INCOME INEQUALITY, RACIAL SEGREGATION, AND ENGLISH ACHIEVEMENT IN NASSAU COUNTY IN 2012 A research paper submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the completion of EDU 7211 – EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH AND DATA ANALYSIS II to Dr. Ianni, of the faculty of the Division of ADMINISTRATIVE AND INSTRUCTIONAL LEADERSHIP of The School of Education ST. JOHN’S UNIVERSITY New York by Ryan O’Hara 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER I: THE PROBLEM…………………………………………………………. 4 Purpose of study………………………………………………………………… 4 Statement of Problem…………………………………………………………… 4 Research Questions……………………………………………………...……… 4 Limitations of Study………………………………………………….………… 5 Significance of Study…………………………………………...…………….… 5 Methodology Overview………………………………………………………… 6 CHAPTER II: REVIEW OF THE LITERARTURE……………………………….…... 7 Growing Income Inequality in the United States………………………………. 7 The Achievement Gap………………………………………………………….. 8 Segregated Schools…………………………………………………….…...….. 8 Schools Alone Cannot Close the Achievement Gap……..………………….…. 10 CHAPTER III: METHOD………..………………………………………………….…. 12 Data Collection……………………………………………………………….… 12 Analysis Procedures…………….…………………………………………….... 12 CHAPTER IV: FINDINGS…………………………………….…………………….… 13 Research Question1…………………………………………………………….. 13 Research Question 2……………………………………………………………. 15 Research Question 3……………………………………………………………. 18 Research Question 4……………………………………………………………. 22 Research Question 5……………………………………………………………. 23 Summary of Finding by Research Question………………………………….… 26 CHAPTER V: CONCLUSIONS AND REMCOMMENDATIONS…………………... 28 2 Conclusions……………………………………………………….……………. 28 Recommendations……………………………………………………….……... 28 Recommendations for Further Research………………………………….……. 29 References……………………………………………………………………………… 30 Figures 1. Distribution of % of Black and Hispanic Students in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 2. Distribution of % of Student Receiving Free or Reduced Price Lunch in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 3. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Concentration of Black and Hispanic Students 4. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination in Nassau County in 2012 5. Impact of Mastery Rates on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination in Nassau County in 2012 6. of Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Budget Per Pupil Expenditures in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 7. Lack of Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 on page 8. Lack of Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 Tables 1. Central Tendency and Distribution of % of Black and Hispanic Students in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 2. Central Tendency and Distribution of % of Students Receiving Free or Reduced Price Lunch in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 3. Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Black and Hispanic Student Enrollment in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 4. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination in Nassau County in 2012 5. Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 6. Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Mastery Rates on Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 3 7. Correlation of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 8. Correlation of the Lack of Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 4 Chapter I: Introduction Purpose of study As a wide array of educational research has demonstrated a strong correlation between the economic status of students’ families and students’ educational achievement, the purpose of this researcher was to determine the extent to which similar correlations were evident in school districts in Nassau County. Statement of the Problem Educational researchers have demonstrated a strong correlation between economic status of students’ families and students’ educational achievement. As income inequality in the United States continues to grow (Ravitch, 2013; Schuessler, 2014; Reardon, 2013; Duncan & Murnane, 2014), school districts will face greater challenges, working to educate children who suffer from the effects of poverty. Data compiled on New York State District Report Cards demonstrate that Nassau County school districts exhibit discrepancies in student achievement on the New York State (NYS) English Regents Examination and in the racial and socioeconomic demographics of their students. Research Questions 1. Is there an equal distribution of racial and socioeconomic demographics in Nassau County school districts, as determined by the percentage of students receiving free and reduced lunch? 5 2. To what extent are the socioeconomic disparities of the students in the different school districts in Nassau County correlated with racial differences of the students? 3. To what extent is student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination, correlated with the district-wide percentages of impoverished students in school districts in Nassau County? 4. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with racial and economic demographics in school districts in Nassau County? 5. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination? Limitations of Study Although this study includes all school districts in Nassau County, the study only includes data from 2012. The study also focuses only on the student achievement on the NYS English Regents Examination. Significance of Study This study will add to the growing body of research that demonstrates that impoverished children tend to achieve less educationally than children from wealthier families. Given the lack of a correlation in budgeted per pupil expenditures and student achievement and budgeted per pupil expenditures and poverty rates, the study adds to research that demonstrates that schools cannot close the achievement gap without efforts from other governmental agencies to address income inequality. 