PESTEL and SWOT PPxx Factors P E olitical conomic European Union European Regional Development Fund The intended installed capacity of the wind farms on land, including offshore wind farms (O. W. F.) amounts to 4,000 MW in the year 2014 and to 7500 MW in 2020. Despite the favorable Institutional framework, the investment incentives, the strong interest of major Greek and foreign investors, the existence of political will and acceptance of RES by the Greek society, the results so far have not been satisfactory. This was mainly due to obstacles relating to time-consuming licensing process, lack of basic public infrastructure (forest registry, cadastre, etc), difficulties of absorbing large wind energy from the national grid, lack of interconnection, appeals to the State Council, to reactions of local communities, and to immaturity of investment projects etc. Humanity stands at a critical turning point today, since it faces simultaneously economic, environmental and energy crisis. The RES (Renewable Energy Sources) and particularly wind energy (due to maturation), is the most important response to these challenges, because it will require huge investments, it will limit climate change and reduce its dependence on oil and other fossil fuels which are expected to be exhausted. For our country, wind energy is a reliable solution to the problem of energy-technological dependence on abroad, to limitation of pollutant emissions (which will be valued soon) and in dealing with the economic crisis by introducing capital and job creation. Investments in wind farms are almost of zero risk, due to the rather stable annual yield, to low operating cost, to high purchase price of (P.P.C.) Public Power Corporation SA or (H.T.S.O.) the Hellenic Transmission System Operator SA and reliable disposal of production for 20 years. The economic return on investment is satisfactory and depends mainly on the wind conditions in the area, the prevailing market prices, interconnection costs and economies of scale (size of w/f), (a/c power). In addition to terrestrial wind farms, there are also offshore wind farms (W/F) of particular importance for our country due to the rich wind resources of the seas. But a small part of these are exploitable because today the existing technology allows the construction at depths up to 30 m , while the Greek seas are characterized by much greater depths even near the S T The low acceptance of wind farms by the local communities may be the major problem for the development of the sector in the coming years. Today most investment projects of big scale face the intense opposition of residents that usually consider the W/F as a threat for the environment, the economy and the physiognomy of their place. One of the basic reasons of their opposition is the aesthetic degradation of landscape, particularly in the islands and in tourist areas. Other serious reasons are the fear of tourism reduction and relative incomes, depreciation of properties (immediately connected with subjects of aesthetics, noise etc). Significant wind velocity Complex bottom terrain, steep slopes and large water depth Non sufficient education in techno-economic issues concerning the construction, operation and maintenance of offshore wind farms In progress the creation of a comprehensive database (delineation of Underwater Archeological sites, wind potential, routes of ships, bottom contours, etc.) and make a design tool that incorporates legislative criteria in conjunction with sustainability criteria that can be adapted to technological development. A methodology is created to assess the aesthetic integration of the unit and supports local and national administrations in decision-making for on shore wind farms, through 3D computer simulations and simultaneous application of quantitative indicators for calculating the visual impact of valid international practices. The outcomes are promising, since the proposed methodology realistically simulates the changes that occur after the installation of the wind farm, while the results of quantitative indicators correctly identify the visual ocial echnological coast. For the few sea areas which are directly exploitable there have been recorded investment interest proposals of overall power 5.682 MW. Specifically for the region of Corfu there are investment proposals for offshore wind farms in regions: a) “Platia Kerkyras” 55 MW with prospective investors “Consortium Aeoliki Platia – Mathrakiou – EN. TE. KA. Wind Farms SA, ENORA EU – K. Filippides”, b) “Sea Area Diapontion Islands Corfu” power 495 MW with prospective investors “JASPER Energy Renewable SA”, c) “Diapontion Islands Corfu” 125 MW with prospective investors “DIAPONTIA AIOLIKI – N/A. Tzavaras & CO.” d) “Diapontion Islands, Corfu” 96 MW with prospective investors “Venergia Energiaki SA”. In the Greek market there are 17 companies activated in constructing A/C and have already installed 1245 A/C on land, producing power of 1087,61 MW, of which the companies VESTAS and NEG MICON (VESTAS), ROKAS RENEWABLES, EDF EN SA and TERNA SA control 89,4% of the installed power and 79,4% of the installed A / C Wind Turbines. disturbance. Also the alternative siting scenarios that can be considered and the opportunity offered by the tool to find concealment solutions and ways to minimize the annoyance, provides flexibility to the method that makes it a useful tool to be used in controlling the licensing process of wind farms. The above mentioned methodology can also be use for off shore wind farms as well. E nvironmental L egal In the inhabited islands of the Ionian Sea, the Aegean and Crete: Despite the very high wind potential (14.310 MW), they have much more stringent restrictions, having as a result their load-bearing capacity to be determined in half of that in the mainland. The reasons for these restrictions is the small size, the intense tourist orientation, the remarkable natural and cultural environment, nature conservation areas and landscape (3km from world heritage monuments, 500m from cultural monuments and 1.500m from traditional settlements). The offshore sea area on the uninhabited islands is considered as a special category because of its specific geomorphology and function. For this reason specific siting criteria have been laid down, e.g. in relation to the navigation, how to install at sea etc. Law 3468/2006 Generation of Electricity using Renewable Energy Sources and High-Efficiency Cogeneration of Electricity and Heat and Miscellaneous Provisions (Official Gazette A’ 129/27.06.2006) Law 2464/2008 Spatial planning and sustainable development plan for RES -Areas such as Archeological sites, areas of nature conservation, underwater/marine parks, ship routes, beaches etc) are excluded -The installation of wind generators in enclosed bays with open range <1.500 m is prohibited -The interconnection and adequate transfer of electricity to the system is required -Maximum distance from substation interface is set at 20 km -The implementation of measures to protect the landscape is required -Minimum distance from the shore, monuments and historical sites, settlements and productive activities is identified Law 3581/2010 Article 6 Following article 6 of Law No 3468/2006 is added a new article 6A as follows: Article 6A Off shore wind farms 1. The installation of wind farms for the production of electrical energy within the national sea territory is allowed, according to article 10 of the Special Framework for Spatial Planning and Sustainable Development for R.E.S. (Government Gazette – ΦΕΚ Β 2464/2008) and the decision of the Minister of Environment, Energy and Climate Change which is issued under case β’ of paragraph 3 of article 1 of law No 3468/2006, as it applies. 