UNEMPLOYMENT BULLETIN NOVEMBER 2014 Job Seekers Allowance Claimants – Working Age This bulletin looks at three different measures of unemployment. The first uses working age population as a denominator. This measure was used to measure the former National Indicators NI152 and NI153 and is often quoted within the Council. Direction of Direction of % Change % Change (Annual) (Monthly) Nov 13 No. Nov 13 % Nov 14 No. Nov 14 % Gateshead 5,168 4.0 3,850 3.0 Newcastle 8,164 4.2 5,635 2.9 North Tyneside 4,690 3.6 3,373 2.6 South Tyneside 5,734 6.0 4,280 4.5 Sunderland 7,936 4.4 5,865 3.3 Tyne and Wear 31,692 4.4 23,003 3.2 North East 73,551 4.4 52,448 3.1 1,222,890 3.0 848,085 2.1 UK Source: DWP via NOMIS N.B. This unemployment measure examines unemployed people claiming Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) benefit. From July 2010, the JSA rate is calculated using working age people (16-64) from the mid year population estimates as a denominator. Prior to this the working age population (16-64M / 16-59F) was used. Unemployed People This rolling quarterly unemployment measure is currently being quoted in the media. It is extracted from the combined Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). However, there is no comparable data for Gateshead. Only a rolling annual measure is available for Gateshead. Aug 13 – Oct 13 No. Aug 13 – Oct 13 % Aug 14 – Oct 14 No. Aug 14 – Oct 14 % North East 132,584 10.1 117,692 9.1 North West 256,521 7.5 220,710 6.3 Y’shire & Humber 239,212 8.6 190,895 7.1 East Midlands 162,005 6.9 132,403 5.6 West Midlands 240,394 8.8 187,202 6.8 East 176,304 5.6 155,019 5.0 London 367,928 8.5 296,450 6.5 South East 265,625 5.8 209,817 4.6 South West 174,957 6.4 131,646 4.8 2,388,423 7.4 1,959,537 6.0 Rolling Quarterly Measure UK Direction of Direction of % Change % Change (Annual) (Quarterly) Source: Office for National Statistics Rolling Annual Measure Gateshead Jul 12 – Jun 13 No. Jul 12 – Jun 13 % Jul 13 – Jun 14 No. Jul 13 – Jun 14 % 8,800 9.1 8,500 8.8 Direction of Direction of % Change % Change (Annual) (Quarterly) Source: Office for National Statistics (Model Based) via NOMIS local authority profiles N.B. The Labour Force and Annual Population Surveys survey a small sample of the population and model the resulting responses to larger areas such as regions. The unemployment rate is calculated using the modelled number of people who responded that they were unemployed (aged 16+) along with those stating they were economically active (aged 16+) as a denominator. Unemployment data at Gateshead level is model-based which improves on the APS estimate by borrowing strength from the claimant count to produce an estimate that is more precise (i.e. has a smaller confidence interval). Job Seekers Allowance Claimants - Economically Active This unemployment measure is similar to that shown on page 1 and is the most useful measure of unemployment available for Gateshead wards. Comparisons can be made with districts, regions and the UK. This is not the same as the unemployment rate quoted in the national media or used to calculate the former National Indicators NI152 and NI153 (see over for more details). Rates are calculated using the economically active population as a denominator. Nov 13 No. Nov 13# % Nov 14 No. Nov 14 % Direction of % Change (Annual) Direction of % Change (Monthly) Birtley 198 4.8 114 2.8 Blaydon 256 4.7 170 3.1 Bridges 326 6.8 261 5.4 Chopwell & Rowlands Gill 226 5.0 147 3.3 Chowdene 221 5.1 167 3.8 Crawcrook & Greenside 118 2.5 98 2.1 Deckham 392 8.1 307 6.3 Dunston & Teams 380 7.5 263 5.2 Dunston Hill & Whickham East 121 2.5 85 1.8 Felling 465 11.0 359 8.5 High Fell 372 8.3 284 6.3 Lamesley 163 3.8 104 2.4 Lobley Hill & Bensham 360 7.0 291 5.7 Low Fell 87 1.9 59 1.3 Pelaw & Heworth 182 3.9 139 3.0 Ryton, Crawcrook & Stella 149 3.6 109 2.6 Saltwell 340 6.2 243 4.5 Wardley & Leam Lane 170 4.0 151 3.6 Whickham North 173 4.3 118 2.9 Whickham South & Sunniside 82 1.9 66 1.6 Windy Nook & Whitehills 251 5.2 201 4.2 Winlaton & High Spen 136 3.3 114 2.8 Gateshead 5,168 5.1 3,850 3.8 Newcastle 8,164 6.3 5,635 4.4 North Tyneside 4,690 4.1 3,373 3.0 South Tyneside 5,734 7.9 4,280 5.9 Sunderland 7,936 6.0 5,865 4.5 Tyne and Wear 31,692 5.8 23,003 4.2 North East* 73,551 6.1 52,448 4.3 1,222,890 3.6 848,085 2.5 UK* Source: DWP via NOMIS N.B. This unemployment measure examines unemployed people claiming Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) benefit. The JSA rate is calculated using the no. of people of working age who are economically active as a denominator. Using the economically active population as a denominator is advantageous because it excludes those who cannot work due to their circumstances e.g. they are permanently sick or disabled. *The North East and UK JSA rates use the estimated total workforce from mid 2006 as a denominator. This is the sum of unemployed claimants, employees in employment, self-employed, HM Forces and participants on work-related government training programmes. # These rates were calculated using the number of people aged 16-74 who were economically active from Census 2011 as a denominator.