CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC CMGC White Paper Topic No. 3: Independent Cost Estimating (ICE) 1. Introduction In May 2012, MnDOT obtained legislative authority to use CMGC as a delivery method for highway projects. As part of this legislation, State Statute Sec. 2. [161.3207] requires that MnDOT “conduct an independent cost estimate for the project or each work package,” as part of the contract price negotiations with the Construction Manager (CM). The purpose of this white paper is to present optional approaches and uses for ICE in CMGC contracting and for recommending a the process for using the Independent Cost Estimator (ICE) to help negotiate the Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP) in the CMGC contracting process. In the white paper, the acronym ICE is used to denote both the Independent Cost Estimator and Independent Cost Estimating. 2. Qualifications & Requirements for the ICE 2.1. Qualifications of the ICE: The ICE plays a critical role in the CMGC process, helping the owner negotiate the final contract price often referred to or negotiated as the guaranteed maximum price (GMP) by providing an objective and independent cost estimate against which the CM’s estimate is evaluated. The ICE is typically an experienced contractor estimator with experience using commercially available contractor-based estimating software (such as HCCS). Hiring an ICE with contractor estimating and bidding experience has proven to be beneficial in helping the owner fully understand the means and methods that are used by the CM to price the work. Because the CMGC Contractor can be selected through a qualifications based selection rather than by low bid in design-bid-build, hiring a qualified ICE is a key component of the CMGC process. The ICE helps the owner make an unbiased, defensible argument that the price proposal by the CM is fair and competitive and avoid public scrutiny of the process. 2.2. ICE vs. Engineer’s Estimate: Under traditional design-bid-build contracting, the owner estimates project cost by using an engineer’s estimate. This estimate is typically performed by the estimating office with occasional assistance from the owner’s representative. The contractor’s price is then compared to the engineer’s estimate prior to awarding the construction contract. By contrast, in CMGC contracting, the owner can fully rely on the estimate provided by the ICE to justify that they are getting a competitive, fair price for the work. Minnesota statute states that MnDOT must “conduct an independent cost estimate” to validate the proposed contract price, but the statute does not implicitly state that ICE must be used as the ultimate means used to justify the price and award the contract. The statute is clear, however, that an ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 1 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC ICE must be performed on every CMGC project regardless of contract value before the contract can be awardedi. Other DOT’s using CMGC contracting often elect to use a third estimate (typically an “engineer’s estimate”) to supplement the ICE’s cost estimate. Engineer’s estimates are valuable in the CMGC process in that they provide pricing redundancy, but have several key limitations when used to help the owner during negotiation of the GMP on CMGC projects, including: Engineer’s estimates typically rely on historical averages to price the work and are usually done by staff that is inexperienced in using contract based estimating software to price the work. This provides limited value to the owner in negotiation of the GMP, because it does not allow the owner to trace pricing back to or relate it to labor, equipment, material costs, production rates, crew sizes, equipment usage, and other factors that a contractor uses to derive pricing. An owners engineer’s estimate does not form a truly unbiased third party estimate like the ICE’s estimate does. In Utah, to further emphasize unbiased estimating, the ICE is hired by the DOT central construction office and reports directly to them rather than to the project manager or project staff. Recommendations for comparing the ICE's, engineer’s, and contractor’s estimates are covered later in this white paper under Section 5. 3. Timing for Hiring the ICE 3.1. Hiring of the CM and ICE at the same time. Because the ICE plays a significant role in the GMP negotiation process, the ICE should be hired at approximately the same time as the CM. By hiring the CM and the ICE at the same time, the ICE and contractor develop common understandings about project background, scope, assumptions, and risks as the project progresses through the design process. This decreases the likelihood of pricing discrepancies later in the project when the ICE and the CMGC contractor develop their pricing. 3.2. Hiring the ICE after versus before the CM. There is no significant advantage to hiring the ICE prior to the CM. On the contrary, hiring the ICE immediately after selection of the CM has a slight advantage because the owner only has to screen the ICE for conflicts of interest against the actual CM vs. all potential contractors. Conflict of interest is discussed more in the next section. 