Profile: Older People - 65+ (Draft) Population in Bristol In 2001 the ONS estimated, that there were 43,460 people in Bristol over the age of 70; persons over the age of 70 are a part of the population that are particularly at risk. In addition, there are 41,969 females over the age of 60, and 23,792 males over the age of 65 in Bristol. Population Update A 2009 ONS estimate shows that there are 40,432 people of the age of 70 living in Bristol; this represents a 7% decrease on the 2001 ONS figures. Distribution in Census (2001) Number of people of the age of 50 by ward: 1 Tenant Population 2009 profile of council tenants: 23% of council tenants are over the age of 65. Tenure (Census 2001) Persons over the age of 65 in Bristol All persons in Bristol Owned 37,528 69.3% 65.1% Rented from council 10,757 19.9% 16.7% Other social rented 2,627 4.9% 3.3% Private rented or living rent free 3,221 6% 14.9% Key Poor Health Headlines “Three out of four strokes occur in people aged over 65. About a third of stroke patients die within six months of the event, and the majority occur in the first month.” “Falls are a major cause of disability and the major cause of deaths in the elderly. Elderly people who have falls often suffer from other social and psychological complications, including: loss of mobility, social isolation, depression, hypothermia, [and] loss of confidence.” “The elderly suffer from a variety of mental health problems, such as dementia including Alzheimer’s disease, depression and schizophrenia. Many of these problems remain undetected due to people living alone and the nature of the disease.” Bristol Primary Care Trust, 2001 2 Older People in Care Homes Projected figures for the number of over-65’s in Bristol living in local authority and non-local authority care homes: 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 65-74 48 52 55 56 63 75-84 141 139 147 168 177 85 and over 259 277 297 342 399 65-74 192 212 221 228 256 75-84 474 470 496 565 597 1,028 1,099 1,182 1,359 1,583 2,141 2,248 2,398 2,718 3,075 LA Care Home: Non-LA Care Home: 85 and over Total living in any care home Source: Projecting Older People Population Information System (POPPI); ONS, 2001 3 Dementia Prevalence by Ward Source: Age Concern prevalence study, 2006 4 Living Alone Older people who are living alone are a very at risk group as they may have special support needs to ensure both their safety and mental wellbeing. The table below shows the projected number of older people living alone in Bristol over the next twenty-years; the increasing number of older people living alone may require additional resources to be dedicated to ensuring their welfare. 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Males aged 65-74 predicted to live alone 2,620 2,940 3,040 3,140 3,540 Males aged 75 and over predicted to live alone 3,740 4,046 4,522 5,236 5,780 Females aged 65-74 predicted to live alone 4,170 4,560 4,770 4,950 5,550 Females aged 75 and over predicted to live alone 10,370 10,187 10,431 11,651 12,627 Total population aged 65-74 predicted to live alone 6,790 7,500 7,810 8,090 9,090 Total population aged 75 and over predicted to live alone 14,110 14,233 14,953 16,887 18,407 Source: POPPI; General Household Survey, 2007 The rate of older people living alone is as follows: Age range Percentage of Males 65-74 75+ 20% 34% Source: POPPI; ONS 5 Percentage of Females 30% 61% Income Deprivation The proportion of older people (aged 60 and over) in Bristol facing income deprivation is 21.8% overall. However, in some wards it is as high as 41% (Lawrence Hill): Source: Indices of Deprivation 2005 Community Groups o o o o o o o o Age Concern - www.ageconcernbristol.org.uk Asian Health and Social Care Association - asiandaycentre@hotmail.co.uk BME Elders and Older People's Partnership Board Bristol and Avon Chinese Women’s Group - www.bacwg.co.uk Bristol Golden Agers Dhek Bhal - www.dhekbhal.org.uk Bristol Older People’s Forum - bopf@ageconcernbristol.org.uk Bristol Older People's Network - www.thecareforum.org Malcolm X Elders Group - www.malcolmx.org.uk 6 Key community priorities o Reducing isolation o Improving information concerning changes to health and social care services o Access to benefits advice and addressing poverty, particularly for older women, including lack of access to web-based and digital information. o Addressing fear of crime o Access to appropriate advocacy services 2010 N.B. All the data and statistics contained in this document are drawn from sources that may not be totally accurate. The Office for National Statistics has acknowledged that people and households in Bristol were undercounted during the 2001 Census which has been used extensively in this profile. As a result the figures are not completely reliable, particularly for the wards of Ashley, Easton and Lawrence Hill. As a result of the acknowledged undercount, some of the 2001 census data will have been adjusted. More information is available in the ‘2001 Census – issues to be aware of’ document available at http://www.bristol.gov.uk/ccm/content/CouncilDemocracy/Statistics-Census-Information/2001-census.en 7