CHAPTER 9 ORGANIZATIONAL DECISION MAKING Lecture Notes 1 The Nature of Decision Making A. Figure 9-1 p. 307 B. Figure 9-2 p. 308 What is Decision Making? 1. Decision making is the process of identifying a set of feasible alternatives and choosing a course of action. 2. Decisions are judgments which directly affect a course of action. 3. Choice making refers to the narrow set of activities associated with choosing one option from a set of alternatives. 4. Decision making is an intermediate-sized set of activities. identification of the problem identification and evaluation of alternatives making a choice 5. Problem solving: a broad set of activities. involves finding and implementing a course of action to correct an unsatisfactory situation. includes decision making and implementing, monitoring, maintenance of the decision 6. Many occasions give rise to the need for decisions. a current state of affairs may fall short of a goal or an ideal a problem or crisis may arise managers may want to take advantage of an opportunity maintaining the status quo proactive managers Decision Characteristics 1. Conditions of certainty, risk, and uncertainty a continuum of uncertainty ----- risk------ certainty state of certainty: when a decision maker is aware of all available alternatives, the factors (outcomes) and probabilities associated with each few organizational decisions are made under conditions of certainty requires the collection and use of accurate, measurable, and reliable information state of risk: when a decision maker is aware of all alternatives, but do not know what will happen if they choose a particular alternative know enough to estimate probabilities requires the collection of as much accurate information as possible state of uncertainty: when a decision maker is not aware of all possible courses of action there is not enough information to estimate probabilities of outcomes particularly difficult for managers with low tolerance of ambiguity managers should always try to reduce uncertainty by conducting research 2. Problem structure structured problem: the nature of the existing problem and its context is well-defined unstructured problem: little problem and context definition a common by-product associated with structured and unstructured problems is role clarity and role ambiguity, respectively 3. Conflict intra-individual conflict psychological in nature we are frequently trapped by our own history, preferences, training, and biases interpersonal conflict disagreements over desirability of outcomes and/or the means of achieving outcomes few organizational decisions are likely to be unanimous or uncompromised 4. Politics activities oriented toward increasing one’s power base over others 9-1 9 Organizational Decision Making attempts to overcome opposition through coalitions bargaining trading support across issues working to achieve key positions controlling resources Key Point: The decisions which emerge when organizational politics are at work are commonly focused on that which is desired by one or more intra-organizational interest groups, as opposed to that which is good for the organization as a whole. C. Types of Decisions 1. Means vs. ends decisions means decisions: focus on how the goal will be reached ends decisions: focus on the goals (outcomes) that will be pursued means and ends decisions are often linked together ends decisions are more likely to be successful when combined with means decisions 2. Decision levels strategic decisions strategies for positioning the organization in the external environment e.g., deciding to market products in a new state managerial (tactical) decisions specify how an organization intends to integrate its institutional level with its technical core, and how it will coordinate work systems within the technical core e.g., how will we allocate resources for the expansion into a new state? operating decisions day-to-day operations of the organization e.g., how will we coordinate daily activities to handle the expanded operations? Key Point: Decisions made at one level are likely to be felt at many levels. Operating decisions ultimately affect strategic decisions, just as strategic decisions affect decisions made at lower levels. 3. 4. 2 Programmed vs. nonprogrammed decisions programmed: routine to deal with frequently occurring situations much more efficient to use a programmed decision than to make a new decision for each similar situation managers make a real decision only once -- when the program is created results in the formulation of rules, policies, procedures nonprogrammed: made in unique situations tend to arise out of unstructured problems in traditional structures, nonprogrammed decisions are made mostly by upper management in high involvement organizations, more nonprogrammed decisions are made in the technical core Other decision types functional decisions: relate to each of the organization’s functional areas job content decisions: focus on the nature of the job itself job context decisions: focus on issues surrounding the job Decision Making Process and Managerial Practices A. A Systematic Approach to the Decision Making Process 1. Step 1: recognizing the need for a decision 9-2 9 Organizational Decision Making starts with a triggering of the sensation part of the perceptual process detection of symptoms: upon detecting the need for a decision, the decision maker needs to identify the problem exactly and define the situation in detail Key Point: Frequently, decision makers fail to explore the context sufficiently and come to believe that the symptom is actually the problem. Efforts are made to get rid of the symptom, only to discover that the symptom is actually the problem. decomposition process: breaking a problem into a series of subproblems, analyzing the subproblems, and recombining them into an analyzed whole guidelines differentiate between events and others’ interpretations of the events identify whether the available information is fact or opinion determine the underlying cause, rather than placing blame or giving credit look for several causes be specific in the diagnosis of a problem Key Point: The high achieving organizations will be those that have developed the ability to scan their internal and external environments, identifying and seizing opportunities for change through decisions. 2. 3. 