Articles Use of antioxidant vitamins for the prevention of cardiovascular disease: meta-analysis of randomised trials Deepak P Vivekananthan, Marc S Penn, Shelly K Sapp, Amy Hsu, Eric J Topol Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, 9500 Euclid Avenue, NC-10, Cleveland, OH 44195, USA (D P Vivekananthan MD, M S Penn MD, Shelly K Sapp MS, A Hsu MS, E J Topol MD) Correspondence to: Dr Marc S Penn (e-mail:pennm@ccf.org) Summary Introduction Methods Results Discussion References Summary Introduction Oxidised LDL is thought to play an important part in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis. Observational studies have associated tocopherol (vitamin E), ß carotene, or both, with reductions in cardiovascular events, but not clinical trials. We did a meta-analysis to assess the effect of these compounds on long-term cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. Methods We analysed seven randomised trials of vitamin E treatment and, separately, eight of ß carotene treatment; all trials included 1000 or more patients. The dose range for vitamin E was 50800 IU, and for ß carotene was 15-50 mg. Follow-up ranged from 1·4 to 12·0 years. Findings The vitamin E trials involved a total of 81788 patients and the ß ca rotene trials 138113 in the all-cause mortality analyses. Vitamin E did not provide benefit in mortality compared with control treatment (11·3 vs 11·1%, odds ratio 1·02 [95% CI 0·98-1·06] p=0·42) or significantly decrease risk of cardiovascular death (6·0 vs 6·0%, p=0·86) or cerebrovascular accident (3·6 vs 3·5%, p=0·31). ß carotene led to a small but significant increase in all-cause mortality (7·4 vs 7·0%, 1·07 [1·02-1·11] p=0·003) and with a slight increase in cardiovascular death (3·4 vs 3·1%, 1·1 [1·03-1·17] p=0·003). No significant heterogeneity was noted for any analysis. Interpretation The lack of a salutary effect was seen consistently for various doses of vitamins in diverse populations. Our results, combined with the lack of mechanistic data for efficacy of vitamin E, do not support the routine use of vitamin E. Lancet 2003; 361: 2017-23 Introduction The oxidative-modification hypothesis of atherosclerosis1-4 has prompted the study of antioxidant vitamins in the prevention of the initiation and progression of cardiovascular disease. Preclinical studies suggested that supplementation of the diet with various compounds that have antioxidant properties before the development of vascular disease inhibited the atherogenic process. 5-9 These findings led to several large, prospective, cohort studies in human beings, in which significant reductions in mortality10 and cardiovascular events11,12 were identified in men and women taking antioxidant vitamins. However, sizeable randomised trials of antioxidant vitamins 13-17 have shown no such mortality reduction, although in one study non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) was significantly reduced.18 More importantly, in two randomised trials of ß carotene16,19 no benefit, and possibly an increased risk of cardiovascular events, was seen. Findings from small randomised studies of antioxidant vitamins have also suggested a potential harmful effect of antioxidant vitamins in patients with known or suspected coronary disease.20,21 Despite the absence of efficacy of antioxidant vitamins reported in larger randomised trials, two important opinion articles have favoured the universal use of multivitamins by consumers. 22,23 The multivitamins recommended, however, contain ß carotene and tocopherol (vitamin E), two compounds that have not been proven to reduce cardiovascular morbidity or mortality, and may adversely affect lipid concentrations when used at higher doses. 13,20 Since the use of antioxidant vitamins continues to grow, partly encouraged by physicians advocating their use, 24 we did a metaanalysis of randomised trials to find out what effect antioxidant vitamins have on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death. Methods Study population We did a MEDLINE search to identify all randomised controlled trials of antioxidant vitamins in primary and secondary prevention. We used the search terms: "randomized controlled trials", "vitamin E", and "beta carotene". We did additional searches for known trial acronyms cited in review articles, and searched by hand the bibliographies of primary studies identified through the initial search. To limit the effects of publication bias of smaller trials we included only studies of 1000 or more patients. To reduce the possibility of confounding from inclusion of