This version of the SOURCES AND DATA, January 2013 has been prepared for use with screen reader software. The PDF version also available at www.planmelbourne.vic.gov.au is recommended for general access. SOURCES OF DATA –FACT SHEETS PEOPLE Over the next 30-40 years the population of Melbourne is currently projected to grow from four million to six million people. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Over the past 40 years Melbourne grew by 1.5 million people. ABS, Historical Population data (various catalogues), 2011 The number of people aged 65 and over is expected to double over the next 30-40 years. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2011 and ABS Population Projections, 2008 (catalogue 3222.0) Melbourne’s population is growing at a faster rate than regional Victoria’s. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2011 and ABS annual population estimates, 2008 (catalogue 3218.0) Recently, Melbourne has been growing by around 1,200 people a week. ABS Quarterly Population Estimates, 2008 (catalogue 3101.0) and Department of Planning and Community Development, Annual Population Bulletin, 2011 In 2010 there were an estimated 54,600 births in Melbourne, up from 44,000 in 2000. ABS Births Australia, 2011 (catalogue 3301.0) Victoria’s regional population is also growing. Around 630,000 more people are expected to live in regional Victoria over the next 30-40 years. Around a third of this growth likely to be in Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Over the past 20 years, Melbourne’s population growth far exceeded that of the rest of Victoria, a reversal of the pattern prior to 1991. Between 1920 and 1991 the population of the City of Melbourne, Port Melbourne, Richmond, South Melbourne, Fitzroy and Collingwood almost halved. Between 2001-2006 all of Melbourne’s 31 Local Government Areas recorded population growth. ABS, Historical Population Data (censuses and various catalogues), various years Based on current trends, over the next 30-40 years the proportion of homes comprising families with children may decrease by four percent, while the proportion of one-person households may increase by three percent and couple-only households may increase by two percent. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Over the next 30-40 years, it is anticipated that 75 percent of Victoria’s population will continue to be in Melbourne. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 Over the past 20 years, the growth areas have grown by half a million people. It is projected that over the next 30-40 years approximately one million more people will live in these areas. Document Number: 2145983 ABS, Regional Population Growth, 2010 (catalogue 3218.0) and Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Version: 6 HOUSING Over the next 30-40 years we can expect that Melbourne’s outward growth will reach the edge of its current boundary. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Currently there are around 1.6 million homes in Melbourne. Housing Development Data, 2009 New housing adds around two percent to the total number of homes in Melbourne each year. Department of Planning and Community Development Analysis of Valuer-General Sales data, 2011 Around 320,000 first home buyers entered the market between 2000 and 2011. State Revenue Office, 2011 Over 75 percent of first home buyers bought existing homes. State Revenue Office, 2011 Between 2004-2009 there were around 132,000 homes Housing Development Data, 2009 built. In 2006, over 73 percent of Melbourne’s households owned or were buying their home, 23 percent lived in a private rental home, and more than three percent lived in social housing. Census of Population and Housing: Basic Community Profile, 2006 (catalogue 2001.0) Growth areas have attracted around half a million people over the past 20 years. ABS, Regional Population Growth, 2010 (catalogue 3218.0) Over the next 30-40 years, it is estimated that Melbourne may require about one million more homes. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Based on current trends, it is expected that the Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community proportion of homes comprising of families with Development, 2012 children may decrease by four percent, while the proportion of one-person households increases by three percent and couple-only households increases by two percent. Since 2000 the median house price has almost tripled, increasing from $190,000 to $500,000 in 2011. DPCD unpublished analysis of Valuer-General price data, 2011 During the same period the average wage in Victoria has also increased from around $42,500 in 2000 to $66,500 in 2011. Estimates of Personal Income for Small Areas, Time Series, 2003-04 to 2008-09 (catalogue 6524.0.55.002) Since 2000, the average weekly rent for a three bedroom home in Melbourne has doubled, increasing from $170 per week to around $340. ABS Consumer Price Index, 2011 (catalogue 6401.0) In June 2011, the percentage of rental properties in Melbourne affordable to people on Centrelink incomes has declined to less than ten percent of all rentals. Department of Human Services, Rental