2. With special plans which are subject to undergoing the process of Strategic Environmental Assessment, according to provisions of ΚΥΑ ΥΠΕΧΩΔΕ/ΕΥΠΕ/οικ.107017/2006 (ΦΕΚ Β’ 1225), the exact location of off shore wind farms, the sea area they occupy, and their maximum installed electrical capacity is determined. The Strategic Environmental Assessment conducted for this procedure, evaluates in particular issues concerning the 26 protection of the marine natural and cultural environment and in general of its ecosystems, with an emphasis of the sustainability of the marine flora, fauna and ornitho-fauna, the national security, securing by priority the energy supply of the islands and the safety of shipping. 3. The special plans of the previous paragraph are approved by presidential decree issued by a proposal of the Ministers of Economy, Economics, Competitiveness and Shipping, National Defence, Culture and Tourism and Environment, Energy and Climate Change. 4. For the installation of any off shore wind farm, including the definite Connection Offer of the relevant Operator, a license is published with a decision by the Minister of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, by circumvention of the licensing provisions of the law 3468/2006, as they apply. The particular content of the license, the issuing procedure and any other required detail are defined by Ministerial decision of the Minister of Environment, Energy and Climate Change. 5. Following the issue of the license referred to in the previous paragraph, by decision of the Minister of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, an open public tendering procedure is announced, in line with the provisions of law No 3669/2008 (A’116), for the execution with financing or self-financing of the construction works of the off shore wind farm and its connection to the network, in return for the partial or entire concession of its exploitation by the contractor for a limited time period. The installed capacity of the off shore wind farm can be lower or equal to the maximum power defined in the relative special plan referred to in paragraph 2 of this article. 6. A common ministerial decision issued following the proposal of the Ministers of Environment, Energy and Climate Change and Economy, Competitiveness and Shipping, defines the details regarding the tendering procedure, the tender documents, the selection criteria, the participation in the selection procedure of independent authorities and other administrative instruments, the rights and obligations of the contractors, as well as any other particular subject related to the implementation of the previous paragraph. 7. For the construction and the operation of each off shore wind farm of paragraph 1, the contractor follows the procedure of environmental approval, according to the regulations of article 3 up to 5 of law 1650/1986, as it applies. 8. The operating license of the off shore wind farms the station of paragraph 1 is issued by the Minister of Environment, Energy and Climate Change to the contractor according to the procedure in paragraphs 11 and 12 of article 8 of law No 3468/2006, as it applies. In your region Strengths Rich wind resources and satisfactory performance of the wind turbines in Greece compared to the rest of the European countries. The existence of institutional frameworks and structures that can support the development on wind power's field. Significant room for growth that increases the wind power’s market intrusion (due to delays so far) and achieving critical size market for the development on domestic production. The existence of many remote areas with low-level consumption or seasonal high-level consumption where the cost of wind power is relatively competitive to other energy sources. Possibility of creating hybrid power station on these areas. ( aiolika h/y, Weaknesses Non-existent domestic production of equipment used for wind power, for the time being. There is a Low level on research and development of wind power technology. The problems in absorbing wind power and its connection to the web. There is a low acceptance from the local communities, especially from the tourist resorts. In this field, mainly construction companies will be active and fewer chances will be given to companies involved with energy. Many problems will arise such as bureaucracy, inexperienced investors, organizational and functional weaknesses and other significant problems. desalination). Existence of significant domestic market growth and possibility of providing wind power equipment on other EU countries that are underproductive. Opportunities Outside your retion EU’s strategy is especially favorable to the wind farms. Our country’s imperative need is to restrict charge on pollutants. There is a possibility of creating a vertically integrated industry. (Such as the manufacture of wind turbines and supplementary equipment, construction of floating wind turbines). There will be an increase on investments and on international capital imports. Positive consequences on employment and regional development. The existence of domestic ability on research and construction as well as potentials of creating a powerful local technological infrastructure and linking research with production will be an opportunity. Possible difficulties on the program being approved due to the burden of the family budget, which is caused by the renewable sources tax. Threaths Continue of the severe financial crisis that the country is facing. Weakness on being supported by domestic production due to the weak industrial web, the lack of sectoral industrial policy and poor organization. The lack on covering the increasing worldwide demand of wind power turbines is a threat because it may cause problems on the implementation of the investment projects. Technological developments on conventional energy sources (coal, nuclear) may cause a reduction on the cost or on the emissions of pollutants. (nuclear energy exploitation, clean CO2 emissions or storage of CO2) The rapid development on wind technology will possibly allow its growth earlier than planned. Lack of “entering barriers” and monopoly statements in neighboring countries may give the opportunity for Greek companies to operate. There are vast energy needs (practically unlimited) on developing countries' markets that create beneficial conditions for the Greek companies that produce wind power equipment, to act. The existence of negative conditions in many areas that are rich in wind power potentials. (Areas that are protected by international agreements depended on tourism, beautiful places). Technological developments that may devalue the wind power equipment that has already been installed. High cost of the A.P.E. programme that may be a burden for the national economy as well as for the consumers if there is not going to be a recovery the following years.