nutritionally deficient populations, our analysis was limited to studies in populations from developed countries without overt evidence of vitamin deficiencies. Two investigators (DPV and SKS) independently reviewed the primary studies to assess the appropriateness for inclusion in our analysis and data abstraction. Trial inclusion was based on the quality of the study's methods, including trial size, randomisation scheme, and use of an intentionto-treat analysis. The prospectively identified outcomes of interest included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, all-cause cerebrovascular accident, and non-fatal MI. Many trials did not report the individual rates of non-fatal MI and, therefore, we chose to use the more widely reported combined endpoint of cardiovascular death or non-fatal MI. We excluded trials without all-cause mortality data. We identified 12 trials for analysis (tables 1 and 2). Eight trials involving ß carotene alone or in combination with other antioxidants were analysed (table 1). We further classified the studies in our analysis by cardiovascular risk of the study population. Four studies were secondary prevention studies, defined as including patients with known or documented vascular disease, active tobacco use or asbestos exposure, or documented history of previous malignant disease. The AlphaTocopherol Beta Carotene Cancer Prevention Study (ATBC) 16 investigated the effects of ß carotene, vitamin E, or both, on the frequency of major cardiac events and rate of lung cancer in a population of middle-aged male smokers. The Beta Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial (CARET) 19 assessed efficacy and safety of ß carotene in men and women at high risk of lung cancer because of previous asbestos exposure or extensive cigarette smoking. The Heart Protection Study (HPS) 13 assessed the impact of an antioxidant vitamin combination (600 mg vitamin E, 250 mg vitamin C, and 20 mg ß carotene) on vascular and non-vascular mortality and morbidity among patients at high risk because of history of coronary disease, diabetes, or peripheral vascular disease. The Skin Cancer Prevention Study (SCP)25 assessed the efficacy of ß carotene in the secondary prevention of non-melanoma skin cancer among elderly patients who had a history of biopsy-proven basal-cell or squamous-cell carcinoma. Patients' characteristics Location of study population Number in Dose Treatment group ß Control carotene Trial Secondary prevention Length of follow-up (years) ATBC16* CARET19 HPS13* Age range 50-69 years; 100% male smokers (n=29133) Age range 45-69 years; former/active smokers or asbestos exposure; 66% male (n=18314) Southwestern Finland, multicentre USA, multicentre 14560 14573 20 mg four 6·1 times daily 9420 8894 15-30 mg 4·0 four times daily + 25 000 IU retinol 20 mg four 5·0 times daily Age range 40-80 years; UK, multicentre 10269 10267 known vascular disease or at-risk of vascular disease; 75% male (n=20536) 25 SCP Age <85 years (most <65 USA, 913 892 50 mg four 5·0 years); previous nonmulticentre times daily melanoma skin cancer; 69% male (n=1805) Primary prevention AREDS26* Age range 55-80 years; at- USA, 2370 2387 15 mg four 6·3 risk of cataract or vision multicentre times daily loss; 44% male (n=4757) NSCP27 Age range 20-69 years; at- Queensland, 820 801 30 mg four 4·5 risk of basal-cell or Australia times daily squamous-cell cancer; 44% multicentre male (n=1621) PHS28 Age range 40-84 years; no USA, 11036 1035 50 mg four 12·0 history of cancer or vascular multicentre times daily disease; 100% male physicians (n=22 071) WHS29* Age range >45 years; no USA, 19939 19937 50 mg four 2·1 history of cancer or vascular multicentre times disease; 100% female daily health professionals (n=39 876) *ß carotene taken as part of antioxidant cocktail or factorial randomisation including vitamin E. Table 1: Summary of randomised trials of ß carotene treatment Four ß-carotene trials were primary prevention studies or were among low-risk patients. The AgeRelated Eye Disease Study (AREDS)26 assessed the safety and efficacy of an antioxidant combination (15 mg ß carotene, 400 IU vitamin E, and 500 mg vitamin C) in the prevention of cataract formation and macular degeneration in middle-aged patients. The Nambour Skin Cancer Prevention (NSCP) trial27 investigated the effect of ß carotene on the rate of non-melanoma skin cancer in a young to middle-aged white population. In contrast to the SCP trial, a previous diagnosis of biopsy-proven skin malignant disease was not a requirement for study entry. The