RIVER NETWORKS AS ECOLOGICAL CORRIDORS: MIGRATION FRONTS, HYDROCHORY, SPREADING OF WATER-BORNE INFECTIONS ANDREA RINALDO Dipartimento IMAGE & International Centre for Hydrology “Dino Tonini”, Università di Padova, Italy The Lecture first recalls empirical and theoretical evidence on the structure of river basins, emphasizing intertwined form and function of such complex adaptive systems [e.g. Rodriguez-Iturbe and Rinaldo, 1997]. Of some importance is arguably the claim, which will be put forward in the Lecture, that river basins constitute one of the most reliable and fascinating laboratories for the observation of how Nature works across a wide range of scales. Specific applications discussed in the talk deal with transport through fractal networks and the transport of matter, species, polupations and infections at basin-scales. Moving from a recent quantitative model of the US colonization in the 19th century that relies on analytical and numerical results of reactive-diffusive transport on fractal river networks [Campos et al., 2006], I shall consider its generalization to include an embedded flow direction which biases transport [Bertuzzo et al., 2007a] and explore the properties of biased reaction-dispersal models, in which the reaction rates are described by a logistic equation. The relevance of the work is related to the prediction of the role of hydrologic controls on invasion processes (of species, populations, propagules or infective agents, depending on the specifics of reaction and transport) occurring in river basins. Exact solutions are described along with general numerical solutions, which are applied to fractal constructs like Peano basins and real rivers. Similarities and departures from different one-dimensional invasion models where a bias is added to both the diffusion [Bertuzzo et al., 2007a] and the telegraph equations [Holmes, 1993], considering their respective ecological insight. It is found that the geometrical constraints imposed by the fractal networks imply strong corrections on the speed of travelling fronts that can be enhanced or smoothed by the bias. Applications to real river networks show that the chief morphological parameters affecting the front speed are those characterizing the node-to-node distances measured along the network structure. The spatial density and number of reactive sites thus prove to be a vital hydrologic control on invasions. Such solutions are claimed to be relevant to the general study of species' spreading along ecological corridors defined by the river network structure. Ecological implications of the distribution of tributaries relate to the availability of flow, slope and riparian area available in defining an ecological corridor [Bertuzzo et al., 2007a; Banavar et al., 2007; Muneepeerakul et al., 2007b]. Riparian zones, in fact, play many important roles in regulating ecosystem function within streams, surrounding environments, and upland areas. They are usually related to the stream width or to topographically concave areas, features that inevitably relate to landscape-forming discharges and hence to the distribution of tributary areas. Spreading of species or infections on river networks also requires flow specifications defining, for instance, the bias affecting dispersion of water-borne agents or propagules. Moreover, although models of biodiversity in twodimensional landscapes had been extensively studied [e.g. Tilman and Downing, 1994; Hubbell, 2001], only recently Muneepeerakul et al. [2007a] have shown that the combined effects of directionality of dispersal produced by the network landscape significantly alter various biodiversity patterns of vegetation communities obeying the neutral model. Be it metapopulation models coupled with the strictly hierarchical competition-colonization trade-off model to study the resulting biodiversity patterns in the river basin [Muneepeerakul et al., 2007b], or patterns of infection or migration spreading [Bertuzzo et al., 2007b], it is clear the fundamental role played by the network substrate and of its properties on several ecological processes. About the purported connection with riverine ecology, the Lecture shall briefly discuss the distribution of distances between tributaries of given size, which recently found general expression [Convertino et al., 2007]. It defines analytically the distribution of the distance of mean flowrates, channel width or riparian areas alongstream because all such quantitites are, in fact, proxies of cumulative basin area, and hence of tributaries' contributing area. The Lecture finally reports on how river networks, acting as environmental corridors for pathogens, affect the spreading of cholera epidemics [Bertuzzo et al., 2007b]. Specifically, I shall compare epidemiological data from the real world with the space-time evolution of infected individuals predicted by a theoretical scheme based on reactive transport of infective agents through a biased network portraying actual river pathways. The data pertain to a cholera outbreak in South Africa which started in 2000 and affected in particular the Kwazulu-Natal province. The epidemic lasted for two years and involved about 140,000 confirmed cholera cases. Physical and other epidemiological data have also been carefully considered. The theoretical tools relate to recent advances in hydrochory, migration fronts and infection spreading, and are novel in that nodal reactions describe the dynamics of cholera. Reactions are, in fact, confined to nodes and transport through network links provides the coupling of the nodal dynamics of infected, who are assumed to reside at the nodes. This proves a realistic scheme. The theoretical scheme is remarkably capable of predicting actual outbreaks, and indeed that network structures play a controlling role in the actual, rather anisotropic propagation of infections, in analogy to spreading of species or migration processes that also use rivers as ecological corridors. REFERENCES Banavar, J. R., J. Damuth, A. Maritan, and A. Rinaldo , Scaling in ecosystems and the linkage of macroecological laws, Phys. Rev. Lett., 98, 068104, 2007 Bertuzzo, E., M. Gatto, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, A. Rinaldo, River networks and ecological corridors: reactive transport on fractals, migration fronts, hydrochory, Water Resour. Res., 43, W04419, 2007 Botter, G., T. Settin, M. Marani, A. Rinaldo, A stochastic model of Nitrate transport and cycling at basin scale, Water Resour. Res., 42, W04415, 2006 Botter, G., A. Porporato. E. Daly, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, A. Rinaldo, Probabilistic characterization of base flows in river basins: roles of soil, vegetation and geomorphology, Water Resources Res, , 43, W06404, 2007 Campos, D., J. Fort, and V. Mèndez, Transport on fractal river network: Application to migration fronts, Theor. Population Biol., 69, 88-93, 2006 Convertino, M., R. Rigon, A. Maritan, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, A. Rinaldo, The probabilistic structure of the distance between tributaries of given size in river networks, Water Resour. Res., in press, 2007 Holmes, E.E., Are Diffusion Models too Simple? A Comparison with Telegraph Models of Invasion, American Naturalist, 142, 779-795. 1993 Hubbel, S.P., The Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2001 Muneepeerakul, R., J. Weitz, S.A. Levin, A. Rinaldo, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, A neutral metapopulation model of riparian biodiversity, J. Theor. Biol., 245, 351-363, 2007 Muneepeerakul, R., S.A. Levin, A. Rinaldo, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, On biodiversity in river networks: a trade-off metapopulation model and comparative analysis, Water Resour. Res., in press, 2007 Rinaldo, A., E. Bertuzzo, G. Botter, T. Settin, A. Uccelli, and M. Marani, Transport at Basin Scales 2. Applications, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 10, 31-48, 2006 Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., and A. Rinaldo, Fractal River Basins. Chance and Self-Organization, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 1997 Settin, T., G. Botter, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, A. Rinaldo, Numerical studies on soil moisture distributions in heterogeneous catchments, Water Resour. Res., 43, W05425, 2007 Tilman, D., and J. A. Downing, Biodiversity and stability in grasslands, Nature, 367, 363-365, 1994