Globalisation of Biosciences: Knowledge Capabilities and Economic Geography Philip Cooke Centre for Advanced Studies & Centre for the Economic & Social Analysis of Genomics (CESAGen) Cardiff University 44-45 Park Place Cardiff CF10 3BB Wales (UK) February 2004 Revised for Economic Geography January & March 2006 Abstract This paper builds on a suite of research studies examining the metamorphosis in industry organisation, as Penrose calls it, regarding the centrality of firm capabilities in biosciences. Whereas knowledge leadership capabilities used to be inside global corporations now they have given way to university laboratories and dedicated biotechnology firm networks to access innovative research. The basic argument is that research centre and small firm knowledge capabilities have generally outstripped those of the multinationals in knowledge-intensive industry, a consequence of which is a re-alignment in cause-and-effect outcomes shaping economic geography. This is particularly pronounced in biosciences and pharmaceuticals. The paper mobilises a new theoretical framework and new data that support the thesis that a realignment of industry organisation around knowledge capabilities was pioneered in biosciences, is active in other industries, and in biosciences is now entering a new phase. In Phase 1, large pharmaceuticals firms acquired equity in dedicated biotechnology firms (DBFs) to access technological know-how. Failing to absorb this adequately, they have now in Phase 2 become supplicants to the advanced basic research knowledge produced in globally key university and other laboratories. These links are contextuated by biotechnology firms that cluster in knowledgeable ‘network nodes’. Paying attention to global comparisons among bioscience ‘network nodes’ we find that some European nodes in, especially, Sweden and UK are performing well in international publication collaboration but less so in commercialising innovations: a process of ‘decapitation’ being one consequence predictable from geographic capabilities theory. On other measures such as numbers of firms and life scientists - European, including Swedish, Swiss, German and UK centres perform fairly well against top North American nodes. However the greater maturity of the latter still gives them advantage in commercial exploitation of bioscience. Introduction This paper presents an analysis of a new phase in globalisation viewed through the lens of medical bioscience, widely recognised as the world’s most science-driven industry (see Cooke, 2005a). Bioscience is the knowledge base connecting biotechnology to pharmaceuticals firms and ultimately human healthcare. Of course there are other applications in agro-food, energy and environmental control, but some 70% of bioscientific research and commercialisation activity is devoted to healthcare through biopharmaceuticals and related industries that now extend into genomics and post-genomic activities. The decoding of the human genome, mainly in the Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK, the Whitehead Institute, Cambridge, Massachusetts and Washington St Louis University was expected to herald a burst of creativity in biopharmaceutical drugs and treatments based in genomics. That this has not happened is a cause for recalling that transformation of exploration into exploitation knowledge is not automatic. The millennium stock market downturn made biotech investors nervous, the post-genomic transformation of decodes of large complex proteins into prototype treatments is difficult and time-consuming, and knowledge transfer is slow. 2 This raises interesting questions regarding the issue of capabilities in biosciences, particularly dynamic capabilities (Penrose, 1959; 1995; Teece & Pisano, 1996). Normally and historically microeconomic theory would anticipate transformational capabilities of the kind to which postgenomics alludes to be resolved by the exercise of scale economies in large, probably multinational corporations. However, numerous observers have commented on the fact that pharmaceuticals corporations have shown declining, even vanishing capabilities, to move beyond traditional prescription drugs produced using synthetic chemistry capabilities. Inevitably as bioscientific knowledge accumulates and the scope for treatments discovered, many by accident, under the synthetic chemistry regime suffer diminishing returns, the drugs ‘pipelines’ dry up. In 1996 53 new treatments were granted approval by the US Food & Drug Administration. In 2003 it was 21, and many of those were marginal variants upon existing products rather than wholly new (Landers, 2004). There is thus something of a ‘capabilities gap’ between science based research and dedicated biotechnology firms (DBFs) on the one hand, and large pharmaceuticals firms (‘pharma’) on the other. Partly in response to the ‘capabilities gap’ a new phase of globalisation involving the latter searching out the former in specific ‘capabilities niches’ not only for acquisition but exploration (research) and exploitation (commercialisation) partnerships has arisen. This paper seeks to display some of the global network patterns that are arising as the two ‘epistemic communities’ (Haas, 1992) seek to bridge the gap. The terminology of ‘epistemic communities’ is utilised here since it is widely understood that a key barrier to knowledge capture within large pharmaceuticals firms is that, professionally, their expertise lies in chemistry. Biotechnology is professionally aligned more with biosciences. Surprisingly, perhaps, and despite such sub-fields as biochemistry and microbiology, the in-house development of biotechnology products by pharmaceuticals firms has largely been a failure. This is a remarkable condition for a global industry to find itself in, namely unable to master key invention and innovation processes in its own core market capability of drug development. Perforce, therefore to survive, ‘pharma’ has for decades been a wealthy ‘supplicant’ to relatively impoverished small and medium-sized biotechnology businesses, themselves in most cases clustered near leading bioscientific laboratories, research institutes and university centres of excellence. It was thought for a long time that R&D outsourcing was largely confined to the pharmaceuticals industry, but it is not. The oil industry spends directly only 0.4% of GDP on R&D, buying it as needed from specialist project management firms like Halliburton and Schlumberger, while since the 1990s there has been a transformation, notably in the US, in where all kinds of industrial R&D is performed. The most notable statistic in the US National Science Foundation’s analysis of this is that while in 1981 more than 70% of US industrial R&D was 3 conducted in firms employing more than 25,000 workers, by 2001 it was down to less than 40%. The fastest R&D growth rate was registered by firms in the 50-249 employment range, where it more than doubled (NSF, 2005). Why this major shift? In pharmaceuticals it is, as noted, an issue of capabilities. According to Chesbrough (2003) in ICT it is a matter of corporate strategy to buy R&D more than make it, either because of capabilities problems (e.g. Microsoft compared to Linux; Raymond, 2001) or to cut wasteful expenditure by simply making acquisitions (Cisco Systems model). The paper proceeds as follows. There are three main sections, the first of which discusses important theoretical issues surrounding the relations in functional and geographical proximity, that arise in the metamorphosed circumstances where ‘open systems architectures’ are revalued in circumstances where industrial ‘secrecy’ would once have prevailed (Best, 2001; Lambert, 2003; Chesbrough, 2003). On the latter, consider the following quote from the UK government’s report on university-industry interaction: ‘Two broad trends are reshaping the way that companies are undertaking research around the world. The first is that they are moving away from a system in which most of their R&D was done in their own laboratories, preferably in secret, to one in which they are actively seeking to collaborate with others in a new form of open innovation. The second is that business R&D is going global’ (Lambert, 2003, 3). Compare this with the following quote from Penrose (1995): ‘...the rapid and intricate evolution of modern technology often makes it necessary for firms in related areas around the world to be closely in touch with developments in the research and innovation of firms in many centres’ (Penrose, 1995, p. xix) The concept she says she would have used to denote this shift had it been available in 1959, when The Theory of the Growth of the Firm was first published, is that of knowledge networks. These transform the basic capability of the firm, namely that it is a repository of knowledge, mainly knowledge of the core business and its administration, into a node in a global network of such capabilities. Following this section is one that mobilises data of various kinds, both primary and secondary, to assess the nature and extent of the change in industry organisation presaged by the rise in prominence of scientific knowledge capabilities, notably in biosciences for university labs, DBFs and ‘pharma’. Finally, in the limited space available an effort is made to show how dominant tendencies to connect to the few global ‘megacentres’ of knowledge capability are also contextuated by counter-tendencies among global niche actors. Few of these actual or aspiring ‘megacentres’ are so-called global cities, though a few are globally significant bioscientific knowledge ‘transceivers’. This leads to some brief reflections upon the power of geographies of 4 knowledge to determine industry organisation, something of a historic reversal at least for this sector, where corporate divisions of labour have tended to structure economic space. The Rise of Global Knowledge Networks in Biosciences: Theory and Preliminary Empirics In this section, it is shown how knowledge hegemony in pharmaceuticals has shifted to universities and the cohorts of biotechnology firms that often co-locate with those that are ‘ahead of the