1 1 2 3 S7. Recent shifts observed in breeding and wintering ranges of migrating birds in Europe (and some in northern America), linked at least in part to the global climate warming. Region Breeding N America N America NE Pacific Breeding N America UK Type of migration Number of taxa Taxon (species/subspecies) Short distance Snow Goose Anser caerulescens Short distance Short distance Short distance Canada Goose 1 Branta canadensis Black Brant 1 Branta bernicla nigricans Merlin 1 Falco columbarius richardsonii Short distance Common Redshank Tringa totanus, Sanderling Calidris alba, Dunlin Calidris alpina, Common Ringed Plover 6 Charadrius hiaticula, Grey Plover Pluvialis squatarola, Red Knot Calidris canutus Britain and Europe Short distance N America Short distance 1 Eurasian Oystercatcher Haematopus ostralegus, Common Ringed Plover Charadrius hiaticula, Northern 5 more than Lapwing Vanellus vanellus, above (i.e. 8 Purple Sandpiper Calidris including 3 in maritima, Dunlin Calidris alpina, common with Eurasian Curlew Numenius above) arquata, Common Redshank Tringa totanus, Ruddy Turnstone Arenaria interpres Rufous Hummingbird 1 Selasphorus rufus Trend Range shift category scored * Period Remarks References Reduction of migration distance (by up to 1200-1500 km) by winter A range shift northward Recent decades 2 Winter range shift northward A Recent decades 3 Winter ranges shift northward and reduction of migration distance A Recent decades 4 Winter range northward expansion A Recent decades 2 Shift of winter locations northward toward increasingly warmer winter climates closer to the northern breeding sites (shift also A longitudinally, to the east, due to WE winter T° gradient); reduction of migration distance 1969-1970 to 1997-1998 Among the 3 other species studied, 2 showed no sign of change (Eurasian Oystercatcher Haematopus ostralegus, Bar-tailed 5-7 Godwit Limosa lapponica), while 1 showed the reverse trend (Eurasian Curlew Numenius arquata). Shift - at least partially - of winter ranges essentially northward and/or eastward, up to 119 km, and A specifically reduction of migration distances toward breeding grounds 1984-1985 to 1997-1998 for Britain; and between 1980 and 2001 for whole Europe The only other species of the study (Sanderling Calidris alba) showed no sign of change. Shift of winter range northward Last 30 years A 8 9 2 Breeding Short central Europe distance N America Short (wintering New distance Hampshire) Breeding Netherlands Breeding central/S Europe Breeding France Short distance and partial Short distance and partial Short and long distance Short distance Breeding Lithuania Europe Short (breeding distance central Europe) Short and Breeding long central Europe distance Blackcap Sylvia atricapilla 1 Shift of winter range northward from Mediterranean to UK, and sedentarisation; change in direction, A and migration distance diminished by about 30% Recent decades Berthold et al. 1992 in ref. 10; refs. 2, 7, 11-13 Additionally 3 other possible cases (Fox Sparrow Passerella iliaca, Song Sparrow Melospiza 14 melodia and Whitethroated Sparrow Zonotrichia albicollis). Adriansen et al. 1993 in ref. 15; refs. 2, 10 Dark-eyed Junco Junco hyemalis 1 Winter range shift northward A Recent decades Great Crested Grebe Podiceps cristatus Increasing proportion of residents on breeding range B Recent decades Glossy Ibis Plegadis falcinellus 1 Starting wintering on breeding range B Recent decades 11 Black-crowned Night-heron Nycticorax nycticorax 1 Increasing proportion of residents on breeding range B Since the 1980s 2 Greater White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons 1 B essentially 19712000 1 Red Kite Milvus milvus 1 B Recent decades 2, 10 Ruff Philomachus pugnax 1 B Recent decades 2 Increasing numbers becoming resident on breeding range toward B the northern part of the total range, i.e. partial shift of winter range Recent decades 10 Increasing numbers wintering in central Europe on breeding range Recent decades 11 1 Lesser Black-backed Gull Larus fuscus, European Greenfinch Short Europe Carduelis chloris, 3 distance Yellowhammer Emberiza citrinella Short White Wagtail Motacilla alba, Breeding