4. B. Figure 9-3 p. 316 Step 2: generating alternative solutions specify the goals that should be achieved through the decision existing solutions: alternatives that have been used (or considered) by other decision makers in similar situations can be seen as programmed solutions frequently adapted to new situations in failing to consider fresh information, managers might define problems poorly and identify solutions inadequately custom solutions: developed specifically for a current situation called for by unstructured problems at this stage, creativity is needed work hard at seeing and listening to the environment multiple ideas must be generated Step 3: evaluating the alternatives use research, experimentation, and past experience how well does each alternative meet the specified goals and objectives? evaluate the feasibility of each alternative some possible questions how much would the alternative cost? would it be acceptable to those who have to make it work? what risks are there? are there any legal, regulatory, social responsibility, or ethical barriers? how would it influence other aspects of the organization? Step 4: choosing an alternative quantitative-based tools (e.g., queuing models, break-even analysis) quantitative-based tools (e.g., delphi, synetics, nominal group technique) three decision approaches: optimizing: finding the best possible decision maximizing: find the decision which meets the maximum number of criteria satisficing: try to find the first satisfactory solution decision makers often settle for satisficing many decisions are made through compromises, which are difficult to keep objective Contingency Approaches to Decision Making 1. The Thompson and Tudin model 9-3 9 Organizational Decision Making 2. Figure 9-4 p. 319 C. two critical situational conditions guiding the selection of a decision strategy preferences about outcome (agree/disagree) belief about causation (agree/disagree) computational approach when there is agreement on the desired outcomes and a body of knowledge for proceeding an expert interprets the existing body of knowledge, makes the decision, and directs others on how to respond judgmental approach when there is agreement on the desired outcomes, but no body of knowledge experts are asked to share their knowledge & opinions creativity is used to develop solutions in the face of uncertainty majority rule is often used compromise approach when there is disagreement on the desired outcomes, but a body of knowledge participation from members of each preference group is needed (limited in size) the top priority must be resolution of conflict each group must have access to all relevant information and veto power over emerging decisions inspirational approach when there is disagreement on the desired outcomes and no body of knowledge researchers have been unable to identify a successful strategy in this situation need for commitment to finding a resolution, continued dialogue, and information sharing need creativity and intuition task uncertainty, task interdependence, and social system size play a major role influencing the use of hierarchical, group, and individual approaches to decision making The decision tree a tool to help managers decide the extent to which subordinates should be involved in the decision making process five possible approaches Autocratic I (AI): a manager makes plans and decisions alone Autocratic II (AII): a manager asks for information from subordinates, then makes plans and decisions alone Consultative I (CI): a manager shares the situation with subordinates and asks each individually for information and evaluation, then makes plans and decisions alone Consultative II (CII): a manager shares the situation with subordinates as a group and asks the group for information and evaluation, then makes plans and decisions alone Group (G): a manager shares the situation with subordinates as a group and asks the group for information and evaluation, then accepts and implements the plan or decision agreed on by the group degree of employee participation in the decision making process depends upon nature of the problem required level of decision quality importance of subordinates’ commitment to the decision groups should make the decision when low required quality of the decision high need for subordinate commitment to the decision if the manager were to make the decision him/herself, subordinates would not be committed to the decision manager should make the decision when low required quality of the decision low need for subordinate commitment to the decision Muddling Through 1. Managers typically do not make decisions deliberately and systematically. 9-4 9 Organizational Decision Making 2. 3. 4. D. Much of organizational decision making occurs in an uncertain climate, among several other activities, and influenced by organizational politics. It is common to observe decision making that represents small adjustments to the status quo. (incremental approach to decision-making) Incrementalism can be especially effective in unstable environments Typical Managerial Practices 1. Many behaviors are not conscious in nature and are driven by habit. 2. A manager who has internalized organizational goals and has a good sense of the managerial process may be able to solve uncomplicated problems from instinct. Key Point: It is important for managers to be able to diagnose the situations that they face, to judge the importance of a decision, and to determine whether to decide systematically or instinctively. 3. The need for a more systematic approach to decision making increases as size and length of commitment expands flexibility of plans diminishes uncertainty increases human impact of the decision rises 4. “Garbage can” approach to decision making: a random, illogical decision making process 5. Managers seldom progress smoothly through the stages of decision making. 