curve’ in biosciences. In the course of this account, a possibly new theoretical framework for explaining spatial industry organisational shifts has to be essayed. It is evolutionary in origin, interested in the economics of search and selection practices of firms in contexts where variety acts as ‘evolutionary fuel’ in Hodgson’s vivid phraseology (Hodgson, 1993). By evolutionary fuel is meant iterative, trialand-error interactive feedback from experimentation by actors to survive and prosper economically. The greater the variety, the greater the opportunity for innovation arising from interactions with other actors. It has been shown empirically that opportunities for the swiftest innovation occur in conditions of proximate and related variety (Boschma, 2005). Cities are one variant of this, but because their variety is often fragmented as well as partly related, they are less fruitful than settings with only related variety (e.g. clusters). Hence this new perspective settles at the apex of a conceptual triangle between Jacobs (1969) who advocated sectoral diversification and Glaeser et al. (1992) specialisation as key wellsprings of innovative growth. It is post-sectoral, recognising innovative growth to be facilitated through knowledge or technology platforms characterised by openness of knowledge flows. For example, a location specialising in leading edge research in sensors finds numerous applications of such technology in many related yet extensive fields where absorptive capacity is high. A priori biotechnology is the exemplar of this mode of industry organisation, but more as pioneer than offshoot now that the model of ‘open innovation’ building on ‘open science’ norms is emulated widely, from ‘open systems architectures’ of various kinds to ‘open source’ software (Owen-Smith & Powell, 2004). The point here is that ‘open science’ norms among scientists operate informally through normal ‘channels’ even if ‘formally’ confidentiality agreements exist with clients. As Chesbrough (2003) notes clients know this – complicitly - in the knowledge also that they will themselves receive returns from localised knowledge spillovers in the cluster. Not all of this openness is geographically proximate, distant networks play a strategic part, and cognitive and relational proximities come into play as Boschma (2005) stresses. Nevertheless, the implications of related variety as witnessed in the demise of the generic corporate R&D model compared to the varietal choice model found in the rich mix of research centres and niche firms in, for example a major biotechnology cluster, is testimony to the attractions to 5 customers of the latter over the former model. These may be measured in terms of capabilities ranging from those relevant to exploration, examination or exploitation knowledge (Cooke, 2005b). Hence, there are grounds for advancing a theoretical framework that links together these new elements and highlights the role of varieties of knowledge in contributing a testable explanation of regional developmental asymmetries. The key elements are presented in Fig. 1 below and discussed subsequently. Asymmetric Knowledge Endowment Increasing Returns (to Variety) Regional Knowledge Domains (e.g. Epistemic Communities) Regional Knowledge Capabilities Spatial Quasi-Monopolies (e.g. Clusters) I Open Innovation (Raises Outsourcing) Related Variety (Raises Absorptive Capacity) Fig. 1: Knowledge Capabilities and Economic Geography: A Theoretical Framework We start from the centre of the diagram, denoting a region in which a mix of widely in-demand knowledge capabilities evolves. Connecting to north-west in the diagram, and compared to other regions, this expresses its asymmetric knowledge endowment from a variety of knowledge organisations and institutions. Exploration knowledge organisations, such as research institutes, knowledge networks among individuals (e.g. ‘lunar societies’; Uglow, 2003) and knowledge leadership figures (e.g. possible future Nobel [or Oscar] laureates) co-exist with examination knowledge equivalents for standard-setting, trialling, testing and patenting, and exploitation knowledge bodies such as entrepreneurs, investors and related professional talent. The evolutionary fuel is supplied (linking westward in Fig. 1) by the attraction of a variety of imitative and innovative talent to the region, a Schumpeterian ‘swarming’ realising increasing returns to related variety 6 (south-eastward diagrammatic connection) where innovation may move swiftly through various parts of the innovation ‘platform’. Related variety nourishes absorptive capacity because cognitive distance between platform sub-fields is low (think of ‘general purpose innovations’, after Helpman, 1998). Moving north-east in Fig. 1, these processes result in the presence of regional ‘knowledge domains.’ The dictionary definition of ‘knowledge domain’ is a region or realm with a distinctive knowledge base, common principles, rules and procedures, and a specific semantic discourse. This naturally fits well with the concept of the epistemic community with its own professional discourse and interests. Such monopolistic features are frequently characteristic of, for example, clusters that in regional terms may display related variety (e.g. varieties of engineering expertise in the industrial districts of Emilia-Romagna in Italy in a spectrum from Ferrari cars and Ducati motor cycles (both Modena) to Sasib in packaging machinery (Bologna) and drgSystems machine tools in Piacenza; Harrison, 1994). These and other clusters have spatial quasi-monopolistic or ‘club’ characteristics, exerting exclusion and inclusion mechanisms to aspirant ‘members’ consequent upon their knowledge value to the club. If such industries operated as markets rather than knowledge quasi-monopolies it is difficult to see why spatial ‘swarming’ would occur. But high technology firms at least are willing to pay super-rents of 100% to locate in clusters – even when they are professed non-collaborators, to access anticipated localised knowledge spillovers (Cooke, 2006). Finally, to the south-west of Fig. 1, it is precisely such localised knowledge spillovers that induce what Chesbrough (2003) calls ‘open innovation’ whereby large firms outsource their R&D to purchase ‘pipeline’ knowledge, and access via ‘channels’ regional knowledge capabilities (Owen-Smith & Powell, 2004). These processes interact in complex, non-linear ways displayed graphically in Fig. 1, to explain regional knowledge asymmetries. Variations in the market value of regional knowledge combinations also contribute significantly to associated regional income disparities (Boschma & Frenken, 2003). Being an evolutionary growth process, successive increasing returns may be triggered from any point within or, of course, beyond the confines of Fig. 1. To further exemplify this, an interesting and important shift in the organisation and location of knowledge exploration (basic research) and exploitation (commercialisation) in recent years has been the rise of the entrepreneurial university and the demise of in-house corporate R&D. In Table 1, figures are provided showing shifts in scale and focus of royalties from patents licensed to outside users from US universities 1993-2002. It is instructive to note three key things about the royalty data noted in the annual surveys, here represented by three years only. First, there was a remarkable increase in scale of royalty income earned by the entrants in the top ten placements. The top royalty 7 earner in 2002, Columbia University earned ten times the income that Wisconsin had in 1993. Second, there was a significant shift in the institutions performing well in 2002 compared with 1993. The earlier successes like Wisconsin and Michigan State had only doubled their royalty income over the period, while Columbia, NYU and Stanford, for example entered the higher reaches later, not 2002 $m Rank University Income 1997 $m 1993 $m Rank University Income Rank University Income 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Columbia 155.6 New York U. 62.7 Florida S. 52.1 Stanford 50.2 Rochester 42.1 Wisconsin 32.1 U. of Florida 31. 6 Michigan S. 29.8 Emory U. 29.6 MIT 26.4 Columbia Stanford Florida S. MIT Michigan S. U. of Florida Wisconsin Harvard Carnegie M. Yale U. 46.1 34.0 29.9 19.8 18.3 18.1 17.1 13.4 13.3 13.1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wisconsin 15.8 U. Washington14.8 Michigan S. 14.1 Iowa State 11.6 U. of Florida 5.7 U. of Virginia 3.5 Rutgers 2.4 Colorado 1.3 U. Michigan 1.2 U. Minnesota 1.1 Table 1: Royalty Income Top 10 US Universities (Public & Private) NB: University System Data Excluded Source: Association of University Technology Managers Inc. Licensing Survey, Chronicle of Higher Education, December 2003. even appearing in the top 25 as recently as 1995. This suggests the onset of a surge in income streams after 1996. Finally the loss of seven 1993 top ten entrants by 2002 with four not even in 2002’s top twenty again suggests a shuffling in nature and scale of revenue among top royalty earners. One hypothesis is that, by 2002 bioscientific licensing royalties had appeared, some with ‘blockbuster’ status for the successful incumbents. Inspection of quantitative data on three of the top five entrants in 2002, and expert comment (Agres, 2003) reveals this hypothesis to be valid. Columbia’s lead patent, describes a system for manufacturing complex proteins by inserting genes into mammalian cells. More than half the University’s patents are for pharmaceuticals or other medical technologies developed at Columbia’s College of Physicians & Surgeons. However, the perils of the new entrepreneurship were captured in the following report in July 2003 that biotechnology companies Biogen, Genzyme and Abbott Bioresearch Centre had filed a joint lawsuit against Columbia University in an attempt to invalidate a gene-splicing technology patent held by Columbia. The complaint accuses the university of an illegitimate effort to create a ‘patent monopoly’, placing hundreds of millions of dollars in potential royalties and license fees at stake. Other biotechnology companies, including