The 1978 quick clay landslide at Rissa, mid Norway: subaqueous morphology and tsunami simulations J.-S. L'Heureux1*, R. S. Eilertsen2, S. Glimsdal3, D. Issler3 I.-L. Solberg1, C. B. Harbitz3 1. Geological Survey of Norway (NGU) & International Centre for Geohazards (ICG), Trondheim, Norway. *e-mail: jean.lheureux@ngu.no 2. Geological Survey of Norway (NGU), Tromsø, Norway 3. Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) & ICG, Oslo, Norway Abstract The 1978 landslide at Rissa is the largest to have struck Norway during the last century and is world-famous because it was filmed. Swath bathymetry data and seismic reflection profiles reveal detailed information about the subaqueous morphology of the mass-transport deposits (MTD). Results show that the landslide affected nearly 20 % of the lake floor and that it exhibits a complex morphology including distinct lobes, transversal ridges, longitudinal ridges, flow structures and rafted blocks. The rafted blocks found at the outer-rim of the MTD travelled a distance of over 1000 m in the early stage of the landslide on an almost flat basin floor. Simulation of sediment dynamics and tsunami modelling show that the rafted blocks most likely triggered the flood wave with a recorded maximum surface elevation of 6.8 m. Keywords Rissa landslide • quick clay • coastal setting • mass transport deposits • mobility • numerical simulations • tsunami modelling 1. Introduction Landslides are common in the sensitive marine clay deposits of Canada and Scandinavia. When occurring along fjords, lakes or rivers these landslides can generate destructive tsunamis. Although relatively rare, such events can cause much damage and loss of life. The increasing societal awareness for such natural hazards calls for a better understanding of the link between such landslides and their potential to generate tsunamis. The famous 1978 quick-clay landslide at Rissa is the largest to have struck Norway in the last century. Of the 40 people caught in the landslide, one person 2 J.S. L’Heureux et al. died. The water waves that were generated by the landslide as it entered Lake Botnen, caused flooding and much damage in the village at the other side of the lake. Run-up heights of up to 6.8 m were documented along the lakeshore (Fig. 1). In this paper we present an integrated and multi-disciplinary study focusing on the subaqueous morphology, mobility and tsunamigenic implication of the 1978 Rissa landslide. The aim is to better understand the failure and depositional processes of the Rissa landslide, and to discuss its implication on the generation of the tsunami waves. Additionally, the available detailed information on the Rissa landslide and tsunami (i.e. eye-witnesses and amateur videos) is used to constrain our tsunami simulations. 2. Setting and review of the 1978 landslide at Rissa Lake Botnen at Rissa is a 1 km narrow and 5 km long inlet connected to the Trondheimsfjord by a shallow river. Following the last glacial period, the area was subject to intense glacio-isostatic rebound and a relative fall of sea level. The marine limit lies at 160 m above the present sea level (Reite 1987). The lowlands along the shores of Lake Botnen are relatively flat and are almost entirely covered by thick glacio-marine and marine deposits, locally overlain by littoral deposits (Reite 1987). During their emergence in the Holocene, marine deposits were exposed to fresh groundwater flow and leaching of salts from the pore water which resulted in the development of very sensitive clay, i.e. quick clays (Rosenquist 1953). The 1978 landslide took place at the south-western corner of Lake Botnen (Fig. 1B). Gregersen (1981) described the landslide as a two-stage process. At first, an initial slide was triggered by excavation and stockpiling along the lakeshore. During this initial failure, 70–90 m of the shoreline slid out into the lake, including half of the recently placed earth-fill. The slide edges were 5–6 m high and extended 15–25 m inland. The landslide developed retrogressively in the south-western direction over the next 40 minutes. The sediments liquefied completely during the sliding and the debris literally poured into the lake. At this stage the landslide area took the shape of a long and narrow pit open towards the lake (Figs. 1–2). The initial landslide evacuation area covered a surface of 25–30,000 m2 (i.e. 6–8 % of the final slide area) (Gregersen 1981). The main landslide started almost immediately after retrogressive sliding had reached the boundaries of stage 1 (Fig. 1B). At this point, large flakes of dry crust (150 m 200 m) started moving towards the lake, not through the existing gate opening, but in the direction of the terrain slope onshore (see arrows; Fig. 1B). 3 Fig. 1 A) Location of Rissa in mid Norway and B) shaded relief image of Lake Botnen. Registered run-up heights from the generated tsunami following the 1978 landslide are shown around Lake Botnen in yellow (data from Larsen 1978). Also shown are the location of the initial slide and the flakes A and B that caused the tsunami. The black arrows indicate direction of movement. C) Picture of the Rissa landslide in 1978 (Photo: Aftenposten 1978). The velocity was initially moderate (flake A; Fig. 1B), of the order of 10–20 km/h, and increased to 30–40 km/h (flake B; Fig. 1B). Houses and farms can be seen floating on the sliding masses on the amateur videos. A series of smaller and retrogressive slides followed over a short period of time. The sliding process propagated to the mountain side where it stopped. The main sliding stage lasted for approximately 5 minutes and covered 92–94% of the total slide area (0.33 4 J.S. L’Heureux et al. 2 km ). The total volume of mobilized sediment has been estimated in the range of 5-6 x106 m3. 