6. Failures due to undesired results and poor planning frequently force a return to earlier stages of the process. An Inside Look: A Great Management Decision In 1998, Management Review compiled a list of the 75 Greatest Management Decisions Ever Made. Below are two recent examples of great management decisions that have influenced the way that businesses operate. The Tylenol Poisoning Episode. In 1982, Tylenol capsules were found to be tainted with poison. Parent company Johnson & Johnson immediately pulled Tylenol from store shelves and was open with the media about the catastrophe. Their honesty worked to their advantage and led to even greater customer trust in the product and the company. The Malden Mills Fire. In 1995, a fire destroyed nearly the entire operation of clothing manufacturer Malden Mills. The head of Malden Mills, Aaron Feuerstein, retained his entire work force of 2400 employees and paid them out of his own pocket. Employee loyalty and gratitude paid off in the form of exceptional productivity, and Malden Mills was back on its feet in three months and became more profitable than ever. Both Tylenol and Malden Mills are examples of ideal management decisions. They combine luck, intuition, and hard work and involve significant risks. They also demonstrate ethical management behavior. Not every management decision will succeed, but the important thing for managers to remember is to keep trying and to learn from one’s mistakes and failures. 3 Problems in the Decision Making Process A. Misunderstanding the Situation 1. If information is incomplete or poorly organized, it is easy to misconstrue the situation. 2. Because abstract information is more difficult to identify, it frequently goes unnoticed. 3. Perceptions of and reactions to situations aren’t always accurate. 4. Managers can mistake the symptoms of a problem for the problem itself. B. Rushing the Decision Making Process 1. Results in inadequately defined problems, limited searches for solutions, and inadequately evaluated decisions. 2. Because many decision makers dislike uncertainty, they tend to overlook unusual 9-5 9 Organizational Decision Making 3. alternatives in favor of readily available and previously used alternatives. Rushing the process inhibits “hitchhiking”: developing new ideas from earlier ideas. Key Point: When decision makers simultaneously generate and evaluate ideas, they cannot grow into fully formed possibilities. 4 Improving Decision Making A. Improving the Roles of Individuals 1. Use heterogeneous groups. expand information base encourage thorough definition of problems, searches for alternatives, and evaluations of alternatives 2. Use a devil’s advocate whose role is to challenge alternatives and tentative decisions. 3. Many reward and penalty systems discourage employees from identifying decision making opportunities. people are often rewarded only for doing what they are told as a result, many existing problems and opportunities go unnoticed 4. Some organizations do encourage employees to look for new opportunities. 5. 6. 3M Corporation systematically encourages employees to search for new opportunities. employees devote a portion of their workday to searching for opportunities led to development of the Post-it Note Employees should be trained in systematic decision making provided with the tools for information collection allowed adequate time to make a decision supported with reward systems B. Structured Group Decision Making Processes 1. There is evidence that groups can significantly enhance the quality of decision making. 2. Managers need to learn how to use groups effectively. 3. This will be discussed further in Part Four. C. Organizational Learning 1. Efforts to create a learning organization have been undertaken by many major firms. 2. Organizational learning: the process by which organizations gain new knowledge and insights that lead to a modification in behavior and action. occurs through shared insights, knowledge, and mental models expansion of the capacity to create and produce new and improved results 3. To maintain or develop a capacity to learn, organizations must have: an explicit commitment to educational ideas the promotion of policies that emphasize curiosity, experimentation and learning; permit failure; and reward discovery an allocation of organizational resources to support learning a system for collecting, storing, and processing information an opening of internal boundaries so that information can flow more freely - vertically, horizontally, and diagonally within the organization the creation of a participative philosophy and practices to support it so that organizational members become aware of what is learned and collaborate on decision making and problem solving Key Point: Organizations that can handle the vast number of decision-making and problemsolving occasions that confront them are strongly influenced by their ability to learn. 9-6 9 Organizational Decision Making 5 Models of Individual Decision Making A. Table 9-1 p. 327 A Classical (Rational/Economic) Decision Making Model 1. This model was most popular during the early 1900’s. 2. Portrays decision makers as rational, dealing with objective and verifiable facts, and economically motivated. 3. Objective rationality: selecting the “one best” alternative by following the decision making process portrayed in Figure 9-1, p. 307. 4. Discounts the effects of attitudes, emotions, or personal preferences. B. A Behavioral (Administrative) Decision Making Model 1. It is unrealistic to think that we always make decisions based on objective rationality. 2. Most decision makers satisfice (choose the first satisfactory solution identified). 3. Bounded rationality behaving rationally within the limits of our information-processing capabilities within the context of our attitudes and emotions C. Individual Differences in Decision Making 1. Cognitive attributes intelligence, learning, remembering, and thinking affect judgmental aspects of decision making 2. cognitive attributes affect problem recognition, comprehension, and diagnosis storage, retrieval, and assimilation of information for developing and evaluating alternatives decision makers with greater capacity tend to become more abstract decision makers Personality attributes affect decision making style reflected in speed of decision making level of risk taking confidence in choice of a decision high risk propensity: make rapid decisions; process less information and spend less time evaluating alternatives dogmatic: fixed, narrow life perspectives; consider only the small set of alternatives that fit their view of the world impatient, competitive: process information quickly and aggressively; make decisions quickly calm, reflective: good at long-term planning and decision making tolerance for ambiguity low (problem avoiders): more likely to select alternatives with fairly certain consequences; ignore the first signs of an unexpected problems intermediate (problem solvers): anticipate difficulties & deal with them as they arise high (problem seekers): derive satisfaction from conquering uncertainty; behave as entrepreneurs Self-Assessment: Tolerance for Ambiguity, p. 329 6 Employee Reactions to Organizational Decision Making A. Participative Decision Making 1. Involving those who will be affected in the decision making process. 