DRAFT VERSION ONLY- FOR APPROVAL Energy Megaprojects Working Group Meeting Record Meeting held: Monday, 17 July 2012 Venue: Politecnico Di Milano Present: Koloman, Mauro Mancini ( Group Leader), Nina Hampl, Louis-Francois Pau, Naomi Brookes, Tomas Urbanovsky Apologies: Gerald Adlbrecht, Daniela Spirikova, Giorgio Locatelli, Ruth Mourik 1.0) Overview Of Work Since Last Meeting NJB gave an overview of the work undertaken by TU, GL and herself since the last Energy WG meeting. NJB explained how the ‘post-its’ from the Bratislava Brainstorming Session had been transcribed by TU. TU and GL had then operationalised those which were amenable and used a subset of cases (those concerned with nuclear new build) to capture the presence of the operationalised construct within the cases. NJB explained how she had further refined this spreadsheet to separate out dependant variables and how she had then applied these constructs to all of the current cases in the Energy WG portfolio. The resulting spreadsheet is given in Annex A of this document. NJB also alluded to the work undertaken by GL and TU using an Eisenhardt1 ‘Similarity and Differences’ approach to proposition generation from case-study material. The results of this exercise are given in Annex B of this document. 2.0) A ‘Semantically’ Based Approach to Hypothesis Generation LFP presented a semantically based methodology that he had used within several consultancy organisations to the generation and testing of hypotheses from case based material. He also presented a trial application of the methodology to the results of the Bratisava Brainstorming session. LFP highlighted the use of automated tools in this process. Annex C contains the presentation that LFP gave to the meeting. 3.0) A ‘Triangulated’ Approach to Hypothesis Generation The Energy WG reviewed the options available and determined to run three parallel approaches to hypothesis/proposition generation, to test the hypotheses/propositions resulting from these approaches and thence to ‘triangulate’ these and produce an overall list of supported hypotheses for the Energy WG. The Energy WG discussed the testing of the hypotheses and the setting of the levels of response required to confirm or refute a hypothesis. In the case of the NJB/TU/GL methodology, operationalisation meant that constructs were binary (either present or not present). The LFP 1 Building Theories From Case Study Research Eisenhardt, Kathleen M. Academy of Management. The Academy of Management Review; Oct 1989; 14, 4; ABI/INFORM Global pg. 532 DRAFT VERSION ONLY- FOR APPROVAL methodology would provide continuously distributed data. It was determined to live with these inconsistencies during the testing phase and to resolve them at the triangulation phase. The Energy WG then undertook to convert the results of the Bratislava Brainstorming session into semantically correct propositions amenable to processing by LFP’s automated hypothesis generator. The results of this exercise are given in Annex D of this document. The resulting actions were determined as a result of this discussion: By the end of August: Action: NJB ( in conjunction with TU and GL) to review the current operationalised list of hypotheses and propositions and to check that the operationalisation of constructs was clear, that the propositions were grammatically correct and that they could not be further reduced or simplified. Action: Case Owners to check that they are happy with the NJB attributions of case values in the revised spreadsheet once she has circulated this. Action: NJB to investigate further generation of hypotheses using an inductive (‘Eisenhardt’ ) based approach Action: LFP to process the list of grammatically correct propositions generated by the Energy WG meeting using the automated tools that he has available and circulate the resulting list of hypotheses to the whole working group. Action: Individual case owners to confirm/refute if the hypotheses apply to their cases using the rules provided by LFP. By Mid-September Action: LFP to have triangulated the three mechanisms of hypothesis generation (NJB, GL & TU mechanisms, inductive mechanism, LFP semantic approach) and confirmation and to arrive at a ‘master’ list of supported hypotheses/propositions for the Energy WG for review by the whole group. NJB 24-07-12 Annex A: Spreadsheet to be provided by NJB Annex B: Spreadsheet to be provided by NJB Annex C: PPT presentation to be provided by LFP Annex D: Spreadsheet to be provided by MM