Supplementary figures Supplementary Figure 1. Figure S1. Long-term mean (1979-2004) Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP)1 seasonal precipitation totals (in mm) for December-February (left) and July-September (right). Precipitation over SE Brazil in DJF is related to the southward expansion and intensification of the South American summer monsoon, while in JAS precipitation is of extratropical nature and associated with midlatitude cyclonic activity over the South Atlantic. The South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), one of the main components of the SASM, appears on the map as an elongated NW-SE convective band that originates in the Amazon Basin, extending toward southeastern Brazil in summer and protruding into the subtropical South Atlantic Ocean2. The mean position of the SACZ on the Atlantic coast is at 24ºS, but it is also the primary source of summer precipitation in the study area. Numbers indicate locations mentioned in text: 1- Botuverá Cave, 2- IAEA station in Porto Alegre, Brazil. 1 Xie, P. & Arkin, P.A. Global Precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 2539–2558 (1997). 2 Carvalho, L, C. Jones & B. Liebmann. Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and large-scale convective patterns in the South Atlantic convergence zone. J. Climate, 15, 2377–2394 (2002). Supplementary Figure 2. a Mean monthly temperature (°C) 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 jan feb mar april may june july aug sept oct nov dec Mean monthly rainfall amount (mm) b 140 120 100 80 60 jan feb mar april may june july aug sept oct nov dec -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 dec nov oct sept aug july may june april mar -8 jan 18 Weighted mean monthly O (‰) -1 feb c Figure S2. Meteorological and isotopic data for precipitation from IAEA station at Porto Alegre: (a) monthly temperature, (b) monthly rainfall amount, (c) weighted mean monthly δ18O. Data from IAEA/WMO, 1994, Global Network for Isotopes in Precipitation (GNIP)12 Database. Supplementary Figure 3. b a -4.4 -2.8 A B C -4.8 13 18 C O -3.0 -3.2 -5.2 -5.6 -3.4 -6.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Distance along growth layer (cm) c -3.4 -3.2 -3.0 -2.8 18 O -3.0 -3.5 -4.0 13 C -4.5 -5.0 -5.5 -6.0 -6.5 2 R = 0.0441 n = 690 -7.0 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 18 O Figure S3. Isotope profiles and cross-plots (Hendy tests) for individual layers (plots a and b) and the entire along-axis data set (plot c) for stalagmite BT2. All layers have values of 18O < 0.4‰ and, with one exception, a lack of correlation between 13C and 18O. The distance from top for layers A, B and C is 39.3cm, 34.6cm, 16.5cm, respectively. The average width of stalagmite is 9cm at the level of layers A and B and 7cm at the level of layer C. The cross plot for the entire data set measured along the stable isotope longitudinal profile (c) shows an almost complete lack of correlation between 18O and 13C (r2 = 004) indicating a lack of kinetic fractionation effects. Supplementary Figure 4 Figure S4. Spectral analysis of the BT2 δ18O time series. Left hand figure is a color-contoured wavelet Morlet analysis of spectral power (interpolated data set has 100 years resolution; 1151 data points), with y axis the Fourier period (in ky) and the bottom axis age (in ky). The black contours enclose regions of greater than 95% confidence above a red-noise process. Spectral power is highest at a period of ~23 ky throughout the time series (b) Right hand figure is the global wavelet power spectrum (black line). The dashed line is the 95% significance level for a red-noise background. The center of the highest peak above the red noise is at a period of 23 ky.