Program 2010 International Workshop of TCCIP Project on Climate Change November 1-3, 2010 15F, No.200, Sec. 3, Beisin Rd., Sindian City, Taipei County 231, Taiwan (R.O.C.) November 1, 2010 08:30 - 09:15 Registration Welcome and Opening Remarks Chair: Dr. Liang-Chun Chen Director, National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction 國家災害防救科技中心 陳主任亮全 Dr. Cheng-Hong Chen, Deputy Minister, National Science Council 09:15 - 09:35 國科會陳副主委正宏 Dr. Tien-Chiang Yeh, Deputy Director-General, Central Weather Bureau 中央氣象局葉副局長天降 Dr. Shaw Liu, Director, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica 中央研究院環境變遷研究中心劉主任紹臣 09:35 - 09:45 Group Photo Introduction of TCCIP Project Dr. Lee-Yaw Lin, Deputy Executive Secretary, National Science and Technology 09:45 - 10:00 Center for Disaster Reduction 國家災害防救科技中心林副執行秘書李耀 10:00 - 10: 25 Tea break A-1:Climate Variability: Observation, Simulation, and Projection Session Chair: Michael Wehner Masato Sugi Future changes in typhoons frequency and intensity projected 杉正人 by the new 20km AGCM Relationships between tropical cyclogeneses and large-scale Yohei Yamada 10:25 - 12:05 environment in global cloud-system resolving and 山田洋平 high-resolution hydrostatic model Kenji Kamiguchi Future changes in precipitation characteristics projected by the 上口賢治 20-km-grid MRI-AGCM Chia Chou Atmospheric stability and weakening of tropical circulation 周佳 12:05 - 14:00 14:00 - 15:40 15:40 - 16:00 16:00 - 17:15 Lunch A-2:Climate Variability: Observation, Simulation, and Projection Session Chair: Masato Sugi 杉正人 Changes in precipitation extremes in a warming globe: Shaw Liu comparison of observations to climate models and operational 劉紹臣 weather models Aiguo Dai Drought under global warming 戴愛國 Mong-Ming Lu Variations of annual frequency of extreme rainfall events in 盧孟明 Taiwan during the period of 1951-2005 The relationship of the tropical cyclone activity in Western Hsin-Hsing Chia North Pacific and the typhoon approaching Taiwan in this 賈新興 decade Tea break A-3:Climate Variability: Observation, Simulation, and Projection Session Chair: Shaw Liu 劉紹臣 Michael Wehner The effect of horizontal resolution on simulation of very International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) (Lecture Classroom I, II, and Conference Room II) 第一、二講習室 及第二會議室 International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) Chung-Hsiung Sui 隋中興 Huang-Hsiung Hsu 許晃雄 extreme precipitation events in a global atmosphere model Observed low-frequency climate oscillations and regional rainfall variability in East Asia Identification of a multi-decadal teleconnection pattern in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere November 2, 2010 09:00 - 10:15 10:15 – 10:35 10:35 - 11:50 B-1:Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Climate Simulation Session Chair: Akio Kitoh 鬼頭昭雄 Regional climate modeling as a tool for impact assessment Filippo Giorgi application: Status and perspectives Cheng-Ta Regionalization of the IPCC AR4 climate projections over East Chen Asia and Taiwan with statistical downscaling 陳正達 Jau-Ming Rainfall variability in Taiwan modulated by monsoon and tropical Chen cyclone 陳昭銘 Tea break B-2:Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Climate Simulation Session Chair: Cheng-Ta Chen 陳正達 An overview of the KAKUSHIN Team-3 "projection of the change Akio Kitoh in future weather extremes using super-high-resolution atmospheric 鬼頭昭雄 models" Jung-Lien Chu Projection of local rainfall using SVD-based downscaling scheme 朱容練 Chih-wen Hung 洪致文 Lunch 15:10 - 15:30 15:30 - 17:10 International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) The 20th Century Taiwan precipitation data and the Taiwan rainfall index 11:50 - 13:30 13:30 - 15:10 International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) C-1:Impact Assessment: Impact on disasters and water resources Session Chair: Kazuhiko Fukami 深見和彥 Eiichi Integrated assessment of climate change impacts on watersheds in a Nakakita disaster environment under KAKUSHIN program 中北英一 Ching-Pin Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate Tung change in Gaoping river basin 童慶斌 Yasuto Projection of river discharge in Japan under climate change Tachikawa scenario 立川康人 Hirohiko Estimation of possible maximum damage caused by tropical Ishikawa cyclone 石川裕彥 Tea break C-2:Impact Assessment: Impact on disasters and water resources Session Chair: Ching-Pin Tung 童慶斌 Tai-Wen Hsu A study of adaptation capacity of coastal disasters due to climate 許泰文 change in southwest area of Taiwan Kazuhiko ICHARM's research activities for climate change impact analysis Fukami and adaptation - KAKUSHIN project & IFAS development 深見和彥 Pat Yeh Characterization of atmospheric and terrestrial hydrological cycle 葉仁風 changes and their interactions Shen Chiang Impact of climate change on hydrology and water resource in 江申 Taiwan (Lecture Classroom I, II, and Conference Room II) 第一、二講習室 及第二會議室 International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) November 3, 2010 09:00 - 10:15 10:15 – 10:35 10:35 - 12:15 12:15 - 12:20 B-3:Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling of Climate Simulation Session Chair: Filippo Giorgi Sachie Kanada Projection of the future change in precipitation in the vicinity of Japan during the rainy season using a 5-km-mesh regional climate 金田幸惠 model Masuo Future changes of precipitation associated with typhoons around Nakano Japan simulated by a 5-km-mesh regional climate model 中野滿壽男 Chao-Tzuen Cheng Test of dynamical downscaling for TCCIP project 鄭兆尊 Tea break C-3:Impact Assessment: Impact on disasters and water resources Session Chair: Eiichi Nakakita 中北英一 Pao-Shan Yu Assessment of climate change impacts on flood and drought 游保杉 disasters Nobuhito Mori Wave climate change projection at the end of 21st century 森信人 Daizo Analysis of triggering mechanism of deep seated landslide induced Tsutsumi by heavy rainfall 堤大三 Lien-Kuang Chen Morakot typhoon : capacity of rainfall to landslide 陳聯光 Closing Address Chair of Workshop Organizing Committee: Dr. Huang-Hsiung Hsu Professor, Department of Atmospheric Science, National Taiwan University 研討會籌備委員會召集人、臺灣大學大氣科學系:許晃雄教授 12:20 - 13:30 Lunch 13:30 - 15:30 TCCIP-KAKUSHIN Discussion (by invitation only) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) International Conference Hall (國際會議廳) Lecture Classroom I, Conference Room II (第一講習室、 第二會議室) Conference Room 3 (第三會議室)