Report for Academic Year 2010-2011 Ending August 2011 October 17, 2011 Prepared By Edmund H. Portnoy, Ph.D. Director of Grants Programs-Arizona Michael R. Twyman, Ph.D. Director of Grants Programs-Indiana Nina Mason Pulliam Charitable Trust 2201 E Camelback Road, Suite 600B Phoenix, AZ 85016 Nina Mason Pulliam Charitable Trust 135 N. Pennsylvania Street, Suite 1200 Indianapolis, IN 46204 Executive Summary The 2010-2011 Nina Scholars report marks the 10th year of tracking student progress and marks an important juncture in the program history. In total, more students have now completed the program than are currently active, giving more weight to any conclusions drawn from the data. Cohorts 1 through 5 at IUPUI and ASU have completed their full tenure in the program. At Ivy Tech and MCCD, Cohorts 1 through 7 are complete. In years one through six, the annual report assessed student progress in comparison to a group of similar students who were eligible but not selected for the program. The findings of the initial study concluded that Nina Scholars performed at a higher level than their comparison group in grade point average, successful completion of credit hours attempted, and persistence. The sixyear longitudinal study affirmed the benefits of the program design that afforded students the support of on-the-ground program directors, student support services including tutoring and mentoring, the guaranteed financial benefits of a scholarship for up to six years at the university level and four years at the community college, and the community created by being part of a cohort of scholars. The last four years continue the assessment of Nina Scholars, tracking success indicators such as grade point average and credit hour completion rates. Now, however, the key criteria are persistence and graduation rates and how Nina Scholars compare to the general student body population of each college. Report Highlights Scholar Selection Beginning with Cohort 10, the Trust reduced the number of available scholarships from 42 to 22. o The ratio of applicants per scholarship increased from 5:1 in 2009 to 8:1 in 2010, making the selection process more competitive. o Scholar selection for Cohort 10 showed greater parity among the eligibility groups than in the nine previous cohorts. Scholar Performance Nina Scholar graduation rates for Cohorts 1 through 5 at the universities and Cohorts 1 through 7 at the community colleges exceed the general student populations of their respective institutions: IUPUI ASU Ivy Tech MCCD Nina Scholar Graduation Rate (%) 71 64 60 47 General Student Population Graduation Rate (%) 35 59 5 19 ii Universities have a combined graduation rate of 67 percent. Community colleges have a combined graduation or successful transfer to a program vacancy or Passport slot at ASU or IUPUI of 52 percent. In combination, the success rate is 57 percent. The Nina Scholar graduation and persistence rate for active scholars, in combination with scholars who have completed the program is 66 percent with a range of 56 to 76 percent. All Cohort 10 Nina Scholars continued to their second year compared to: Cohort 10 IUPUI ASU Ivy Tech MCCD Successful completion of first year (%) 100 100 100 100 Completion rate for full-time first-year students (%) 74 84 54 57 Indicators of persistence towards graduation – Increase in GPA and Credit Hours Completed For active students in the Nina Scholars Program (Cohorts 5 through 10 at ASU and IUPUI and Cohorts 7 through 10 at MCCD and Ivy Tech). For the first time in 10 years, all four institutions had a combined Grade Point Average (GPA) above 3.0 with GPAs ranging from 3.07 to 3.22. In total, Nina Scholars completed 87 percent of all credit hours attempted with completion ranging from 82 to 95 percent. Utilization of scholarship slots The utilization of scholarship slots averages less than three of the four years awarded at the community colleges and less than five of the six years available at the universities. Factors influencing scholarship utilization, both positively and negatively, include early graduation and differing student replacement policies for scholars who leave the program by choice or by not meeting persistence requirements. iii NINA