Physicians' Health Study (PHS)28 investigated the effect of supplementation with ß carotene on the frequency of cardiovascular disease or malignant neoplasms in male physicians with no history of vascular disease or malignant disease. Similarly, in the Women's Health Study (WHS), 29 female health professionals with no history of vascular disease or malignant disease were randomly assigned ß carotene or vitamin E in a two-by-two factorial design. Its aim was to assess the effect of antioxidant vitamin supplementation on the frequency of cardiovascular disease and malignant disease. We identified seven trials involving vitamin E alone or in combination with other antioxidants, which we assessed in a separate analysis. Most of these trials studied the efficacy of vitamin E in secondary prevention (table 2). In addition to ATBC16 and HPS,13 the secondary prevention trials were the Cambridge Heart Antioxidant Study (CHAOS),18 the Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell'Infarto miocardico (GISSI) Prevention Study, 17 and the Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation (HOPE) study.15 The goal of CHAOS was to study the efficacy of vitamin E in the prevention of cardiovascular death or non-fatal MI in patients with angiographically documented coronary disease. Similarly, GISSI assessed the efficacy of vitamin E on cardiovascular death, nonfatal MI, or stroke in patients with recent MI ( 3 months). In addition to AREDS, the Primary Prevention Project (PPP)14 studied the efficacy of vitamin E among patients who had one or more cardiovascular risk factors, including hypertension, diabetes, or early family history of coronary disease. In HPS and AREDS, patients were randomly assigned antioxidant combinations containing ß carotene and vitamin E. ATBC and WHS used two-by-two factorial designs for randomisation, in which participants received vitamin E alone, ß carotene alone, both vitamins, or neither vitamin. These trials were included in each of the individual meta-analyses for ß carotene and vitamin E. The WHS study has not yet reported the results of the vitamin E randomisation and, therefore, we did not include this study in the vitamin E analysis. Patients' characteristics Trial Secondary prevention ATBC16* Mean age 57 years; male smokers without known lung cancer (n=29133) 18 CHAOS † Median age 62 years; angiographically proven CAD; 84% male (n=2002) 17 GISSI Survivors of recent MI (<3 months); 85% male (n=11324) HOPE15† Mean age 66 years; known cardiovascular disease or diabetes; 73% male (n=9541) HPS13* Location of study Number in Dose Length of population treatment group follow-up (years) Vitamin Control E Southwestern 14564 Finland, multicentre 14569 50 mg 6·1 UK, single centre 1035 967 1·4 Italy, multicentre 5660 5664 400800 IU 300 mg Multinational: Canada, USA, Europe, South America UK, multicentre 4761 4780 400 IU 4·5 3·5 Age range 40-80 years; 10269 10267 600 5·0 known vascular disease or atmg risk of vascular disease; 75% male (n=20536) Primary prevention AREDS26* Age range 55-80 years; atUSA, multicentre 2370 2387 400 6·3 risk of cataract of vision loss; IU 44% male (n=4757) 14 PPP Mean age 64·4 years; primary Italy, multicentre 2231 2264 300 3·6 prevention in patients with at mg least one risk factor; 57% male (n=4495) *Vitamin E as part of antioxidant cocktail or factorial randomisation including ß carotene. †Vitamin E from natural sources. Table 2: Summary of randomised trials of vitamin E treatment Statistical analysis We compared findings in an intention-to-treat analysis. The frequency of each cardiovascular endpoint for patients receiving vitamin treatment and those not receiving treatment was assessed from the primary publication source. The researchers from the studies were contacted for data missing in the original publication. Within each study, we used a 2 test to assess the effect of vitamin treatment, and odds ratios and 95% CI were calculated. We took p<0·05 to be significant. We used a Breslow-Day test to test the homogeneity of the odds ratios across the trials, for which p<0·05 was deemed significant. Cochran-Mantel Haenszel tests were used to investigate the effect of vitamin therapy on each endpoint across the ß carotene and, separately, across vitamin E trials, and pooled odds ratios and 95% CI were calculated. Results In total, 138113 patients were assigned ß carotene or control treatment (table 1). The all-cause mortality rate was 7·4% in the ß carotene group and 7·0% in the control group (figure 1). The odds ratio of all-cause death for patients treated with ß