Joint Meeting for the Seasonal Prediction
of the East Asian Winter Monsoon
17-19 October 2007
Specialty Construction Center, Seoul, Korea
Wednesday 17 October
09:30-10:00
Registration
Opening Session
Chairperson : Won-Tae Yun
10:00-10:10
Welcoming Address
Soon-kab Chung, Deputy Administrator, KMA
10:10-10:20
Keynote Address
Fumin Ren, Professor, National Climate Center, CMA
Invited Lectures
Chairperson : Won-Tae Yun
10:20-11:00
High-resolution Climate Modeling
In-Sik Kang, Sung-Bin Park, Young-Min Yang, Daehyun Kim, and JongSeung Kug , Seoul National Univ.
11:00-11:40 Seasonal prediction of China/Korea climate from preceding large-scale
climate indices
Maeng-Ki Kim, Yeon-Hee Kim, and Woo-Seop Lee,
Kongju National Univ.
11:40-12:00 Group Photo
12:00-13:30
Lunch
Invited Lectures, Cont.
Chairperson : Won-Tae Yun
13:30-14:10
Outlook of 2007/2008 Wintertime Climate in Northeast Asia
Jong-Ghap Jhun, Seoul National Univ.
Session Ⅰ Characteristics of East Asia Monsoon and Modeling
Chairperson : Jong-Ghap Jhun
14:10-14:30
14:30-14:50
14:50-15:10
15:10-15:30
Simulation and Projection of East Asia Summer Monsoon by Time Slice
Experiment
Ja Yeon Moon1, and Won-Tae Kwon2, 1Climate Prediction Division,
KMA and 2Climate Research Laboratory, METRI
Early warning information on extreme temperature events
Norihisa Fujikawa, Climate Prediction Division, JMA
Model diagnostics associated with temperature anomaly over East Asia
during boreal winter
Daisuke Nohara, Soo-Jin Sohn, Chi-Yung Tam, Saji N. Hameed, and
Chung-Kyu Park, APEC Climate Center
Diagnostics of Multi-Model Ensemble at APEC Climate Center: East
Asian Winter Monsoon Variability
Soo-Jin Sohn, Daisuke Nohara , Chi-Yung Tam, Saji N. Hameed, and
Chung-Kyu Park, APEC Climate Center
15:30-16:00 Coffee Break
Session ⅠCharacteristics of East Asia Monsoon and Modeling , Cont.
Chairperson : Jong-Ghap Jhun
16:00-16:20
Seasonal climate prediction with Ensemble Kalman Filter:
Fast growing initial perturbation for ensemble prediction
Jong-Seong Kug, Yoo-Geun Ham, and In-Sik Kang, Seoul National Univ.
16:20-16:40 The development of a coupled climate model for seasonal prediction and
its evaluation
Suhee Park, Young-Hwa Byun, Han-Cheol Lim, and Won-Tae Kwon,
Climate Research Laboratory, METRI
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Session Ⅱ Overview of Recent Climate over East Asia and El Nino Monitoring
and Outlook
Chairperson : Hyun-kyung Kim
16:40-17:00
17:00-17:20
17:20-17:40
Overview of Recent Climate in China
Xukai Zou, National Climate Center, CMA
Recent Climate Review over Korea
Won-Tae Yun, Kyungsuk Cho, and Jeong Eun Kim,
Climate Prediction Division, KMA
The summary of the atmospheric circulation over East Asia in summer
2007
Norihisa Fujikawa, Climate Prediction Division, JMA
18:30-20:30 Reception
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Thursday 18 October
Session Ⅲ Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (Invited
Lectures, Cont.)
Chairperson : Norihisa Fujikawa
09:00-09:40
09:40-10:00
Implementation of Icosahedral-Hexagonal Grid point Model GME for
Seasonal Prediction
Jai-ho Oh, kyoung-Min Lee, Sumin Woo, and Jin-Young Kim,
Pukyong National Univ.
Recent Evolution and Outlook of ENSO
Fumin Ren, and Rongqing Han, National Climate Center, CMA
10:00-10:30 Coffee Break
Session Ⅲ Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon, Cont.
Chairperson : Fumin Ren
10:30-10:50
Outlook of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in 2007/2008
Xiaolong Jia, National Climate Center, CMA
10:50-11:10 The JMA’s cold season outlook for 2007/08 winter
Norihisa Fujikawa, Climate Prediction Division, JMA
11:10-11:30 APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Seasonal Prediction for 2007 Nov-DecJan
Daisuke Nohara, APEC Climate Center
11:30-11:50 Outlook for Winter-Spring season in 2007-2008 in Viet Nam
Pham Thi Cham, National Hydro-Meteorological Service, Viet Nam
11:50-13:40 Lunch
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Session Ⅲ Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon, Cont.
Chairperson : Jai-ho Oh
13:40-14:00
14:00-14:20
Seasonal Outlook of the 2007/08 Winter
Hyun-kyung Kim, Yei-Sook Lee, and Hyun Jong Na, Climate Prediction
Division, KMA
Seasonal outlook of the 2007/08 winter by the METRI Climate
Prediction System
Young-Hwa Byun, Suhee Park, Han-Chul Lim and Won-Tae Kwon,
Climate Research Laboratory, METRI
14:20-14:40 The Northeast monsoon (winter season) in Thailand 2007
Kornrawee Sitthichivapak, Thai Meteorological Department
14:40-15:00 Presently Climate Change and Prediction for Winter in 2007/08 over
Mongolia
Bayasgalan Gerclchuluun,
National Agency for Meteorology, Hydrology, and Environment
15:00-15:30 Coffee Break
Session Ⅳ Discussion and Summary
Chairperson : Won-Tae Yun
15:30-17:30
Discussion and Summary
Friday 19 October
09:00-12:00 KMA Tour
12:00-13:00 Lunch
14:00-18:00 Technical Tour
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