Californian firms Amgen and Genentech had both filed similar suits earlier that year. Over the life of the original 8 patents, Columbia received an estimated $300 million in licensing fees and royalties (Howard, 2003). Despite this, Columbia University clearly led the field, with the vast majority coming from pharmaceutical patents. Indeed, most of the $511 million amassed by the high scoring US universities was derived from life sciences-related discoveries (Agres, 2003). For Florida State University, there was an enormous single royalty cash flow from Bristol Myers Squibb for the Taxol® manufacturing process. This drug is the world’s best-selling anti-cancer treatment. While the cashflow is spoken for, the interest earned from investing it is combined with overhead from non-government contracts and grants, and used to fund the technology transfer office and the contracts office personnel which handle non-government contracts and grants. At Stanford University the royalty-sharing policy distributes royalty cash net (15% having been deducted to fund the Technology Liaison Office) to inventors, their departments and schools. In 2000 inventors received $5.9 million, their departments $6.9 million and schools $6.9 million. The Stanford School of Medicine received $4.4 million, approximately four times the scale received by the next recipient. This indicates the dominance of medical biosciences as a generator of royalty income from patenting at Stanford (Office of Technology Liaison, 2000). Of course, these are not large sums compared to those paid by ‘big pharma’ to other organisations, including DBFs. Thus the US federal government’s National Institutes of Health spent $183 million to research the aforementioned Taxol, the best-selling cancer drug in history with revenue of $9 billion. But it recouped only $35 million of that cost in licensing deals with Bristol-Myers Squibb to concern from the US Senate at inadequate efforts by the National Institutes of Health to recoup taxpayers' investment in basic medical research. However, the NIH's contention is that it lacked the bargaining power to negotiate more successfully with Bristol-Myers. There were only four bidders for the license and Bristol-Myers was adjudged substantially more qualified to commercialise Taxol, especially given NIH rules that prioritise swiftly transforming research for patient care above maximizing royalties. In 1991 NIH signed a cooperative R&D agreement with Bristol-Myers requiring the company to develop a method to manufacture Taxol with no call for royalties. Bristol-Myers, in collaboration with Florida State University launched the drug on the market in 1993. In 1996, Bristol-Myers agreed to pay royalties of 0.5% on Taxol's worldwide sales in exchange for licensing three NIH patents on methods for using Taxol in cancer treatment. These have yet to be activated, indicating ethical and market capability dissonances. Clearly, reliance on DBF knowledge capabilities is the most likely means by which what some have labelled ‘corporate dinosaurs’ to survive, although their deep pockets will keep them active as financiers, and marketers of new drug candidates that they may, through business networks, orchestrate into being. A 9 view that this perspective on the possible demise of ‘big pharma’ is overstated is, however, presented articulately by Paul Nightingale. In a lengthy paper he argued the following. The change from synthetic chemistry to biology as the epistemological basis for pharmaceuticals companies had brought to the fore genetics, database, screening and bioinformatics technologies allowing pharmaceuticals firms to utilise their natural economies of scale in experimentation if not R&D. The automated, mass-production analysis of patients and ‘in silico’ simulations using large databases to mobilise the combinatorial chemistry required to identify compounds that act as molecular disease-inhibitors gave them an optimistic future. The main reason concerned time-economies and ‘throughput’ capabilities that only the administrative capabilities of scale could satisfactorily master (Nightingale, 2000). Intriguing, therefore, to read the following analysis that re-directs our attention from the failings of ‘big pharma’ in basic research, resulting on their heavily increased reliance upon DBF capabilities, to newly emergent failures in precisely the capabilities identified by Nightingale and others as those of ‘scale’ that would triumph in the face of the DBF challenge. Traditionally many pharmaceutical companies had large industrial-chemical or consumer-products businesses to smooth out the cycles of drug research. The industry shed those businesses over the years to focus on prescription medicines, which brought higher stock-market valuations. But the rise of generic copying once patents expired meant companies needing consistently to bring new products to market or lose market-share and profits. Hence the attraction of ‘combinatorial chemistry’, the new technology of the early to mid-1990s specifically identified in Nightingale’s influential paper. The technology involved selection of chemical molecules, and their multiple combinations. Machines created thousands of chemicals almost overnight compared to the weeks humans took to do combinatorial chemistry. Robots connected elements of each chemical into small vials containing samples of a bodily substance involved in a disease -- for example, the protein triggering production of cholesterol. If the two reacted in the desired way, a ‘hit’ was registered, latterly using luminescence technologies in some cases. This testing process is known as high-throughput screening (HTS). Most large pharmaceutical firms install the new machines in sites formerly housing their laboratories, and many invested large sums on contracts with small companies specialising in HTS. For example, GlaxoSmithKline spent more than $500 million to buy a combinatorial chemistry company. However the automation processes failed to work as anticipated. The head of discovery chemistry at Bristol-Myers Squibb has referred to the first five or six years of the new technology a ‘nightmare’ observing that many chemists became fixated on creating thousands or millions of chemicals for testing without thinking about whether any of them could turn into a usable treatment. Test tube compounds were broken down too easily in the human stomach, issues now-destroyed ‘craft-based’ capabilities formerly embedded in traditional chemists meant were usually assessed beforehand. Some results meant scientists 10 were forced to wrestle intellectually with chemicals that were almost impossible to deliver in humans. The struggle often led to serious delays in development schedules when, for example, a drug to prevent infection might work in vitro but fail to dissolve in water, the medium used in intravenous drips (Landers, 2004). Accordingly, network interactions among large client firms and DBFs have even been reinforced in areas like HST that were once thought by observers to herald a new age of technical treatments. Whether these are teething troubles or not remains to be seen, but more than ten years is considered by many to be over-long in surmounting teething difficulties1. Can European Biotechnology Compete? In 2002, research suggests there were 4,300 biotech companies worldwide, 630 of them public, with $41 billion in revenues, up from $36 billion in 2001. But net losses doubled - to $12 billion. Disparities between the US and Europe are also widening: US biotechnology firms raised $8.7 billion in equity financing in 2002, up 10% from 2001, while the finance available to European firms dropped 40%. One of the major problems for biotechnology businesses is surviving long enough to develop products and get them to market given clinical development takes five to eight years, then launching two to three years, and peak sales are unlikely to appear until five years post-launch. Each product needs an average investment of $800 million to develop, possibly up to $1.5 billion to fund its entire lifecycle. There are three main options: Raising finance, either privately (venture capital firms) or publicly (initial public offerings etc.) Consolidate or cut costs Licensing deals (a key subject of this paper) Industry leaders believe many companies make the mistake of trying to market the wrong drug. DBFs) would probably avoid the general practitioner market completely without a partner, whereas specialised areas are easier to deal with. Thus many began with niche capabilities in molecules tackling ‘orphan’ or otherwise rare diseases. Pre-marketing costs are high, especially for very innovative products, and small companies have to consider post-launch expenses, such as pharmacovigilance costs, which can also be high. 1 Of interest here is the response to this capabilities crisis. Some pharmas began sub-contracting this function to specialist screening firms, others have reduced scale. Bristol-Myers tried to create a better mix of high technology and old-fashioned lab work with a screening machine capable of testing a million chemicals at once, taking as little as 10 microlitres of each chemical. Scores of mice are available nearby allowing scientists quickly to test the ‘hits’ in animals. This avoids a problem whereby scientists spend months or years refining a compound in a test tube only to find it doesn't work in living things. ScheringPlough's main research laboratory has a machine that allows making several dozen variations of a chemical, all in the liquid state. The number is much smaller than older machines produce and the scientist can hand-pick the combinations and get higher quality. Hence screening is returning towards craft-skill and computational hybrids, having demonstrated total automation to be unworkable. 11 Recent evidence shows merger s and collaborations between biotechnology companies, geographical clustering, and especially consolidation within the industry are all being practised, not least in Europe. Both Celltech and Vernalis in the UK engaged in mergers and acquisitions in the downturn. Industry monitors agree that of the 1,870 DBFs in the European Union, only 20 have sustainable profitability. 