Potential Effects of the Diversion of Freshwater Flow from Taylor Slough to the C-111 Canal on the Salinity, Hydrology, Prey-Base Fish Community and Roseate Spoonbill Nesting Population of Northeastern Florida Bay. Jerome J. Lorenz National Audubon Society, Tavernier, FL The preponderance of scientific evidence clearly indicates that the Northeastern Basin of Florida Bay (defined as the basin south of Little Madeira Bay, Joe Bay and Long Sound and east of the Black Betsy Keys) has become more saline. The changes in freshwater flow to Florida Bay resulting from upstream water management practices has been implicated in the increased salinity regime and in many of the adverse ecological changes that occurred to the ecosystem in the 1980’s and 1990’s. Freshwater orignitating from either Taylor Slough or the C111 Canal enters the Northeastern Basin via a broad swath of mangrove wetlands to the north. A currently accepted paradigm for restoring historically low salinity regimes of the Northeastern Basin is to move more fresh water across these wetlands, from both sources, and keep fresh water flowing from these wetlands into Florida Bay well into the dry season. I present evidence that re-establishing historic timing and distribution of freshwater flow may be as important, or more important, to achieving the goal of lower salinity than an increase in overall flow quantity. Estimates of historic flow indicate that the vast majority of freshwater reached the Northeastern Basin via Taylor Slough and predominantly entered the Bay through creeks in Little Madeira Bay and western Joe Bay. Significant flow also arrived at the Northeastern Basin via the Transverse Glades Sloughs; however, these flows were relatively small compared to that of Taylor Slough. Today’s water management practices have effectively reversed this situation, resulting in greatly reduced quantities of water flowing through Taylor Slough (compared to historic flows) and heavily augmented flows reaching the Long Sound area due to operation of the C-111 canal. Evidence is presented that suggests this redistribution of fresh water has resulted in increased and more variable salinity within the Northeastern Basin and the adjacent coastal wetlands. These salinity changes have been linked with lower secondary productivity in the prey-base fish community of these wetlands. Finally, the redistribution of flow from Taylor Slough to the C-111 Canal appears to have resulted in higher and more variable water levels on the coastal wetlands during the dry season. I will attempt to show that the increased dry season water levels, coupled with the previously mentioned reduction in prey-base fishes, has lowered the quality of these wetlands as foraging habitat for Roseate Spoonbills. This reduction in foraging ground quality has manifested itself in lower nesting success in spoonbills and may explain the observed decline in nesting effort within the Northeastern Basin since the early 1980’s. As with the salinity regime, a return to historic timing and distribution of freshwater flow would likely alleviate this situation. Lorenz, Jerome J. Tavernier Science Center, National Audubon Society, 115 Indian Mound Trail, Tavernier, FL, 33070. Phone 305-852-5092, Fax 305-8528012, jlorenz@audubon.org