MASON PULLIAM LEGACY SCHOLARS PROGRAM REPORT FOR ACADEMIC YEAR 2010-2011 Cohort 10 Selection Process Applicants Tenth Cohort Selection In 2010, the Trust reduced the total number of available scholarships from 42 to 22. Program costs were escalating at a rate exceeding original projections, and the Trust decided to reduce the number of scholarship slots to begin moving the total grants budget allocated to the Nina Scholars program back to the target of 10 percent. Maricopa Community Colleges (MCCD) fell from 15 scholarships to eight, Ivy Tech from 12 to six, ASU from eight to four and IUPUI from seven to four. A new agreement with the universities guaranteed funding over six years at a set amount (rather than a reimbursement system) for each scholarship slot allowing the schools to leverage Trust dollars with available grants, scholarships and other awards to fund additional students in Cohort 10. ASU was able to fund two additional students and IUPUI one additional scholar. In total, MCCD, ASU, IUPUI and Ivy Tech received 186 eligible applicants for the 22 Nina Scholars Cohort 10 scholarships compared to 212 applicants in 2009 for 42 scholarship slots. The ratio of applicants per scholarship increased from 5:1 in 2009 to 8:1 in 2010, making the selection process more competitive. This is a very healthy ratio, and the applicant pool represented diversity among the three eligibility categories. Eligibility categories for the Nina Scholars program include adults 25 years or older with dependents in the family unit, college-age youth or adults with physical disabilities; or incoming freshman between the ages of 18-25 who have been raised in the child welfare system and have no form of financial support. The breakdown of applicants follows: Applicants with/from MCCD ASU IUPUI Ivy Tech Dependents in the family unit 47 22 11 51 Physical Disabilities 7 7 4 4 Child welfare system 13 13 6 1 Totals 67 42 21 56 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 1 Eligibility Group Representation Cohorts 1-10 The selection of Cohort 10 showed greater parity among the eligibility groups than in the nine previous years. Cohort 10 marked the first time adults 25 years or older with dependents in the family unit fell below 50 percent of the total applicants selected. In total, the number of adults with physical disabilities and youth raised in the child welfare system increased to their highest selection rate in the 10 years of the Nina Scholars program. Although the overall selection reflected an increased diversity among the three eligibility groups, the reduction in available scholarships to each school limited their ability to balance selections. The following graphs display the percentage of Scholars selected for the program by each eligibility group for each of the first 10 years of the program: Selection Across All Schools 100% 90% 80% 70% 58 69 60% 63 62 53 55 59 50 50 50% 23 18 12 12 21 21 10 13 28 26 30 33 29 29 29 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 15 20% 10% 56 24 40% 30% 40 20 15 1 2 17 36 27 0% CWS PD 10 Average DFU __________________ Legend Explanation CWS Youth raised in the child welfare system PD Adults with physical disabilities DFU Adults 25 years of age or older with dependents in the family unit Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 2 Eligibility Group Representation All Schools Arizona State University combined Trust funds with other sources of financial aid to select six students for Cohort 10. Five of the six, or 84 percent, represented college-age students from the child welfare system category. The remaining student came from the students with disabilities category (16 percent). For the first time in 10 years, ASU did not select any adults with dependents in the family unit. The following graph displays cohort selection at ASU. Cohort Selection ASU 100% 25 80% 50 50 50 75 60% 40% 63 75 13 12.5 25 25 37.5 13 25 50 20% 25 25 1 2 84 25 38 25 62.5 62.5 37.5 13 0% 3 16 4 5 CWS 6 PD 7 8 9 10 DFU IUPUI also leveraged Trust funds with other sources of financial aid to fund five students for Cohort 10. Students with disabilities comprise 60 percent of the new cohort, the largest percentage over the past 10 years. Selections from the child