2530% of the EU's DBFs have less than one year's funding, and display a number of problems, including: sub-critical R&D capabilities high infrastructure costs and inefficiencies poor business models and management Both Celltech and Vernalis grew by acquisition to avoid such capabilities weaknesses despite management reluctance. Moreover, valuation expectations were difficult given market conditions. But successful merger and acquisition (M&A) strategies strengthen pipelines by keeping only the best actual or potential products from merging companies, as well as creating cost synergies since infrastructure and facilities represent 30-45% of the cost base of DBFs. Celltech could hypothetically acquire UK's ‘rising star’ diabetes company Alizyme (see below) though it is stated to be more interested in US acquisitions. Ironically in 2004 it was itself acquired by Belgian chemicals company Union Chimie Belgique. Any acquisition would have to have strategic value, and markets would probably penalise any buying of an early-stage company - pipeline products being key. Many EU companies are now bought by US firms, judging from Table 2, finding it easier with their higher valuations. Regarding optimal scale, it is also clear that ‘big pharma’ mergers producing 4-5,000 researchers may not be optimum given performance. Glaxo merging with SmithKline Beecham even split R&D into smaller units and results improved. However, it is also clear for DBFs that even 50-70 researchers may not be enough unless DBFs are engaged in larger networked alliances. Regarding the option of becoming a public company on IPO flotation, there remains a funding gap between venture capital and IPO stage. Moreover, criteria for the latter can be unreasonable (e.g. good Phase II data, strong management). Early-stage work needed to be funded; therefore companies should have an IPO fairly early in their existence. A UK market capitalisation of £100 million seems to be the minimum safety position currently. Thus less than 25% of private DBFs meet the criteria for either an IPO or major deal, and achieving critical mass remains difficult for the remaining 75%. Hence the impulse, regarded in the industry as essential, that rationalisation and consolidation occurs. While only one IPO, for Genitope was successful in 2003 biotechnology market indices rose 30% that year due to positive trial results for products such as Genentech's cancer drug Avastin, and efforts by the FDA to speed the approval process. Thus for the first time in seven years, in 2003 biotechnology overtook software as the number one industry for VC investment, with a total of $873 million. 12 Larger DBF Acquirer Versicor (US) OSI (US) Protein Design Labs (US) British Biotech (UK) Celltech (UK) Genaissance (US) OSI (US) Chiron (US) Genzyme (US) British Biotech (UK) Idec (US) Smaller Target DBF Biosearch Italia (IT) British Biotech (UK) Eos Biotech (US) RiboTargets (UK) Oxford GlycoSciences (UK) DNA Sciences (UK) Cell Pathways (US) PowderJect (UK) SangStat (US) Vernalis (UK) Biogen (US) Resulting DBF Vicuron OSI PDL British Biotech Celltech Genaissance OSI Chiron Genzyme Vernalis Biogen Idec Table 2: Major Biotechnology Mergers & Acquisitions – 2003 Source: IMS Companies Information NB: British Biotech split between OSI and Vernalis Nevertheless small DBFs suffer from low profile and associated lack of investor interest - in the US, largely stemming from changes to Securities and Exchange Commission regulations following the stock market downturn, and in the EU due to a lack of interest from exchanges, indeed Germany’s Neue Markt ceased functioning. Clearly this adds to the woes of independent small DBFs who face daily a possible ‘death spiral. This is also a cause of huge biotechnology fluctuations in share prices related to pipeline announcements. Some venture capitalists began only in late 2003 investing in the EU again after a two year hiatus, and biotechnology investment specialists accurately predicted the IPO window to close again from the second half of 2004 although some Swiss and UK IPOs were again successful in 2005. Given dependence on DBF R&D, pharmaceuticals firms have an interest in being more generous with licensing deals. Indeed by late 2004 DBFs were increasingly by-passing venture capital to make licensing deals directly with pharma. Also given that $800 million is needed for each company to reach profitability, and only $300 million was available for the whole sector in London, relying on venture capital alone is clearly not sustainable. For the moment, many VCs have become more risk averse, travelling in herds, which will probably lead to a hiatus in the innovation stream in 7-10 years' time. Even so, industry evidence represented in BIGT (2003) showed Europe as a whole with more biotechnologically-derived drugs in late-stage trials than the US. But usually the sustainability to market of US late-stage candidates has proved stronger, presumably due to better development capabilities from a maturer industry. There are official concerns in Europe about the control of domestic companies from the US yet the UK biotechnology industry, widely seen as the strongest in Europe, is evolving a ‘conveyor belt’ or 13 ‘decapitation’ model of offshore innovation in the US. Thus decapitation means retaining examination knowledge capabilities in UK while accessing exploitation capabilities in the US (Ward, 2005).Thus the UK’s ambitions regarding domestic commercialisation of high grade fundamental research have been thwarted by capability deficiencies in commercialisation. Table 3 lists some key 2005 UK decapitations. Company US HQ Details BioVex Cyclacel Cambridge, MA Short Hills, NJ Domantis Lorantis Waltham, MA Bloomsbury, NJ Microscience Gaithersburg, MD Solexa Hayward, CA Zeneus Frazer, PA Retains R&D in Oxford, UK Retains R&D in Dundee, UK Reverse merger into Xcyte Therapeutics, Seattle, WA Retains R&D in Cambridge, UK Retains R&D in Cambridge, UK Acquired by Celldex Therapeutics Retains R&D in Wokingham, UK Acquired by Emergent BioSolutions Retains R&D in Cambridge, UK Merger with Lynx Therapeutics Retains R&D in Oxford, UK Acquired by Cephalon Table 3: R&D Decapitations of UK Biotechnology Businesses, 2005 Source: BioCentury (Ward, 2005) The overwhelming reasons for separation of R&D from business capabilities cited by these firms’ representatives were: seeking US chief executives to run the business Proximity to an experienced pool of management talent weak state of IPO markets for biotechnology firms in UK more sophisticated US shareholder base Better access to higher capability (‘savvy’) biotechnology fund managers Proximity to the deal-making hubs of big pharma Hence, we see very clearly the effects of asymmetric knowledge capabilities in these data and explanations, supporting the basic spatial knowledge capabilities theory of economic growth being explored here. Europe, or more precisely the UK in this instance, has exploration knowledge capabilities spatially concentrated on Oxford and Cambridge. These re-appear in co-publication data presented below (Figs, 1 & 2) but the most highly developed exploitation knowledge capabilities are in US bioscience megacentres that combine numerous of the complicit knowledge capabilities such as those listed immediately above, ranging from ‘talent’ at CEO and manager levels, through sophisticated shareholders, to more capable investors. This is a variant on an earlier industry view is that there will likely be 14 deconsolidation of some ‘big pharma’, consolidation of the medium-sized DBFs, and ‘crash and burn’ for the rest, especially poor companies and products killed off as a more Darwinian approach to investing leads to survival of the fittest (Howard, 2003). To What Extent Are Knowledge Networks Globalising? We have seen how in theoretical terms, knowledge networks are the dynamic capabilities that Penrose (1995) theorised as metamorphosing the global economic order by transforming industry organisation, and crucially we would argue, heralding a new theory of economic geography. As noted, we call it the Regional Knowledge Capabilities (RKC) theory of economic geography. It is clear how it operates in regard to Biosciences, also other S&T based industries like ICT and new (and old) media – all heavily reliant on networks of project contracts. We see how it underpins regional innovation systems and, within them, clusters, some of which are elsewhere termed ‘megacentres’ where they deploy the full knowledge value chain capabilities from exploration, through examination, to exploitation knowledge (Cooke 2002a; 2005b; Cooke et al, 2004) and they express the transition in advanced economies from the industrial to the knowledge economy2. The innovation system is the broader geographical setting where the most important knowledge exploration, examination and exploitation capabilities concentrate and secondary ones, attracted by increasing returns to knowledge, including localised knowledge spillovers are found as secondary nodes or even more diffused networks. There is an established theoretical basis for these processes in the work of Myrdal (1957) and Hirschman (1958) from whom Krugman learned sufficient to advocate a theory of spatial monopoly based on ‘increasing returns to scale’. However we do not find the self-confessedly ‘simplistic’ two-location, zero-sum model of spatial monopoly as advocated by Krugman (1995) convincing. This is mainly because it is clearly wrong in respect to the evolution of knowledge clusters, the largest of which may, as noted, act as megacentres defined by their geographic concentration of the full knowledge value chain of a ‘related variety’ technology ‘platform’. These compatibilities exist in symbiosis with lesser and differentiated nodes and networks. Crucially, unlike the Industrial Age when these were spatially separated into spatial divisions of labour (Massey, 1984) knowledgedriven innovation systems concentrate practically everything in a region or regions with a sectoral 2 The rise of brain over brawn as a key capability especially since the 1980s is a widely