1 1 Zhishu Xiao, Zhibin Zhang, Charles J. Krebs. Long-term seed survival and dispersal 2 dynamics in a rodent-dispersed tree: Testing the predator satiation hypothesis and the 3 predator dispersal hypothesis. 4 5 Supporting information 6 Additional Supporting information may be found in the online version of this article. 7 Appendix S1. Detailed methodology for annual census of both rodent and seed abundance. 8 Table S1. Statistical results comparing seed crop size per plant between all of the pairs of the 9 8 years of samples. 10 Table S2 Statistical results from linear mixed models for each dispersal parameter. 11 Fig. S1 Survivorship curves for seeds remaining at the source after placement. 12 Fig. S2 Annual changes of the mean time (weeks) to seed removal at source or seed recovery 13 at primary caches. 14 Fig. S3 Relationships between annual crop size or relative seed availability and the mean 15 time to seed removal at source or the mean time to recovery for primary caches. 16 2 17 Appendix S1 Detailed methodology for annual census of both rodent and seed abundance. 18 19 Annual changes in rodent abundance: Surveys were conducted in the same stand used to 20 quantify oil tea seed crops from 2002 to 2009 during autumn (i.e. the dispersal season of oil 21 tea). To estimate the density of rodent seed predators and dispersers, we used large wired 22 cage traps (30×25×20 cm, of our own design approved by the Institute of Zoology, Chinese 23 Academy of Science) baited with peanuts or chestnuts, and small pieces of cabbage as food 24 and water. Dry leaves of local species were provided as nest materials. We set 20 traps 25 (2002-2003) and 40 traps (2004-2009) along two or three trap lines for three consecutive 26 nights during September or October each year. Each trap and each trap line were set 10-15 27 m apart. Traps were placed at 1800-1900 hours in the evening and checked 12 hours later. 28 All captured animals were identified to species, recording sex and reproductive status 29 (females pregnant, lactating or not; males with testes descended or not). Individuals were 30 marked with a colored paint to allow identification during the three-day survey if they were 31 recaptured. We then released each animal at their original point of capture. In this study, we 32 captured eight rodent species from 2002 to 2009: Leopoldamys edwardsi (average weight: 33 281.2 ± 12.8 (SE) g, n = 65), Niviventer fulvescens (65.2 ± 6.2 g, n = 48), N. confucianus 34 (62.2 ± 2.8 g, n = 77), Apodemus chevrieri (46.3 ± 2.8 g, n = 26), A. draco (26.2 ± 2.5 g, n 35 = 9), A. latronum (32.4 ± 4.3 g, n = 13), Rattus nitidus (122.1 ± 6.7 g, n = 54) and R. 36 norvegicus (99.3 ± 13.4 g, n = 8). We considered two parameters to measure the relative 37 abundance each year: trap success for all rodent species, and minimum number alive 38 (MNA) per 100 trapnights for both seed dispersers and seed predators (see similar analysis 39 in Hoshizaki & Hulme 2002). 3 40 Annual changes in seed abundance: In 2002 we randomly selected 60 similar-size 41 fruiting oil tea individuals with reproductive organs (i.e. fruits or flowers or both) in the 42 Camellia-rich stand. During 2002-2009 we collected all the fruits from the 60 marked 43 plants each autumn (September 20-26) before the fruits and their seeds fell to the ground. 44 We then dissected each fruit and counted the number of seeds for each individual fruit, and 45 totaled the number of seeds for each plant. Seeds damaged by insect seed predators (e.g. 46 Dichocrocis punctiferalis) were also recorded but not analyzed in this paper. 