Module Specification An online version of this specification is available to prospective students at http://www.lshtm.ac.uk/study/currentstudents/studentinformation/msc_module_handbook/section3_moduledescript/in dex.html GENERAL INFORMATION Module name Advanced Statistical Modelling Module code 2450 Module Organiser TBC Contact email Mike.Kenward@lshtm.ac.uk Home Faculty Faculty of Epidemiology & Population Health Level This module is at Level 7 (postgraduate Masters ‘M’ level) of the QAA Framework for Higher Education Qualifications in England, Wales & Northern Ireland (FHEQ). Credit LSHTM award 15 credits on successful completion of this module. Accreditation Not currently accredited by any other body. Keywords Statistics AIMS, OBJECTIVES AND AUDIENCE Overall aim To introduce recent developments in statistical modelling, with the aim of: (i) understanding the practical problems that led to their development and for which they are appropriate; (ii) understanding the concepts on which they are based and their relationship to each other and to the statistical techniques encountered earlier in the MSc Medical Statistics course; (iii) developing the skills to independently use the methods creatively in practical problems and (iv) developing the capacity to critically review your own and others' modelling work. Intended learning outcomes By the end of this module, students should be able to: Recognise and understand the nature of the additional structure of problems for which statistical techniques met earlier in the MSc course are insufficient; Understand the basic concepts of models that can address these problems; Develop functional knowledge of modelling techniques that are appropriate for such problems, specifically: Issues in the analysis of dependent non-normal data; Implications of non-linear link functions for parameter interpretation; Use of subject-specific and marginal models; Use of Generalised Estimating Equations and empirical (sandwich) 1 Target audience estimates of variance; Use of numerical integration for inference about subject specific models; Use of splines as fixed and random effects; Use of time series methods in public health research; Proportional odds models. Display this knowledge by using appropriate software to analyse data using these techniques; Understand the way these techniques relate to each other in specific contexts and be able to generalize from these contexts to new situations. This module is intended for students with an understanding of linear regression models for hierarchical data and generalized linear models to the level provided by the modules Generalized Linear Models (2462) and Analysis of Hierarchical & Other Dependent Data (2465). CONTENT Session content The module is expected to include sessions addressing the following topics (though please note that these may be subject to change): Revision of linear regression, generalized linear models, multivariate linear models. Modelling ordinal data: proportional- and partial proportional-odds models. Modelling dependent non-normal data: subject specific and marginal models. Generalized estimating equations and empirical (sandwich) variance estimates. Likelihood based analyses for subject-specific models. Use of splines. Time series analysis in public health research. TEACHING, LEARNING AND ASSESSMENT Study resources provided or required Copies of all the overheads used in handout format, practicals and their solutions; datasets required for the practicals and assessment exercise. Teaching and learning methods A combination of lectures and computer based practicals. Assessment details Students will complete one assignment involving the use, interpretation and comparison, of several alternative statistical analyses for a given longitudinal data set from a medical setting. For students who are required to re-sit, or granted a deferral or new attempt, the task will be the same overall structure and level as the original assessment, but involving a different data set. 2 Assessment dates Assessments will be due on Friday 20 May 2016. For students who are required to re-sit, or who are granted a deferral or new attempt, the next assessment deadline will be the standard School-recommended date in mid/late September 2016. Language of study and assessment English (please see ‘English language requirements’ below regarding the standard required for entry). TIMING AND MODE OF STUDY Duration The module runs for 5 weeks at 2 days per week; this module runs between Thursday morning and Friday afternoon. Dates For 2015-16, the module will start on Wednesday 20 April 2016 and finish on Friday 20 May 2016. Timetable slot The module runs in LSHTM timetable slot E. Mode of Study The module is taught face-to-face in London. Both full-time and part-time students follow the same schedule. For full-time students, other LSHTM modules are available in the other half of the week for the C and D slots. Learning time The notional learning time for the module totals 150 hours, consisting of: Contact time ≈ 37 hours Self-directed learning ≈ 63 hours Assessment, review and revision ≈ 50 hours APPLICATION, ADMISSION AND FEES Pre-requisites This module is intended for students with an understanding of linear regression models and generalized linear models to a level provided by the courses in of linear regression models for hierarchical data and generalized linear models to the level provided by the courses Generalized Linear Models (2462) and Analysis of Hierarchical & Other Dependent Data (2465). Students require an understanding of matrix algebra and calculus (to first year undergraduate mathematics level). The module Analysis of Hierarchical & Other Dependent Data (2465) is strongly recommended for prior study. English language requirements A strong command of the English language is necessary to benefit from studying the module. Applicants whose first language is not English or whose prior university studies have not been conducted wholly in English must fulfil LSHTM’s English language requirements, with an acceptable score in an approved test taken in the two years prior to entry. Applicants may be asked to take a test even if the standard conditions have been met. Student numbers Student numbers are typically 25 per year; numbers may be capped due to limitations in facilities or staffing. 3 Student selection Preference will be given to LSHTM MSc students, particularly those registered for specific courses or who have taken specific prior modules, and LSHTM research degree students. Other applicants meeting the entry criteria will usually be offered a place in the order applications are received, until any cap on numbers is reached. Applicants may be placed on a waiting list and given priority the next time the module is run. Full Registration (full participation) by LSHTM research degree students is required for this module. Fees For registered LSHTM MSc students, fees for the module are included within MSc fees (given on individual course prospectus pages). If registering specifically for this module, as a stand-alone short course, individual module fees will apply. Tuition fees must be paid in full before commencing the module, or by any fee deadline set by the Registry. Scholarships Scholarships are not available for individual modules. Some potential sources of funding are detailed on the LSHTM website. Admission deadlines For 2015-16: For registered LSHTM MSc students, the module choice deadline (for Term 2 and 3 modules) is Friday 20 November 2015. If registering specifically for this module, applications may be made at any time but, as places are limited, applications ahead of the MSc deadline are strongly advised. All applications should be submitted at the latest 8 weeks prior to the start of the module. Formal registration will take place on the morning of the first day of the module. ABOUT THIS DOCUMENT This module specification applies for the academic year 2015-16 Last revised 24 June 2014 by Mike Kenward London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel St., London WC1E 7HT. www.lshtm.ac.uk 4