Report -June Quarter 2011 Between 2001 and 2011, construction industry prices for new-dwelling construction rose by 54 per cent, 28 percentage points above the increase in the average for all industries. ABS, Australian National Accounts (catalogue 5206.0, measured by New Dwelling Implicit Price Deflator versus Domestic Final Demand IPD Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 Costs are disproportionately high for residential construction over three storeys. Urbis JHD, Dwelling Costs Study: Final Report, 2007 Mark Lochran, Director, Rider Hunt (now Rider Levett Bucknall), “Honey, I Shrunk the Apartment”, Residential Property Developer Magazine, 2007 Grattan Institute, The Housing We’d Choose, 2011 Rider Levett Bucknall, Riders Digest Australia, 2012. In 2011 there were around 40,440 houses approved to be built in Melbourne. This is nearly twice as many as Sydney which had 22,230 housing approvals. ABS, Building Approvals, Australia, 2011 (catalogue 8731.0) Over 22,000 of Melbourne’s housing approvals were for detached houses and over 18,400 were for other housing types such as apartments, townhouses or units. Nearly one third of these approvals were in growth area councils. ABS, Building Approvals, Australia, 2011 (catalogue 8731.0) New housing adds around two percent to the total number to homes in Melbourne each year. Housing Development Data, 2009 Between 2004-2009 there were around 132,000 homes added to Melbourne’s housing stock, with the largest amount of construction activity occurring in 2009. Between 2004-2008 around 70 percent of homes built in the established areas were detached houses, villas or townhouses. The remaining 30 were apartments or units. SGS Economics and Planning, 2011 Around 320,000 first home buyers entered the market between 2000 and 2011. Nearly 25 percent of first home buyers purchased a new home, mostly in the growth areas. Over 75 percent of first home buyers purchase an existing home and the vast majority were in the middle and outer areas. State Revenue Office, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 TRANSPORT Over the next 30-40 years Melbourne’s transport system may need to accommodate an estimated seven million additional trips per day. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 and Department of Transport , Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity (VISTA) 2009 Currently close to 13 million trips across the city each day. VISTA, 2009 Melburnians make an average of three trips per day. VISTA, 2009 Public transport patronage is anticipated to almost double over the next 15 years. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 and VISTA 2009 Around 17 percent of travel to work is made on public transport. VISTA, 2009 60 percent of Melburnians travel on public transport at least once a month. VISTA, 2009 Travel by car accounts for 77 percent of all weekday trips and this increase to 81 percent on the weekends. VISTA, 2009 Almost 70 percent of all trips to the central city are made by sustainable forms of transport (public transport, walking or cycling). VISTA, 2009 Walking is the main form of travel for trips less than one kilometre. VISTA, 2009 Travel by car, accounts for around 77 percent of all weekday trips in Melbourne. Public transport accounts for eight percent, walking 12 percent and cycling two percent. VISTA, 2009 In Melbourne train patronage has increased by 44 percent, tram patronage by 22 percent and bus patronage by 34 percent. In regional Victoria, rail and coach patronage has increased by 96 percent. Metlink, Department of Transport, 2011 Train patronage grew by over four percent in the 12 months to June 2011, contributing to a patronage growth of 44 percent. Metlink, Department of Transport, 2011 With 78 percent of the tram network operating on shared roads, congestion has reduced the speed and efficiency of trams over time. Metlink, Department of Transport, 2011 Overall bus patronage has grown by more than 34 percent since 2005. Metlink, Department of Transport, 2011 Over the next 20 years, air passenger travel to and from Melbourne is expected to more than double, increasing from 25 million per year to around 56 million. Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, Aircraft movements through capital city airports, 2009-30, Report 117, 2009 and Melbourne Airport, 2010 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 Over the past five years cycling has grown by about eight percent each year. Document Number: 2145983 VISTA, 2009 Version: 6 ECONOMY With a workforce of over two million people, Melbourne is Australia’s second largest labour market. ABS Labour Force Survey, February 2012 (catalogue 6291.0.55.003) Victoria is Australia’s second largest economy, producing $317 billion in output in 2011 and accounting for 23 percent of Australia’s Gross Domestic Product. ABS, The Australian National Accounts: State Accounts, Expenditure, Income and Industry Components of Gross State Product, Victoria, Chain volume measures and current prices, 2010, (catalogue 5220.0) Metropolitan Melbourne accounts for approximately 80 percent of the Victorian Economy. SGS Economics and Planning, 