UNDG – DONOR MEETING ON JOINT FUNDING MECHANISMS Intervention of the UN Resident Coordinator and UNDP Resident Representative in Sudan “The role of MPTFs in strengthening the international response to protracted crises” Key messages: MPTFs are an effective vehicle for the planning, coordination, delivery and monitoring of humanitarian and development assistance in complex protracted crises and development settings. The international community should aim for the establishment of an effective center of gravity similar to the Sudan CHF for the coordination and funding of development assistance. Successful coordination requires communication, monitoring, analysis and advocacy capacities. If the UNRC/HC is expected to ensure coordination between humanitarian, early recovery and development assistance, RC support capacities need to be strengthened and professionalized. The current trend towards bilaterally planned and delivered aid is endangering the purpose of internationally agreed aims of assistance. 1 I. Sudan - Context and the Structure of Aid Overview of key challenges Figure 1: Overview of Humanitarian Challenges. Source: OCHA 2013. Following the secession of South Sudan in 2011, Sudan lost 75 percent of its oil production, amounting to around 60 percent of fiscal revenues, leading to declining growth, rising inflation and large pressures on foreign currency reserves and exchange rates. With key issues still unresolved from the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), such as border demarcation, debt management, and the status of Abyei Area, the period since secession has been marked by political and economic instability and Sudan remains a fragile state ranked 166 in the Human Development Index. Humanitarian situation Sudan’s humanitarian needs are mainly caused by armed conflict and food insecurity. Over the last year, conflict has intensified, causing the humanitarian situation to deteriorate. The worst affected areas are Darfur, South Kordofan and Blue Nile states where conflict has been protracted and intense. The overall humanitarian situation is compounded by the fragility of many of Sudan’s neighbouring countries, environmental factors, and a weak economy. Women and children are amongst the most vulnerable. The humanitarian challenges are likely to remain throughout 2015. In terms of key numbers: 2 3.2 million displaced people need relief aid to live in dignity: Internally displaced people (3.1 million) and newly arrived refugees (0.1 million) have similar needs. They require protection and immediate relief assistance including health, food, nutrition, water and sanitation, shelter, education and information, to live in dignity. While about half a million people were newly displaced in 2014 another 2.6 million people have been living in displacement for at least one year in Darfur, South and West Kordofan and Blue Nile States. Those living in protracted displacement also need opportunities to enhance their self-reliance through diversified livelihood interventions and integrated programming. 1.2 million children across the country suffer from wasting and need dedicated nutrition support: Both displaced and resident children suffer from chronic malnutrition in Sudan. Emergency level rates have been observed for the last decades and 59 out of the 184 Localities in Sudan have a prevalence of Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) above emergency threshold levels of 15 per cent. Some localities in North Darfur and Red Sea State report GAM rates above 30 per cent. 550,000 children will suffer from severe acute malnutrition in 2015. 0.7 million people need long-term protection and durable solutions: Several groups of people need long-term solutions to transition to a more sustainable future. These include 350,000 South Sudanese who lived in Sudan before secession and are at risk of statelessness. Another 170,000 refugees and asylum seekers from CAR, Chad, Eritrea, and Ethiopia live in Sudan awaiting durable solutions. 150,000 IDPs and former Sudanese refugees have recently returned to their area of origin and need to rebuild their lives. Development challenges Progress on sustainable human development and towards the achievement of the MDGs in Sudan is seriously hampered by (1) multi-layered forms of (human) insecurity and conflict, (2) the absence of adequate or alternative livelihoods opportunities and (3) exclusion for key political processes both at central and local levels. Multiple inter-related conflicts and high-levels of violence persist across Sudan years after the conclusion of the CPA. Ongoing conflicts have deep political and development root-causes, including unbalanced resource allocation to states by the Government of Sudan1, as well as inter-communal competition over scarce natural resources (land, water) and tribalism. Violence is exacerbated by the spread of small arms; youth unemployment and limited national conflict resolution mechanisms. 1 World Bank Study, 2011 3 Women remain disproportionately affected, while their role in promoting peace is underutilized. Nine of Sudan’s 18 states are directly affected by continued conflict and insecurity, and the status of the Abyei Area remains unsolved. With the eruption of conflict in South Sudan and few prospects for an immediate solution, the border belt will face continued challenges and instability. Figure 2: Poverty Incidence in Sudan. Sources: CBS 2009 & UNDP 2013. A lack of reform to rule of law institutions and legislation further threatens human rights. The overall democratic transformation of Sudan has remained precarious, with the country struggling with many political, social and ethnic challenges that involve human rights violations. Rule of law institutions face a challenging task to harmonize national laws with international and regional obligations, which require clear policies and administrative support. Scarce energy resources and environmental degradation has led to increased competition over natural resources. Poverty, mismanagement of natural resources, large-scale land acquisition and mining by investment capital as well as regional climate change and instability during the last five decades, are amongst the main reasons for the current situation. Access to water is inadequate throughout many regions with a per-capita share of 790 cubic meters per year2 which places Sudan among countries that fall below the water poverty line. Deforestation and decreased biodiversity affects Sudan more than any other country in Africa, with 2 Figure from 2008. 