New Media: A Tool of Civil Society, Not Revolution In a span of less than three years, the international community witnessed two jolting upheavals. In 2009, Iran saw the largest demonstrations since its 1979 Islamic Revolution. Hundreds of thousands of protestors took to the streets to decry electoral fraud in their June 13th presidential elections. Protest endured for two months, even in the face of the Basij militia’s brutality. Still, the “Green Revolution” failed to achieve its desired result, the rightful installation of Mir Hussein Moussavi in place of incumbent Mahamoud Ahmadinejad.i About one-and-a-half years later, millions of Egyptians demonstrated to demand that their leader of thirty years, Hosni Mubarak, step down. The airing of long-time economic, political, and social grievances was met with violent retaliation by regime. Yet in February 2011, he ceded to the pressure and abdicated.ii Both conflicts utilized new media tools heavily, but with different end results. These contrasting examples reveal that the use of new media does not guarantee a movement’s success. New media can have but a limited effect as an instrument of political revolution; instead, it is best used to build peace as part of a climate of political discourse that leads to just government. Resistance to the Iranian regime was bolstered through new media. New media tools made mobilization easier. Word of protests, gatherings, and news spread faster on the internet than by word of mouth. As a result, large, informal groups could take on collective action previously reserved for organized campaigns.iii Given the protestors’ lack of formal organization, new media helped direct individuals to opportunities for engagement. New media also offered every protestor the tools to bear witness to the Revolution. Along these lines, one tweet read, “We have no national press coverage in Iran, everyone should help spread Moussavi’s message. One Person = One Broadcaster. #IranElection.” In addition to promoting individual responsibility, new media fostered solidarity among protestors. The Mousavi campaign was successful in creating text-message viral chains, in which people would forward political slogans and anti-Ahmadinejad jokes to one another. Similarly, the Mousavi Facebook page had an additional 50,000 fans only three days after the election. Yet online activity was but a symptom of underlying unrest, unrest which would have exploded in the streets with or without the internet. Citizens were infuriated, screaming “death to the dictator” during protest.iv The internet is not so powerful that it can evoke this kind of fury, or that it can compel thousands to risk their lives protesting. As the citizen’s cries demonstrate, yearning for just government is what motivated Iranian citizens. Thereby, the Revolution would have taken place with or without new media. New media was not indispensible. New media has been associated with successful and failed attempts at political reform, revealing that its use does not guarantee a movement’s success. In the deposition of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt, new media had the same internal effects as in Iran; it was used to discuss, mobilize, and unify.v Similarly, new media allowed the world a window into what was going on inside Egypt. Yet Mubarak abdicated, while Ahmadinejad did not. Why? The use of new media does not have a preordained effect. Rather, other national circumstances have a bigger impact upon the success of political movements. Despite many Iranian politicians’ denouncement of the electoral results, the regime’s authority was deeply rooted.vi Contrastingly, the Egyptian regime was internally fractured— to this end, Mubarak quickly lost the loyalty of the military when protests began. Millions rather than thousands of people demanded change in Egypt. Egyptian protests rode the unrest of the region, whereas protests in Iran were an isolated event. As the contrasting examples of Iran and Egypt demonstrate, the extent to which new media can foster political change is constrained by many other factors. Yet another factor that affected the success of the protest movements was the extent of political discourse before the revolutions. If there is insufficient discourse before a revolution, not enough of the populous will be convinced of the need for change within the government. As a result, fewer citizens will be involved in protest. As Egypt shows, new media can be part of a dialogue that leads to just governance. Voices of dissent have been rising since the 2005 elections.vii There are thirty to sixty Islamist groups in Egypt, successful in channeling widespread discontent into popular support. New media tools were utilized by opposition groups such as the Muslim Brotherhood, Kefaya, Hizb el Ghad, and the April 6 Movement prior to the revolution. Aided by the fact that a large percent of the population— 24.5%—viii had internet access, opposition groups used new media to win sympathizers, fuel discontent, and organize resistance on the ground.ix Conversely, Iranians had fewer opportunities for political organization. There were no prominent groups similar to the Islamist groups that were channeling discontent prior to the Green Revolution. There was also far fewer avenues to express discontent. Internet access was far more limited— only 10.5% of the population was online—x and was subjected to some of the most restrictive filtering in the world.xi Similarly, the media was nearly entirely state-run.xii Thereby, the differences in the strength of Iranian and Egyptian civil societies affected the nations’ predispositions for political change. Had civil society been stronger in Iran, perhaps the Green Revolution would have had sufficient momentum to shake the regime. Aside from the ability of new media to bolster a political revolution, it can be especially important in nurturing fledgling democracies. Since Mubarak’s fall, Egypt has been making a rocky transition to representative government. For example, Egyptian security forces drew international condemnation after storming the offices of six non-governmental organizations in December 2011. The military-led government claimed this was a part of an investigation into foreign influence in the outbreak of protests. NGO workers were able to detail and post photos of the raid on