A. K. Kayumov The first comprehensive international scientific expedition to study the state of the glaciers and the environmental situation in the upper reaches of Vakhsh and Panj rivers. Part 1. Glaciers and Hydrology. - Dushanbe: "Irfon", 2013 Kayumov A. K. K- 12 The first comprehensive international scientific expedition to study the state of the glaciers and the environmental situation in the upper reaches of Vakhsh and Panj rivers. Part 1. Glaciers and Hydrology. - Dushanbe: "Irfon", 2013. – 154 с. This monograph summarizes the main results of the expedition on glaciology and hydrology in the upper reaches of Vakhsh and Panj rivers. The author points out that the study of the impact of climate change on glaciers in the basins of the rivers Vakhsh and Panj is extremely important, because these rivers fed by glacier melt, stabilizing role of glaciers becomes less effective because of the glaciations area reduction in the last decade, and this can significantly affect the overall flow formed on the territory of Tajikistan, especially in drought effected years. Hydrological observations generally indicate an increase in interannual variations of river flow with the prevailing trend of reducing surface runoff. In the monograph describe the ways and prospects of cooperation in the aspect of glaciology and hydrology. Environmental and social-medical data obtained in the course of this expedition will be published separately. The book is designed for a wide range of climatologists, hydrologists, glaciologists, biologists, environmentalists, decision makers, students of institutes of higher education and those interested in issues of glaciers, water resources in the context of global warming. 1805030000 -153 М 501 (12) - 2013 2013 ISBN № 978-99947-0-984-7 BBK 26.222.5 +28,081 +65.9 (2tadj) +28.082 +26.234.7 К-12 Recommended for publication by the scientific and technical Council of the Committee for environmental protection of the Republic of Tajikistan (№ 2/10 from July 2, 2013) © Kayumov A.K., 2013 Reviewers: Muhabbatov Kh.M. Doctor of Geographical Sciences, Professor Hakdodov M.M.- Corresponding member of the Academy of Sciences of Tajikistan, Professor, Doctor of Technical Sciences Kobuliev Z.V. Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor Rafiev M.K. Academic MANEB, Professor Doctor of medical Science, INTRODUCTION In the monograph, the author analyzes and summarizes the results of the expedition, as well as a comparative analysis with the extensive literature data about glaciers and the hydrological situation in the upper reaches of Vakhsh and Panj river basins. Significant achievements of this expedition are not just about the new results, but also attracted global attention to the problem of glaciers and water resources of Tajikistan, where a main flow of the rivers of Central Asia is formed. This example showed that a major international scientific expedition in the upper reaches of the river Vakhsh and Panj, with the participation of representatives of Central Asia that is conformable to the Republic of Tajikistan on cooperation in water for the future This example showed that the organization of large-scale international scientific expedition to the upper reaches of rivers Vakhsh and Panj with representatives of Central Asia is possible, which is in line with the appeal of the Republic of Tajikistan on water cooperation for the benefit of the future. The International Year of Water Cooperation is a good foundation for such collaboration. It should be noted that Professor Kayumov in accordance with the Government decision in the frameworks of International Polar Year (IPY) has organized the first Tajik Antarctic expedition with the support of 54 Russian Antarctic expedition in 2008-2009. The first comprehensive international scientific expedition to study the state of glaciers and the environmental situation in the upper reaches of Vakhsh and Panj rivers in 2011 is a logical continuation of the Antarctic expedition. It has a historical basis, and represents the beginning of a large-scale international scientific experiment in Tajikistan in the framework of the International Polar Year for the study of glaciers, hydrological conditions and the environment in the mountainous regions of Tajikistan. Tajikistan Government has approved (3.05.2010 № 209) "State program for the monitoring and preservation of glaciers 2010-2030". This decision is timely and relevant and in accordance with international standards it can be implemented in cooperation with the international community, as part of major international projects. The International Polar Year is a such study of glaciers in the global scale. Historical facts show that the large-scale complex expedition to study glaciers and hydrological regime of the Republic of Tajikistan and Central Asia were organized in 30’s in the framework of the "Second International Polar Year 1932-1933" and in 1957, the International Geophysical Year (IGY). As a result of these expeditions catalogue of glaciers and the hydrological regime of the rivers were compiled, and made major geographical discoveries. There were a lot of other expeditions, but they solved particular problems and complementary materials from previous expeditions. Unfortunately, after the 90s expeditions to the Pamir were suspended. Some experts in their discussions on water use outdated and fragmented data or data obtained by interpolation, which does not correspond to the real situation of today's glaciers and water resources in general. Sometimes it happens that the data is expressed distrust because these data were obtained by other researchers. The real way out of this situation, it is the joint work of scientists from all interested parties. The results of the expedition were presented at the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in Geneva on meeting on "Cryosphere". Information on the expedition was posted on the UN website (http://www.unmultimedia.org/radio/russian/archives/98071), indicating a resonance on a global scale and significance of this expedition. In September of the same year, an International Conference was organized, which brought together more than 120 participants, including representatives of about 30 countries in the world. The results of the expedition were presented at the plenary session. Also a special section was organized, which was devoted to the expedition, where the results were discussed in details. The results show that many of the priorities of Tajikistan in the field of climate change issues related to the development of hydropower, the implementation of