carotene was slightly increased (1·07 [95%CI 1·02-1·11] p=0·003). The endpoint of cardiovascular death was assessed in six trials, involving 131551 patients. The rate of death from cardiovascular causes was 3·4% in the ßcarotene group and 3·1% in the control group (figure 2). The odds ratio for cardiovascular death with ß carotene treatment was also slightly increased (1·1 [1·03-1·17] p=0·003). All-cause cerebrovascular accident was adjudicated in three trials (figure 3). In the HPS, PHS, and WHS trials combined, the rate of cerebrovascular accident did not differ significantly between patients treated with ß carotene and those treated with control treatment (2·3 vs 2·3%, 1·0 [0·91-1·09] p=0·92). The Breslow-Day test for homogeneity of the odds ratios for these analyses was not significant. Figure 1: Odds ratios (95% CI) of all-cause mortality for individuals treated with ß carotene or control therapy Figure 2: Odds ratios (95% CI) of cardiovascular death for individuals treated with ß carotene or control therapy Figure 3: Odds ratios (95% CI) of all-cause cerebrovascular accident for individuals treated with ß carotene or control therapy 81788 patients were included in the all-cause mortality analysis for vitamin E (table 2). Patients assigned vitamin E had a non-significant excess in mortality (11·3 vs 11·1%, 1·02 [0·98-1·06], p=0·42; figure 4). Vitamin E did not significantly lower cardiovascular mortality compared with control treatment (6·0 vs 6·0%, 1·0 [0·94-1·06], p=0·94; figure 5). The endpoint of cerebrovascular accidents was assessed in four vitamin E trials.13-15,17 Frequency of cerebrovascular accident did not differ between patients treated and those not treated with vitamin E (3·6 vs 3·5%, 1·02 [0·921·12], p=0·71; figure 6). The Breslow-Day test for these endpoints showed no significant homogeneity. The composite endpoint of cardiovascular death or non-fatal MI was assessed in 38367 patients across four trials (figure 7).13,14,17,18 The Breslow-Day analysis yielded p=0·053, which suggests heterogeneity among these trials. Treatment with vitamin E had no effect on this outcome (9·8 vs 9·8%, 1·0 [0·94-1·07], p=0·93). Figure 4: Odds ratios (95% CI) of all-cause mortality for individuals treated with vitamin E or control therapy Figure 5: Odds ratios (95% CI) of cardiovascular death for individuals treated with vitamin E or control therapy Figure 6: Odds ratios (95% CI) of all-cause stroke for individuals treated with vitamin E or control therapy Figure 7: Odds ratios (95% CI) of the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death or non-fatal MI for individuals treated with vitamin E or control therapy We did a supplementary meta-analysis, in which trials were classified according to use of vitamin E as primary or secondary prevention. Five trials,13,15-18 including 72536 patients, assessed all-cause mortality in secondary prevention trials. Treatment with vitamin E was not associated with an improvement in all-cause mortality (11·9 vs 11·7% 1·02 [0·97-1·06]) in this subgroup. Similarly, the two primary prevention trials,14,26 in which were included 9242 patients, showed no improvement in all-cause mortality (7·0 vs 6·6%, 1·06 [0·93-1·25]). The Breslow-Day test for these analyses was not significant. In an additional meta-analysis we included the results of the Secondary Prevention with Antioxidants of Cardiovascular Disease in Endstage Renal Disease (SPACE) trial30 and the Women's Angiographic Vitamin and Estrogen (WAVE) study,21 two randomised studies of vitamin E in selected populations that did not meet our selection criteria for inclusion in the main metaanalysis because of small sample sizes. We found no significant benefit or trend towards benefit of vitamin E on all-cause mortality (11·3 vs 11·1%, 1·02 [0·98-1·07]), cardiovascular death (6·0 vs 6·0%, 1·0 [0·95-1·06]), or risk of stroke (3·6 vs 3·5%, 1·02 [0·92-1·12]) with inclusion of these trials. The Breslow-Day test for these analyses remained non-significant. Discussion The small harmful effect we noted for ß carotene was driven by the increased risk reported in the CARET and ATBC studies, in which the patients were at high risk of lung cancer, and represented 34% of our total sample of patients. With the exception of the NSCP trial,27 the tendency towards a harmful effect on death was strikingly consistent across all major trials, including diverse populations. Our findings are especially concerning given that the relevant ß carotene doses are commonly used in preparations of over-the-counter vitamin supplements and are included in