Twitter, holding the powerful military accountable during the shift to democracy. This documentation drew much attention, even ending up in the New York Times. As in this example, old media and new media formed a symbiotic relationship. Old media may collect information from new media sources and amplify it, as was the case with the NGO raids. Yet the relationship between old and new can work the other way around. In a February 2011 study, Hewlett-Packard’s Social Computing Research Group published a paper “Trends in Social Media: Persistence and Decay.” The report found that old media, including organizations like The New York Times, CNN and BBC, act as “feeders” for new media, drawing attention to news that social networks then relay and discuss.xiii Thus, new media is but one component of a climate of political dialogue. Given its role in a strong civil society, diplomats should include new media as part of their calls for global free speech and press. Alternatively, diplomats must not seek to utilize new media for specific policy aims. When the Green Revolution was underway, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton asked Twitter to delay scheduled maintenance that would have disrupted the site. Iranian officials were furious, demanding that the U.S. “stop meddling.” By advocating for new media freedom during a specific conflict, Clinton had two effects. Firstly, she exacerbated already-poor relations between the U.S. and Iran. Secondly, she gave the regime the impression that the opposition movement was in collusion with foreign governments, further delegitimizing the resistance in the eyes of the regime.xiv Instead, states should adopt a platform of regime-neutral support for free speech and press. This platform would include support for new and old media alike because, as aforementioned, the two complement each other well. Instead of guarding new media in specific countries and inflaming specific regimes, diplomats must broadly protect new media. The first way in which this can be achieved is by prohibiting private entities from selling censorship technologies to foreign governments. Nokia Siemens Networks, a joint venture of the Finnish cell phone maker and the German technology giant provided the web filtering systems used in Iran. Furthermore, censorship tools are sometimes sold to a middleman and then resold to a regime.xv States must require that companies assure their products are not resold. A second way in which states can achieve this end is by supporting tools of information, such as independent print media, Wikipedia, and Google— as much as tools of conversation. Some states seeking to advocate internet freedom have focused only on tools of information— to use the U.S. as an example again, Clinton announced U.S. funding for tools designed to prevent censorship of several sites of information.xvi What this policy fails to acknowledge is that it is when citizens assemble (in person or online) that ideas are exchanged, opinions formulated, and a sense of community found.xvii Collective consciousness inspires demands for political change. In conclusion, it is clear that as a tool of political protest, the effects of new media are constrained by many other variables. Instead, new media is an integrated part of a strong civil society. With a robust political dialogue, a nation can come to consensus and be ripe for progressive governmental change. Only when the people are satisfied with their government structure will a society truly know peace. i "Iran News - Breaking World Iran News," The New York Times, January 26, 2012, http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/iran/index.html. ii "Egypt News - Revolution and Aftermath," The New York Times, January 30, 2012, http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/egypt/index.html. iii Clay Shirky, "The Political Power of Social Media," editorial, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2011, January 30, 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67038/clay-shirky/the-political-power-of-social-media. iv Roger Cohen, "Life and Death in Tehran," The New York Times, June 22, 2009, http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/23/opinion/23cohenweb.html?ref=iran. v http://www.arabmediasociety.com/index.php?article=769&p=10 vi Said Amir. Arjomand, "Conclusion," in After Khomeini: Iran under His Successors (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009), 210-211. vii The Middle East, Tenth ed. (Washington, D.C.: CQ Press, 2000), 238. viii "CIA - The World Factbook Egypt," Central Intelligence Agency, accessed January 30, 2012, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/eg.html. ix Sahar Khamis and Katherine Vaughn, "Cyberactivism in the Egyptian Revolution: How Civic Engagement and Citizen Journalism Tilted the Balance," Arab Media & Society, Summer 2011, http://www.arabmediasociety.com/index.php?article=769&p=0. x "CIA - The World Factbook Iran," Central Intelligence Agency, accessed January 30, 2012, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ir.html. xi http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2009/06/23/world/23censor.grafic.ready.html Worldmark Encyclopedia of the Nations, 8th ed., s.v. "Iran." xiii Nick Bilton, "Mainstream Media Still Drive Majority of Twitter Trends," The New York Times (web log), February 15, 2011, http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/02/15/mainstream-media-still-drives-majority-of-twittertrends/?ref=egypt. xiv Mark Landler, "Washington Taps Into a Potent New Force in Diplomacy," The New York Times, June 16, 2009, New York ed., World sec., http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/17/world/middleeast/17media.html?ref=twitter. xv NPR, "The Technology Helping Repressive Regimes Spy," December 14, 2011, http://www.npr.org/2011/12/14/143639670/the-technology-helping-repressive-regimes-spy. xvi Mark Lander, "U.S. Policy to Address Internet Freedom," The New York Times, February 14, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/15/world/15clinton.html?scp=6&sq=clinton%20internet&st=cse. xvii Clay Shirky, "The Political Power of Social Media," editorial, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2011, January 30, 2010, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67038/clay-shirky/the-political-power-of-social-media. xii