observed feature of contemporary advanced and even developing economies where capital mobility, offshoring and outsourcing (including R&D) to the likes of China and India are merely the latest manifestation of the quest for knowledge capabilities from global talent pools. On this latest mutation in globalisation see Cooke (2005a). For a more polemical view of global ‘flattening’ in pursuit of knowledge capabilities, see Friedmann (2005) 15 knowledge epicentre in an urban or metropolitan R1 (first class research) university-laboratory complex linked to more and less proximate complementary nodes and networks. Figs. 2 & 3 give original data on global bioscientific knowledge networks involving elite institute, ‘star’ scientist research co-publication for the period 1998-20043. Fig. 2 concentrates on copublication in leading US journals, Fig. 2 focuses on the same in leading European journals. Here we see dense international publishing networks. What does Fig.2 reveal? The following four aspects are of obvious theoretical and empirical interest. An international collaborative biosciences publication core of ‘star’ scientists and leading research institutes clearly exists. In the US it is centred upon Boston, Cambridge, MA, San Francisco, San Diego and New York City – the last-named being strong in research but less so in commercialisation. Second, there is a penumbra of various lesser research nodes centred upon Stockholm, Cambridge & Oxford (UK), Singapore, Paris, Toronto and Tokyo. These often have a few or one strong network partner in one of the US meagacentres. The two Cambridges are relationally proximate, as are Pasteur Institute in Paris and New York University or Karolinska Institute in Stockholm with Harvard Medical School. Beyond that for publication in top US journals is a ‘third circle’ of the lesser co-publishing locales including the likes of Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Uppsala University, University of Montreal, Oxford and London universities, and the National University of Singapore. Third, notice that among the ‘penumbras’ there are also co-publication links but far weaker than those through the network hierarchy to the US megacentres. Finally, notice by contrast the strong intra-nodality of linkages among co-publishers in geographical proximity, optimising localised ‘global capabilities’ especially in the aforementioned US megacentres but also elsewhere to a lesser extent, as in London, Cambridge, Oxford and Toronto. 3 The methodology used here is innovative and one of the first to trace regional bioscience node linkages to track globalisation of bioscientific research publication networks. Three steps precede search for linkages. First, identify all relevant publishing institutions (including DBFs) in the hypothesised node (e.g. Cambridge UK Biotechnology Institute; Cambridge MA, Whitehead Institute; San Diego, Scripps Institute, etc) then identify leading institutes by presence of leading publishers from websites. Third, crosscheck and measure these by publication in top-ranked international (English-language ) bioscientific (e.g. Nature Biotechnology) journals (using SCI citation rankings). Journals consulted are shown in Appendix 2. 16 Stockholm Paris Sydney PI UNSW SU INS RIT Uppsala Copenhagen Lund KI UCop UL UU SUAS San Diego San Fran Toronto UCSD Tokyo UT UCSF TML Salk UTo TIT SU SRI UBer BI Boston Montreal Jerusalem HeU HaH UM HMS New York Cambridge (MA) GH NYU Zurich Singapore MIT NUS ColmU DSI ZU Cam(UK) RU HU CamULondon Geneva BPRC UG London MSR Oxford London UCL ICL OU JRH 1-2 6-7 3-5 >8 NIMR NIMR Fig. 2: Bioscientific Co-publication in Leading US Bioscience Journals More qualitative research by Owen-Smith & Powell (2004) on Boston alone highlighted as follows key processes by which dynamic place-based capabilities are expressed in research or exploration knowledge transfer, and beyond tat in commercialisation or exploitation knowledge transfer. The difference between ‘channels’ (open) and ‘pipelines’ (closed). The former offer more opportunity for knowledge capability enhancement since they are more ‘leaky’ and ‘irrigate’ more, 17 albeit proximate, incumbents. Pipelines offer more capable means of proprietary knowledge transfer over great geographical distances based on contractual agreements, which are less ‘leaky’ because they are closed rather than open. Public Research Organisations are a primary magnet for profit-seeking DBFs and large pharmaceuticals firms because they operate an ‘open science’ policy, which in the Knowledge Economy era promises innovation opportunities. These are widely considered to be the source of productivity improvement, greater firm competitiveness, and accordingly economic growth. Over time the PRO ‘conventions’ of ‘open science’ influence DBFs in their network interactions with other DBFs. Although PROs may not remain the main intermediaries among DBFs as the latter grow in number and engage in commercialisation of exploration knowledge and exploitation of such knowledge through patenting, they experience greater gains through the combination of proximity and conventions, than through either proximity alone or conventions alone. This is dynamic knowledge networking capability transformed into a regional capability, which in turn attracts large pharma firms seeking membership of the ‘community’. These propositions each receive strong support from statistical analyses of research and patenting practices in the Boston regional biotechnology cluster. Thus: ‘Transparent modes of information transfer will trump more opaque or sealed mechanisms when a significant proportion of participants exhibit limited concern with policing the accessibility of network pipelines…closed conduits offer reliable and excludable information transfer at the cost of fixity, and thus are more appropriate to a stable environment. In contrast, permeable channels rich in spillovers are responsive and may be more suitable for variable environments. In a stable world, or one where change is largely incremental, such channels represent excess capacity’ (Owen-Smith & Powell, 2004) Finally, though, leaky channels rather than closed pipelines represent also an opportunity for unscrupulous convention-breakers to sow misinformation among competitors. However, the strength of the ‘open science’ convention means that so long as PROs remain a presence, as in science-driven contexts they must, such ‘negative social capital’ practices are punishable by exclusion from PRO interaction, reputational degrading or even, at the extreme, convention shift, in rare occurrences, towards more confidentiality agreements and spillover-limiting ‘pipeline’ legal contracts. Now let us turn to Fig. 3 which displays the global network configuration of bioscientific copublications among researchers targeting top European journals. First, it is obvious that the global 18 Stockholm Paris Sydney PU SU RIT Uppsala INS UNSW KI Lund NVI UU Copenhagen UG UCop CBSP UL SUAS San Diego Grenoble San Fran UPMF Toronto UCSD Tokyo UT UCSF TML Salk UTo SU TIT SRI UBer BI Jerusalem Boston Montreal HeU HaH New York UM HMS GH Munich MSSM MIPS UM Cam (MA) BU Singapore MIT NYU NUS Zurich WI DSI ColmU Cam(UK) HU HU RU ZU CamULondon Geneva MSR BPRC UG Oxford London UCL OU LRI JRH 1 >4: ICL NIMR 2-3 NIMR Fig. 3: Bioscientific Co-publication in Leading European Bioscience Journals 1998-2004 network hierarchy is somewhat, though not entirely inverted. The US is still rather strong, although New York City far less so than the other four US megacentres, while Oxford and Cambridge (UK), London and Stockholm-Uppsala become more prominent. Second, a significant proportion of US ‘star’ scientists copublish with a European journal target in mind, but it should be noticed that co-publication intensities are much lower for European than US journals, signifying the relative global prestige of the latter. Finally 19 quite solid co-publication in European journals entails co-publication of research findings among many of the ‘penumbra’ clusters as well as with US-based researchers. Some modestly distant relational proximities among the latter include Pasteur Institute and Copenhagen University, Zurich and Geneva universities with Uppsala University, and Copenhagen-Lund-Stockholm. But more distant networks are found between Montreal and Singapore, Toronto and London and Tokyo and Jerusalem. But again, hierarchical links to stronger European as well as US nodes remain pronounced. The global biosciences co-publishing network is unquestionably not a flat but a hierarchical one advantaging the US though to a lesser extent.. Emergent Biotechnology Markets In this section we shall briefly examine developments in five developing network nodes, most of which were mentioned in the previous section of this paper as having research or market relationships with UK firms (and conceivably US firms) which it can be hypothesised were less pronounced hitherto. The countries in question are Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, Singapore and Israel. For the present, space does not allow investigation of scientific and market developments in two key biologics supplier countries of the future, India and China. How have these five nodal countries positioned themselves globally? What specialisation, if any characterises their activity? To what extent are institutional and economic geography patterns established in the US and UK being repeated? For example in EU countries considered elsewhere, clustering near major knowledge centres like Munich in Germany and Paris, France characterise the institutionalised economic geography of the sector (Cooke, 2002b; Kaiser, 2003; Lemarié, Mangematin & Torre, 2001). Literature on which the following brief accounts are drawn ostensibly shows the same, with Canada’s biotechnology dominated by Montreal and Toronto’s clusters, Sweden having concentrations in Stockholm-Uppsala and Lund-Malmö, now bridged formally to Denmark’s nearby Medicon Valley cluster in Copenhagen, Switzerland’s concentrations are at Zurich, Geneva and Basel, Singapore’s tightly drawn to the National University of Singapore campus, and Israel’s