Andrew Dahlen January 26, 2013 Distributed Solar Power in India Summary According to the International Energy Agency, 300 million Indians are without modern electricity, which is over 20% of the global total. In August 2012, 600 million people in India were without power when their electrical grid collapsed. This lack of energy security hinders both human and economic development. A critical, and at times overlooked, part of the solution is the creation of distributed, off-grid renewable energy sources within India’s poorer rural communities. Introducing photovoltaic cells in select Indian communities can revolutionize India’s failed energy system. A centralized system that, as we saw this summer, is easily overburdened and unstable. An off-grid solution can bypass many of the inefficiencies of centralized production, and give the power directly to the communities. However, it is important to first evaluate the economics and optimal locations to implement such systems. A geospatial analysis taking into consideration energy demand, solar radiation, population density, and income levels can help guide investors and policymakers to find the best locations for off-grid renewable systems. Geospatial Questions 1. What regions within India are best suited for photovoltaics, when considering average annual solar radiation, population density, and economic variables? Answering this question will guide policymakers and investors to focus their attention toward the best-suited communities for solar generation. It will require aggregating annual solar radiation data – to account for variations amongst the seasons – to find the most efficient location. Secondly, overlaying this data with population density will identify the population bases that can benefit most efficiently from solar systems. Finally, including information about low-income communities (or regions not connected to the electricity grid) will identify the most need for energy sources. Taken together, these factors will demonstrate the greatest need and the greatest opportunity for solar power. 2. Are the regions in India lacking energy access mostly rural (low population density), and therefore furthest from centralized transmission lines? This question will require two data sets: Indian communities without access to modern electricity sources, and a map of India’s electricity grid. I anticipate both will be difficult to locate, but the answer will determine the main cause of inaccessibility to energy. Most articles I have read implicitly assume these communities are rural and impoverished, but this GIS analysis will definitively illustrate the cause for a lack of energy access for 300 million Indians. Articles Andrew Dahlen January 26, 2013 1. Solar energy potential assessment using GIS, T. V. Ramachandra http://wgbis.ces.iisc.ernet.in/biodiversity/pubs/ces_pubs/pubs_2007/theme4_38.pdf This article guided much of my thinking for this project. The author utilizes GIS data and analysis to identify communities most suitable for solar energy projects. Ramachandra also uses towns’ inaccessibility to the electricity grid and economic standing as other indicators. The key distinction, however, is that the article only focuses on one sub-district, whereas I will attempt to examine the entire country. 2. Scope for Renewable Energy in Himachal Pradesh, India – A Study of Solar and Wind Resource Potential, Gautham Krishnadas and Ramachandra T V http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/lake2010/Theme%201/gautham.pdf This article is similar to the prior article, where one district in India is evaluated for renewable generation. I particularly found the methodology interesting in this article, as the authors used a 22-year average data set for solar radiation levels. The authors also cited NASA as a source for their GIS data sets, which I will attempt to access. 3. Evaluating the potential of small-scale renewable energy options to meet rural livelihoods needs: A GIS- and lifecycle cost-based assessment of Western China's options, John Byrne, Aiming Zhou, Bo Shen, Kristen Hughes http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421507000547 I was interested in this article because it describes the economic benefits of off-grid renewable energy sources for a rural community in China. The article concludes that off-grid solutions are more efficient and economical than generators, and uses GIS analysis to identify the best market for expanding the solar and wind systems. 4. Providing electricity access to remote areas in India: Niche areas for decentralized electricity supply, M.R. Nounia, S.C. Mullickb, T.C. Kandpalb http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148108002127 This article is very useful for identifying the economic variables important in determining when photovoltaic systems are most cost-effective. The authors analyzed rural towns in India, and importantly concluded that off-grid distribution systems are more financially viable than expanding the centralized grid. This data will provide important supplemental data to my GIS analysis. Data Sources I have not found GIS data for solar radiation in India. One article cites NASA’s Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy project, though I have not yet been able to access its data sets. I also need to locate data sources for India’s power grid. All other data (population density, median income) should be contained within ArcGIS.