Appendix S1. Species Distribution Modeling (SDM) papers published in Diversity and Distributions Jan 2008 – May/Jun 2013 This list includes 100 of 579 papers published in Diversity and Distributions from Jan 2008 – May/Jun 2013 (10 in 2008; 21 in 2009; 13 in 2010; 21 in 2011; 26 in 2012; 9 published through June 2013) and 16 accepted for publication and available on EarlyView June 2013 (as indicated by n/a-n/a for volume and pages). The papers were identified using titles and abstracts in Web of Science ® (Thompson Reuters) queried 23 Jun 2013. Papers were included if they developed an empirical model of speciesenvironment correlations that was used to make a spatial prediction (predictive map). Some of these papers used SDM as one of several linked modeling methods to address problems in conservation biogeography. Adams-Hosking, C., McAlpine, C., Rhodes, J.R., Grantham, H.S. & Moss, P.T. (2012) Modelling changes in the distribution of the critical food resources of a specialist folivore in response to climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 847-860. Alba-Sanchez, F., Lopez-Saez, J.A., Benito-de Pando, B., Linares, J.C., Nieto-Lugilde, D. & LopezMerino, L. (2010) Past and present potential distribution of the Iberian Abies species: a phytogeographic approach using fossil pollen data and species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 214-228. Andrew, M.E. & Ustin, S.L. (2009) Habitat suitability modelling of an invasive plant with advanced remote sensing data. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 627-640. Barrientos, R. & Miranda, J.D. (2012) Can we explain regional abundance and road-kill patterns with variables derived from local-scale road-kill models? Evaluating transferability with the European polecat. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 635-647. Bateman, B.L., Murphy, H.T., Reside, A.E., Mokany, K. & VanDerWal, J. (2013) Appropriateness of full-, partial- and no-dispersal scenarios in climate change impact modelling. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Bateman, B.L., VanDerWal, J., Williams, S.E. & Johnson, C.N. (2012) Biotic interactions influence the projected distribution of a specialist mammal under climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 861-872. Beaumont, L.J., Gallagher, R.V., Thuiller, W., Downey, P.O., Leishman, M.R. & Hughes, L. (2009) Different climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 409-420. Besnard, A.G., La Jeunesse, I., Pays, O. & Secondi, J. (2013) Topographic wetness index predicts the occurrence of bird species in floodplains. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Bisrat, S.A., White, M.A., Beard, K.H. & Cutler, D.R. (2012) Predicting the distribution potential of an invasive frog using remotely sensed data in Hawaii. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 648-660. Bombi, P., Luiselli, L. & D'Amen, M. (2011) When the method for mapping species matters: defining priority areas for conservation of African freshwater turtles. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 581592. Brummer, T.J., Maxwell, B.D., Higgs, M.D. & Rew, L.J. (2013) Implementing and interpreting localscale invasive species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Buisson, L. & Grenouillet, G. (2009) Contrasted impacts of climate change on stream fish assemblages along an environmental gradient. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 613-626. 1 Cabral, J.S., Jeltsch, F., Thuiller, W., Higgins, S., Midgley, G.F., Rebelo, A.G., Rouget, M. & Schurr, F.M. (2013) Impacts of past habitat loss and future climate change on the range dynamics of South African Proteaceae. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 363-376. Carvalho, S.B., Brito, J.C., Crespo, E.J. & Possingham, H.P. (2011) Incorporating evolutionary processes into conservation planning using species distribution data: a case study with the western Mediterranean herpetofauna. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 408-421. Comte, L. & Grenouillet, G. (2013) Species distribution modelling and imperfect detection: comparing occupancy versus consensus methods. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Cromsigt, J., Kerley, G.I.H. & Kowalczyk, R. (2012) The difficulty of using species distribution modelling for the conservation of refugee species - the example of European bison. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1253-1257. Crossman, N.D. & Bass, D.A. (2008) Application of common predictive habitat techniques for postborder weed risk management. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 213-224. De Caceres, M. & Brotons, L. (2012) Calibration of hybrid species distribution models: the value of general-purpose vs. targeted monitoring data. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 977-989. Delean, S., Bull, C.M., Brook, B.W., Heard, L.M.B. & Fordham, D.A. (2013) Using plant distributions to predict the current and future range of a rare lizard. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Dubuis, A., Pottier, J., Rion, V., Pellissier, L., Theurillat, J.P. & Guisan, A. (2011) Predicting spatial patterns of plant species richness: a comparison of direct macroecological and species stacking modelling approaches. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 1122-1131. Duckett, P.E., Wilson, P.D. & Stow, A.J. (2013) Keeping up with the neighbours: using a genetic measurement of dispersal and species distribution modelling to assess the impact of climate change on an Australian arid zone gecko (Gehyra variegata). Diversity and Distributions, n/an/a. Elith, J., Phillips, S.J., Hastie, T., Dudik, M., Chee, Y.E. & Yates, C.J. (2011) A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 43-57. Engler, R. & Guisan, A. (2009) MIGCLIM: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 590-601. Evangelista, P.H., Kumar, S., Stohlgren, T.J., Jarnevich, C.S., Crall, A.W., Norman, J.B. & Barnett, D.T. (2008) Modelling invasion for a habitat generalist and a specialist plant species. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 808-817. Feeley, K.J. & Silman, M.R. (2011) Keep collecting: accurate species distribution modelling requires more collections than previously thought. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 1132-1140. Fei, S.L., Liang, L., Paillet, F.L., Steiner, K.C., Fang, J.Y., Shen, Z.H., Wang, Z.H. & Hebard, F.V. (2012) Modelling chestnut biogeography for American chestnut restoration. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 754-768. Ficetola, G.F., Thuiller, W. & Padoa-Schioppa, E. (2009) From introduction to the establishment of alien species: bioclimatic differences between presence and reproduction localities in the slider turtle. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 108-116. Filipe, A.F., Markovic, D., Pletterbauer, F., Tisseuil, C., De Wever, A., Schmutz, S., Bonada, N. & Freyhof, J. (2013) Forecasting fish distribution along stream networks: brown trout (Salmo trutta) in Europe. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Fordham, D.A., Brook, B.W., Caley, M.J., Bradshaw, C.J.A. & Mellin, C. (2013) Conservation management and sustainable harvest quotas are sensitive to choice of climate modelling approach for two marine gastropods. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. 2 Forester, B.R., DeChaine, E.G. & Bunn, A.G. (2013) Integrating ensemble species distribution modelling and statistical phylogeography to inform projections of climate change impacts on species distributions. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Franklin, J., Wejnert, K.E., Hathaway, S.A., Rochester, C.J. & Fisher, R.N. (2009) Effect of species rarity on the accuracy of species distribution models for reptiles and amphibians in southern California. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 167-177. Gallien, L., Munkemuller, T., Albert, C.H., Boulangeat, I. & Thuiller, W. (2010) Predicting potential distributions of invasive species: where to go from here? Diversity and Distributions, 16, 331342. Gillingham, P.K., Huntley, B., Kunin, W.E. & Thomas, C.D. (2012) The effect of spatial resolution on projected responses to climate warming. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 990-1000. Hamann, A. & Aitken, S.N. (2013) Conservation planning under climate change: accounting for adaptive potential and migration capacity in species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 268-280. Hein, C.L., Ohlund, G. & Englund, G. (2011) Dispersal through stream networks: modelling climatedriven range expansions of fishes. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 641-651. Heinanen, S. & von Numers, M. (2009) Modelling species distribution in complex environments: an evaluation of predictive ability and reliability in five shorebird species. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 266-279. Hill, M.P., Hoffmann, A.A., Macfadyen, S., Umina, P.A. & Elith, J. (2012) Understanding niche shifts: using current and historical data to model the invasive redlegged earth mite, Halotydeus destructor. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 191-203. Hinojosa-Diaz, I.A., Feria-Arroyo, T.P. & Engel, M.S. (2009) Potential distribution of orchid bees outside their native range: The cases of Eulaema polychroma (Mocsary) and Euglossa viridissima Friese in the USA (Hymenoptera: Apidae). Diversity and Distributions, 15, 421-428. Hof, A.R., Jansson, R. & Nilsson, C. (2012) How biotic interactions may alter future predictions of species distributions: future threats to the persistence of the arctic fox in Fennoscandia. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 554-562. Hsu, R.C.C., Tamis, W.L.M., Raes, N., de Snoo, G.R., Wolf, J.H.D., Oostermeijer, G. & Lin, S.H. (2012) Simulating climate change impacts on forests and associated vascular epiphytes in a subtropical island of East Asia. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 334-347. Huntley, B. & Barnard, P. (2012) Potential impacts of climatic change on southern African birds of fynbos and grassland biodiversity hotspots. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 769-781. Jimenez-Valverde, A., Lobo, J.M. & Hortal, J. (2008) Not as good as they seem: the importance of concepts in species distribution modelling. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 885-890. Junker, J., Blake, S., Boesch, C., Campbell, G., du Toit, L., Duvall, C., Ekobo, A., Etoga, G., GalatLuong, A., Gamys, J., Ganas-Swaray, J., Gatti, S., Ghiurghi, A., Granier, N., Hart, J., Head, J., Herbinger, I., Hicks, T.C., Huijbregts, B., Imong, I.S., Kuempel, N., Lahm, S., Lindsell, J., Maisels, F., McLennan, M., Martinez, L., Morgan, B., Morgan, D., Mulindahabi, F., Mundry, R., N'Goran, K.P., Normand, E., Ntongho, A., Okon, D.T., Petre, C.A., Plumptre, A., Rainey, H., Regnaut, S., Sanz, C., Stokes, E., Tondossama, A., Tranquilli, S., Sunderland-Groves, J., Walsh, P., Warren, Y., Williamson, E.A. & Kuehl, H.S. (2012) Recent decline in suitable environmental conditions for African great apes. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1077-1091. Keith, S.A., Herbert, R.J.H., Norton, P.A., Hawkins, S.J. & Newton, A.C. (2011) Individualistic species limitations of climate-induced range expansions generated by meso-scale dispersal barriers. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 275-286. 3 Kent, R. & Carmel, Y. (2011) Presence-only versus presence-absence data in species composition determinant analyses. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 474-479. Kuemmerle, T., Hickler, T., Olofsson, J., Schurgers, G. & Radeloff, V.C. (2012) Reconstructing range dynamics and range fragmentation of European bison for the last 8000 years. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 47-59. Liu, F., McShea, W., Garshelis, D., Zhu, X.J., Wang, D.J., Gong, J.E. & Chen, Y.P. (2009) Spatial distribution as a measure of conservation needs: an example with Asiatic black bears in southwestern China. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 649-659. Maclean, I.M.D., Wilson, R.J. & Hassall, M. (2011) Predicting changes in the abundance of African wetland birds by incorporating abundance-occupancy relationships into habitat association models. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 480-490. MacLeod, C.J., Newson, S.E., Blackwell, G. & Duncan, R.P. (2009) Enhanced niche opportunities: can they explain the success of New Zealand's introduced bird species? Diversity and Distributions, 15, 41-49. Márcia Barbosa, A., Real, R., Muñoz, A.R. & Brown, J.A. (2013) New measures for assessing model equilibrium and prediction mismatch in species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Marino, J., Bennett, M., Cossios, D., Iriarte, A., Lucherini, M., Pliscoff, P., Sillero-Zubiri, C., Villalba, L. & Walker, S. (2011) Bioclimatic constraints to Andean cat distribution: a modelling application for rare species. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 311-322. Marmion, M., Parviainen, M., Luoto, M., Heikkinen, R.K. & Thuiller, W. (2009) Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 59-69. Martinez-Freiria, F., Sillero, N., Lizana, M. & Brito, J.C. (2008) GIS-based niche models identify environmental correlates sustaining a contact zone between three species of European vipers. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 452-461. Martinez-Morales, M.A., Zuria, I., Chapa-Vargas, L., MacGregor-Fors, I., Ortega-Alvarez, R., RomeroAguila, E. & Carbo, P. (2010) Current distribution and predicted geographic expansion of the Rufous-backed Robin in Mexico: a fading endemism? Diversity and Distributions, 16, 786-797. Mateo, R.G., Croat, T.B., Felicisimo, A.M. & Munoz, J. (2010) Profile or group discriminative techniques? Generating reliable species distribution models using pseudo-absences and targetgroup absences from natural history collections. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 84-94. Matthews, A., Spooner, P.G., Lunney, D., Green, K. & Klomp, N.I. (2010) The influences of snow cover, vegetation and topography on the upper range limit of common wombats Vombatus ursinus in the subalpine zone, Australia. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 277-287. McKenna, J.E., Carlson, D.M. & Payne-Wynne, M.L. (2013) Predicting locations of rare aquatic species' habitat with a combination of species-specific and assemblage-based models. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 503-517. Mellin, C., Russell, B.D., Connell, S.D., Brook, B.W. & Fordham, D.A. (2012) Geographic range determinants of two commercially important marine molluscs. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 133-146. Mokany, K. & Ferrier, S. (2011) Predicting impacts of climate change on biodiversity: a role for semimechanistic community-level modelling. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 374-380. Moran-Ordonez, A., Suarez-Seoane, S., Elith, J., Calvo, L. & de Luis, E. (2012) Satellite surface reflectance improves habitat distribution mapping: a case study on heath and shrub formations in the Cantabrian Mountains (NW Spain). Diversity and Distributions, 18, 588-602. 4 Moriguchi, S., Onuma, M. & Goka, K. (2013) Potential risk map for avian influenza A virus invading Japan. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 78-85. Naujokaitis-Lewis, I.R., Curtis, J.M.R., Tischendorf, L., Badzinski, D., Lindsay, K. & Fortin, M.J. (2013) Uncertainties in coupled species distribution-metapopulation dynamics models for risk assessments under climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 541-554. Niamir, A., Skidmore, A.K., Toxopeus, A.G., Munoz, A.R. & Real, R. (2011) Finessing atlas data for species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 1173-1185. Nielsen, C., Hartvig, P. & Kollmann, J. (2008) Predicting the distribution of the invasive alien Heracleum mantegazzianum at two different spatial scales. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 307317. Nobis, M.P., Jaeger, J.A.G. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2009) Neophyte species richness at the landscape scale under urban sprawl and climate warming. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 928-939. Nobrega, C.C. & De Marco, P. (2011) Unprotecting the rare species: a niche-based gap analysis for odonates in a core Cerrado area. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 491-505. Nunez, M.A. & Medley, K.A. (2011) Pine invasions: climate predicts invasion success; something else predicts failure. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 703-713. Olea, P.P. & Mateo-Tomas, P. (2011) Spatially explicit estimation of occupancy, detection probability and survey effort needed to inform conservation planning. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 714724. Olivier, P.I., van Aarde, R.J. & Lombard, A.T. (2013) The use of habitat suitability models and speciesarea relationships to predict extinction debts in coastal forests, South Africa. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Osborne, P.E. & Leitao, P.J. (2009) Effects of species and habitat positional errors on the performance and interpretation of species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 671-681. Penman, T.D., Pike, D.A., Webb, J.K. & Shine, R. (2010) Predicting the impact of climate change on Australia's most endangered snake, Hoplocephalus bungaroides. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 109-118. Platts, P.J., Ahrends, A., Gereau, R.E., McClean, C.J., Lovett, J.C., Marshall, A.R., Pellikka, P.K.E., Mulligan, M., Fanning, E. & Marchant, R. (2010) Can distribution models help refine inventorybased estimates of conservation priority? A case study in the Eastern Arc forests of Tanzania and Kenya. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 628-642. Porto, T.J., Carnaval, A.C. & da Rocha, P.L.B. (2013) Evaluating forest refugial models using species distribution models, model filling and inclusion: a case study with 14 Brazilian species. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 330-340. Puschendorf, R., Carnaval, A.C., VanDerWal, J., Zumbado-Ulate, H., Chaves, G., Bolanos, F. & Alford, R.A. (2009) Distribution models for the amphibian chytrid Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis in Costa Rica: proposing climatic refuges as a conservation tool. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 401-408. Puschendorf, R., Hodgson, L., Alford, R.A., Skerratt, L.F. & VanDerWal, J. (2013) Underestimated ranges and overlooked refuges from amphibian chytridiomycosis. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Rannap, R., Lohmus, A. & Briggs, L. (2009) Niche position, but not niche breadth, differs in two coexisting amphibians having contrasting trends in Europe. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 692700. 