3. Data and methods Bathymetry data were acquired in 2010 using a 250 kHz interferometric sonar system (GeoAcoustics) mounted onboard of a 7 m long craft. Sound velocity in the water adjacent to the transmitters/receivers was measured with a Valport 650 Sound Velocity Profiler (SVP). These measurements were performed systematically to obtain optimal velocity profiles for calculation of water depths. Positioning was performed by means of differential GPS with an accuracy of ± 1 m. The bathymetric data are presented with a grid spacing of 1 m. During this survey, a grid of seismic data was also collected using a 3.5 kHz parametric sub-bottom profiler. Two-way travel time was converted to water depth and sediment thickness using a constant sound velocity of 1470 ms−1. 4. Subaqueous morphology Bathymetry data from Lake Botnen reveal a gently dipping basin with steep shoreline slopes (up to 35°). The basin reaches a maximum water depth of 38 m in the central part of the lake. The 1978 mass-transport deposits (MTD) are clearly identified in the southern part of the basin and described below. 4.1. Initial failure area Outside the area of the initial landslide, the bathymetry data reveals a 135 m long and 4 m high shore-parallel escarpment (Fig. 2). The escarpment extends for more than 100 m to the north in the basin and is draped by a thin veneer of sediments with scattered hummocks (up to 10 m wide). The source of this drape is ascribed to the sediment from the SW-NE oriented, narrow, landslide pit that developed in the first stage of the landslide (Fig. 1). A morphological high is present to the west of the initial slide (Fig. 2). This high, interpreted as bedrock from seismic data, constrained the displacements in the initial stage and forced the main landslide event to open a new gate to the west (see main gate; Fig. 2). The bathymetry data also reveal a ridge and trough morphology between the morphological high and the initial slide escarpment (Fig. 2). These morphological features show a staircase pattern and could be indicative of lateral spreading off the lakeshore in the early stage of the landslide. 5 Pockmarks are identified at several locations on the lake floor (Figs. 1–3). These crater–like features, which are up to 60 m wide and 4 m deep, occur at the foot of the shoreline slopes and could testify to high pore-pressure gradients in the near-shore sediments. It is therefore likely that naturally driven excess pore pressures contributed to the onset of failure in 1978. Fig. 2 Shaded relief image with morphological interpretation of the 1978 landslide deposits. 4.2. Main slide body Deposits from the main landslide cover a large portion of the basin floor (up to 20 % of the lake). The total area covered by the landslide deposits is 0.76 km 2 and the maximum length of 1.2 km. Seismic data show an average thickness of 6–8 m and thus a total volume of 4.4–5.8 106 m3 (Fig. 3). Two types of MTDs are identified on the shaded relief image (Fig. 2). The first type consists of well- 6 J.S. L’Heureux et al. constrained sediment lobes of fine grained sediments and containing randomly deposited small blocks/hummocks (less than 20 m in diameter). The lobes show many flow structures, whereas the blocks have a semicircular to triangular footprint. The distal portion of the lobes is characterized by arcuate pressure ridges up to 100–200 m long (Fig. 2). Such ridges are usually compressional and are mainly associated with flow deceleration combined with continued sediment flow piling up (Posamentier and Kolla 2003). A 400 m long and up to 1 m high longitudinal ridge also occurs on the basin floor in the vicinity of the lobes (Fig. 2). Fig. 3 Seismic reflection profile NGU-1008123 showing the thickness of the 1978 landslide deposits. Note also the pockmarks in front of the landslide deposits. Part of the sediment lobes can be traced back to the open gate west of the morphological high (Fig. 2). The character of the lobes suggests that they were deposited in the later stage of the landslide when the clay and debris completely liquefied. The longitudinal ridge may result from simultaneous flows of different velocity, combined with eddies generated to the north of the morphological high since large swirls were witnessed in the lake during the event. Additionally, some of the hummocks on the basin floor could represent houses which sank into the lake several days after the landslide event. The second type of MTDs is found in the frontal part of the landslide deposits. Here, much larger blocks are found (Figs. 2–3). The blocks show rectangular and elongated forms and are typically 80–200 m long and 30–100 m wide. Some of these blocks have travelled up to 1150 m from the shoreline. The blocks rise 1–2 m above the lake floor and are oriented transverse to the flow direction. The grouping of the blocks at the outer rim of the deposit suggests that these features are related. Rafted blocks are frequently observed in translational landslides (Mulder and Cochonat 1996) and often go together with debris flows (Ilstad et al. 2004). As such the larger blocks appear to be remnants of the large flakes sediment that rafted towards the lake in the early stage of landsliding. Seismic data 7 also shows that some of the blocks were covered by thin sediment plumes in the final stages of the landslide. 