welfare system and adults with dependents in the family unit each had a 20 percent representation. The following graph displays cohort selection at IUPUI. Cohort Selection IUPUI 100% 20 80% 40 14 29 29 57 60% 100 100 60 40% 20% 29 14 80 20 20 80 71 43 40 57 57 20 20 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 CWS Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 7 PD 8 9 10 DFU October 17, 2011 Page 3 Ivy Tech selected all students for Cohort 10 from the adults with dependents in the family unit category. The following graph displays cohort selection at Ivy Tech. Cohort Selection Ivy Tech 100% 80% 60% 67 83 67 58 67 75 75 75 92 100 40% 20% 17 8 0% 1 2 17 17 17 17 3 4 25 17 25 17 17 17 6 7 5 CWS 8 PD 17 8 8 9 10 DFU MCCD, with the largest cohort size of the four institutions, continued to select applicants from each of the three categories. MCCD selected equal numbers from the child welfare system and adults with dependents in the family unit categories with the remainder representing the students with physical disabilities category. The following graph displays cohort selection at MCCD. Cohort Selection MCCD 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 47 33 53 47 37.5 53 33 27 27 1 33 2 13 20 13 33 33 33 3 4 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 53 67 60 73 25 7 40 5 6 CWS PD 20 27 13 13 7 8 7 37.5 20 9 10 DFU October 17, 2011 Page 4 The chart below displays the average percentage of students chosen from each priority group over the 10-year history of the program, both by individual school and the program as a whole. The basis for percentages is the actual number of students chosen, therefore, schools with a greater number of scholarships, weight percentages accordingly. For example, over the 10-year period, MCCD originally selected 143 students, Ivy Tech 116, ASU 78 and IUPUI 58. 10 Year Average Cohort Selection 100% 90% 80% 44 45 70% 56 19 17 28 27 MCCD Total Program 75 60% 50% 53 15 14 40% 30% 20% 41 41 16 10% 9 0% ASU IUPUI Ivy Tech CWS Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 PD DFU October 17, 2011 Page 5 Gender Throughout the 10 years of the Nina Scholars program, the majority of students selected are females. Cohort 10 continues the trend of more females than males in the program accounting for approximately two thirds of the new cohort. ASU and Ivy Tech selected an equal number of males and females. MCCD and IUPUI selected more females than males at a 3:1 and 4:1 ratio respectively. The following chart displays gender selection for Cohorts 7, 8, 9 and 10 for all schools. Cohort 7 M F ASU MCCD IUPUI IVY TECH TOTAL 4 4 3 12 0 7 0 12 7 (17%) 35 (83%) Cohort 8 M F ASU MCCD IUPUI IVY TECH TOTAL 1 7 3 12 1 6 1 11 6 (14%) 36 (86%) IVY TECH TOTAL Cohort 9 M F ASU MCCD IUPUI 3 5 1 14 3 4 6 6 13 (31%) 29 (69%) Cohort 10 ASU M F 3 3 MCCD 2 6 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 IUPUI 1 4 October 17, 2011 IVY TECH 3 3 TOTAL 9 (36%) 16 (64%) Page 6 Credit Hours For Cohort 10, the number of credit hours completed by Scholars ranged from 82 percent to 95 percent with a cumulative credit hour completion rate of 87 percent. Credit hour completion fell slightly from last year’s overall rate of 89 percent. ASU Scholars completed 891 of 955 credit hours attempted (93 percent), IUPUI Scholars completed 737 of 776 credit hours attempted (95 percent), Ivy Tech Scholars completed 538 of 630 credits (85 percent) and MCCD Scholars completed 759 of 992 credit hours attempted (82 percent). Both IUPUI and Ivy Tech improved over last year, and ASU and MCCD fell over the same period. All Schools Percentage of Total Credit Hours Completed 100% 90% 80% 99 100 93 89 96 91 90 95 70% 88 89 84 80 85 60% 82 82 63 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ASU 2007-2008 IUPUI 2008-2009 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 Ivy Tech 2009-2010 MCCD 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 7 ASU Percentage of Credit Hours Completed 2010-2011 93 percent 891/955 100% 90% 100 100 100 100 100 91 80% 86 70% 91 96 100 100 95 93 94 94 9 10 89 82 60% 50% 40% 30% 50 20% 10% 0% 5 6 7 8 Fall 10 Spring 11 Summer 11 IUPUI Percentage of Completed Credit Hours 2010-2011 95 percent 737/776 100% 90% 100100 100100100 