6 Methodology Overview The researcher conducted quantitative analyses, including frequencies, descriptive statistics, correlations, and regressions to analyze distribution of ethnicity and poverty and the correlation of poverty rates and student achievement on the NYS English Regents Examination in school districts in Nassau County in 2012. 7 Chapter II: Review of the Literature Growing Income Inequality in the USA “Income inequality in the United States cannot be ignored since it is greater now than at any time since the 1920s and more extreme than in any other advanced nation.” Diane Ravitch In his 700 page book of scholarly economic research, which hit the New York Times best-seller list, selling 46,000 copies in the short time since its release, Thomas Picketty, the French economist who has been touring the United States to discuss his findings, asserts that “mature capitalist economies do not inevitably evolve toward greater economic equality” (Schuessler, 2014). Picketty further asserts that income inequality is not inevitable and can be remedied if political systems create appropriate policy (Schuessler, 2014). Picketty’s reception is just one of a host of recent activities demonstrating the country’s interest in widening income inequality. Citing data complied on the Luxembourg Income Study Database, Leonhardt and Quealy (2014), in a recent New York Times article note that “a family at the 20th percentile of the income distribution in this country makes significantly less than a similar family in Canada, Norway, Finland or the Netherlands.” Reardon (2013) notes, “Growing economic inequality in the United States is a growing concern as it has risen dramatically in the last 30 – 40 years, making the gap in income between high-income and low-income families much greater.” Economic inequality in the United States, which far exceeds economic disparities in other industrialized countries, greatly impacts the academic achievement of students, whose realities are defined by their family’s economic situation. 8 The Achievement Gap “Poor people suffer disproportionately the effects of nearly every major social ill.” Paul Gorski Educational historian Diane Ravitch (2013) notes, “there is nothing new about achievement gaps between different racial and ethnic groups and between children from families at different ends of the income distribution. Such gaps exist wherever there is inequality, not only in [the US], but internationally.” She further suggests, “the source of the gap is no secret. African Americans have been subject to a long history of social and economic oppression and disadvantage” (Ravitch, 2013). Because the achievement gap results from economic inequality, which has been increasing for the last four decades (Reardon, 2013), “the black-white achievement gap is now smaller than the achievement gap between the poorest and the most affluent students” (Ravitch, 2013). Given the country’s growing economic inequality and lack of social supports for impoverished families, Linda Darling-Hammond (2010) notes, “of nations participating in PISA, the United States is among those where two students of different socioeconomic backgrounds have the largest difference in scores.” Segregated Schools “Concentrated poverty is shorthand for a constellation of inequalities that shape schooling.” Linda Darling-Hammond Duncan and Murnane (2014) note, “rising residential segregation by income has led to increasing concentrations of low- and high-income children attending separate schools.” Their 9 findings are reinforced by Reardon (2013) who notes, “the United States has grown more residentially segregated by income over the last four decades, meaning that schools have, in many places, become increasingly segregated by income as well.” Because income inequality is correlated with ethnicity (Orfield et al., 2010), “nearly two-thirds of African American and Latino students attend schools where most students are eligible for free or reduced price lunch” (Darling-Hammond, 2010). As growing income inequality in the United States has led to increased segregation of students by income and, by extension, race, many school districts face greater challenges, working to educate higher percentages of students who suffer from the effects of poverty. Duncan and Murnane (2014) note, “in recent decades, it has been largely through an increase in income-based segregation of neighborhoods and schools that growing inequality of family income has affected the educational attainments of the nation’s children.” Growing residential segregation spurred by economic inequality has led to schools with high concentrations of impoverished students. Rothstein (2013) notes, “social and economic disadvantage … depresses student performance. Concentrating students with these disadvantages in racially and economically homogenous schools depresses it even further.” Rothstein’s assertion is echoed by Duncan and Murnane (2014) who note, “children attending schools with mostly low-income classmates have lower academic achievement and graduation rates than those attending schools with more affluent students.” Because impoverished students tend to exhibit behavioral problems and low skills, high concentrations of impoverished students tend to depress the academic achievement of all students (Duncan & Murnane, 2014). As “nearly 40% of