5. Post-failure analysis of the landslide In order to create the input for comprehensive tsunami simulations, a dynamical back-calculation of the landslide evolution from the point where it enters the lake until it stops is needed. The eyewitness reports suggest that the main waves were generated in the second stage of the landslide when the large flakes of dry crust entered the lake. The flakes were of similar size, but the first was only half as fast as the second due to obstructions in the path (i.e. during the opening of the main gate). Here we concentrate on the second flake (i.e. flake B; Fig. 1B). For this exploratory study, we opted for the numerical model BING (Imran et al., 2001), which simulates the flow of a Herschel–Bulkley fluid with a plug layer riding on top of the shear layer using 1D depth-averaged equations. The rheological exponent n was set to 0.5 to reflect the shear-thinning property of clay. Ideally, the yield strength τy and viscosity coefficient ν would be determined from laboratory tests of the slide material. However, remoulding and incorporation of ambient water or very soft seafloor sediments may drastically change the material properties in the shear layer (De Blasio et al., 2004). The values of τy and ν were adjusted to reproduce the observed run-out distance. In all simulations, values of τy between 0.1 and 0.3 kPa (depending on the value chosen for ν) were needed to attain the observed run-out. These values are well inside the range expected for the remoulded shear strength of quick clay (i.e. <0.5 kPa). Fig. 4 Frontal flow velocity and final sediment deposit for block B using the BING model. See Fig. 1B for the location of block B. The pronounced curvature at several points along the slope profile shown in Fig. 4 required substantial artificial damping. Even then, the run-out distance 8 J.S. L’Heureux et al. proved to be highly sensitive to the input parameter values (e.g. reducing τy by as little as 1% can make the run-out distance increase by more than 20%). The deposit exhibits a thick head about as long as the block at release (Fig. 4). This is similar to the morphological observations presented above. In all simulations, the flow velocity increases sharply to 15–18 m/s on the 10–15° steep shoreline slope (Fig. 4). 6. Tsunami modelling In the numerical modelling, the slide (or block) is described as a flexible box. The box slide is slightly rounded to avoid numerical instability. The length and width of the block are described from eye-witness observations and they are set to 200 m and 150 m, respectively. Simulations are made for a 7 m high block, using an analytical slide velocity progression formula as well as the velocity extracted from the BING simulations. For the analytical approach the initial and maximum velocity is set to the one observed on the video (i.e. 11 m/s) and decays smoothly following a sinusoidal velocity profile until the run-out distances are reached (~ 1000 m). The velocity profile from the BING simulations follows much the same pattern, but has a maximum underwater velocity close to 18 m/s (Fig. 4). The approach for the analytical slide progression velocity follows closely the description by Løvholt et al. (2005). The generation phase is modelled by a tsunami model called GloBouss (Pedersen and Løvholt 2008). For the run-up heights and maximum water levels, the model called MOST is applied (Titov and Gonzales 1997). Results from the tsunami simulations are presented in Fig. 5 for both landslide velocity models. Compared to the observed run-up heights (Fig. 1), the results using the velocity model from BING shows a significant overestimation of the maximum water level in the southernmost part of Botnen (Fig. 5A). Better matching is found in the northern part due to the extensive wave breaking and wave height reduction in these shallower waters. Tsunami modelling gives a better match when the analytical slide velocity progression is used (Fig. 5B). Along the western shoreline of Botnen the run-up heights are overestimated by 0.5–1.5 m. Simulated heights are close to the observed ones in the northern part (at Leira) and along the eastern margin of the basin (± 10–30 %). The southernmost part of the lake is not evaluated here, since the run-up model cannot be initiated directly by a slide motion but must read input from the tsunami model along a boundary outside the slide area. In Fig. 5C we compare the surface elevation at a synthetic gauge at the northern side of the lake. As described above, the two different scenarios give similar results here, including wave breaking close to the shoreline, and the duration of the first (main) wave peak is 2–3 min. This is comparable to the real wave which was described as one large breaking wave. 9 Fig. 5 Maximum surface elevation and run-up heights (m) from tsunami simulations when using velocity profiles from A) the Bing model and B) the analytical model (i.e. from video observations). C) Time series from a synthetic gauge (marked with a red bullet in panels (A) and (B)) located in the northern part of Botnen near Leira and showing the surface elevation for both slide velocity progressions as explained in the text. 7. Conclusions The available detailed information on the 1978 landslide at Rissa in mid Norway offers a unique possibility to study the landslide development, the post-failure dynamics and the generation of a tsunami. In this study, the integrated data set indicates that the water waves in Lake Botnen were generated by movement of large flakes towards the lake. Shaded relief imagery and numerical simulations show that parts of these flakes, or blocks, remained relatively intact and travelled for more than 1000 m on the basin floor at velocities up to 18 m/s. The transportation of large flakes of dry crust is frequently observed in quick clay landslides (TerStepanian 2000). Therefore, in coastal areas where quick clays are found, it is important to assess the possibility for such flakes to develop prior to any tsunamigenic hazard assessments. Finally, comparison of modelled and registered tsunami run-up heights shows the importance of correctly estimating the landslide velocity profile when assessing the tsunami-generating capacity of coastal landslides. Acknowledgments 10 J.S. L’Heureux et al. We thank O. Totland and J.A. Dahl for their help during the acquisition of the geophysical data and are grateful to G. Corner and M. Vanneste for their constructive reviews. This is contribution no. 357 of the International Centre for Geohazards. 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