main concentration is in Jerusalem, near to the Hebrew University and Hadasit incubator (Niosi & Bas, 2003; McKelvey, et al., 2003; VINNOVA, 2003; Nelund & Norus, 2003; B3 2002; 2003; Finegold et al., 2004; Kaufmann et al., 2003). However, as will be shown the trajectories by which these concentrations reached fruition are distinctive. One group has, in individually distinctive ways, an origin in close relationships with ‘big pharma’. In Sweden and Denmark corporate spinout and supply, the former following Pharmacia’s acquisition by Pfizer, combine with university research and associated start-up DBFs. In Switzerland, close links to Roche and Novartis, the latter with its own incubator and VC fund, influence the focus in Basel. But Zurich and Geneva also have biotechnology and university research is a key progenitor. While Singapore’s growth is based on a determined FDI strategy to attract global leaders but also interact through university research with DBFs. In Canada and Israel the origins of their metropolitan clusters lie primarily in public research funding and 20 academic entrepreneurship. Let us now explore in a little more depth the experiences, linkage specificities and global knowledge network patterns and processes in the two broad categories. Economic Geography of Clusters Spawned by Pharmaceuticals Firms In the three instances under the spotlight here – Sweden/Denmark, Switzerland and Singapore the influence of ‘big pharma’ is, as noted, pronounced. Thus the first commercial exploitation of modern biotechnology in Sweden was based on technology from Genentech, licensed by the Swedish company Kabi in 1978. Kabi merged with Pharmacia in 1990. Pharmacia later merged with two US companies, Upjohn and Monsanto, to form Pharmacia Corporation. In the spring of 2003 Pfizer, the US pharmaceutical company acquired Pharmacia Corporation. The other major pharmaceutical company in Sweden, Astra based in Gothenburg and Lund (now a Swedish-UK firm Astra-Zeneca) started using recombinant DNA technology in the late 1980s. From then, and increasingly in the 1990s, new DBFs were founded in Sweden. Most of these new companies were either spin-offs from university research or from existing large pharmaceutical companies. Swedish biotechnology places fourth in Europe in terms of number of companies and number nine in the world according to the Swedish Trade Council in 2002. The number of Swedish DBFs, increased by 35 percent from 135 in 1997 to 183 in 2001, and the number of employees increased by 48 percent to about 4,000 (VINNOVA, 2003). The two pharmaceutical companies AstraZeneca and Pharmacia Corporation were the dominant large companies engaged in biotechnology activities. Many Swedish DBFs serviced them in the biopharmaceuticals application sector, but also in such industries as food processing and agriculture. These DBFs are highly research-led and knowledge-intensive. Between 10 and 20 percent of employees in these companies have a doctoral degree. Of company presidents responding to VINNOVA’s questionnaire, 93 percent stated that their companies collaborated with academic research groups. From our earlier results, this appears to differentiate Swedish DBFs somewhat from those in the US and UK where research interactions are more among firms or distinctively among PROs. This is possibly an indicator of the relative immaturity of many Swedish DBFs, formed as we have seen in the 1990s for, according to the VINNOVA study, a majority of companies were small in 2001, that is, had fewer than 200 employees. Almost 90 percent of the companies had less than 50 employees, and a good half had less than 10 employees. However, the category of small and medium-sized biotech companies is growing such that in 2001 Swedish DBFs totalled about 4,000 employees, a 35 percent increase since 1997. These are mostly found clustered in Sweden's metropolitan regions and in cities with large universities conducting substantial medical research. Fifty-six DBFs are located in the Stockholm region, followed by 21 the Lund/Malmö and Uppsala regions, with 36 and 31 respectively. 24 are located in the Gothenburg region. The smallest cluster is in the Umeå region, with fewer than ten biotech DBFs. The Swedish pharmaceutical industry annually spends around 25 percent of its revenues on R&D, higher than the global standard of 17.5%. This high percentage by international standards mainly reflects AstraZeneca's large expenditures in its Swedish research centres, with around one third of the group's total R&D investments, $3.1 billion, occurring in Sweden. Of this some 20% or $540 million is spent extramurally in Sweden (Benner & Sandström, 2000). Stockholm-Uppsala, in particular contributes to Sweden’s relative strength in biotechnology research, mainly through the Karolinska Institute, Uppsala University and the Royal Institute of Technology. These produce annually some 8,000 publications, co-host some 4,000 PhD students and employ some 2,200 scientists. Together with Switzerland and Denmark, Sweden publishes the largest number of scientific articles in the world in relation to population, as Table 4 makes clear (Jacobsson, 2002) Country Total Biotechnology Switzerland Denmark Sweden Netherlands Finland Canada UK Belgium Austria France 836 461 768 572 644 723 634 444 352 412 51 46 40 38 37 35 32 26 25 24 Table 4: Top Ten Biotechnology Publication Rates Per Capita 1996-8 Source: based on Jacobsson (2002) However, on co-publication interactions, Sweden’s collaborations are rather inward-looking, in that 70% of co-authorships 1986-1997 were with other Swedish PROs, while 12% were with US institutions and an equivalent share with UK and German co-authors together. However, regarding R&D projects McKelvey, Alm & Riccaboni (2002) found the opposite, that is of 215 collaborations made by 67 actors (firms, universities and research institutes), 52 were between Swedish institutions and the rest involved overseas partners, these again being mainly with the US and UK. Singapore’s government biotechnology initiatives started in 1987 with the establishment of the Institute of Molecular & Cellular Biology at the National University of Singapore, but became industrially serious within the 200-2004 period. The aim was to build a biotechnology cluster around foreign direct investment (FDI), a policy that worked well in previous developmental stages such as the policies in support of 22 petrochemicals, electronics and ICT. Four new Institutes in bioinformatics, genomics, bioprocessing and nanobiotechnology now exist at a cost of $150 million to 2006. Public venture capital of $200 million has been committed to three bioscience investment funds to fund start-ups and attract FDI. A further $100 million is earmarked for attracting up to five globally leading corporate research centres. The Biopolis is Singapore's intended world-class R&D hub for the georegion. The Biopolis is dedicated to biomedical R&D activities and designed to foster a collaborative culture among the institutions present and with the nearby National University of Singapore, the National University Hospital and Singapore’s Science Parks. Internationally celebrated scientists have also been attracted, such as Nobel laureate Sidney Brenner, Alan Colman, leading transgenic animal cloning scientist from Scotland’s Roslin Institute, David Lane, discoverer of the p53 ‘guardian angel’ anti-cancer gene also from Scotland, Edison Liu former head of the US National Cancer Institute, and leading Japanese cancer researcher Yoshaki Ito. These are ‘magnet’ appointments meant to attract talent and create cluster conventions and practices among research centres and DBFs. The sector now numbers 38 firms of which 15 are indigenous start-ups and 23 FDI R&D, manufacturing, clinical research organisations (CRO) and other services. Johns Hopkins, MIT, Duke University, Columbia University and the Indian Institute of Technology have established facilities in Singapore. Singapore’s Bioethics Advisory Committee advised acceptance of embryonic stem cell but not human cloning research, which is also a globally attractive locational factor, shared as we shall see with Israel, among others. Pharmaceuticals firms from overseas manufacturing in Singapore include Glaxo since 1989, Schering-Plough (1997), Genset (now Serono) (1997), Aventis (now Sanofi) (2000), Merck (2001), Wyeth (2002), and Pfizer (2004). R&D Centres of the following firms are also present: Genelabs (1985), Becton Dickenson (1986), Oculex (1995), Perkin Elmer (1998) Sangui (1988),Cell Transplants (2000), Schering-Plough (2000), Eli Lilly (2001), Surromed (2001), Affymetrix (2001), Novartis (2002), ViaCell (2002), PharmaLogicals (2002) Finally, CRO firms include: Quintiles (1995), Novo Nordisk (1999), Covance (2000) and Pharmacia-Upjohn (now Pfizer) (2000). Joining ViaCell in stem cells are indigenous DBFs ES Cell and CordLife, a few genomics firms like APGenomics and Qugen, and a variety of drug discovery, bioinformatics and diagnostics firms mostly established since 2000. In brief, Singapore is host to a large number of mainly US and, to lesser extent European R&D laboratories of ‘big pharma’ businesses. It has strength in public research activity and small signs of growth in stem cells exploration and exploitation activity. The benign regulatory environment allowing embryonic stem cells research is undoubtedly an attraction which, contextuated by Singapore’s celebrated ‘developmentalist state’ capabilities, will stimulate cluster growth as an ‘offshore’ research and production platform targeting the burgeoning Asian market. Switzerland is another small country in which multinationals generally, and in ‘big pharma’ specifically, 23 are a notable feature of the economic landscape. Roche (Hoffmann La Roche) and Novartis (formerly Sandoz and Ciba-Geigy) are indigenous Swiss multinationals, the latter in the global top ten by market capitalisation, the former having slipped down the rankings in latter years rather like Bayer and, to some extent Aventis among former European majors. The Swiss government too in 2002 announced in favour of embryonic stem cells research while banning