4 Darfur a major contributor to the trend where the impact of war and unsustainable livelihoods strategies has accelerated the loss of forest cover. Continued conflict, insecurity and inaccessibility to many areas in country has also led to serious shortfalls in health care and functioning health facilities particularly in rural areas, resulting in low quality of medical services and consequently increased vulnerability to HIV, malaria/ tuberculosis (TB) incidence. Facing a failing economy and the proliferation of poverty, Sudan is characterized by wide rural – urban and regional disparities. High levels of poverty are illustrative of the bias against rain-fed agriculture, the absence of pro-poor policies, erosion of governance, the persisting traditional nature of rural economy, lack of disaster management strategies, loss of land capability due to desertification and continued conflict in the face of accelerated population growth and globalization. Poverty is heightened by inefficient development plans and strategies, reduced public expenditures on basic services, the erosion of land and natural resources, as well as by conflict and longstanding international political and economic blockades. According to the 2009 National Baseline Household Survey (NBHS 2009) by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), 46.5% of the population is below the poverty line. The large numbers of IDPs due to ongoing conflicts and natural conditions coupled with the lifting of fuel and strategic commodity subsidies continues to aggravate poverty levels. The significant increase in the cost of living as reflected by an accelerating inflation rate is expected to aggravate the poverty situation in Sudan. The official annual inflation rate for 2013 was 36.5 per cent. The partial lifting of fuel subsidies in September 2013 has further added to price hikes. In addition, the depreciation of the Sudanese Pound has further compounded Sudan’s inflation rate. According to the 2014 budget, the trade deficit will widen from $ (-2.6) billion in 2013 to $ (- 3.3) billion in 2014. Sudan is a heavily indebted country, with external debt increasing from 82.2 per cent of GDP in 2012 to 86.7 per cent of GDP by the end of 2013. When South Sudan seceded, Sudan shouldered the entire debt burden. This was agreed in September 2012 between the two countries “on condition that Sudan obtains debt relief within two years through the Highly Indebted Poor Countries Initiative”. As of February 2014, agreement on the HIPC initiative is yet to be reached. Sudan’s economic and political instability; its underdeveloped physical infrastructure; and its lack of adequately qualified manpower, as well as its poor reputation for business, mean it struggles to attract either foreign or domestic investment. The country ranks low in Transparency International’s most recent “Corruption Perceptions Index” and is in the bottom quartile of the World Bank’s global “Doing Business” report for 2013. The lack of enhancement and the loss of skills and professional competencies experienced during years of conflict and insecurity, as well as a brain drain linked to population displacement and lack of economic opportunities can deprive the country of essential capacities within the public and private sectors alike. Sudan’s depleted human capital has become a major challenge to development. 5 Slow pace of establishing robust democratic Governance institutions negatively impacts the inclusiveness of political processes and development planning. While decentralized structures are formally in place, state/ local governments have weak capacities to plan, prioritize and manage revenues, and coordinate service delivery. Citizen participation in local governance remains limited. Failures of governance based on perceptions of marginalization and internal breakdown, among others, have historically contributed to creating an environment conducive to conflict, and to a high level of insecurity and violence. The launch of the National Dialogue is an attempt by the government to address some of the key sources of discontent amongst the opposition and public. However the inclusiveness and openness of this process is questioned. With national elections announced for 2 April 2014, a turbulent period ahead is expected with increased pressure on media and freedom of expression. Regional disparities While the above overview is relevant to all states in Sudan, regional differences are very pronounced and lead to slightly different “leitmotivs” in terms of development challenges. In Darfur, South Kordofan and Blue Nile states the complex set of development challenges is dominated by multi-layered forms of conflict and insecurity. In the East (Red Sea, Kassala and Gedaref states), the key obstacle to sustainable development is regional marginalization coupled with the absence of rule of law and the spread of human trafficking and other forms of organized crime. In the North (the “forgotten states”), serious vulnerabilities to environmental challenges and climate change further increase regional marginalization. At the central and national level political conflicts, finally, a lack of inclusiveness of political processes and inadequate policy and development planning capacities further aggravate regional challenges and prevents the development and implementation of a concerted and effective response. These regional differences need to be taken into consideration and addresses through carefully adjusted development interventions. Structure of Aid Within this overall institutional and political context, the international aid architecture has evolved over the past 10 years to be composed of 3 parallel components. The delivery system for humanitarian assistance has grown into one of the largest humanitarian operations world-wide. Common strategy development and coordination is ensured through the annual HNO – SRP process. In 2013, 24 % of humanitarian aid interventions were funded and coordinated in the CHF / SRP context. As compared to development assistance, this relatively high level of coordination creates a center of gravity for coordination between all partners, and bilateral and ECHO resources are therefore also allocated within the SRP framework. 