African American and Latino students 10 attend schools with minority enrollment of 90% - 100% (Darling-Hammond, 2010), “a child from a poor family is two to four times as likely as a child from an affluent family to have classmates in either elementary or high school with behavioral problems and low skills” (Duncan & Murnane, 2014). Potter (2013) asserts, “poor students in mixed-income schools do better than poor students in high-poverty schools.” Unfortunately, due to residential segregation worsened by growing economic inequality, impoverished students often attend schools that serve high concentrations of impoverished students (Duncan & Murnane, 2014; Darling-Hammond, 2013; Reardon, 2013; Ravitch, 2013). School Policy Alone Cannot Close the Achievement Gap “It is unrealistic to think that school-based strategies alone will eliminate today’s stark disparities in academic success.” Sean Reardon Potter (2013) asserts, “the strongest school-related predictor of student achievement was the socioeconomic composition of the student body.” Because schools cannot control the socioeconomic composition of the student body, “the achievement gap … cannot be sharply narrowed or closed without addressing the social and economic conditions that cause disadvantage” (Ravitch, 2013). Rothstein (2103) suggests, “although schools can make a difference, they cannot erase the damage caused by poverty and racial isolation.” Nevertheless, school accountability measures, including No Child Left Behind and Race to the Top, suggest in their design that schools can and should eliminate the achievement gap regardless of growing economic inequality. Because “the gap is a symptom of larger social, 11 economic and political problems that go far beyond the reach of the school” (Ravitch, 2013), “there’s a lack of moral, political, and intellectual integrity in the suppression of awareness of how social and economic disadvantage lowers achievement” (Rothstein, 2008). Proponents of the failing schools narrative, including many politicians and venture capitalists, who are investing in charter schools, suggest that the education system is at fault for the achievement gap. Rothstein (2013) suggests, “educators and their professional organizations should insist to every politician… that social and economic reforms are needed to create an environment in which the most effective teaching can take place.” He further notes, “nobody should be forced to choose between advocating for better schools or speaking out for greater social and economic equality. Each depends on the other” (Rothstein, 2008.) 12 Chapter III: Methodology Data Collection The researcher obtained data from the New York State School District Report Cards and from John Hughes’s (2013) Data Points. Analysis Procedures The researcher conducted quantitative analyses to determine the distribution of wealth and ethnicity in school districts in Nassau County in 2012 and the correlation of percentages of student poverty and student achievement on the NYS English Regents Exam. The researcher performed a descriptive analysis to determine the distribution of wealth and ethnicity, utilizing histograms to demonstrate the skewness of the distribution. The descriptive analysis also includes the mean and median as different measures of central tendency to demonstrate the skew. The researcher used scatterplots to demonstrate the correlation of poverty rates and ethnicity, poverty rates and student achievement on the New York State English Regents Examination, poverty rates and budgeted per pupil expenditures, and budgeted per pupil expenditures and student achievement on the NYS English Regents Examination. The researcher used the Pearson correlation coefficient (r value) to determine the strength of the correlations. The Significance (2-tailed p value) number was used to determine the statistical significance of the correlation. The researcher conducted a regression analysis, using the linear regression formula “Y = b(x) + a” and the coefficient of determination (r2), to demonstrate the percentage of effect that poverty rates have on student achievement on the New York State English Regents. 13 Chapter IV: Findings Research Question 1 1. Is there an equal distribution of racial and socioeconomic demographics in Nassau County school districts, as determined by the percentage of students receiving free and reduced lunch? There is an unequal distribution of racial demographics in Nassau County school districts. As demonstrated in figure 1, there is a strong positive skew in the distribution of the percentage of Black and Hispanic student enrollment in school districts in Nassau County in 2012. Figure 1: Distribution of % of Black and Hispanic Students in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 As demonstrated in table 1, the mean of the percentage of Black and Hispanic students in school districts in Nassau County is 28.8, but the median percentage is 14.5, demonstrating that 14 Black and Hispanic student enrollment is concentrated in a minority of districts. The range in the percentage of Black and Hispanic student enrollment is 95, with the lowest district percentages at 3 and the highest district percentages at 98, demonstrating great discrepancies in the ethnicity of student enrollment. Likewise, the standard normal distribution test statistic or (z score) is 3.79, which suggests a severe skew, again demonstrating the great discrepancies in the percentage of Black and Hispanic students enrolled in Nassau County school districts. Table 1: Central Tendency and Distribution of % of Black and Hispanic Students in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 The strong positive skew of percentages of Black and Hispanic student enrollment is repeated in percentages of students receiving free and reduced price lunch, demonstrating poverty rates, in school districts in Nassau County. As demonstrated in figure 2, concentrated poverty is focused in a minority of districts. 