embryo-creation purely for research purposes. Apart from Novartis and Roche Switzerland also hosts one of the world’s largest biotechnology companies Serono, which in 2001 had a market capitalisation of $18 billion, ranking it third behind Amgen and Genentech. Serono and Amgen signed a licensing and commercialisation deal for Serono to sell a Multiple Sclerosis drug in the US it had developed with Immunex, a Cambridge (MA) firm subsequently acquired by Amgen. Other prominent firms are Actelion, Cytos, The Genetics Company, bio-T, CELLnTEC, Debiopharm, GeneBio and Solvias. Lonza Biologics is also Swiss and one of the largest biosynthesis firms in the world. Debiopharm funds cancer research projects at Tulane University, New Orleans. Of the 200 Swiss biotechnology companies listed in the Swiss Life Sciences Database (www.swisslefesciences.com) in 2003 around 40 are pure biotechnology firms (DBFs), the others being instrumentation and services firms that nevertheless link to many of the forty. Some 22% of the 200 are located in the Geneva-Lausanne ‘BioAlps’ region, approximately 26% are in the Basel ‘BioValley’ region, and about 35% are in the Greater Zurich region. Zurich has a Functional Genomics Research Centre. Since 2000, 45 new biotechnology businesses were established, 15 of which were spinouts from the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne and Zurich and 10 were spinouts from other Swiss universities. The remainder came from domestic and foreign subsidiary industry. Of the thirty or so public companies, many like Genedata (Basel), Cytos (Zurich) and GeneProt (Geneva), a proteomics DBF, have long-term collaborative research, opinion and licensing agreements with the likes of Novartis and Roche. International collaborations extend to the partnership between the University of Minnesota and the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology focused upon medical technology. This arises in part from Minneapolis devices firm Medtronic’s subsidiary located in Switzerland and its collaboration with the likes of Disetronic, a leading Swiss insulin-pump manufacturer. In conclusion, Switzerland is a small, capable knowledge-intensive biosciences economy. It has leaders in ‘big pharma’, global DBF capability and numerous smaller DBFs and spinouts concentrating on leading edge proteomics and other post-genomics treatments. It is highly connected globally, but especially to the US megacentres through ‘big pharma’ and its leading clusters in Zurich, Basel and Geneva-Lausanne. The Research and DBF-led Clusters in Israel and Canada By 2001 the Israeli biotechnology industry consisted of 172 firms, seven publicly traded and the whole with a total valuation of $3.5 billion. 4,000 employees worked in the sector and 85% of firms employed 24 less than twenty persons. These firms a re clustered as follows: Rehovot (satellite of Tel Aviv) has 46 firms and some 1,290 life scientists, Jerusalem has 38 firms and 1,358 life scientists, and Tel Aviv has 32 firms and some 1,725 life scientists. Jeruslaem’s patent score is the highest at 209 followed by Rehovot at 176 and Tel Aviv on 64. Jerusalem has perhaps the more mature of thee three clusters, something the patent data underline. Apart from generics drug manufacturer Teva, Israel lacks major pharmaceuticals firms and even CRO services. It is very much a research-led, university and incubator-based system in much need of finding co-incubation partners and consolidating links with ‘big pharma’. It is noteworthy that if Hebrew University, Jerusalem were to appear in table 1 on university royalty earnings it would be third because of its 2002 licensing income of over $60 million resulting from the invention in its biosciences faculty of the globally-consumed ‘cherry tomato’ Kaufmann et al., (2003). The Canadian industry is split evenly between Toronto and Montreal. Space only permits limited discussion of both, starting with Toronto. According to Niosi & Bas (2001; 2003) Toronto has the stronger scientific base than Montreal even though each city has some 73 and 72 DBFs respectively. Thus Toronto had 1989-99 178 DBF patents, 61% of the total while Montreal had 51 or 17%. Similarly Toronto had 191 patents overall including firms, universities and government (37%) and Montreal 96 (18%). Toronto has been recently named as the destination of Aventis’ new $350 million Genomics Research Institute, adding to ‘big pharma’s’ exodus of leading edge research from continental Europe (Novartis has moved its equivalent $250 million facility to the Boston region). Venture capital also reflects the variation in status of the two centres. Both cities have multinational pharmaceuticals firms like Pfizer, Merck, Shire (formerly BioChem Pharma), Aventis, Novartis and Schering in Montreal and Aventis Pasteur, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Eli Lilly in Toronto. Each has main university research centres such as University of Toronto, York, and McMaster in Toronto and McGill, University of Montreal, University of Quebec at Montreal and Concordia universities in Montreal. Many government research laboratories also co-exist in both places Yet there is more of a struggle for the DBF sector in Montreal since the region experienced significant industrial restructuring, loss of traditional manufacturing industry, and particularly financial services to Toronto during the 1970-2000 period. However, bioscientific research is deeply embedded in the region and commercialisation has produced world-class firms, notably and also at the Laval campus, BioChem Pharma discoverer of Epivir, the first AIDS treatment marketed through Glaxo. Since acquired by UK firm Shire Pharmaceuticals, BioChem was in late 2003, experiencing significant corporate re-positioning towards less costly therapeutic targets while advanced research was being focused more towards home base. the greater Montreal region. The region has a large biomedical cluster with leading companies and a strong research base with four universities in Montreal, an established biopharmaceuticals industry with 25 145 companies and 14,500 jobs and 50 biological research institutes including the Canadian National Research Council Biotechnology Research Institute, an important federal biotechnology research centre. QBIC is located in the Laval Science and High Technology Park, Montreal. The Park was created in 1989 as the result of a strategic alliance between the INRS-Institut Armand-Frappier, (a research centre of Quebec University) the City of Laval and Laval Technopole. The Laval Science and High Technology Park is the focus of “Biotech City”, a $100 million initiative launched in June 2001 to develop a business and science centre supported by the Quebec government, Investissement Québec, the Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (INRS), the Laval Technopole and the City of Laval. Some 30 businesses, biotechnology and biopharmaceutical companies, research centres and IT firms exist in Biotech City. QBIC had, in late 2003, six firms in its bioincubator (Cooke et al., 2006). We can say, in conclusion that Canada’s large pharmaceuticals firms have grown as established production, sales and marketing branches serving the Canadian market whether from the US or Europe. However cluster-development has occurred mainly separately from this through academic entrepreneurship supported by well-found research infrastructure and local venture capital capabilities. Unlike Israel, where there are scarcely any pharmaceuticals firms with which DBFs might interact, in Toronto and Montreal, they have been perhaps equivalents of ‘ships that pass in the night’. In relation to our earlier proposal of a Spatial Knowledge Capabilities theory of economic geography, the sketches provided above point to the emergence in some cases in concertation of DBFs and ‘big pharma’, in others Location DBFs Boston 141 San Francisco 152 San Diego 94 Toronto 73 Montreal 72 Munich 120 Stockholm-Upp. 87 Lund-Medicon 104 Cambridge 54 Zurich 70 Singapore 38 Jerusalem 172 Life Scientists 4,980 3,090 1,430 1,149 822 8,000 2,998 5,950 2,650 1,236 1,063 1,015 VC Big Pharma Funding $601.5 m. $1,063.5 m. $432.8 m. $120.0 m. $60.0 m. $400.0 m. $90.0 m. $ 80.0 m. $250.0 m. $57.0 m. $200.0 m. $300.0 m. $800m./annum 96-01 $400m./annum 96-01 $320m./annum 96-01 NA NA $54 million (2001) $250 million (2002) $300 million (2002) $105 million (2000) NA $88 million (2001) NA Table 5: Core Biotechnology Firms, 2000: Comparative US and European Performance Indicators Source: Cortright & Mayer, 2001; NIH; NRC; BioM, Munich; VINNOVA, Sweden; Dorey, 2003; ERBI, UK, Kaufmann et al, 2003. 