2. Participative decision making should be viewed in degrees of participation. 3. Other dimensions 9-7 9 Organizational Decision Making Figure 9-5 p. 331 4. 5. 6. job context vs. job content decisions within vs. across functional area decisions within organizational level vs. across level decisions Why/how does employee participation in decision making lead to job satisfaction? cognitive model: others’ involvement in the process increases the amount of available information and ideas results in better decisions and subsequent performance effects affective model: feelings of involvement are satisfying Kurt Lewin: democratic leadership leads to group mindedness, friendliness, and higher productivity in the absence of the leader While the research evidence has generated inconsistent observations, there appears to be a positive relationship between participation in decision making and job satisfaction. Key Point: It is important to remember that while participation may enhance the quality of decisions made, these decisions still need to be successfully implemented before the performance effects associated with participation can be realized. B. Figure 9-6 p. 334 Figure 9-7 p. 334 7. There is evidence that structured forms of group decision making are productive in terms of number of ideas generated idea uniqueness and creativity number of alternative solutions for the decision making process 8. Lawler: 4 critical requirements for employees participating in decision making skills and abilities to be effective contributors have the information necessary to make a contribution have the power to make something meaningful happen have the opportunity to participate in a gainsharing program to give them a reason for investing time and energy Distributive and Procedural Justice 1. Distributive justice: fairness in outcomes stemming from organizational decisions has been realized when an organizational member feels that there is a balance in what the organization receives and what is given operates at a personal level 2. Procedural justice: fairness in the processes employed to achieve an end focuses on how the outcomes are determined 3. Every organizational decision has the potential to be experienced from both a procedural and distributive justice perspective. 4. The highest levels of satisfaction will come from the experience of both procedural and distributive justice. 5. Researchers have observed a positive relationship between experiences of procedural justice and job satisfaction, commitment, and trust in the organization. Key Point: When hierarchical decision making processes are necessary, it is important for managers to let employees see that the procedure is fair (procedural justice), to reduce the likelihood of an adverse impact on satisfaction, commitment, and trust. Figure 9-8 p. 335 7 6. Procedural rules procedures should be consistent across people and over time decision makers should not be influenced by personal self-interest decisions should be based on good information and informed opinion opportunities should exist to modify or reverse bad decisions processes should represent the concerns of all affected subgroups and individuals processes should be compatible with prevailing moral and ethical standards Control- and Involvement-Oriented Approaches to Decision Making 9-8 9 Organizational Decision Making Figure 9-9 p. 337 involvement-oriented practices encourage decisions being made close to the point in the organization where the decision will be carried out control-oriented processes attempt to minimize the amount of risk and uncertainty confronting lower-level decision makers An Inside Look: Decision Scenarios A Control-Oriented Management Approach A manufacturing decision in a control-oriented organization is about to be made by the general manager. He has thought through the problem himself and discussed it with other individuals in the organization, and now must get his ideas approved from his superiors before he can implement them. The proposal is approved by the Vice President of Manufacturing, who then presents it to the executive committee and gives them time to review the proposal. The committee then advises the company president of their recommendations, and he decides to approve the proposal. News of the approval then travels back down the chain of command for implementation. An Involvement-Oriented Management Approach Workers who make greeting cards are no longer housed in functionally pure departments; instead, writers, artists, accountants, and lithographic personnel work together as a selfmanaging work team creating birthday cards. The team has a team leader who communicates with other teams, serves on an advisory customer group, and helps the organization’s administrative and strategic management teams. One of the teams has come up with an idea to make a major change in the manufacture of the greeting cards. As the production team creates its tentative proposal, the team leader carries the group’s thoughts and ideas to other teams in the organization, keeping them abreast of the proposal and carrying questions, concerns, and suggestions back to the team. The tentative proposal developed by the team is then sent out through email, and other teams from several different organizational areas are invited at several points during the process to give feedback to the production team. Throughout this process the proposal is strengthened, and commitment and ownership are attached to the proposal from throughout the organization. Discussion Questions: 1. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the control-oriented system? 2. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the involvement-oriented system? 3. Why do you think that so many organizations still use a control-oriented approach? Why is it so hard to change? 4. How does the manager’s role differ between the two systems? 9-9