Evolution Lab: Evolution - Change in allelic frequencies in a population Anagenesis – change in genetic lineage (3 ½ billion years – unbroken chain of DNA transfer; this chain has not branched; no net gain of species). Cladogenesis – creation of new genetic lineages (net gain of species) One gene with two alleles (Aa) Count all individuals in population and see how many of each is there: # AA = 30, # Aa = 50, # aa = 20 (N=100). How many A’s 60 + 50 = 110 How many a’s 40 + 50 = 90 Total alleles = 200; proportion of A’s = 110/200 = 0.55; proportion of a’s = 90/200 = 0.45. F(A) = 0.550 0.549; a loss of A’s in the population = anagenesis. How anagenesis can occur: 1) mutation: A a or a A; rate of change due to mutation ranges from 1X10-5 to 1 X 10–7; not very common. 2) Natural selection: differential survival or reproduction that results in differential differences in representation in succeeding generations. (Survival of the Fittest). 3) Genetic Drift: Change in allele frequency due to unrepresentative sampling from one generation to the next. Unrepresentative sampling: Shuffle six decks of cards and deal out 150. What is the chance of all six being hearts? Not much. Should be about 25% hearts – a representative sample. If almost all of the cards were hearts, that would be considered unrepresentative sampling. If I deal out only 4 cards, would you expect to get one of each suit? This small sample in analogous to genetic drift. Perfectly fit individuals are removed from the population. Suppose: #A’s = 1,000,000 f(A) = 0.5 #a’s = 1,000,000 f(a) = 0.5 We only pick 3 individuals to reproduce. Could get 2 AA and one Aa AA Aa, AA, or Aa. Hardy=Weinberg equilibrium (HWE): f(A) = p and f(a) = q Assumptions required for a population to be in HWE (Table 1 page 47): Large population size, diploid organism, sexual reproduction, random mating, generations do not overlap, no mutation, no immigration or emigration, no natural selection. With random mating AAxAA, AAxAa, AAxaa, AaxAa, Aaxaa, aaxaa In the next generation and all that follow, the frequency of: AA=p2; Aa=2pq; aa=q2 Suppose f(A) = 0.2 and f(a) = 0.8 then HWE f(AA) = p2 = 0.22 = 0.04 f(Aa) = 2pq = 2x0.2x0.8 = 0.32 f(aa) = q2 = 0.82 = 0.64 (p + q) = p2 + 2pq + q2 p + q = 1; 0.2 + 0.8 = 1 If the frequency of albinism in North America is 0.00005, then what is the frequency of carriers? Take the square root of 0.00005 (=q2) to get q, then to get p=1-q. Heyerozygot frequency = 2xpxq. Fitness: Fitness – the ability of an organism to survive and reproduce (make offspring) Absolute fitness – How many of each genotype survive. For example – if 70% of AA and Aa survive and reproduce, while only 35% of Aa survive and reproduce, then AA and Aa genotypes have a higher fitness. Relative fitness – The comparison among genotype fitness. For example – AA = 0.7/0.7=1; Aa = 0.7/0.7=1; aa = 0.35/0.7= 0.5. Fitness values can be used to predict hoe allelic frequencies will change from one generation to the next. Suppose f(A) = 0.5 and f(a) = 0.5, then: f(AA)=0.52=0.25, f(Aa) = 2x0.5x0.5=0.5, f(aa) = 0.52=0.25 Genotype Genotypic frequency X Relative = Preliminary value AA Aa aa 0.25 0.5 0.25 X X X fitness 1.0 1.0 0.5 Genotype of frequencies of adults after selection are: f(AA) = 0.25/0.875 = 0.29 (was 0.25; increased) f(Aa) = 0.5/0.875 = 0.5 (was 0.5; decreased) f(aa) = 0.125/0.875 = 0.14 (was 0.25; increased) If this continues, what will happen to f(aa)? = = = Sum= 0.25 0.5 0.125 0.875