2011 and Victorian Competition & Efficiency Commission, 2011 Victoria’s largest employing sectors are health care, social assistance services, manufacturing and retail. ABS Labour Force Survey, 2012 (catalogue 6291.0.55.003) At June 2009, around 96 percent of employing businesses in Victoria are small businesses, and on average employ 19 people. ABS Counts of Australian Businesses, 2010 (catalogue 8165.0) Around 30 percent of Melbourne's jobs are located in inner Melbourne suburbs and the remaining majority of workers are spread across the broader suburbs (middle, outer and growth areas). ABS Census of Population and Housing, Journey to Work, 2006 Since the early 2000’s, growth in labour productivity in Victoria has slowed and is now below the Australian average. Victorian Government, Victorian Budget Papers 2011-12, Strategy and Outlook, 2011 In 2011 Victoria’s goods and services exports were worth almost $34 billion. ABS Australian National Accounts: State Accounts, November 2011 (catalogue 5220.0) Victoria’s trade with other Australian states and territories was valued at approximately $99 billion in 2010-11. Department of Premier and Cabinet, Internal Study, (unpublished data), 2010 Victorian-based technology businesses account for over 25 percent of Australia’s total expenditure on business research and development. ABS Research and Experimental Development, 2010 (catalogue 8112.0) There are around 130,000 overseas student placements at Melbourne universities and vocational education and training institutions. Australian Government, Australian Education International, International Student Data, 2011 Although the number of people in the workforce will increase, the ratio of working age people to nonworking age people is likely to decrease. ABS Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia, 2010 and Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2011 In 2009, the national online retail sales for all sectors of the economy were estimated to have totalled between $19 and $24 billion. Australian Government, Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy, The Future of Australian Retail, 2010 Across Australia, economies experienced strong growth between 1999 and 2007, with the total value of transactions doubling in many industries. ABS, The Australian National Accounts: Input-Output Tables, 2010 (catalogue 5209.0.55.001) International trade has more than tripled over the past ABS Australian National Accounts: State Accounts, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 two decades. (catalogue 5222.0) At June 2011 there were 544,000 businesses operating ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, Including Entries in the State. and Exits, 2011 (catalogue 8165.0) Estimates suggest that the number of employing businesses will increase by around 30 percent by 2020. Department of Business and Innovation, 2011 Inner Melbourne currently accommodates 30 percent of Melbourne’s jobs compared to eight percent of the population. ABS Census of Population and Housing, Journey to Work, 2006 Suburban areas provide 70 percent of Melbourne’s employment opportunities. ABS Census of Population and Housing, Journey to Work, 2006 There has been substantial change in the growth areas, with rapid residential development attracting half a million people. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Most growth area municipalities have a small share of metropolitan employment. ABS Census of Population and Housing , Journey to Work, 2006 (catalogue 3218.0) Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 FREIGHT Melbourne’s roads and rail may need to accommodate more than twice as much freight and commercial traffic over the next 20-30 years. Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, 2011 99 percent of metropolitan freight is carried on Melbourne’s roads. Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, 2011 The Port of Melbourne handled a record 2.5 million units in 2011. Port of Melbourne Corporation, 2011 The Port of Melbourne handles around 35 percent of the nation’s container trade. Port of Melbourne Corporation, 2011 Melbourne Airport handles 30 percent of the national air freight.. Victorian Air Freight Council, Melbourne Airport Corporation, 2012 Over the next 20-30 years the freight task carried by trucks and light commercial vehicle traffic is expected to more than double. Department of Transport, 2008 The percentage of commercial vehicles on the roads is expected to increase from around 15 percent to more than 20 percent. Department of Transport, 2008 More than three times as many shipping containers are expected to be moving through the ports of Melbourne and Hastings combined by 2035. Port of Melbourne Corporation Chain Logistics Study, 2011 Up to 87 percent of all international containers Port of Melbourne Corporation Chain Logistics Study, 2011 imported through the Port of Melbourne are destined for a location within the metropolitan area, with nearly all of this freight moved on roads. On top of this, 96 percent of inbound containers from interstate arriving at the Dynon Rail Terminal are destined for a location within metropolitan