distance and Meadow Pipit Anthus pratensis, 3 central Europe partial Song Thrush Turdus philomelos Increasing proportion of residents on breeding range Increasing numbers becoming resident in central Europe on breeding range Increasing numbers wintering in central Europe on breeding range B 3 Breeding central Europe Europe (breeding central and W Europe) Breeding central Europe Short distance Common Stonechat Saxicola torquata 1 Short distance Common Chiffchaff Phylloscopus collybita 1 Partial Firecrest Regulus ignicapillus 1 Breeding Spain Long distance Great Reed-warbler Acrocephalus arundinaceus 1 Breeding Lithuania Short distance Mute Swan Cygnus olor 1 Europe (breeding Netherlands) Short distance Greylag Goose Anser anser 1 Breeding Lithuania, and Short other parts of N distance Europe Mallard Anas platyrhynchos 1 Breeding Lithuania Common Merganser Mergus merganser, Smew Mergellus albellus, White-winged Scoter Melanitta fusca, Long-tailed Duck Clangula hyemalis 4 Short distance Increasing numbers wintering in B central Europe on breeding range Increasing numbers wintering on breeding range toward the northern B part of the total range (central and W Europe) Increasing numbers wintering in B central Europe on breeding range Some now wintering on breeding B range in Spain Reduction of migration distance (by ca 450 km) by winter range shift northward; and increasing C proportion of residents on breeding range Winter range shift northward (from Spain to Netherlands), and reduction of migration distance; and C new resident population in the northern breeding range Reduction of migration distance (shortened by 350 km) by winter range shift northward; and C increasing numbers become resident toward the northern part of the total range Shortening of migration route: winter quarters coming closer to breeding sites; and increasing C proportion of residents on breeding range Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2, 7, 10 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2 essentially 19712000 1, 2 Recent decades 2, 10 Recent decades, at least since 1936, and most pronounced 19712000 1, 2, 10 essentially 19712000 1 4 Breeding Europe Short distance Breeding Partial central Europe Breeding central and N Europe Common Crane Grus grus Eurasian Skylark Alauda arvensis, European Robin Erithacus rubecula, Winter Wren 4 Troglodytes troglodytes, Chaffinch Fringilla coelebs Short Common Starling Sturnus distance and vulgaris partial Europe (breeding Partial central Europe) 1 Eurasian Bullfinch Pyrrhula pyrrhula Short and long UK Little Egret Egretta garzetta distance and partial Eurasian Collared-dove Central Europe Partial Streptopelia decaocto Laughing Dove Streptopelia Turkey Partial senegalensis 1 1 1 1 1 N Europe Short distance and Fieldfare Turdus pilaris partial 1 Breeding central and N Europe Short Eurasian Blackbird Turdus distance and merula partial 1 Increasing numbers wintering in Germany; increasing numbers becoming resident toward the northern part of the total range; and C globally shift of winter range northward (e.g. Middle East, S Europe), with reduction of migration distance Recent decades 2, 10, 16 Increasing numbers becoming resident; reduction of migration distance; shift of winter ranges northward Recent decades 11 Recent decades, notably 19662001 2 Recent decades 10, 11 Recent decades 7, 10 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 11 Recent decades 2, 10, 11 C Increasing numbers wintering in central Europe; shortening or C migration route, winter quarters becoming closer to breeding sites Increasing numbers becoming resident toward the northern part of the total range; reduction of C migration distance; shift of winter ranges northward Colonisation of UK by breeders, and increasing numbers becoming resident in UK D Shift of breeding range and D wintering range northward Shift of breeding range and D wintering range northward Shift of breeding range northward to Greenland (end of 1940s), followed D by increasing sedentarisation of new northern populations Increasing proportion of residents toward the northern part of the total D range; and also shift northward of breeding range to northern