Teacher’s Guide Pre-arrival: Teachers are encouraged to play the “Economics of Land Transport in Singapore” video during lessons as a prelude to the visit. Split the class into 4 groups to better facilitate the activities. Stations Gallery Teacher Pre-tour Lobby Short briefing by facilitator. Assist the facilitator to assign groups and engage the students during the icebreakers. Inside Journeys; Memories; Formative Years; Today Gallery The teacher’s role is to accompany the students through the exhibition, clarifying doubts regarding the worksheet where necessary. Refer to Discussion Questions for the full list of questions, location, and suggested answers. Challenge Theatre Nil. Visions The teacher is to assist with the essay question discussion. Recommended (Choose 1): o JC1 & Below: Q1 o JC2: Q2 The teacher is to allocate different sections of the question to each group to answer. 15mins will be given for group discussion, followed by 15mins presentation of answers. The facilitator will provide the required logistics. The teacher need not follow the model answer; the discussion is entirely for the teacher to run. Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 2 Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 3 Discussion Questions Zone 2: Memories (Pre 1960s) 2a. What kind of market structure did the bus industry in Singapore resemble? 2b. What are the potential implications that would have arise if the pirate taxis were allowed to operate? Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 4 Zone 3: Formative Years 3a. What are the benefits of having two instead of 1 dominating firm in the bus industry? 3b. What are the potential negative externalities that may arise if car ownership in Singapore was not controlled? Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 5 3c. Do you think that there is a need for price discrimination in public transport fares?* *Refer to poster at Formative Years Zone 4: Land Transport Today 4a. What are the three strategic thrusts? 4b. How does scarcity influence the way that our infrastructure is built? (e.g. Roads, MRT Tracks) Reflections: If you are a policy maker, will you amend the existing policies or leave them? Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 6 Suggested Answers: 1a. Which city has one of the the fastest moving train in the world? Answer: Shanghai 1b. What facilities do we have in place to help the mobility challenged to move around? Answer: Ramps and tactile guidance 2a. What kind of market structure did the bus industry in Singapore resemble? Answer: C. Monopolistic Competition In the past, the bus industry was in a monopolistic competition, where there are many small bus firms offering different bus services and routes. Also, there were low barriers to entry as the cost of purchasing a vehicle and operating costs were considerably low. 2b. What are the potential implications that would have arise if the pirate taxis were allowed to operate? Answer: This would result in a black market where illegal taxi syndicates can charge consumers at an exorbitant price, given no government regulation and a shortage of supply. 3a. What are the benefits of having two instead of one dominating firm in the bus industry? Answer: A market with single seller allows the dominant firm to set monopolist price which is above the social optimum price. An oligopoly/duopoly market structure allows a contestable market where firms engage in non-price Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 7 competition such as product differentiation and service improvements. 3b. What are the potential negative externalities that may arise if car ownership in Singapore was not controlled? Answer: b. B&C only (Fall in work productivity and air pollution) Negative externalities are spillover effects on 3rd parties who are not involved in the consumption or production of the good. In this case, the negative externalities includes fall in work productivity and air pollution. 3c. Is there a need for price discrimination in public transport fares? Answer: With different fare charges, consumers with lower purchasing power would now be able to consume public transport which they would otherwise unable to with the regular adult fare. Without price discrimination, the lower income group may not be able to afford public transport, which result in social welfare loss. Reflections: If you were a policy maker, will you amend the existing policies or leave them? Why? Answer: Students have the freedom to give any suggestions as long as they are logical. There are no right or wrong answers. Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 8 Essay Questions 1) Why does Public Transport in Singapore have an Oligopoly market structure instead of a Monopoly? a) What are the characteristics of a monopoly? b) What are the disadvantages of a monopoly? c) What are the characteristics of an oligopoly? d) What are the potential benefits and problems of an oligopoly? e) What are the policies in place by the Government to tackle these issues? Evaluate them. f) Why is Oligopoly more desirable as compared to Monopoly in Singapore’s land transport setting? 2) With reference to examples, discuss whether there is a need to change the current policies adopted by the Singapore government to deal with market failure caused by negative externalities. a) Market Failure: What causes market failure? b) Externalities: What are externalities? c) Example of Negative Externalities/Market Failure in Singapore. How do they lead to Market Failure? d) Correcting Market Failure: What are some of the policies implemented by the Singapore government to deal with these external costs? How do these policies work? e) Limitations of Policies f) What are other suggestions? Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 9 Model Answers Market Structure Why does Public Transport in Singapore have an Oligopoly market structure instead of a Monopoly? Market Structure Monopoly Oligopoly Characteristics of Characteristics of Monopoly Oligopoly Problems & Benefits Problems & Benefits Solutions and Policies Evaluation of Policies Conclusion Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 10 Summarized Table of Market Structures Market Structure No. of Firms Monopoly Oligopoly Monopolistic Perfect Competition Competition Many Small Firms Single Large Few Large Many Small Firm Firms Firms Nature. of 1 Homogeneous Differentiated Homogeneous Products Product/Service or with no close Differentiated Low Low (Free entry) substitutes Barriers to Entry Absolute or very High high In a Monopoly, the large firm is able to reap economies of scale, as their operations are large enough to fully utilize their equipment and infrastructure efficiently, reducing marginal costs. Purchases of production inputs in large amounts also allow for bulk discounts from suppliers, contributing to the reduction in overall costs. As a monopoly, the firm is a profit maximizing firm with the ability to set prices, and the profit maximizing condition is the point where marginal cost equate to marginal revenue. The firm will then charge its product or service at the price derived and this can be seen from the figure illustrated below. P MC MR D Qty Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 11 This results in a loss of welfare, also known as a deadweight loss, denoted by the shaded region due to inefficiency in the allocation of resources. This welfare loss is also a form of market failure, caused by monopoly power. Public transport is a necessity to the population of Singapore and demand for it will generally be very inelastic, and this is an incentive for a monopoly to increase prices. P S P2 P1 D Qty Q1 Q2 When demand is inelastic, a price increase from P1 to P2 will lead to a less than proportionate decrease in quantity demanded from Q1 to Q2, and this incentivizes the firm to increase prices to maximize profits as the increase in revenue outweighs the loss in demand. While the firm enjoys supernormal profits, the consumers suffer due to the high prices, which is not appropriate for the market of public transport. As an effort to improve welfare and make public transport affordable to all, the government allowed two firms to operate the public transport systems in Singapore, both of which are privatized but highly influenced and regulated by the government. In particular, Singapore’s public bus and rail service is under the oligopoly market structure with 2 firms dominating the market, namely SBS and SMRT. Such a particular situation is also known as a duopoly. In a duopoly, firms are Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 12 encouraged to compete for the market by constantly innovating and differentiating their products, which is beneficial to the consumers. Also, the two firms are able to keep each other’s prices in check, keeping prices low as compared to a monopoly. Similar to a Prisoner’s Dilemma game, firms have no incentive to independently increase prices, as the other firm will not follow suit, allowing the firm with the lower price to capture the entire market. On the other hand if a firm decreases its price, the competitor is obliged to follow suit to avoid loss of market share, and this ultimately leads to a price war: both firms may end up reducing prices to the socially optimal price, where price equals marginal cost. The highly interdependence of firms in an oligopolistic market is represented by the kinked demand curve as illustrated below. P MC MR D Qty However, there is also a possibility of collusion as well. Collusion occurs when all the firms in an oligopolistic market come together to set prices at a high price. Such cooperation will increase profits of the firms, putting them in a position similar to that of a monopoly. To address these potential problems, regulatory boards such as the Public Transport Council (PTC) have been set up to regulate transport fares for both bus and rail services. This way, the government is able to ensure public transport prices are affordable, and that both firms are still able to generate enough revenue to sustain their operations. PTC also ensures that both firms do not neglect providing services to areas less travelled, as they are generally less profitable routes, maintaining a comprehensive network of services for the nation. Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 13 To further promote competition between the two operators, the Land Transport Authority intends for the two operators to compete for the market by setting contestable conditions. The two firms will then compete for the rights to operate in a set of routes for a specified period of time. Not only will this ensure that both firms will constantly pursue higher standards, greater efficiency, and lower prices, it also reduces duplication of services to improve efficiency of public transport on the whole. To conclude, public transport in Singapore adopts an oligopolistic market structure in order to reduce the welfare loss associated with monopoly power. The competition also promotes innovation and higher quality of services, which are beneficial to consumers. Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 14 Market Failure Question: With reference to examples, discuss whether there is a need to change the current policies adopted by the Singapore government to deal with market failure caused by negative externalities. Market Failure Factors of Market What are Externalities? Failure Negative Externalities Examples in Singapore Evaluate current policies in Singapore Justify/Suggestion Conclusion Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 15 Market Failure: What causes market failure? Market failure occurs whenever the price mechanism fails to allocate resources in a socially desirable way, and is generally caused by monopoly power, production of externalities, and the failure for markets to clear due to over or underconsumption. Simply, the market does not provide the optimal amount of a particular good. Externalities: What are externalities? Externalities arise whenever the production or consumption of a good has spillover effects on 3rd parties who are not involved in the production or consumption of the good. There are positive and negative externalities, depending on whether the externalities bring about benefits or costs. In the context of land transport, negative externalities include the external costs arising from car usage such as road congestion leading to lower productivity and pollution. Example of Negative Externalities/Market Failure in Singapore Road congestion is an example of market failure in Singapore. Figure 1.1 illustrates how road congestion leads to market failure in Land Transport. Benefit/Cost MSC MPC MEC Volume of Traffic Ts Tm Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 16 We assume that MPB = MSB as there is no positive externalities. The market equilibrium, without government intervention, is where MPB=MSB cuts MPC, and equilibrium number of cars is at Tm. A driver would only consider his private benefit and private cost e.g. fuel costs but not the external cost he imposes on others e.g. fall in work productivity due to late arrival caused by road congestion. Hence, there is a divergence between Marginal Social Cost and Marginal Private Cost, which leads to an over-usage of cars at the market equilibrium where Tm>socially optimal number of cars on the road(Ts). The socially optimal number of cars (Ts) is where MSC = MSB, which the additional cost of having an extra car on the road is equal to the additional benefit of the last unit of car on the road. Since the market equilibrium is not at the socially optimum output level, there is an allocation inefficiency leading to market failure. Correcting Market Failure: What are some of the policies implemented by the Singapore government to deal with these external costs? How do these policies work? 1) Electronic Road Pricing The Singapore government introduced the Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) as a form of taxation imposed on road users. The ERP is an electronic system of road pricing based on pay-as-you-use principle. There are different charges for different types of vehicles like motorcycle, cars and heavy trucks. The ERP makes road users bear the total costs for the use of road space, which includes private costs and external costs. The additional ERP charges during peak hours force road users to internalize the external cost of congestion and reduce demand for road space during peak hours. This induces them to travel during non-peak hours or use alternative routes, and even other modes of transport like the MRT and public buses. A tax equal to marginal external cost (MEC) in the form of ERP would bring MPC closer to MSC, and reduce volume of traffic from Tm to Ts, achieving social optimal number of cars on the roads. The ERP affect driving habits, as car owners will be encouraged to drive during non-peak hours, and take public transport during peak hours when ERP gantries Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 17 are in operation. This may also discourage non-car owners from purchasing a car due to an increase in total costs of owning a car. Limitations of ERP Due to the rising affluence of Singapore residents, not only is demand for cars skyrocketing, increasing the cost of ownership through ERP loses its effectiveness as the proportion of income spent on cars decrease. Changes in the taste and preferences of Singapore residents is also a huge factor, as more and more residents treating cars as a necessity, causing demand to be rather price inelastic. Alternative mode of transports like buses and MRT are also no longer considered as close substitutes for cars due to a lower comfort and efficiency level, contributing to the inelasticity of demand. Hence, the number of cars on the roads during peak hours may drop less than proportionately when there is an increase in cost of car usage and ownership due to the implementation of the ERP. One ongoing initiative to mitigate this problem is the use of a satellite-tracked electronic road-pricing system that relies on GPS systems in vehicles. Drivers would be charged based on the duration they stay on the road and distance travelled. Hence, ERP rates would correspond to the road user’s actual contribution to traffic congestion, and marginal external cost to be internalized by each driver more fairly. Nonetheless, such measures incur high costs and can only be implemented after careful planning. 2) Vehicle Quota System/COE Another policy to the Singapore government has adopted is a Vehicle Quota System (VQS), also known as Certificate of Entitlement (COE). This scheme directly controls car ownership and consumers’ demand for cars. Prices of COE are determined by market forces, which only a fixed number bidders can attain the certificate. Hence, COE is effective at controlling car population growth at a rate that the current road space can accommodate. Limitations of VQS/COE While the number of cars on the road can be controlled, it is difficult to control the number of times and length of time the car is used. Also, as COE is Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 18 determined by market-forces, the bidding price may increase to an exorbitant amount that is out of reach for the lower income families. Hence, it may result in a social disparity, which only the rich could afford cars. In addition, families with higher income may purchase multiple cars, which further deny the lower income group from car ownership. Suggestion/Alternative policies ________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ Land Transport Economics Program: Teacher’s Guide 19 Land Transport Economics Program: Ice-Breaker Game 20