Melbourne The Port of Hastings supports the general cargo, steel and oil markets and in 2010-2011 handled around 910,000 tonnes of coastal exports. Port of Hastings Corporation Trade Statistics, 2011 99 percent of metropolitan freight by volume is carried on Melbourne’s roads. Currently there are over 500,000 commercial vehicles on Melbourne’s roads and this is anticipated to more than double over the next 20-30 years. Department of Transport 2008 Melbourne Airport is second only to Sydney Airport for total freight lifted in Australia and handles around 30 percent of the national air freight. Victorian Air Freight Council, Melbourne Airport Corporation, 2012 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 COMMUNITIES Melburnians said... 95 percent of Melburnians feel safe walking alone in their local area during the day. 80 percent feel that their local area is a well planned and pleasant environment. 87 percent feel that their local area has good services and facilities like shops, childcare, schools and libraries. 83 percent feel that their local area has easy access to recreational and leisure facilities. 57 percent feel that their local area has a wide range of community and support groups. 40 percent participate in organised sport. 28 percent of Melburnians volunteer. Indicators Of Community Strength at the Local Government Area level in Victoria, 2008 and Community Indicators Victoria Survey, Melbourne University, 2007 (safety indicators) In a 2010 AUSPOLL survey, Melbourne residents identified the top four attributes in making a city a good place to live: being a safe place for people and their property; having good healthcare services; being an affordable place to have a good standard of living; having good employment and economic opportunities. Australian Cities Liveability Index Survey, AUSPOLL, 2010 In Victoria there are over 2,200 places and objects considered of State significance and over 130,000 of local significance. Heritage Victoria, 2011 The number of Victorians aged over 65 years is expected to double over the next 30-40 years Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Those with multiple chronic disease leaps from 28 percent in the 50-64 age group to nearly 50 percent in the 65 and over age group. Metropolitan Health Plan, May 2011 Victorians aged over 65 reported that: 76 percent have lived in the same neighbourhood for over ten years. 77 percent walk for recreation, exercise or to get to or from places. 77 percent report their health as excellent, very good or good (compared to 81 percent all Victorians). Victorian Population Health Survey 2009, Department of Health, 2011 Around 95 percent Melburnians feel safe walking alone in their local area during the day, but only 64 percent feel safe at night. Community Indicators Victoria Survey, Melbourne University, 2007 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 INFRASTRUCTURE Currently there is around: 500,000 kilometres of cables distributing electricity to most of the State. 1,900 kilometres of the Principal Gas Transmission System, transporting gas to Melbourne and large population centres in regional Victoria. It is then transported by 25,000 kilometres of the reticulation network. [NO NEW UPDATES] Report to the Council of Australian Governments, Victoria’s Infrastructure: Status and Prospects, 2007 1,537 State Government schools. Department of Education and Early Childhood Development, Summary Statistics Victorian Schools, February, 2012 151 public hospital campuses. How Many Hospitals are There Report, Australian Government, Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, 2010-11 Melbourne was ranked most liveable city in 2012 with its healthcare, education and infrastructure receiving the maximum score of 100. A Summary of the Liveability Ranking and Overview, Economist Intelligence Unit, 2012 The Eastern Treatment Plant removes around 14 tonnes of rubbish from our sewage every day. That's about ten family cars full of rubbish. [NO NEW UPDATES] In 2010-11 solid waste generated per Victorian increased by 70 kilograms to 2.15 tonnes. Education - Your Role, Melbourne Water Website, 2011 If current trends continue, 30 percent more waste will be generated in 2030 and 3.2 million tonnes more will need to be reprocessed. [NO NEW UPDATES] Average annual infrastructure construction in Australia between 2007-2010 was almost double that of the previous eleven years. [NO NEW UPDATES] In the past 20 years, the growth areas on the edge of the city have attracted half a million people. Based on current trends, over the next 30-40 years, approximately one million more people will live in these areas. [NO NEW UPDATES] In 2012 the number of students enrolled in Victorian Government schools accounted for around 63 percent of all school enrolments. [NO NEW UPDATES] Melburnians aged over 65 years is expected to double by 2041 and there is likely to be greater demands on our health services. [NO NEW UPDATES] Those with multiple chronic disease leaps from 28 percent in the 50-64 age group to nearly 50 percent in the 65 and over age group. [NO NEW UPDATES] Metropolitan Waste and Resource Recovery Strategic