6 At the same time, there is an increasing recognition that early recovery assistance aiming at peace-building, the re-establishment of basic services and the strengthening of community resilience for return and / or integration needs to be built up significantly. Interventions addressing community resilience and durable solutions are certainly included in the SRP and funded through the CHF. They are, however, chronically underfunded. In the CHF context, approximately US$ 1.5 million out of 68 annually are allocated to early recovery, equivalent to 2.5% of humanitarian resources. Attempting to complement these resources, to lay the foundation for reconstruction and development and to create a dedicated funding vehicle, the Darfur Community Peace and Stability Fund (DCPSF) has been established by the United Nations in 2007. The DCPSF is currently operating in 34 localities in five states of Darfur and has channeled approximately 64 million into peacebuilding and early recovery activities, representing an additional approximate annual early recovery funding of US$ 7 – 8 million. While not sufficient to create a center of gravity similar to the CHF / CERF, the mere fact that key donors come together regularly and discuss early recovery issues positively impacts coordination in this area. It is important to note, however, that the DCPSF is only focusing on Darfur. A similar coordination and funding vehicle does not exist for the South and the East. Figure 3: Net Aid Inflows to Sudan. Sources: World Bank 2012 and UNDP 2014. Reconstruction and development assistance has been continuously declining since 2008. Once standing at US$ 2.6 billion, it is today estimated at under US$ 980 million. Importantly, most of the approximately US$ one billion net official 7 development assistance provided in 2013 to Sudan escapes any form of coordination. The Sudan Multi-Partner Fund (SMPF) of the World Bank, until now the only multi-lateral funding instrument focusing of development and reconstruction assistance throughout Sudan, is currently capitalized at US$ 10 million. The UN Darfur Fund established to fund and coordinate the assistance of the international community in Darfur against a joint reconstruction and development strategy for Darfur developed in 2012 – 2013, is currently funded with US$ 88 million - by the government of Qatar. Taken together, both instruments represent approximately 5% of development aid provided to Sudan. The remaining 95% of aid is funded bilaterally and not channeled through a formalized interpartner coordination mechanism. While the overall capitalization of the new instruments for development funding and coordination remain for the time being low, the strategy development and funds allocation process has allowed facilitating dialogue and coordination between partners that did not exist before. Especially, it has facilitated dialogue between traditional and non-traditional donors, notably between DAC countries on the one hand and Gulf countries as well Brazil, India and South Africa, on the other. II. 3 Key Challenges 1. Aligning humanitarian, early recovery and development assistance In a complex protracted crisis context, the nexus between humanitarian and development assistance cannot be seen and addressed as a linear process from humanitarian towards development assistance. While humanitarian needs arise in geographically confined areas, significant development opportunities exist in other parts of the country and have the potential to create positive spill-overs into areas dominated by conflict and resulting humanitarian needs. Humanitarian needs and development opportunities exist at the same time and need to be addressed simultaneously. The underlying theme must therefore be to create alternative livelihoods opportunities for a suffering population and to strengthen community resilience against conflict. Consequently, coordination and sequencing of humanitarian, early recovery and development assistance is one of the key challenges for the international community. Given that humanitarian and development assistance are governed by different sets of principles and necessities, it is not obvious to combine both forms in a single coordination and funding framework. Humanitarian assistance is guided by humanitarian principles that cannot be compromised, and is by-and-large provided without national ownership and leadership. In contrast, sustainable recovery and development assistance necessarily needs to be owned and co-led by national institutions. Precisely for this reason, humanitarian and development coordination & funding frameworks have developed in parallel in the large crisis countries, such as the 8 Democratic Republic of Congo, Sudan, South Sudan, Central African Republic, Iraq, and Afghanistan. If we accept that it will be difficult, impractical and possibly counter-productive to establish a single coordination and funding framework spanning humanitarian, early recovery and development assistance, we should at least strive for joint funding and coordination within the fields of humanitarian and development aid. Early recovery assistance might - as a transitional measure - be separately funded and coordinated, but should eventually integrate into the two frameworks. How then can we achieve stronger coordination between humanitarian and development assistance? For the time being, the only institution spanning both types of aid is the one of the UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator. Judging from my experience, I can confirm that all information as well as significant structural opportunities exist at the level of the UNHC/RC to ensure coordination between the two components, especially since donors and implementing partners in both fields are to a large extent the same. Coordination only becomes meaningful, however, when it is based on sound information management, monitoring, and analysis of progress towards results. Coordination also requires constant contact with key stakeholders and partners. It finally requires regular communication and advocacy. While these capacities are to a large extent provided through the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) for the humanitarian context, similar support is currently lacking for development coordination. Instead, HC/RCs are required to fund-raise directly for additional capacities, which partially compromises the independence of the institution. 