adaptation measures for vulnerable communities and systems, conduct research and observations of the climate, which is not only a local and regional value but also a global. This work helps to build capacity for research and information management activities in mountainous areas, which will make a significant contribution to the development of national and world science. The results will make it possible to realize the limits of natural variability in the climate system and to evaluate future trends of climate change, will form the basis for improving the prediction of glaciers and water resources. Organization and conduction of the International Year on Water Cooperation by the initiative of the Republic of Tajikistan and the research results of Tajik scientists in the aspect of the of glaciers and water resources once again proves to the world community that the Republic of Tajikistan is always open to constructive dialogue. The Chairman of the Committee on Environmental Protection under Government of the Republic of Tajikistan, Doctor of Technical Sciences T.O. SALIMOV THE MONOGRAPH WAS PREPARED IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE PREPARATION OF THE THIRD NATIONAL COMMUNICATION OF THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNFCCC, UNDP/GEF CONTENTS PREFACE ........................................................................................................................................................... 6 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................. 8 1. MORPHOSTRUCTURAL FEATURES AND EXOGENOUS PROCESSES AND PHENOMENA IN THE UPPER RIVER VAKHSH AND PANJ ............................................................................. 12 Morphostructural features of the area of the upper reaches of the river VakhshError! Bookmark not defined. Exogenous geological processes and phenomena ...................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Morphostructural features of the area of the upper reaches of the river PanjError! Bookmark not defined. 2. GLACIOLOGICAL AND HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL RESEARCHError! Bookmark not defined. Representative glaciers basin Vakhsh River.............................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Representative glaciers basin Surkhob ...................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Representative glaciers basin Panj River................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.1 GLACIERS “MEDVEJI” AND GLACIERS “RGO” .......................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Glacier “Medveji” ........................................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Snow and avalanche valley Vanj................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Mudflows valley river Vanj .................................................................................................................... 39 Glacier “RGO” ( Kashalayah ) ................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.2 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS ................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. Hydrometeorological characteristics of the area ....................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. The results of the hydrological observations on the river Vanj .......................................................... 49 Hydrology river Vanj................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Flow of the river Abdukahor during the overlap ice dam ........................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Water balance of the river. Abdukahor ..................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. The quality of river water Abdukahor(Vanj).. .......................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Meteorological observations ........................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.3 GLACIER SKOGACH ...................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 3. WATER REGIME IN THE UPPER RIVER VAKHSH AND PANJ ... Error! Bookmark not defined. Hydrological conditions in the upper reaches of the river Vakhsh and Panj an estimatedexpedition...................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Assessment water resources Vakhsh and Panj rivers in the area of their formationError! Bookmark not defined. Assessment the impact of climate change on water resources ................. Error! Bookmark not defined. 4. MODELING OF CLIMATE CHANGE ............................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.1 Review of the ADB report TA - 7599 -TAJ: « Adapting to climate change including investments in nat ural resources" ................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.2 Review of the ADB report - TA 7532 : "Water and adaptation interventions in Central and West Asia"................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Summary of the review of the two reports ................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. SUMMARY ........................................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. APPENDIX .................................................................................................................................... 116 Information on the expedition ............................................................................................................. 117 Summary report on the preparatory expedition to the upper reaches basin of the Amu Darya river ............................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. List of participants and performers sections ...................................................................................... 137 LITERATURE ............................................................................................................................... 138 Научное издание КАЮМОВ Абдулхамид Каюмович член-корр. ИА РТ, профессор ПЕРВАЯ КОМПЛЕКСНАЯ МЕЖДУНАРОДНАЯ НАУЧНАЯ ЭКСПЕДИЦИЯ ПО ИЗУЧЕНИЮ СОСТОЯНИЯ ЛЕДНИКОВ И ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКОЙ СИТУАЦИИ В ВЕРХОВЬЯХ РЕК ВАХШ И ПЯНДЖ Часть 1. Ледники и гидрология Монография Научный редактор д.т.н., Т.О. Салимов Художественный редактор А. Исоев Технический редактор М. Шарипов ИБ № 4954 Компютерная верстка и дизайн Рахимов Ф.А. Подписано в печать 15.08.2013. Формат бумаги 60х84/16. Бумага офсетная. Гарнитура литературная. Печать офсетная. Усл. печ. л. 9,5 Тираж: 300 экз. 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