WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION A Joint FAO/WFP Report on the Crop and Food Situation in the Country for the Development Partners Group (DPG) Meeting of July 2006. Highlights 1. FAO supplied 30 MT of emergency beans seeds in June to help farmers hit by floods in Moshi Rural and Hai Districts in Kilimanjaro region in May this year. 2. Twenty two (22) units of vaccines have been procured and nearly 100,000 units more will be procured soon to vaccinate female calves against East Cost Fever in the regions. Vaccination will help herd rebuilding after the animals suffered shock caused by the 2005/2006 long dry spell. 3. Processes are ongoing to procure seed for distribution in the unimodal rainfall areas hit by prolonged dry spell in the last production season. 4. The Ministry of Agriculture Food and Cooperatives is finalizing a report on the preliminary food crop production forecast for the 2005/06 season. The initial indication is that food crop production alone in 2005/06 will supply nearly 110 percent of national food requirements in the 2006/07 consumption year. 5. The UN World Food Programme Emergency Operation (EMOP) is going on in the targeted food deficit regions of northern, central and western Tanzania. 6. The Food Security Information Team (FSIT) will carryout rapid vulnerability assessment (RVA) in end of July 2006, in about 46 districts considered by the Ministry of agriculture, Food Security andCooperatives to be food insecure during 2006/07 market year. 1 UN/FAO 1. Kilimanjaro region was hit by floods in May this, particularly the districts of Moshi Rural and Hai. The floods caused loss of property and destroyed crops in fields. Government, using its own sources and donations from development partners, provide victims with emergency supplies. FAO contributed 30 MT of emergency beans seeds, distributed to farmers in last month. Farmers in Moshi Rural District got 20 MT while those in Hai District got 10 MT. The seeds are of short cycle varieties are expected to utilize mainly residual moisture and receeding flood water because the rainy season is over. 2. A long dry spell experienced during the 2005/2006 shortages of pasture and water for livestock causing animal deaths, loss of productivity and serious emaciations. Recovery takes time normally and stock rebuilding can take time as animals remain weak and highly susceptible to opportunistic diseases. To avert against these conditions and speed up regaining condition, government appealed through for donor contribution to vaccinating nearly 120,000 female calves against East Cost Fever (ECF), one of the major diseases that cause immense calves deaths. Donor response was very positive and with their contributions supplies sufficient to vaccinate 27,500 calves will be delivered early June in 20 districts (colored green in Figure 1) whereas procurement of additional nearly 100,000 units of vaccines for other affected locations is in progress. production year caused serious Figure 1: Districts under phase 1 of calves vaccination against ECF Source: FAO Representation, DSM 3. Processes are ongoing to procure seed for distribution in the unimodal rainfall areas hit by prolonged dry spell in the last production season. 4. The March-May 2006 rains were generally good in most parts of the country but below average in parts of the central regions and the south west. These rains resulted in satisfactory overall national crop production, which the Ministry of Agriculture Food and Cooperatives (MAFC) estimated through its recent preliminary food crop production forecast as potentially able to supply nearly 110 percent of national food requirements in the 2006/07 consumption year. This estimate, however, is before considering other factor such as: (i) rebuilding stocks that dwindled with widespread food shortages in the 2005/06 consumption year, (ii) domestic and cross border trade, (iii) as well as non food uses. 2 Although overall national food crop production is generally good, MAFC has predicted that in the 2006/07 consumption year potential food shortages are likely to prevail in some locations found in nearly 46 districts (colored yellow in Figure 2). The shortages are attributed mainly to rainfall anomalies like late onset, poor temporal distribution, low intensities and early cessation. Other reasons include floods, pests, vermins and farmers’ persistence to grow maize even in areas with unfavorable conditions. Satellite imagery shows that the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is above average in the western and southern parts of the country but below average in the northern highlands and the central regions (Figure 3). This situation is raising concern because vegetation conditions are poor in the predominantly pastoral and agro-pastoral livelihoods, where the livestock have not recovered fully from the 2005/06 insufficiency pasture and water shortages, which left many cattle dead and emaciated. Government and development partners should follow-up the situation very closely and intervene urgently in the even of further deterioration. Figure 2: Districts predicted to have food shortages in 2006/07 Figure 3: NDVI anomaly for June dekad 2; current vs long term average Source: USGS Source: MAFC 3 UN World Food Programme 5. UN WFP Emergency Operation (EMOP) The UN World Food Programme (UNWFP) Emergency Operation (EMOP) 10519 is going on in the targeted food deficit regions of northern, central and western Tanzania. As of 1 July 2006 UNWFP has provided a 2.5 month ration ending 31 July to 167,745 beneficiaries in 4 regions of Dodoma, Arusha, Kilimanjaro and Shinyanga. A total of 3677.40 MT of maize have been distributed, accounting to approximately 93% of the needs met for Phase One. The second phase of the EMOP started on third July 2006, covering the regions of Tabora, Singida, Mwanza and Shinyanga, in the unimodal rainfall areas. Some total of 8,317 MT of food are targeted for distribution to 198,038 beneficiaries. This will cover a period of July to the end of September 2006, with a provision of a 3.5 month ration to the most food insecure and destitute households. The EMOP 10519 will cost US$16,611,448 and as of 3rd July 2006, the UNWFP had received confirmed contributions totaling US$8,635,653 as shown on Table1. With EMOP contributions to date, 19,913 MT maize have been resourced. UN WFP: Confirmed Donor Contributions for EMOP Map 1: Targeted Regions for EMOP Phase One: May – July 2006 Phase Two: July – September 2006 Table 1: WFP: Confirmed Donor Contributions for EMOP Drought Response as of 3rd July 2006 Mara Donor Recd US$ Saudi Arabia 2,000,000 Canada Turkey Czech Republic Australia Netherlands 1,929,824 200,000 128,821 1,094,890 Sweden Private TOTAL Total Appeal Funding Gap Pledged US$ Kagera Shortfall US$ Mwanza Arusha Shinyanga Kilimanjaro Kigoma Tanga Tabora Singida Dodoma Dar-Es-Salaam 3,200,000 Rukwa Morogoro 82,118 8,635,653 Mbeya Iringa 16,611,448 7,975,795 Lindi Ruvuma Legend Phase I distribution Phase II distribution Phase I & II distribution 4 Mtwara 6 FOOD SECURITY ASSESSMENT The Food Security Information Teams (FSIT) is finalizing plans to carryout a rapid vulnerability assessment (RVA) in about 46 districts, which, according to the Preliminary Crop Production Forecast (PCPF) of the Ministry of Agriculture, Food Security and Cooperatives (MAFSC) are likely to be food insecure during the 2006/07 market year. The RVA is slated to take place during the last week of July and early August 2006, and will provide an input towards re-programming of the ongoing EMOP. During the assessment, the FSIT is intending to incorporate, in the food security assessment tools, the nutritional indicators particularly in areas, which have been repeatedly facing acute food shortages. 5