2. Results and Results Monitoring Figure 4: Results Reporting on the CHF GIER Sector 2013. Source: OCHA 2013. 9 Results monitoring and reporting for humanitarian and development assistance has different requirements. While humanitarian assistance needs to predominantly respond to prerogatives of life saving and protection, development assistance needs to prove sustainability of results and increased resilience of communities against conflict and climatic shocks. During the past 12 years, humanitarian assistance in Sudan has proven to ensure lifesaving and protection of affected communities, as documented in subsequent annual reports. Reviewing CHF annual reports since 2006, it becomes clear that humanitarian results reporting has benefitted from standardization and professionalization (see figure on GIER sector reporting). However, it has recently been criticized to generate aid dependency of populations. Recovery and development assistance aiming at peace building and the establishment of sustainable livelihoods is becoming increasingly essential; and with it adequate ways of measuring progress against results that are less tangible then those of the humanitarian clusters / sectors. To address this challenge, the DCPSF has introduced in 2013 regular perception surveys to complement more quantitative monitoring. Based on these surveys, we can today say that the fund has managed to restore community level trust and confidence in target areas of interventions. In fact, 188 community-based conflict mechanisms (CBRM) have been established or revitalized, and 215 community initiatives throughout Darfur have developed collaborative livelihoods and income generating schemes as well as management mechanisms. Figure 5: Mobile M&E pilot initiative by UNDP Sudan. Source: UNDP 2014. Nevertheless, credible monitoring of peace-building and sustainable livelihood results remains a challenge in Darfur and Sudan. Therefore, the UN system is currently piloting M&E triangular initiatives composed of (a) randomized 10 evaluations, (b) mobile monitoring using sms-administered community and household surveys, (c) systematic collection and analysis of community narratives, as well as (d) the use of “big data” for poverty monitoring. Results monitoring, just as strategy development and planning, requires a common approach shared between development actors. Multi-partner trust funds therefore provide an ideal platform for the piloting and comprehensive roll-out of such methodologies. 3. Mutual stakeholder accountability As witnessed in stakeholder discussions during the past 3 years, accountability for commitments and results often turns into a “ping-pong” game during which stakeholders try to push the ball into the court of others. Such forms of dialogue do not enable mutual accountabilities, but rather dilute accountabilities and responsibilities. The recent experience in the UNDF context indicates, however, that common strategies, results frameworks as well as common M&E mechanisms might strengthen mutual accountabilities in as much as they are transparently and unambiguously defined. Figure 6: UN Darfur Fund - Governance and Independent Verification. Source: UNDP 2013. MPTFs especially allow holding international partners, the government and implementing partners mutually accountable for their interventions and achievements against a commonly defined framework. Governance structures of MPTFs also allow for continuous structured dialogue between stakeholders. 11 Learning from the lessons of the past, the UN Darfur Fund includes an Independent Monitoring Mechanisms that is monitoring and reporting on progress and achievements of partners against the commonly defined results framework. This mechanism allows also for the inclusion of civil society interest groups and universities. III. Conclusion and Way Forward Please allow me to conclude in 4 points. 1. MPTFs are an effective vehicle for the coordination, delivery and monitoring of humanitarian and development assistance in complex protracted crises and development settings. They strengthen the position, leverage and impact of the international community, and allow for constructive dialogue between traditional and emerging donors. In fact, joint strategy development in the context of Multi-Partner Trust Funds has contributed significantly to coordination between partners as well as to the dialogue between the international community and the Government of Sudan. 2. The need for better coordination between humanitarian assistance, early recovery and development assistance in Sudan is recognized by all stakeholders. While it is not practical and possibly counter-productive to establish on single overarching development framework, the international community should aim for the establishment of an effective center of gravity similar to the Sudan CHF for the coordination and funding of early recovery and development assistance. 3. Successful coordination requires communication, monitoring, analysis and advocacy capacities. If the UNRC/HC is expected to ensure coordination between humanitarian, early recovery and development assistance, support capacities need to be strengthened and professionalized. 4. The current trend towards bilaterally planned and delivered aid is endangering the purpose of internationally agreed aims of assistance, and as such good humanitarian and development donorship. I imagine the way forward in Sudan to be as follows: Facilitation of stakeholder dialogue around a common vision for the country Definition of clear development priorities and stakeholder accountabilities Promotion and simplification of existing multilateral funding and coordination instruments, and a possible expansion towards the East and the South. 12