smaller doses in readily available multivitamin supplements that have been advocated for widespread use.22,23 The trend towards a beneficial effect of ß carotene treatment reported in NSCP requires further explanation. Patients in NSCP were generally younger than those in other studies and all patients were enrolled from Queensland, Australia. Therefore, the possibility of an interaction between ß carotene, age, and ethnic origin cannot be excluded. However, the small sample size and low number of events makes chance a likely explanation for the trial's findings. The initial enthusiasm for the clinical use of antioxidant vitamins in the prevention of cardiovascular disease stemmed from positive results in the preclinical setting. Animal data suggested antioxidants, particularly vitamin E, prevented initiation of disease progression in laboratory animals without known atherosclerosis.5,6 These early positive findings and the presumed safety of antioxidant supplementation led to large, prospective cohort studies, in which an association between antioxidant vitamin intake, serum vitamin concentrations, or both, and improved cardiovascular outcomes were reported.10-12,31 In an analysis from the Lipid Research Clinics' Primary Prevention Trial, men with serum carotenoid concentrations in the highest quartile had a 36% reduction in the risk of cardiovascular disease or non-fatal MI.31 A similar proportionate reduction in the risk of coronary disease was noted in men and women with the highest vitamin E intakes.11,12 However, findings were not confirmed in prospective cohort randomised trials, which suggests confounding. Other factors associated with improved cardiovascular outcomes, such as lifestyle, degree of fitness, and diet are difficult to assess precisely and were not fully accounted for in these prospective analyses. Moreover, the trials assessed vitamin supplement use and the association between food intake rich in antioxidants and subsequent cardiovascular events. Antioxidant-rich foods might provide other beneficial nutrients such as flavenoids and lycopenes not present in standard oral vitamin supplements. The natural forms of vitamins in food may have biological activity32 or potency33 different to those for synthetic vitamin compounds used in supplements. For instance, the natural form of vitamin E, or d- -tocopherol (1·5 IU/mg) is more bioavailable than the synthetic form, all-rac- -tocopherol 1·1 U/mg). Importantly, unlike most large-scale randomised trials of vitamin E, HOPE and CHAOS used the natural form, and, thus, the neutral findings in these trials on hard endpoints may refute the hypothesis of a differential clinical effect between natural and synthetic sources of tocopherol. Further study is needed to better understand the reason for the increased risk of death associated with ß carotene and the lack of clinical efficacy of vitamin E in the improvement of cardiovascular outcomes. Several plausible mechanisms have been suggested. ß carotene in particular is a poor inhibitor of in-vivo LDL oxidation.34 Moreover, cigarette smoke destabilises the ß carotene molecule resulting in abnormal signal transduction and the up-regulation of growth factors associated with tumorigenesis.35,36 Finally, ß carotene has adverse effects on lipids.37 Other studies may provide an explanation for the harmful or null effects of vitamin-E-based antioxidant treatment. In the HDLAtherosclerosis Treatment Study (HATS),20 an antioxidant combination including vitamin E (800 IU) blunted the HDL raising effect of niacin and simvastatin and resulted in poor clinical outcomes. The rise in HDL2, the protective fraction of HDL, was most noticeably lessened. Other workers have challenged the suggestion that vitamin E is a potent in-vivo inhibitor of LDL oxidation. In a randomised placebo-controlled study in healthy adults, involving doses of vitamin E as high as 2000 mg daily, Meagher and colleagues38 showed that the breakdown products of lipid peroxidation were unaffected despite a substantial increase in plasma vitamin E concentrations. Finally, some researchers have speculated that antioxidants are more effective in inhibiting the early stages of atherosclerosis, such as fatty-streak formation, than preventing sequelae in the advanced stages experienced by most patients participating in clinical trials. 