100100 100 97 99 80% 91 86 87 70% 100 100 93 80 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5 6 7 Fall 10 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 8 Spring 11 October 17, 2011 9 10 Summer 11 Page 8 Ivy Tech Percentage of Credit Hours Completed 2010-2011 85 percent 538/630 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 100 95 94 89 81 80 84 85 90 79 67 50 7 8 9 Fall 10 Spring 11 10 Summer 11 MCCD Percentage of Completed Credit Hours 2010-2011 82 percent 759/922 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 89 87 86 85 72 76 7 8 87 79 86 81 86 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Fall 10 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 9 Spring 11 October 17, 2011 10 Summer 11 Page 9 Grade Point Average (GPA) For the 2010-2011 academic school year, all schools exceeded a 3.0 grade point average (GPA) for the first time. Collectively, Nina Scholars averaged a 3.14 GPA, up slightly from 3.10 in 2009-2010. Ivy Tech and IUPUI Scholars showed the greatest gains in GPA rising from 2.99 to 3.18 and 2.93 to 3.08 respectively. MCCD Scholars continued annual improvement and displayed the highest grade point average of 3.22 compared to 3.14 in 2009-2010. ASU Scholars fell from the highest GPA of 3.32 last year to a GPA of 3.07 in 2010-2011. GPA by Institutions and Overall Average 4 3.5 3 3.08 3.07 IUPUI ASU 3.18 3.22 3.14 Ivy Tech MCCD Total 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 10 Individual School/By Cohort IUPUI GPA Cohorts 5-10 4 3 4 3.88 3.5 3.47 3.17 3.45 3.38 3.13 3.33 3.31 2.92 2.5 2 3.25 2.93 2.79 2.822.68 3.3 2.63 2.2 1.5 1 0.5 0 5 6 7 Fall 10 8 9 Spring 11 10 Summer 11 ASU GPA Cohorts 5-10 4 3.5 3 3.31 3.5 3.37 2.5 3.24 3.14 1.5 3.21 3.04 3.01 3.02 2.82 3.04 3.01 2.5 2.61 2 3.69 3.5 2.6 1.67 1 0.5 0 5 6 7 Fall 10 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 8 Spring 11 9 10 Summer 11 October 17, 2011 Page 11 Ivy Tech GPA Cohorts 7-10 4 3.5 3.66 3.32 3.35 3.3 3 3.5 3.16 3.21 3 3.37 3.23 2.91 2.5 2.71 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 7 8 9 Fall 10 Spring 11 10 Summer 11 MCCD GPA Cohorts 7-10 4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3 3.1 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.3 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 7 8 Fall 10 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 9 Spring 11 10 Summer 11 October 17, 2011 Page 12 Student Persistence and Graduation Student persistence and graduation are success measures for the Nina Scholars program. Comparing Nina Scholar data with the U.S. Department of Education’s National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) 2011 report, both IUPUI and ASU Nina Scholars exceeded six-year graduation rates of the general student population of their respective schools. Nina Scholars in Cohorts 1-5 and Passport Scholars Cohorts 6-8 at IUPUI achieved a six-year graduation rate of 71 percent compared to the six-year graduation rate of 35 percent for IUPUI’s traditional student body. ASU Nina Scholars had a six-year graduation rate of 64 percent compared to 59 percent for ASU’s general population. For Scholars in Cohorts 1-7, Ivy Tech Scholars had a four-year persistence or graduation rate of 60 percent compared to 5 percent for the general Ivy Tech student body population. MCCD Scholars persisted or graduated at a rate of 47 percent compared to a rate of 19 percent for the general MCCD student population. (MCCD graduation rate is based on an average of Phoenix, Mesa, Glendale, Chandler-Gilbert, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, South Mountain and Rio Salado Community Colleges). Universities had higher graduation and persistence rates than the community colleges. IUPUI had an overall persistence rate of 76 percent for Cohorts 1-10, while ASU Scholars persist at a rate of 71 percent. Ivy Tech and MCCD had persistence rates of 66 percent and 56 percent respectively. In total, Nina Scholars persist or graduate at a rate of 66 percent. First year retention is another success measure reported by schools. Again comparing Nina Scholars with the 2011 NCES report, 100 percent of Nina Scholars in Cohort 10 continued to their second year compared to 84 percent of full-time first-year students at ASU, 74 percent at IUPUI, 54 percent at Ivy Tech and 57 percent at MCCD. Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 13 Percent of All Nina Scholars Persisting or Graduating by Instititution (2001-2011) 100% 90% 80% 70% 76 71 60% 66 66 50% 56 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% IUPUI 60/79 ASU 75/105 Ivy Tech 78/118 MCCD 88/157 ALL SCHOOLS 301/459 Percent of Nina Scholars Persisting or Graduating IUPUI 76 percent average 100% 100 90% 100 80% 70% 60% 86 80 78 75 67 60 50% 60 40% 30% 20% 20 10% Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Cohort 10 Cohort 9 Cohort 8 Cohort 7 Cohort 6 Cohort 5 Cohort 4 Cohort 3 Cohort 2 Cohort 1 0% Page 14 Percent of Nina Scholars Persisting or Graduating ASU 71 percent average 100% 100 87 70% 60% 89 89 Cohort 9 89 80% Cohort 8 90% 75 67 60 50% 56 50 40% 30% 20% 10% Cohort 10 Cohort 7 Cohort 6 Cohort 5 Cohort 4 Cohort 3 Cohort 2 Cohort 1 0% Percent of Nina Scholars Persisting or Graduating Ivy Tech 66 percent average 100% 100 90% 80% 50% 69 67 58 58 75 75 Cohort 8 60% Cohort 7 84 70% 53 40% 38 30% 20% 10% Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Cohort 10 Cohort 9 Cohort 6 Cohort 5 Cohort 4 Cohort 3 Cohort 2 Cohort 1 0% Page 15 Percent of Nina Scholars Persisting or Graduating MCCD 56 percent average 100% 100 90% 93 80% 50% 55 59 40% 69 69 Cohort 8 60% Cohort 7 70% 53 30% 38 20% 23 10% 29 Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Cohort 10 Cohort 9 Cohort 6 Cohort 5 Cohort 4 Cohort 3 Cohort 2 Cohort 1 0% Page 16 Scholarship Utilization The purpose of the following graphs is to look at the average utilization of the four- or six-year scholarship by cohort. Please note that the intent of the utilization chart is not to measure the length of time scholars take to graduate. Program policy and scholar performance both impact results. Program policy prohibits MCCD and Ivy Tech from replacing scholars after the first semester, shortening the utilization of an awarded scholarship. Conversely, the replacement policy allows ASU and IUPUI to replace scholars (who withdraw or lose eligibility for the program) lengthening utilization of a scholarship slot. Student performance also influences utilization. Many students graduate sooner than the four or six-year scholarship period by taking additional credit hours, going to summer school, or having up to 24 credit hours at the time of application. Each factor would shorten the utilization of a given scholarship slot. Computation of the averages involved adding the length of time used for each scholar and dividing that number by the cohort size. As the charts show, the average scholarship time in the community colleges was approximately three years and in the university, an average of five years or less. Community Colleges 0 1 Years of Eligilibility 2 3 4 Cohort 1 Cohort 2 MCCD Cohort 3 Cohort 4 Cohort 5 Cohort 6 Cohort 7 Ivy Tech Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 17 Universities 0 1 2 Years of Eligilibility 3 4 5 6 Cohort 1 IUPUI Cohort 2 Cohort 3 Cohort 4 Cohort 5 ASU Passport Program at ASU and IUPUI The 2010-2011 academic year marked the fifth year of the Passport Program. The Passport Program allows ASU and IUPUI to select a maximum of three Nina Scholars currently enrolled at one of the Maricopa Community Colleges or Ivy Tech respectively each year. Passport students receive up to three years to complete their baccalaureate degree. Through the 2010-2011 academic year, both ASU and IUPUI have selected 14 Scholars each for the Passport Program. Passport students at ASU have a persistence/graduation rate of 57 percent*, and IUPUI Passport students have a persistence/graduation rate of 93 percent. Grade Point Averages for the 2010-2011 academic year averaged 3.27 at ASU and 3.14 at IUPUI for Passport students in Cohorts 8, 9 and 10. ASU Passport students completed 98 percent of credit hours attempted (196/200). IUPUI Passport students also completed 98 percent of credit hours attempted (185/188). *The low rate of 57 percent is due to only two of the first eight ASU Passports graduating. All current Passport students are persisting at both ASU and IUPUI. Nina Scholars Program Year 10 – 2010-2011 October 17, 2011 Page 18