UN Peacekeeping Panacea or Predicament? Post-Cold War Conflict Threat of nuclear war is gone End of Security Council paralysis Success in Gulf War I Intra-state v. interstate conflict Rise of failed states Optimism Fades Somalia Bosnia Rwanda History of UN Peacekeeping • 56 Suez • 60 Congo Classifications of Peacekeeping 1st Generation – Peace Monitoring 2nd Generation – Nation Building 3rd Generation – Peace Making Diehl’s Criteria for Success Organizing Agency a. b. Regional Organization Well equipped Timing a. b. c. Ceasefire Peace deal in place Pre-hostilities Diehl’s Criteria for Success Host State Consent Neutrality Geography a. b. Interposition Vulnerability 3rd Party Cooperation Mandate/Mission Other Peacekeeping Issues Who Pays? Who Serves? A Permanent UN army? The right to intervene in a humanitarian crisis, “The Obligation to Protect” Security Council Reform 2nd Generation or Nation Building Roland Paris – “ The Limits of Liberal Internationalism” Are Democracy and Capitalism the right models for nation building? International Criminal Court (ICC) Case Studies OTP UNEF – Sinai Bosnia Cyprus Somalia Rwanda Darfur? Can We Save Darfur?....Congo? Somalia?.......Mali? The Situation in Darfur AU Peacekeeping Force Security Council authorization for a UN Force 280k dead, 3 million displaced Muslim v. Christian? Arab v. African? Global Climate Change? Ceasefire? Spillover into Chad China and Sudan Chinese firms have invested $15 billion since 1996 mostly in the oil industry boosting Sudanese government revenue Offsetting US sanctions that have been in place since 1997 %10 of China’s oil imports come from Sudan China has rejected sanctions in the UN Security Council Oil revenue has allowed Sudan to wage war in Darfur China has built arms factories in Sudan which have countered the UN arms embargo Steven Spielberg and the Olympics