15 Figure 2: Distribution of % of Student Receiving Free or Reduced Price Lunch in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 The mean percentage of students receiving free and reduced price lunch in Nassau County is 19.3%, see table 2, and the median percentage is 11%, exhibiting a strong positive skew in the distribution. The standard normal distribution test statistic or (z score) is 5.4. The range of percentages of impoverished students in Nassau County school districts is 83%, including affluent school districts with poverty rates of 1% and poor districts with poverty rates of 84%. Not only is there a great discrepancy between the poverty rates in the district, the positive skew of the distribution means that high poverty rates are focused in a minority of districts. 16 Table 2: Central Tendency and Distribution of % of Students Receiving Free or Reduced Price Lunch in Nassau County School Districts in 2012 Research Question 2 2. To what extent are the socioeconomic disparities of the students in the different school districts in Nassau County correlated with racial differences of the students? Poverty rates as measured by percentages of students receiving free and reduced lunch are strongly correlated with percentages of Black and Hispanic students in school districts in Nassau County. The Pearson Correlation Coefficient, as noted in table 3, is .921, meaning that there is a very strong positive correlation between poverty rates and Black and Hispanic enrollment in Nassau County school districts. 17 Table 3 Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Black and Hispanic Student Enrollment in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 The coefficient of determination (r2), shown in figure 3, is .848, meaning that 84.8% of the percentage of enrollment of Black and Hispanics in Nassau County districts is impacted by the poverty rate in the districts. The slope of the regression line suggests that for every percentage increase in the student poverty rate, there will be a 1.36 percentage increase in Black and Hispanic enrollment in Nassau County districts. 18 Figure 3. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Concentration of Black and Hispanic Students Research Question 3 3. To what extent is student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination, correlated with the district-wide percentages of impoverished students in school districts in Nassau County? As seen in table 4, the Pearson Correlation Coefficient is -8.14 demonstrating a strong negative correlation of the percentage of impoverished students and the percentage of student proficiency on the NYS English Regents. Table 4 also demonstrates that the correlation is statistically significant. 19 Table 4 Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Proficiency Rates on the NYS English Regents Examination School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 Figure 4, a scatterplot graph, includes school districts in Nassau County. The slope of the regression line suggests that for every percent increase in the student poverty rate, there is a .46% decrease in student proficiency on the NYS English Regents Examination. The coefficient of determination suggests that the percentage of impoverished students has a 66.2% impact on student proficiency on the NYS English Regents. 20 Figure 4. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination in Nassau County in 2012 Table 5 Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 21 As demonstrated in table 5, there is an even stronger correlation between student poverty rates and mastery on the NYS English Regents Examination (r=-.905) than on proficiency (r=.814). As table 5 demonstrates, the correlation is statistically significant. As r2 = 0.819, in figure 5, the student poverty rate has an 81.9% impact on student mastery rates on the NYS English Regents. The slope of the regression line suggests that for every 1% increase in the student poverty rate, there will be a .88% decrease in student mastery. Figure 5. Impact of Mastery Rates on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents Examination in Nassau County in 2012 22 Research Question 4 4. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with socioeconomic demographics in school districts in Nassau County? Figure 6. Impact of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch on Budget Per Pupil Expenditures in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 As demonstrated in figure 6, by the districts represented as points in the scatterplot, and table 6, where r = .014, there is no correlation between student poverty rates and budgeted per pupil expenditures in school districts in Nassau County. 23 Table 6 Correlation of % of Students Receiving Free and Reduced Price Lunch and % of Mastery Rates on Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 Research Question 5 5. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the New York State English Regents Examination? As demonstrated in figure 7, by the districts represented as points in the scatterplot, and table 7, where r = .037, there is no correlation between budgeted per pupil expenditures and student proficiency on the NYS English Regents Examination. As demonstrated in figure 8, by the districts represented as points in the scatterplot, and table 8, where r = .103, there is little correlation between budgeted per pupil expenditures and student mastery on the NYS English Regents Examination. 