Europe 5 Breeding central and W Europe Short Black Redstart Phoenicurus distance and ochruros partial 1 Breeding central and N Europe Short Hedge Accentor Prunella distance and modularis partial 1 N Europe Short distance and European Serin Serinus serinus partial 1 Europe Bering Sea Islands Russia Morocco and Spain Turkey N Europe America N Europe UK Short distance Short distance Short distance Long distance Long distance and partial Short distance Long distance Long distance (to S Asia) Long distance Breeding N Short Europe (Baltic) distance 4 Black-winged Stilt Himantopus 1 himantopus Glaucous-winged Gull Larus 1 glaucescens Yellow-legged Gull Larus 1 cachinnans White-rumped Swift Apus caffer 1 Little Swift Apus affinis 1 Grey Wagtail Motacilla cinerea 1 Cerulean Warbler Dendroica cerulea 1 Colonisation of UK by new breeders; and also recent increasing D numbers wintering in central Europe Increasing numbers wintering in central Europe, and also shift of D breeding range northward to N Europe Shift of breeding range northward, followed by increasing D sedentarisation of new northern populations Shift of breeding range northward, E and increasing migration distance Shift of breeding range northward E Shift of breeding range northward, E and increasing migration distance Shift of breeding range northward, E and increasing migration distance Shift of breeding range northward, E and increasing migration distance Shift of breeding range northward, E and increasing migration distance Breeding range shift toward northE east Recent decades 2, 7, 11 Past century 2, 11 Recent decades 2, 10 Recent decades 2 Past century 17 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 2 Recent decades 18, 19 Greenish Warbler Phylloscopus 1 trochiloides Shift of breeding range northward to E N Europe Past century 11 Eurasian Golden-oriole Oriolus 1 oriolus Colonisation of UK by new breeders E During XXth century 7 Barnacle Goose Branta leucopsis 1 Shift of breeding grounds southward, closer to the winter grounds, by at least 1200 km F Recent decades, essentially since ca 1984 2, 10 6 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 *A, winter range shift northward and decrease of migration distance; B, increasing proportion of residents on breeding range (reflecting mean decrease of migration distance); C, winter range shift northward with decrease of migration distance, and increasing proportion of residents on breeding range; D, winter range shift northward and breeding range shift northward; no or unknown change in migration distance; E, breeding range shift northward and increase of migration distance; F, breeding range shift southward and decrease of migration distance. These categories are derived from the data in column ‘Trend’, summarising the observations in the corresponding references. The range shifts recorded are essentially latitudinal, although some winter range shifts have an important longitudinal component, due to the SW-NEoriented winter temperature gradient in NW Europe [ref. 6]. This record excludes: -Uncertain instances of range shift (e.g. winter range shift northward of Anser brachyrhynchus in Europe; ref. 10). -Range shifts of LD migrants documented only by change in distribution; in such cases absence of northward winter range shift would be artificial since they are hampered by the barrier of the Sahara Desert. On the other hand, range shifts documented by changes in proportions of residents are included. -Cases where the shift of one range is documented while no information is available concerning the other range (for instance the winter range of many LD and other migrants is too poorly monitored); in such cases changes in mean migration distance are unknown. -Shifts following anthropic introduction, or presumably natural colonisation, of populations in a new area, such as: Carpodacus mexicanus into the N American East Coast [ref. 20], Bubulcus ibis into the New World [refs. 2, 10], Sturnus vulgaris into N America [ref. 2]. In such cases the observed shifts directly depend on the new conditions encountered, rather than climate change. In addition, the response of such populations to local climatic conditions encountered depend on what part of the natural range the colonising individuals come from. For instance, shifts are likely to depend on whether the new population comes from the non-migrant tropical part, or the migrant temperate part of a source range. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Žalakevičius M (2002) Biophysical impacts of climate change on bird populations and migration in Lithuania. GeoJournal 57: 183-193 Fiedler W (2003) Recent changes in migratory behaviour of birds: a compilation of field observations and ringing data. In: Berthold P, Gwinner E, Sonnenschein E (eds) Avian Migration. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 21-37 Mowbray TB, Ely CR, Sedinger JS, Trost RE (2002) Canada Goose (Branta canadensis). In: Poole A, Gill F (eds) The Birds of North America. The Birds of North America, Inc, Philadelphia, PA, No 682 Ward DH, Reed A, Sedinger JS, Black JM, Derksen DV, Castelli PM (2005) North American Brant: effects of changes in habitat and climate on population dynamics. Global Change Biol 11: 869-880 Austin GE, Peachel I, Rehfish MM (2000) Regional trends in coastal wintering waders in Britain. Bird Study 47: 352-371 Austin GE, Rehfish MM (2005) Shifting nonbreeding distributions of migratory fauna in relation to climatic change. Global Change Biol 11: 31-38 7 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Robinson RA, Learmonth JA, Hutson AM, Macleod CD, Sparks TH, Leech DI, Pierce GJ, Rehfish MM, Crick HQP (2005) Climate change and migratory species. BTO Research Report 414: 1-304 Rehfish MM, Austin GE, Freeman SN, Armitage MJS, Burton NHK (2004) The possible impact of climate change on the future distributions and numbers of waders on Britain’s non-estuarine coast. Ibis 146: 70-81 Healy S, Calder WA (2006) Rufous Hummingbird (Selasphorus rufus). In: Poole A (ed) The Birds of North America Online. Ithaca: Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology. Retrieved from The Birds of North American Online database: <http://bna.birds.cornell.edu/BNA/account/Rufous_Hummingbird/>, doi:10.2173/bna.53, 2006) [online, 15 April 2007] Sutherland WJ (1998) Evidence for flexibility and constraint in migration systems. J Avian Biol 29: 441-446 Berthold P (1993) Bird Migration, a General Survey. Oxford Univ Press, Oxford Leech D (2002) The Effect of Climate Change on Birds. <http://www.bto.org/research/advice/ecc/eccsection5.htm>, cached copy at <http://www.webcitation.org/5NrCG41rK> [online, 4 April 2007] Clark JA, Robinson RA, Balmer DE, Adams SY, Collier MP, Grantham MJ, Blackburn JR, Griffin BM (2004) Bird ringing in Britain and Ireland in 2003. Ringing Migr 22: 85-127 Audubon Society of New Hampshire (2001) ASNH Winter Bird Survey, 2001 Backyard Winter Bird Survey Results. <http://www.nhaudubon.org/bwbs/2001summary.htm>, cached copy at <http://www.webcitation.org/5OMu6LdQd> [online, 25 April 2007] Pulido F, Berthold P, van Noordwijk AJ (1996) Frequency of migrants and migratory activity are genetically correlated in a bird population: evolutionary implications. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 93: 14642-14647 Alonso JC (2000) European cranes shift their wintering area northwards: new evidences from radiotagged birds. <http://www.ecwg.org/Research/4Wintering_Trends/winteringtrends.htm#Abstract>, cached copy at <http://www.webcitation.org/5NrC82hXD> [online, 4 April 2007], also published in Proceedings IV European Crane Worshop, Verdun, France, November 2000 Winker K, Gibson DD, Sowls AL, Lawhead BE, Martin PD, Hoberg EP, Causey D (2002) The birds of St. Matthew Island, Bering Sea. Wilson Bull 114: 491-509 Barg J, Jones J (2004) Migratory Bird Center, Bird of the Month, Cerulean Warbler. <http://nationalzoo.si.edu/ConservationAndScience/MigratoryBirds/Featured_Birds/default.cfm?bird=Cerulean%20Warbler>, cached copy at <http://www.webcitation.org/5OMvizsHJ> [online, 25 April 2007] Hamel PB, Dawson DK, Keyser PD (2004) How we can learn more about the Cerulean Warbler (Dendroica cerulea). Auk 121: 7-14 Able KP, Belthoff JR (1998) Rapid 'evolution' of migratory behaviour in the introduced House Finch of eastern North America. Proc R Soc London B 265: 2063-2071