26 the largely or substantially independent emergence of DBF clusters in proximity to knowledge centres, notably universities where leading edge research is commonly practised. To these centres are attracted investment and talent, including in recent years incumbent research talent in ‘big pharma’ that also moves its ‘ahead of the curve’ post-genomics research to look-out posts or embedded research facilities in the clusters. No longer does talent migrate to corporate headquarters in New Jersey or London, rather the magnets for large scale knowledge investments are the privileged global network nodes represented in a brief benchmarking exercise in Table 5, which includes also Munich, hence a brief orientation sketch is desirable for completeness. In Munich, Martinsreid in the south western suburbs marks the centre of biotechnology research and incubation in Bavaria. Aventis opened its Centre for Applied Genomic Research there and the Biotechnology Innovation Centre (IZB) funded €80 million by the Bavarian government is located nearby with 9,000 square metres of laboratory and office space. The organization responsible for managing development of biotechnology, BioM, is also located at Martinsried. The area has become a biomedical research campus with 8,000 researchers working in biology, medicine, chemistry and pharmacy located there. BioM AG is a one-stop shop with seed financing, administration of BioRegio awards and enterprise support under one roof. Seed financing is a partnership fund from the Bavarian State government, industry and banks up to €600K per company. BioM’s investments are tripled by finance from tbg (a public investment fund) and Bayern Kapital, a special Bavarian financing initiative. The latter supplies equity capital as co-investments. The fund has €200 million for supporting biotechnology activities. Bay BG, and BV Bank-Corange-ING Barings Bank have special public/private co-funding pools, and a further eight (from sixteen) Munich venture capitalists in the private-market sector invest in biotechnology. By 2003, numerous start-ups had been funded to the tune of €120 million with a third of this coming from BioRegio sources. DBFs increased from 36 to 120 between 1996 and 2001 (Kaiser, 2003). BioM is a network organization, reliant on science, finance and industry expertise for its support committees. It also runs young entrepreneur initiatives, including development of business ideas into business plans and financial engineering plans. Business plan competitions are also run in biotechnology. Conclusions This paper has explored in some detail the new economic geography of science-driven and knowledgebased industry. It was postulated at the outset that this had taken on a spatial life of its own in biosciences, whereby universities and other research institutions had become magnets for the attraction of advanced talent and knowledge infrastructures, including those of large multinational pharmaceuticals companies eager to learn and collaborate in the exploitation of new bioscientific knowledge. Unlike the Schumpeterian ‘creative destruction’ perspective this did not appear to produce significant neutralisation of competitors, but rather increasingly futile merger and acquisition of ‘big pharma’ by larger ‘big 27 pharma’ firms. These seem to do little for improving the innovativeness of such firms whose ‘pipelines’ are drying up. The new capabilities in demand are those that reside in ‘knowledge networks’ as Penrose (1995) refers to the dynamic capabilities to manage externalised knowledge, and these are led by small and medium-sized dedicated biotechnology firms in clusters around the aforementioned universities. To tie many disparate established and new concepts addressing evolutionary economic geography of the kind under inspection here, a theoretical framework was formulated to capture key process characteristics (Fig. 1). Such clusters, their regional settings and distant network connections have special institutional characteristics derived from and reinforcing geographical propinquities. The key institutions are those of ‘open science’ that renders communication networks ‘leaky’ channels rather than closed pipeline conduits of knowledge. The latter ‘pipelines’ are more typical of a secretive ‘Industrial Age’ than a knowledge economy. Yet there is a fascinating tension between knowledge ‘leakiness’ and the theorised ‘club’-like character of clusters, the resolution to which must involve socio-economic mechanisms of inclusion and exclusion. It was further shown how universities are facing the knowledge economy by increasing their licensing income but continuing to practice ‘open science’ and increasingly doing so internationally between growing global network nodes of bioscientific excellence. Thus increasing returns do not only bring regional (quasi-)monopoly but also Myrdalian (1957) ‘spread effects’ into Hirschman’s (1958) satellites of innovative economic activity. Star bioscientists reveal preferences for co-publishing in continental propinquity, although not exclusively concerning the highest impact research institutes, and with others in recognisable cluster-type proximity. This suggests capabilities are shared globally to a greater or lesser extent but that Europe has few lessons to learn regarding ‘open systems architecture’ (Best 2001) from a US that remains relatively regionally introverted (at least in terms of collaborative publication). Finally brief accounts were given that compute well with the theoretical framework by showing clustering to be burgeoning in the bioscientific sector in hitherto considered unlikely knowledge-capable regions like Singapore and Jerusalem, and to be making strong contributions the advanced exploration and exploitation knowledge development in regions like Zurich and Geneva in Switzerland, and StockholmUppsala with Lund-Medicon Valley in Scandinavia. These are now also making close network linkages with each other in such fields as stem cell technology where bioethical determinations have given not competitive but constructed advantage to the future development of their capabilities. Summarising, the US still dominates a global knowledge and commercialisation network hierarchy and with scientific investments of significant scale being made in biosciences worldwide, this means continued availability of offshore niches that will cause ever-greater integration in the sector, but the driver for this integration is 28 no longer the spatial divisions of labour within the organisation of industry but the regional knowledge capabilities of bioscientific knowledge ‘megacentres’ focused upon leading international (R1) universities and associated research institutions, centres and laboratories. Acknowledgements This paper was first read to a highly crowded but lively audience at the Association of American Geographers’ Centennial Conference in Philadelphia, March 16, 2004. Thanks to those, including Sharmistha Bagchi-Sen, Helen Lawton Smith and Björn Asheim who organised the regional innovation session, and to all those who responded constructively to the presentation. I’m grateful to Ed Malecki for e-mailing me links to key Wall Street Journal articles on biotechnology. I also owe a debt of gratitude to Ann Yaolu who assisted me with the scientometrics. Furthermore I would like to thank the anonymous reviewers and especially editors Angel and Asheim for pushing me (to the edge of reason) to clarify the theoretical framework. Thanks also for productive discussion of the ‘club’ versus ‘monopoly’ aspects of clusters that took place during and after my Faculty of Geographical Sciences seminar at the University of Utrecht, Netherlands in February, 2006 in celebration of Ron Boschma’s inaugural chair lecture, also involving his colleague Koen Frenken. The usual disclaimer applies. Bibliography Agres, T. (2003) Licenses worth a billion, The Scientist, May 27, www.the-scientist.com BIGT (2003) Bioscience 2015: Improving National Health, Increasing National Wealth, London, BIA/DTI/DoH, Bioscience Innovation & Growth Team Benner, M. & Sandström, U. 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(2003) The Lunar Men: The Friends Who Made the Future, London, Faber & Faber VINNOVA (2003) Swedish Biotechnology-Scientific Publications, Patenting & Industrial Development, Stockholm, VINNOVA (Swedish Agency for Innovation Systems) 31 Ward, M. (2005) Strategy: decapitation, BioCentury, 13, A1-A4 Appendix 1: Glossary AGY: AGY Therapeutic Inc (San Francisco) UMA: Macquarie University (Sydney) BaI: The Babraham Institute (Cambridge UL: University of London BCR: Blood Ctr Pacific (San Francisco) UO: Oxford University BI: The Burnham Institute (San Diego) UR: Rockefeller University (New York) BPRC: Biomedical Proteomics Research Centre (Geneva) UT: Toronto University BRI: Biotechnology Research Institute (Montreal) UU: Uppsala University BSI: Biosignal Inc. (Montreal) UZ: Universtiy of Zurich CI: Cytokinetics, Inc (San Francisco) VAMC: Vet Adm Med Ctr, San Diego CAT: Cambridge Antibody Technology UHo: University Hospital (Uppsala) CU: University of Cambridge UM: McGill University DL: Danish Lithosphere Centre ULIC: Univ London Imperial College ULu: University of Lund UNSW: University of New South Wales DSI: Data Searching Institute (Singapore) EBI: European Bioinformatics Institute (Cambridge) ETH: ETH Zurich GEG: Gene Expression Group (Cambridge) GRMI: Groupe de Recherche sur les Maladies Infectieuses du Porc (Montreal) GUFB: Geneva University Faculty of Medicine HU: Harvard University HU: Hebrew University (Jerusalem) IMRE: Institute of Mat Res & Engn (Singapore) IDUN: IDUN Pharmaceuticals, Inc (San Diego) JRH: John Radcliffe Hosp (Oxford) KH: Karolinska Hospital (Stockholm) KI: Karolinska Institute (Stockholm) LL: Loma Linda (San Diego) MI: Microbia, Inc (Cam, MA) MIT: Mass Inst Tech MSH: Mt Sinai Hospital (Toronto) MSSM: Mount Sinai School of Medicine (NY) NUS: National University of Singapore NVI: National Veterinary Institute (Uppsala) OHC: Churchill Hosp, Oxford Haemophilia Ctr PC: Pharmacia Corporation (Stockholm) PDNRC: Parke Davis Neuroscience Research Centre (Cambridge) PI: Pasteur Institute (Paris) RFU: Royal Free & Univ Coll (London) RIT: Royal Institute Technology (Stockholm) RL: Rudbeck SC: Supercomp Ctr (San Diego) SGI: Structural Genomix Inc, (San Diego) SI: The Salk Institute for Bioscience Studies (San Diego) SqI: Sequenom Inc, (San Diego) SIB: Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics SLRI: Samuel Lunenfeld Research Institute (Toronto) SRI: The Scripps Research Institute (San Diego) SU: Stockholm University 32 SUAS: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (Uppsala) TML: Toronto Med Lab TI: Tularik Inc (San Francisco) UC: Cornell University UC: Copenhagen University UCL: University College of London UCSD: Universtiy California, San Diego UCSF: University California, San Francisco Appendix 2: Sources of Data for Graphics 3 & 4 I: European Journals 1. Nature ( 1998-2004): 305 articles were checked,* 2. Nature Biotechnology (2000-2004): 520 articles in this journey were checked 3. Nature Genetics (1998-2004): 810 articles were checked 4. EMBOJ (European Molecular Biology Organization Journal) (2000-2004): 2050 articles were checked II: American Journals 5. Cell (2002-2004): 1275 articles were checked 6. Science (1998-2004): 1030 articles were checked* 7. Proceedings of the National Academic of Sciences (2002-2004): 950 articles were checked* 8. Genes and Development (2000-2004): 346 articles were checked The total number of articles checked: 7286 For these multi-subjects journals, only articles limited to the field of bioscience were selected. 33