47 The Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to test the difference of average production 48 of seeds per tree between any two of the 8-year samples. Seed crop data were transformed 49 by log10 (seeds+1). We found that seed crop in either 2007 or 2008 was significantly higher 50 than that in any of the other six years (Table S1). Thus, we treated the years 2007 and 2008 51 as mast years and the remaining years as non-mast years, but seed crop in 2006 was 52 intermediate between between mast years and the other non-mast years (Table S1). 53 54 References 55 Hoshizaki, K. & Hulme, P.E. (2002) Mast seeding and predator-mediated indirect 56 interactions in a forest community: evidence from post-dispersal fate of 57 rodent-generated caches. Seed dispersal and frugivory: ecology, evolution and 58 conservation (eds D.J. Levey, W.R. Silva & M. Galetti), pp. 227-239. CABI Publishing, 59 Wallingford, Oxfordshire. 60 4 61 Table S1 Statistical results comparing seed crop size per plant between all of the pairs of 62 the 8 years of samples. The data shown in the table are the difference in mean size between 63 each pair of the 8 years and the probability of this difference in parenthesis. NS, no 64 significance. Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 28.4 26.3 23.6 -17.3 -124.6 -58.7 17.2 (NS) (NS) (NS) (0.034) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (NS) -2.1 -4.8 -45.8 -153.0 -87.1 -11.3 (NS) (NS) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (NS) -2.7 -43.6 -150.9 -85.0 -9.2 (NS) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (NS) -41.0 -148.2 -82.3 -6.5 (0.019) (< 0.001) (< 0.001) (NS) -107.3 -41.4 34.5 (< 0.001) (0.001) ( 0.001) 65.9 141.8 (NS) (< 0.001) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 75.8 2008 (< 0.001) 65 66 5 67 Table S2 Statistical results from linear mixed models for each dispersal parameter: one model 68 with average crop size (ACS) and annual metabolic rodent abundance (AMRA) and year as a 69 random factor, and the other model with per capital seed availability (PCSA) as a fixed factor 70 and year as a random factor. Fixed factors in bold indicate significant differences (P < 0.05). Fixed factors Estimate±SD df t p Intercept 0.174±0.339 5 0.512 0.630 ACS 0.666±0.139 5 4.771 0.005 -0.324±0.134 5 -2.409 0.061 Intercept 0.852±0.084 6 10.149 0.0001 PCSA 0.483±0.134 6 3.606 0.011 4.620±1.346 4 3.433 0.023 ACS -1.997±0.758 4 -2.635 0.056 AMRA -1.634±0.565 4 -2.892 0.045 ACS*AMRA 0.927±0.315 4 2.939 0.042 Intercept 1.164±0.063 6 18.406 < 0.001 PCSA 0.096±0.101 6 0.950 0.379 The time to removal AMRA The time to recovery Intercept 71 72 73 6 74 75 Fig. S1 Survivorship curves for seeds remaining at the source after placement during the first 76 seven weeks (2002-2009). 77 2002 2006 2003 2007 2004 2008 2005 2009 Proportion of seeds remaining 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 78 79 1 2 3 Weeks after placement 5 7 7 80 81 Fig. S2 Annual changes of the mean time (weeks) to seed removal at source or seed recovery 82 at primary caches. 83 Mean time (weeks) 30 25 20 Time to removal at source Time to recovery at caches 15 10 5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 84 85 86 8 87 88 Fig. S3 Relationships between annual crop size (average crop size per plant, log-10 scale, 89 Panels A and C) or relative seed availability (annual crop size divided by the sum of 90 metabolic scaling body mass from each rodent species each year, log-transformed, Panels B 91 and D) and the mean time (weeks, log-10 scale) to seed removal at source (Panels A and B) 92 or the mean time (weeks, log-transformed) to recovery for primary caches (Panels C and D). 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.0 0.4 harvest 0.8 0.4 1.4 0.0 harvest 1.2 93 -1.2 -0.8 0.2 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.8 Masting 95 0.0 1.0 recovery 1.2 1.0 0.8 recovery 1.2 94 -0.4 RSA Masting 2.0 2.2 2.4 -1.2 -0.8 -0.4 RSA 0.0 0.2