Plan, Department of Sustainability and Environment , 2009 Document Number: 2145983 Towards Zero Waste Strategy 2010–2011 Progress Report, Sustainability Victoria, 2012 State of Australian Cities, Australian Government Department of Infrastructure and Transport, 2011 ABS Annual Population Estimates, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Annual Report 2011-2012, Department of Education and Early Childhood Development , 2012 Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Ageing in Victoria: A plan for an age-friendly society 20102020, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2010 Version: 6 Between 30 June 2007 and 30 June 2011 the prisoner population increased from 4,183 prisoners to 4,737 prisoners, an increase of over 13 percent. Corrections Victoria, 2011 The number of issues dealt with by courts, the Victoria Civil and Administrative Tribunal, and the Dispute Settlement Centre of Victoria also decreased from 394,223 in 2010-11 to 385,984. Annual Report 2011-2012, Department of Justice, 2012 Demands for sport and recreation areas remains strong, with around 83 percent of Victorians aged 15 years and over participating in physical activity. [NO NEW UPDATES] Melbourne’s potable water use in 2010 was 356 gigalitres. Around 63 percent was for residential use and 27 percent was non-residential use. [NO NEW UPDATES] Australia has the eighth largest telecommunications market in the world. The Economist Intelligence Unit’s latest e-readiness rankings - an indicator of the ability of businesses to conduct e-commerce - placed Australia ninth in the world. [NO NEW UPDATES] Participation in Exercise, Recreation and Sport Survey, 2010 Annual Report, Standing Committee on Recreation and Sport, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Living Melbourne, Living Victoria Roadmap, State Government of Victoria, 2011 Digital economy rankings 2010: Beyond e-readiness, Economist Intelligence Unit, 2010 Version: 6 ENVIRONMENT The Victorian Environmental Assessment Council estimates that there is around 146,000 hectares of land in Melbourne with native vegetation. Victorian Environment Assessment Council, 2010 There are around 495 native vertebrate species recorded in and around Melbourne. Victorian Environment Assessment Council, 2010 Road based freight and private motor vehicles are the major source of urban air pollution. Environment Protection Agency, 2011 The recent drought generated the longest of period of low water inflows into Melbourne’s dams and catchments on record. Melbourne Water, Water Storage Report , 2011 Between 2000-2001 and 2009-2010, Victoria’s overall energy consumption has grown by 4.4 percent and greenhouse gas emissions from the energy industries sector by around four percent. ABS, State and Territory Statistical Indicators, 2012 (catalogue 1367.0) and National Greenhouse Accounts 2011, Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency. Over the same period, residential electricity consumption grew by 11.5 percent and residential gas consumption by 21.9 percent. Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Energy Update, 2011 The number of days in Melbourne over 35oC could increase from nine days in 1990 to 11-13 days per year; and Report on Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Victoria, Department of Sustainability and Environment 2012 There may be fewer and heavier rainfall days, and more consecutive dry days. Since 1910, the Victorian average annual mean temperature has increased by about 0.8°C. Between 1997-2009, Victoria experienced its driest period on record, with total annual rainfall decreasing by 13 percent. In contrast, frequent heavy rain events during 2010-2011 resulted in above average rainfall conditions across Victoria. January 2011 was the wettest January in Victoria’s records. Report on Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Victoria, Department of Sustainability and Environment 2012 Western Region Sustainable Water Strategy, DSE 2011 Even with the recent wet weather, total rainfall over the past 15 years remains below average across most of Victoria, including Melbourne. Bureau of Meteorology, 2011 The Bureau of Meteorology reported that the two hailstone storms in March 2010 resulted in losses estimated to exceed $1 billion. Bureau of Meteorology and Insurance Council of Australia, 2011 Victoria’s electricity demand is growing by around 1.6 percent every year. Australian Energy Market Operator, Electricity Statement of Opportunities, 2011 Maximum peak demand such as on a hot summer afternoon, is expected to grow by an average of 2.2 percent per year. Australian Energy Market Operator, Electricity Statement of Opportunities, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 PERI-URBAN There are around 97 settlements within Melbourne’s peri-urban areas. Department of Planning and Community Development, unpublished data, 2012 Worldwide, there is recognition by growing cities of the need to manage peri-urban areas and the important assets they contain. This has been a part of Melbourne’s planning policy for over 40 years. Michael Buxton and Robin Goodman (2002), Maintaining Melbourne’s Green Wedge, School of Social Science and Planning – RMIT University Planning Policies for the Melbourne Metropolitan Region, Melbourne and Metropolitan Board of Works, 1971 Peri-urban areas have wildlife found nowhere else in the world, such as the Southern Brown Bandicoot. Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities. Species Profile and Treats Database, 2011 Since 2001, some of the fastest growing municipalities have been located in the peri-urban areas. ABS, Average Annual Population Growth, Victorian SLAs, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Between 2001-2011 the Surf Coast, Mitchell and Golden Plains shires had the highest growth rate percentage. Around two-thirds of visitors to peri-urban areas are from Melbourne. Planning Sustainable Futures for Melbourne’s Peri-Urban Region, Summary Report, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (Buxton et al), 2008 The peri-urban areas contains three internationally significant Ramsar listed wetland areas -Western Port, Edithvale-Seaford Wetlands and Port Phillip Bay (Western Shoreline) and Bellarine Peninsula. Australia's Ramsar Sites, Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities, 2010 The Port Phillip and Western Port area around Melbourne is the second highest producer of agricultural products per hectare in Victoria, with agricultural output per hectare approximately four times the State average. Planning Sustainable Futures for Melbourne’s Peri-Urban Region, Summary Report, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (Buxton et al), 2008 The Western Treatment Plant treats around 50 percent of Melbourne’s sewage and the Eastern Treatment Plant treats around 40 percent – both of which are located in Green Wedge areas. Melbourne Water Website, as at 1 March 2012 Tourism within peri-urban areas is continuing to grow and 4,362 tourism businesses have been registered. Planning Sustainable Futures for Melbourne’s Peri-urban Region, Summary Report, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology, (Buxton et al), 2008 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 REGIONAL Regional Victoria accounts for around a quarter of the State’s population. The major regional cities of Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo and the Latrobe Valley are home to over a third of regional Victoria’s population. ABS, Annual Population Estimates, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Annual food exports are valued at over $6.5 billion, of which $1.23 billion is farmed food. Department of Primary Industries, 2008 About a third of regional Victoria’s future growth is likely to occur in Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 Between 2005-2011 growth in regional rail patronage has doubled. Metlink, Department of Transport, 2011 Domestic day trip visitors were estimated to have spent over $2 billion in regional Victoria in 2010. Tourism Victoria, 2010 Victoria’s regional population growth is at its highest rate since 1982. In 2009-2010 the average growth rate reached 1.4 per cent, an increase of around 20,300 people annually. ABS, Annual Population Estimates, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Over the next 30-40 years it is estimated that there will be an additional 630,000 people in regional Victoria. . About 40 percent of this growth is expected to occur in Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat. Victoria in Future, Department of Planning and Community Development, 2012 The population of Greater Geelong is growing at around 1.7 percent and has reached over 220,000 people. ABS, Average Annual Population Growth, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Located within the region is the new growth area Armstrong Creek, consisting of 2,500 hectares of developable land and the potential to provide housing for between 55,000 – 65,000 people. City of Greater Geelong, 2011 Ballarat’s population is around 96,000 with an annual growth rate of two percent. ABS, Average Annual Population Growth ates, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Ballarat is one of Victoria’s premier tourist destinations attracting around 1.8 million domestic day trip visitors each year and contributing $139 million to the local economy. City of Ballarat, 2011 Bendigo has a population of over 104,000. ABS, Average Annual Population Growth, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) While manufacturing is Bendigo’s largest industry there has been substantial growth in all business sectors and some 51,000 people are employed in Bendigo. Bendigo is home to over 4000 businesses, including finance, IT, business and personal services, manufacturing, health, education and government. City of Greater Bendigo, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6 The Latrobe Valley cluster of cities has a population of over 76,000 and an annual growth rate is 1.1 percent. ABS, Annual Population Estimates, 2011 (catalogue 3218.0) Latrobe Valley generates 85 percent of Victoria’s electricity and has major industries, such as timber processing and manufacturing of paper products. Latrobe City Council, 2011 Document Number: 2145983 Version: 6