24 Figure 7: Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 Table 7 Correlation of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Proficiency Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 25 Figure 8. Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 Table 8 Correlation of the Lack of Impact of Budgeted Per Pupil Expenditures on Mastery Rates on the New York State English Regents in School Districts in Nassau County in 2012 26 Summary of Findings by Research Question 1. Is there an equal distribution of racial and socioeconomic demographics in Nassau County school districts, as determined by the percentage of students receiving free and reduced lunch? There is not an equal distribution of racial and socioeconomic demographics in Nassau County school districts. As the poverty rate, as measured by the percentage of students receiving free and reduced price lunch, and the percentage of Black and Hispanic enrollment are positively skewed, the data indicate that there is a concentration of impoverished students and Black and Hispanic enrollment in a minority of school districts. 2. To what extent are the socioeconomic disparities of the students in the different school districts in Nassau County correlated with racial differences of the students? There is a strong positive correlation of the poverty rate of students in Nassau County and the percentage of Black and Hispanic enrollment. 3. To what extent is student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination, correlated with the district-wide percentages of impoverished students in school districts in Nassau County? 27 There is a strong negative correlation of the poverty rate of students in Nassau County and the percentage of students achieving proficiency and mastery on the NYS English Regents Examination. 4. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with racial and economic demographics in school districts in Nassau County? There is little to no correlation of budgeted per pupil expenditures and racial and economic demographics in school districts in Nassau County. 5. To what extent are budgeted per pupil expenditures correlated with student achievement, specifically proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination? There is little to no correlation of budgeted per pupil expenditures and the percentage of students achieving proficiency and mastery on the NYS English Regents Examination. 28 Chapter V: Conclusions and Recommendations Conclusions The data about demographic trends and student achievement on the NYS English Regents Examination reinforce the research about the effects of poverty on student achievement. The distribution of impoverished students and Black and Hispanic students, who in Nassau County are largely the same group, demonstrates that there are high concentrations of impoverished, minority students in a minority of Nassau County school districts. Poverty plays a major role in student achievement, as the correlations of poverty rates and proficiency and mastery rates on the NYS English Regents Examination are very strong. Further, given that the coefficient of determination (r2) = .819, meaning that 81.9% of the impact on student achievement is a result of poverty rates, the data indicate that poverty is the most important factor in student mastery on the NYS English Regents Examination. The data relating to questions four and five indicate that there is little to no correlation between budgeted per pupil expenditures and student poverty rates and student achievement on the NYS English Regents Examination. Given the findings, it appears that school policies will play a smaller role in addressing the achievement gap than policies that impact the socioeconomic status of the students. Recommendations While educators should continue to explore methods for engaging and educating impoverished students, the findings of this researcher suggest that educators have to play a more vocal role in helping stakeholders understand the impact of poverty on student achievement. Because student poverty rates are very strongly correlated with student achievement while 29 budgeted per pupil expenditures are weakly correlated, steps to improve education from inside the school must be met with steps to improve the socioeconomic status of the students’ families outside the school if the achievement gap is to be eliminated. Recommendations for Further Research Given the limitations of the research, which focuses on student poverty and achievement rates from only one year, there are many opportunities for further research. Further research might include: 1. data about student poverty and achievement rates over several years rather than one year. 2. data about achievement rates in other subjects and at the elementary and secondary level. 3. data about other in-school factors that might impact student achievement, such as teacher salary, teacher turnover, teacher years of experience, curricular programs, etc. 4. other and potentially more accurate measures of student poverty rates, as eligible students often do not apply for free and reduced priced lunch. 30 REFERENCES Darling-Hammond, L. (2010). The flat world of education: how America’s commitment to equity will determine our future. (1st ed., pp. # - #). New York: Teachers College Press. Duncan, G.J. & Murname, R.J. (2014) Growing income inequality threatens American education: Rising economic and social inequality has weakened neighborhoods and families in ways that make effective school reform difficult. Kappan, 95(6), 8 – 14. 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