen percent of physicians in orthopedic surgery reported that they have already reduced their patient care hours or would do so. ONE IN FIVE PHYSICIANS (22.3%) HAVE INCREASED REFERRAL OF COMPLEX CASES OR WILL DEFINITELY DO SO. Another 17.9 percent of physicians may consider doing so. Physicians ages 50-59 were most likely to report that they had already increased referral of complex cases or definitely would do so (27.6%). OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 17 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Physicians in most areas outside of the Portland Metropolitan area were most likely to report that they had already increased referral of complex cases or planned to do so: Mid-Willamette Valley (28.2%); NW Oregon (29.2%); Southern Oregon (30.9%); Eastern Oregon (30.0%); Central Oregon (18.8%) and SW Oregon (25.5%). Physicians in surgical specialties (30.8%) were most likely to report that they had increased referral of complex cases or planned to do so. One fourth of physicians in obstetrics-gynecology reported that they had increased referral of complex cases or planned to do so. Another 26.3 percent might consider doing so. 40.9 percent of physicians in neurology reported that they had increased the referral of complex cases or would definitely do so. Another 27.3 percent might consider doing so. Increase Referral of Complex Cases Due to Professional Liability Insurance Central Oregon SW Oregon Eastern Oregon Southern Oregon Already Have Definitely Will NW Oregon Mid-Willamette Valley Portland Metropolitan 0 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Percent Retirement MORE THAN ONE IN FIVE PHYSICIANS (22.2%) PLAN TO RETIRE WITHIN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS. “When I am ready to retire I feel I will not be able to find a physician to take over my practice because of the poor compensation for services in the state of Oregon.” - Survey respondent As might be expected, almost four out of five physicians (78.7%) ages 60 years and over plan to retire within the next five years. However, nearly one third of physicians (30.4%) ages 50 to 59 also plan to retire within the next five years. Over one third of physicians (35.3%) in SW Oregon plan to retire within the next five years. 37 percent of physicians in neurological surgery intend to retire within the next five years. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 18 1 2 Physicians in surgical specialties were most likely to report they would retire in the next five years. Retirement Plans by Age Group Percent 100 80 60 40 No Plans 20 Within 2-5 Years Within 12 Months 0 < 40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 + Age Group 3 4 5 Retirement Plans by Geographic Area 100 60 40 No Plans Within 2-5 Years Within 12 Months 20 Central OR SW OR Eastern OR Southern OR NW OR MidWillamette Valley 0 Portland Metro Percent 80 OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 19 1 Retirement Plans by Selected Specialties 100 Percent 80 No Plans 60 40 20 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 General Surgery Orthopedic Surgery Neurological Surgery ObstetricsGynecology 0 Within 2-5 Years Within 12 Months Career Satisfaction CAREER SATISFACTION OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS (3.44) WAS RATED APPROXIMATELY 10 PERCENT LESS FOR ALL PHYSICIANS THAN THE SATISFACTION OVER THEIR ENTIRE CAREER (3.83). “I have strongly discouraged my children from considering medicine as a career.” - Survey respondent “I am still having fun practicing medicine.” - Survey respondent Rating Career Satisfaction Rating 1-5 Scale 5 4 3 2 1 0 3.73 3.69 3.85 4.21 4.46 Rating < 40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 + Age Group 12 13 14 15 16 17 The highest satisfaction ratings for their overall career were reported by the physicians aged 60 to 69 years (4.21) and 70 years or older (4.46). Career satisfaction ratings over the last 12 months were consistently lower for all categories of physicians compared to the satisfaction ratings for their overall career. OMA House of Delegates – April 26-27, 2003 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE REPORT F Page 20 1 2 3 4 5 Over one-half (51.3%) of the physicians reported that the single greatest source of professional satisfaction was patient relationships. Only 5.5 percent of physicians reported income as the greatest source of professional satisfaction. Source of Professional Satisfaction Income 17% 5% 5% 22% Intellectual Challenge Patient Relationships Practice Environment 51% Other 6 7 8 9 10 “I very much enjoy my practice. As I view the practice of medicine today, I doubt I would want to go into it.” - Survey respondent