Cecilia Morse ENG 137H Casey Wiley Paradigm Shift Paper The Perfect Milk Machine “So what are you willing to sell for?” It was finally here. The long awaited question that I have been dreading for five months. Looking into his eyes I could tell he was a serious potential buyer. I took a deep breath giving me time to finally solidify my answer. “I have decided I won’t take any less than $120,000.” I can’t even fathom the amount of money coming from my own mouth. He stared up at me, and I was unable to read his expression until his mouth finally opened. “You’ve got yourself a deal.” The man shook my hand as he reached into his pocket for his check book. I couldn’t believe it. I had just sold my six month old calf, yes, a baby cow, for one hundred and twenty thousand dollars, the price of a small house. While many people in this world would find this completely ridiculous, those familiar with the recent advancements in the dairy industry see it as a brilliant investment. An investment backed by the recent paradigm shift from traditional breeding methods to the use of genomics for all types of cattle. For hundreds of years, farmers have been trying to enhance their herd quality by breeding their animals for improved milk yield, fat and protein yield, feet and legs, udders, capacity, and "dairyness." To enhance all of these features in an animal each generation would lead to a genetically perfect line of cattle. Unfortunately, farmers were not guaranteed that every excellent trait contained by their chosen bull would transfer to its offspring. Instead, the farmers would choose the bull according to their proofs. Proofs are recordings of every daughter the bull sires and their classifications, milking records, and show records. If was guessed that the higher the proof of the bull, the better traits and genotypes the bulls possessed. But that was exactly the problem, it was all a guess. The traditional approach of using selective breeding has been very successful, except it is impossible to know the exact genes that have increased or decreased in frequency in the populations. This approach is often referred to as a “black box” approach, since it is unknown what genes have been affected. The use of very effective progeny testing programs and the heavy use of well-proven, elite bulls has been very successful, but no matter how many advances were made in this “traditional proof” breeding selection, there were still different phenomenon’s that the proofs could not explain, and farmers were stuck in a hit or miss breeding system, that is, until now. About ten years ago, a new way of breeding selection was introduced to the dairy industry called genomics. An evolving concept, genomics is continually providing means for steady genetic improvement. The tests are continuously increasing in accuracy and potential value. Since their public release in 2007, genomic tests have become more enhanced and economical for on-farm use. Specifically, one of the most recent genomic developments is the opportunity to evaluate not only bulls, but cows and heifers with a 3K genomic test. The 3K SNP test gives dairies greater accuracy when predicting a calf’s future when compared to evaluating parent averages. Since September 2010 the 3K test has been providing an estimate of an animal’s genetic merit for many traits, including milk production and animal’s net merit. Net merit is an estimate of the expected lifetime profit of a female compared to the breed base of an average cow born and raised in the same environment. Net merit includes traits that capture an economic impact, such as milk yield, health, longevity, fertility and calving ease. The breeding value of an animal is her genetic merit compared to the genetic merit of the breed base animal. Evaluating 3,000 SNPs, the 3K test compares an animal’s DNA to a database that associates DNA patterns with the genetic merit of certain traits. Results from a 3K genomic test take a month or two to be returned and provide producers with an additional tool for making herd decisions. Farmers are now using the application of genomics to design their herds in ways never before thought possible. The new implementation of livestock breeding programs is showing promise in gains all across the value chain, from show to production, all the way to consumption cattle. Genomics is expected to increase the efficiency and productivity of animal breeding, and enhance security and quality of animal products for consumers. Being expected with the use of genomics are new insights into the growth, nutrition, health, and protection of animals, providing a better understanding of any and all traits of interest. Therefore, genomics enables further opportunities to improve selection accuracy while reducing generation intervals, and exploiting new sources of polymorphisms to enhance the industry as a whole. In a very traditional industry, and genomics being relatively very new, the breeding selection “shift” taking place, like all paradigm shifts, is very much dependent upon the views of the breeders. Despite the science backing up this new and supposedly improved selection process, there are still many skeptics in the industry. Some breeders refuse to use a bull without a proof, saying that you cannot physically see they proof that the animals have these traits. This is creating what could be named as a genotype/phenotype gap between industry leaders, something that should and very well may be fixed within the upcoming years. As new, young bulls with high genomics are used by the “genomic investors” and produce more and more offspring, that offspring will be classified and eventually they will have genomic proofs, which is a proof that not only shows quality offspring, but offspring that contain traits reflected directly by their genomic numbers. (Additional paragraph on how genomic numbers differ from proof numbers will go here.) While it is obvious how genomic breeding selection will affect farmers and the people directly involved with the dairy industry, it is important to understand that genomics will not only affect those immediately connected to cattle, but just about everyone in the world. (not finished with this paragraph) (I’m not sure what else I am going to add at this moment…) (There will be a conclusion, I promise!!)