Estimating the Global Extent of Boreal Forest Burning Using AVHRR 1 R.H. Fraser1, Z. Li2, and J. Cihlar2 Intermap Technologies (research associate at Canada Centre for Remote Sensing), 588 Booth St., Ottawa, ON, Canada K1A 0Y7; Email: rfraser@ccrs.nrcan.gc.ca; Tel: (613) 947-6613; Fax: (613) 947-1406 2 Canada Centre for Remote Sensing, Ottawa, ON, Canada Abstract—In this analysis we synergistically combined an AVHRR-based fire product, 10-day Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) composites, and global land cover classification to produce the first satellite-based estimate of global boreal forest burned area. The approach taken was to eliminate spurious hotspots using an NDVI composite and forest mask, then use remaining hotspots to “seed” an iterative burn-growing algorithm. The global extent of boreal burning in 1993 was estimated to be 6.0 million ha, a relatively modest level of burning compared to a 1987 estimate for eastern Asia. 2. INTRODUCTION The boreal biome, comprising about 25% of the world’s forest area, undergoes extensive periodic burning [1]. In order to estimate the quantity of boreal fire emissions (smoke aerosol, greenhouse gases) and their potential influence on the earth’s radiation budget, techniques must be developed to accurately measure the extent of burning. Satellite-based strategies for assessing boreal burning have relied on hotspot detection [2-3] and NDVI analysis [3-5]. Hotspot detection involves sensing thermal emissions from active fires using the mid-infrared channel aboard NOAAAVHRR, ERS-ATSR, or GOES-VAS instruments. NDVI analysis detects vegetation damage following fire, typically by comparing pre- and post-burn vegetation conditions. Each strategy has unique advantages; however, both are prone to producing significant commission error [3-5]. In this analysis, we synergistically combine these approaches to produce a global estimate of boreal forest burned area for 1993. 3. wide range of environments. We obtained lat/lon coordinates of all hotspots detected between April 1-Sept 1, 1993 from a preliminary release of the Fire Product. Hotspots lying north of 45 were extracted, then resampled to a 1-km grid registered to the equal-area, Interrupted Goode Homolosine projection. 10-day NDVI composites. AVHRR 10-day NDVI composites were obtained from the USGS EROS Distributed Active Archive Center (http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/landdaac/). Composites were created by applying the maximum NDVI criterion to AVHRR images collected over 10 day periods from a network of 29 HRPT stations. Images underwent standardised calibration, atmospheric correction, and geometric registration to Goode Homosoline. Individual 10-day composites were found to be severely affected by cloud contamination over boreal regions. The maximum NDVI from four 10-day composites were thus used to create a composite for the period Aug 21-Sept 30, 1993. This post-burn composite precedes seasonal vegetation senescence, yet includes most of the 1993 boreal fire season. NOAA/NASA Pathfinder 8-km resolution NDVI composites were also examined, but were found to show little or no signal from boreal burns due to cloud contamination and spatial aggregation. Land cover classification. A Global Land Cover Characteristics data set was produced by multitemporal, unsupervised clustering of the 10-day NDVI composites described above [7]. A mask of forested pixels lying north of 45 was created by separating the five forest types from 17 IGBP categories. Although the mask included some non-boreal forest, the 1993 burned areas almost entirely consisted of boreal forest. SATELLITE DATA BURNED AREA MAPPING Three global-scale, 1-km resolution products derived from NOAA-AVHRR were used in the burned area analysis: 1. Fire algorithm product. The IGBP-DIS Global Fire Product, produced by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, is the first global-scale analysis of fire (hotspot) distribution, covering an 18 month period beginning April, 1992 [6]. The IGBP fire algorithm detects potential hotspots using a mid-infrared (3.7 m) threshold, then confirms them using contextual information from background pixels. The contextual tests are designed to allow the algorithm to adapt to a The burn mapping procedure synergistically combines the three AVHRR products described above. It borrows from the HANDS (Hotspot and NDVI Differencing Synergy) algorithm [8], with modifications designed to cope with severe cloud contamination and noise inherent in the global NDVI composites. For example, only a post-burn NDVI composite is used rather than the difference between anniversary date composites. The general strategy is to first eliminate false hotspots using the forest mask, a filter, and post-burn NDVI composite (steps 1-3 below). Remaining confirmed hotspots are then used as “seeds” to initiate an iterative, burn-growing algorithm that is supervised by the post-burn NDVI (step 4). The processing steps are described below and illustrated in Figure 1. The effect that each step had on the computed burned area is shown in Table 1. Thresholds were derived by examining selected burns throughout the study region. Step 1. Apply forest mask. In the Global Fire Product, the IGBP algorithm was applied to all land cover types except water and desert. The IGBP land cover classification was therefore used to mask all other non-forest types from consideration. Step 2. Eliminate single hotspots. Single, non-connecting hotspot pixels are eliminated since they often represent noise in boreal environments (e.g., cloud edges or glint from small lakes). In addition, unlike tropical forest, small burns (<1 km2) are responsible for only a fraction of boreal burned area. If real hotspots are erroneously removed in this step, they are likely recovered in step 4. Step 3. Eliminate hotspots having high post-burn NDVI. Hotspot pixels having a post-burn NDVI greater than 0.5 are removed. Almost all real burned pixels were observed to have late summer NDVI values less than 0.5. Step 4. Apply burn-growing algorithm. After steps 1-3 eliminate most false hotspots, remaining hotspots typically exhibit a scattered, patchy distribution within burns (Fig.1b). To identify gaps missed by