5 Real, R., Barbosa, A.M., Rodriguez, A., Garcia, F.J., Vargas, J.M., Palomo, L.J. & Delibes, M. (2009) Conservation biogeography of ecologically interacting species: the case of the Iberian lynx and the European rabbit. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 390-400. Real, R., Marquez, A.L., Estrada, A., Munoz, A.R. & Vargas, J.M. (2008) Modelling chorotypes of invasive vertebrates in mainland Spain. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 364-373. Reino, L., Beja, P., Araujo, M.B., Dray, S. & Segurado, P. (2013) Does local habitat fragmentation affect large-scale distributions? The case of a specialist grassland bird. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 423-432. Renwick, A.R., Massimino, D., Newson, S.E., Chamberlain, D.E., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Johnston, A. (2012) Modelling changes in species' abundance in response to projected climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 121-132. Reside, A.E., VanDerWal, J., Kutt, A., Watson, I. & Williams, S. (2012) Fire regime shifts affect bird species distributions. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 213-225. Riffell, S.K. & Gutzwiller, K.J. (2012) Model selection criteria affect measures of temporal variation in animal-landscape regression models. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1221-1231. Rodriguez-Soto, C., Monroy-Vilchis, O., Maiorano, L., Boitani, L., Faller, J.C., Briones, M.A., Nunez, R., Rosas-Rosas, O., Ceballos, G. & Falcucci, A. (2011) Predicting potential distribution of the jaguar (Panthera onca) in Mexico: identification of priority areas for conservation. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 350-361. Roger, E. & Ramp, D. (2009) Incorporating habitat use in models of fauna fatalities on roads. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 222-231. Rood, E., Ganie, A.A. & Nijman, V. (2010) Using presence-only modelling to predict Asian elephant habitat use in a tropical forest landscape: implications for conservation. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 975-984. Ross, R.E. & Howell, K.L. (2013) Use of predictive habitat modelling to assess the distribution and extent of the current protection of 'listed' deep-sea habitats. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 433445. Rutishauser, M.D., Bontadina, F., Braunisch, V., Ashrafi, S. & Arlettaz, R. (2012) The challenge posed by newly discovered cryptic species: disentangling the environmental niches of long-eared bats. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1107-1119. Sanchez-Fernandez, D., Lobo, J.M. & Hernandez-Manrique, O.L. (2011) Species distribution models that do not incorporate global data misrepresent potential distributions: a case study using Iberian diving beetles. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 163-171. Sawyer, S.C. & Brashares, J.S. (2013) Applying resource selection functions at multiple scales to prioritize habitat use by the endangered Cross River gorilla. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Scoble, J. & Lowe, A.J. (2010) A case for incorporating phylogeography and landscape genetics into species distribution modelling approaches to improve climate adaptation and conservation planning. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 343-353. Sequeira, A., Mellin, C., Rowat, D., Meekan, M.G. & Bradshaw, C.J.A. (2012) Ocean-scale prediction of whale shark distribution. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 504-518. Slik, J.W.F., Raes, N., Aiba, S.I., Brearley, F.Q., Cannon, C.H., Meijaard, E., Nagamasu, H., Nilus, R., Paoli, G., Poulsen, A.D., Sheil, D., Suzuki, E., van Valkenburg, J., Webb, C.O., Wilkie, P. & Wulffraat, S. (2009) Environmental correlates for tropical tree diversity and distribution patterns in Borneo. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 523-532. Smith, S.E., Gregory, R.D., Anderson, B.J. & Thomas, C.D. (2013) The past, present and potential future distributions of cold-adapted bird species. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 352-362. 6 Smulders, M., Nelson, T.A., Jelinski, D.E., Nielsen, S.E. & Stenhouse, G.B. (2010) A spatially explicit method for evaluating accuracy of species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 996-1008. Steiner, F.M., Schlick-Steiner, B.C., VanDerWal, J., Reuther, K.D., Christian, E., Stauffer, C., Suarez, A.V., Williams, S.E. & Crozier, R.H. (2008) Combined modelling of distribution and niche in invasion biology: a case study of two invasive Tetramorium ant species. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 538-545. Storlie, C.J., Phillips, B.L., VanDerWal, J.J. & Williams, S.E. (2013) Improved spatial estimates of climate predict patchier species distributions. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Syphard, A.D., Regan, H.M., Franklin, J., Swab, R.M. & Bonebrake, T.C. (2013) Does functional type vulnerability to multiple threats depend on spatial context in Mediterranean-climate regions? Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Tang, G.P. & Beckage, B. (2010) Projecting the distribution of forests in New England in response to climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 144-158. Telleria, J.L., Santos, T., Refoyo, P. & Munoz, J. (2012) Use of ring recoveries to predict habitat suitability in small passerines. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1130-1138. Thompson, G.D., Robertson, M.P., Webber, B.L., Richardson, D.M., Le Roux, J.J. & Wilson, J.R.U. (2011) Predicting the subspecific identity of invasive species using distribution models: Acacia saligna as an example. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 1001-1014. Thorn, J.S., Nijman, V., Smith, D. & Nekaris, K.A.I. (2009) Ecological niche modelling as a technique for assessing threats and setting conservation priorities for Asian slow lorises (Primates: Nycticebus). Diversity and Distributions, 15, 289-298. Torres, L.G., Smith, T.D., Sutton, P., MacDiarmid, A., Bannister, J. & Miyashita, T. (2013) From exploitation to conservation: habitat models using whaling data predict distribution patterns and threat exposure of an endangered whale. Diversity and Distributions, n/a-n/a. Torres, N.M., De Marco, P., Santos, T., Silveira, L., Jacomo, A.T.D. & Diniz, J.A.F. (2012) Can species distribution modelling provide estimates of population densities? A case study with jaguars in the Neotropics. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 615-627. Vaclavik, T. & Meentemeyer, R.K. (2012) Equilibrium or not? Modelling potential distribution of invasive species in different stages of invasion. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 73-83. Wang, H.H., Grant, W.E., Swannack, T.M., Gan, J.B., Rogers, W.E., Koralewski, T.E., Miller, J.H. & Taylor, J.W. (2011) Predicted range expansion of Chinese tallow tree (Triadica sebifera) in forestlands of the southern United States. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 552-565. Webber, B.L., Yates, C.J., Le Maitre, D.C., Scott, J.K., Kriticos, D.J., Ota, N., McNeill, A., Le Roux, J.J. & Midgley, G.F. (2011) Modelling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 978-1000. Webber, B.L., Yates, C.J., Le Maitre, D.C., Scott, J.K., Kriticos, D.J., Ota, N., McNeill, A., Le Roux, J.J. & Midgley, G.F. (2012) Modelling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models (vol 17, pg 978, 2011). Diversity and Distributions, 18, 100-100. Williams, J.N., Seo, C.W., Thorne, J., Nelson, J.K., Erwin, S., O'Brien, J.M. & Schwartz, M.W. (2009) Using species distribution models to predict new occurrences for rare plants. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 565-576. 7 Wilson, J.S. & Pitts, J.P. (2012) Identifying Pleistocene refugia in North American cold deserts using phylogeographic analyses and ecological niche modelling. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 11391152. Wisz, M., Dendoncker, N., Madsen, J., Rounsevell, M., Jespersen, M., Kuijken, E., Courtens, W., Verscheure, C. & Cottaar, F. (2008) Modelling pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus) wintering distributions for the year 2050: potential effects of land-use change in Europe. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 721-731. Wisz, M.S., Hijmans, R.J., Li, J., Peterson, A.T., Graham, C.H., Guisan, A. & Distribut, N.P.S. (2008) Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 763-773. Wisz, M.S., Tamstorf, M.P., Madsen, J. & Jespersen, M. (2008) Where might the western Svalbard tundra be vulnerable to pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus) population expansion? Clues from species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 26-37. Yates, C.J., McNeill, A., Elith, J. & Midgley, G.F. (2010) Assessing the impacts of climate change and land transformation on Banksia in the South West Australian Floristic Region. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 187-201. Zafra-Calvo, N., Rodriguez, M.A. & Lobo, J.M. (2010) Discerning the impact of human-mediated factors on biodiversity using bioclimatic envelope models and partial regression techniques. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 300-309. Zanini, F., Pellet, J. & Schmidt, B.R. (2009) The transferability of distribution models across regions: an amphibian case study. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 469-480. Zurell, D., Elith, J. & Schroder, B. 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