39 The observed benefits of an antioxidant combination containing vitamin E in the prevention of early stages of cardiac transplant vasculopathy is consistent with this hypothesis.40 The issue of timing of antioxidant treatment is pertinent because the striking benefit of vitamin E reported in observational studies occurred in primary prevention settings among patients without documented vascular disease.11,12 Given that in only one randomised trial in our meta-analysis was vitamin E studied alone in primary prevention,14 our null results were driven by trials of vitamin E used as secondary prevention. Perhaps further study of vitamin E in primary prevention populations will, therefore, be of interest. In all animal studies in which a significant antiatherosclerotic effect of vitamin E has been reported, the vitamin E was started at the time of high-fat diet or before any histological evidence of neointimal or fatty-streak formation.7 That said, human trials that would start therapy in patients in their adult years are highly unlikely to show significant benefit. Our meta-analysis has several limitations. Although we clarified inconsistencies or missing data with the primary investigators, we did not reconfirm all published data with the primary researchers. Although we did not use a standard definition for clinically relevant endpoints, all-cause mortality data were available for all trials and this is an objective and unbiased endpoint. 41 Because of the lack of detailed outcome data, we were unable to assess the effect of antioxidant vitamins in specific cohorts of patients of interest with high oxidative stress, such as smokers and patients with diabetes and on haemodialysis. This point is notable because in one small randomised trial of antioxidant use in a renal dialysis population, MI was reduced by 70%. 30 However, among the 20536 patient HPS trial, which represents almost 25% of the patients assigned vitamin E in our analysis, no preferential benefit of antioxidant vitamins was seen in a subgroup analysis including active smokers and patients with diabetes. Another potential limitation is that we analysed the results of several large randomised trials that included diverse populations with a differential risk for development or progression of vascular disease. Several trials included patients at high-risk of lung cancer.16,19 Although the Breslow-Day test for heterogeneity was not significant, it may have been underpowered to detect small but clinically important differences between the trials. We focused mainly on cardiovascular outcomes, but antioxidants could have favourable effects in the prevention of cancer.42 Continuing studies will help to answer this question. We restricted our analysis to populations in developed countries without known vitamin deficiency. On the basis of the results of a randomised trial in nutritionally deficient Chinese, vitamin supplementation might have a role in this population43 or in patients with vitamin deficiencies secondary to malabsorption of fat-soluble vitamins. Finally, we saw no benefit from antioxidants in long-term outcomes, but this does not disprove the oxidative-modification hypothesis of atherosclerosis.39 Although the doses of antioxidant vitamins studied were much higher than the recommended daily allowances,44 and the trials that measured vitamin concentrations reported several-fold rises in plasma vitamin concentrations,13,16,18,19,25,26,28 no trial assessed efficacy of antioxidant supplementation by measuring markers of lipid peroxidation. Thus, the vitamins used might have been inadequately dosed,38 given to patients with low-level oxidative stress,39 or given too late in the course of cardiovascular disease to achieve a clinically relevant impact from inhibition of LDL oxidation. Given the results of this meta-analysis, the use of vitamin supplements containing ß carotene and vitamin A, ß carotene's biologically active metabolite, should be actively discouraged because this family of agents is associated with a small but significant excess of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death. We recommend that clinical studies of ß carotene should be discontinued because of its risks. When used as secondary prevention, vitamin E did not reduce the risk of cardiovascular endpoints. Furthermore, given our results and the lack of mechanistic data supporting efficacy of vitamin E as a potent antioxidant in vivo, we do not support the continued use of vitamin E treatment and discourage the inclusion of vitamin E in future primary and secondary prevention trials in patients at high risk of coronary artery disease. Conflict of interest statement None declared. Acknowledgments No funding source was used for this analysis. 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