the hotspot algorithm, hotspots are used to “seed” an iterative burn-growing algorithm. At each iteration, a pixel is considered burned and is added to the hotspot mask if it satisfies three conditions: 1. The pixel is connected either directly or diagonally to at least one hotspot or previously identified burned pixel; 2. The pixel has an NDVI less than 0.5 in the post-burn composite; and 3. The pixel’s post-burn NDVI is not larger by more than 0.05 from the mean post-burn NDVI of neighbouring hotspots and previously identified burned pixels. This condition is more stringent than condition 2, and ensures that the growth algorithm does not extend beyond the true burn perimeter. It also provides a spatially variable threshold that can adapt to the unique vegetation and burning conditions within each burn. Based on the typical gap size between interspersed hotspots (e.g., Fig.1b), five iterations of the growth algorithm were found sufficient. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The IGBP hotspot algorithm was previously found capable of identifying the majority of burns within Canadian boreal forest [5]. However, it also detected a large number of false fires, appearing as either single pixels or clusters of pixels that had burned the previous year. The 1993 IGBP hotspot mask similarly includes a significant proportion of false hotspots over boreal regions (Table 1). The burned area algorithm used in the present analysis (steps 1-3) was Table 1. Affect of each algorithm step on burned area Algorithm step 1. All IGBP hotspots > 45N 2. Mask non-forest 3. Eliminate single hotspots 4. Post-burn, hotspot NDVI < 0.5 5. Apply growth algorithm (5) Burned area (ha) 17,225,000 4,930,700 3,392,500 1,582,500 6,015,500 effective in eliminating most of these false fires, leaving a patchy distribution of hotspots contained within real burns. A burn-growing algorithm (step 4) was then applied to identify any gaps that were not detected as hotspots. In most cases, the procedure results in an accurate depiction of burned area (Fig.1c) by comparison to the burned areas visible in the post-burn NDVI composite (Fig.1a) and to the spatial distribution of hotspots (Fig.1b). World-wide boreal forest burned area in 1993 was calculated to be 6.0 million ha, which is much larger than a previous estimate of 2.4 million ha for 1992 [9], but significantly smaller than a 1987 estimate (14 million ha) for east-Asian boreal forest [10]. Burned area within Canada was calculated to be 1.75 million ha, which agrees well with the official figure of 1.84 million ha from the Canada Forest Service [11]. Burning in Alaska affected 383,500 ha of forest, an area 33 percent larger (288,589 ha) than that recorded by the Alaska Fire Service [12]. Notwithstanding the overestimate for Alaska, the global estimate is expected to be conservative since the post-fire composite (Aug 21-Sept 30) preceded the end of fire season, and some burns undoubtedly contained no hotspots. While the burn mapping procedure was effective in eliminating false hotspots and identifying missed burned patches, its accuracy is ultimately constrained by the input data sets. For example, burned patches were not consistently visible in the post-burn NDVI composite due to cloud contamination or weak NDVI contrast with non-burned forest. In addition, geometric distortions caused by pixel overlap, off-nadir pixel growth, and misregistration may blur the burn signal [13]. In some regions, especially Alaska, these problems caused the burn-growing algorithm to extend beyond the true burn perimeter and overestimate burned area. Conversely, some large burned patches appeared to be underestimated where there was a small proportion of hotspots detected due to cloud cover. Despite these limitations, the synergy created by combining the three AVHRR data sets provides a more accurate representation of burned areas than is possible from hotspot detection alone. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Three global-scale NOAA-AVHRR products were combined to produce an estimate of worldwide boreal forest burned area in 1993. Cloud contamination in 10-day NDVI composites posed a significant problem, obscuring the burn signal in several areas. A comparison of the burned area (6.0 million ha) to estimates for previous years underscores the large inter-annual variability in boreal forest burning. classification,” Int. J. Remote. Sens., vol. 15, pp. 3,4733,491, 1994. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the Global Vegetation Monitoring Unit (Space Applications Institute, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy) for providing access to the preliminary version of the Global Fire Product. REFERENCES [1] M.G. Weber and B.J. Stocks, “Forest fires and sustainability in the boreal forests of Canada,” Ambio, vol. 27, pp. 545-550, 1998. [2] M.D. Flannigan, and T.H. Vonder Haar, “Forest fire monitoring using NOAA satellite AVHRR,” Can. J. For. Res., vol. 16, pp. 975-982, 1986. [3] Z. Li, J. Cihlar, L. Moreau, F. Huang, and B. Lee, “Monitoring fire activities in the boreal ecosystem,” J. Geophys. Res., vol. 102, pp. 29,611-29,624, 1997. 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Barber, “Monitoring the 1992 forest fires in the boreal ecosystem using NOAA AVHRR satellite imagery,” in Biomass Burning and Global Change. J.S. Levine, Ed. Cambridge:MIT Press, 1996, pp.795-801. [10] D.R. Cahoon, B.J. Stocks, J.S. Levine, W.R. Cofer, and J.M. Pierson, “Satellite analysis of the severe 1987 forest fires in northern China and southeastern Siberia,” J. Geophys. Res., vol. 99, pp. 18,627-18,638, 1994. [11] Canadian Council of Forest Ministers. National Forestry Database Program. Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada. [12] Personal communication, Alaska Fire Service, Bureau of Land Management, US Department of the Interior. [13] A. Moody, and A.H. Strahler, “Characteristics of composited AVHRR data and problems in their Figure 1 (a) post-burn NDVI composite where lighter greyshades represent smaller NDVI; (b) confirmed fire algorithm hotspot pixels (after applying steps 1-3); (c) final burned area mask after applying five iterations of burn-growing algorithm (step 4). The burns are located in eastern Russia.