4. Conflicts of Interest, Confidentiality and Contractual Clauses 4.1. Conflicts of Interest. Similar to other professional services contracts, the ICE should disclose any potential conflicts of interest that could potentially disqualify them for any reason on the project. The owner should review any potential conflicts of interest between the ICE and the CM ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 2 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC prior to entering into a contract with the ICE. Potential conflicts of interests that could disqualify an ICE on a CMGC project include: 4.1.1. Currently being employed in any way (either directly or indirectly as a subcontractor) by the proposed CMGC contractor. In addition, MnDOT may wish to extend this requirement to disqualify an ICE that has worked for the proposed contractor within a certain period of time, for example, within the past year. 4.1.2. Any past relationships with the proposed CMGC contractor that could potentially influence their pricing judgment (prejudice or favoritism) in any way. 4.1.3. Past or present contractual relationships with any of the other contractor teams that proposed on the project. 4.1.4. Any current financial interest, including stock ownership, in the CMGC contracting firm. 4.2. Confidentiality. 4.2.1.Because the ICE has access to proprietary bidding information during the development of the GMP (such as labor, equipment, and overhead rates), MnDOT may need to modify their standard contract language to require the ICE to enter into a confidentiality agreement to protect the confidentiality of the CMGC firm’s financial data. All proprietary pricing documents used by the ICE during the CMGC process should be turned over to the owner at the conclusion of the project and the ICE should agree to not discuss confidential financial information with competitors. 4.2.2.Defining the ICE’s ability to participate in project if GMP negotiations are unsuccessful. Under Minnesota statute, if MnDOT and the CMGC firm are unable to negotiate a contract, MnDOT may use other contract procurement processes to bid the project (including Design-Build or Design-Bid-Build), and the CMGC firm is allowed to bid on the projectii. However, the statute does not define the ICE’s ability to work for a contractor team under this scenario. Because the ICE has direct access to the CMGC’s confidential pricing during price negotiations (including their labor, equipment, and overhead rates) it would be highly questionable to allow the ICE to later participate on a competitor’s team that is pursuing the project. Furthermore, the ICE has inside knowledge about the project having working directly for the owner during the GMP negotiation process, and this relationship could be perceived as an “inside advantage”. As such, MnDOT should carefully consider contractual language that defines the ICE’s ability to participate on any of the contractor teams pursuing the project. 4.2.3.Maintaining Independence of the ICE. In order to maintain independence and remain unbiased, the ICE (or the ICE’s firm) should not be allowed to participate on any other part of the CMGC project team, including the Design Consultant. This approach has used by the MaineDOT. ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 3 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC 5. Independent Cost Estimating Process The ICE process described below outlines an approach as well as alternatives to consider when developing the final ICE process. Many of the general concepts are common to the ICE process that has been used on other CMGC projects throughout the Country. 5.1. Establish consistent pricing/bidding assumptions up front. In order to reach consistent pricing/bidding assumptions, the owner should clearly define critical pricing/bidding assumptions that will be used to develop the GMP. Consistent assumptions that need to be clarified by the owner include: 5.1.1. Agreed upon profit and indirect (home office) overhead percentages that will be added to the direct costs used by the CMGC contractor and the ICE to calculate loaded bid prices. 5.1.2. Set the competitive bidding expectations for the ICE. Does the owner expect the ICE to base their bid on an aggressive low bid scenario, or common understandings on the contractor’s proposed means and methods? In other words, is the expectation to reach a “fair” price or a “low bid” price? 5.1.3. Subcontracted items of work. The CMGC contractor should provide the ICE with a list of items that will be self-performed vs. subcontracted out. Bids for subcontracted items of work should be shared with the ICE to justify competitive pricing. If the CMGC contractor solicits bids from subcontractors but elects to use a subcontractor that is NOT the low bid, the CMGC contractor should justify this decision with owner so the ICE can use the same assumption. 5.1.4. Establish an agreed to process for final pricing. Will final pricing be based on unit rates similar to the design-bid-build bid schedule or a hybrid of the standard bidding schedule where similar bid items or work groups are combined into a price 5.1.5. Establish an agreed to definition of work for each price subset. For instance is sidewalk inclusive of all sub-excavation, grading, base materials, forming and concrete or other. Is structural concrete inclusive of forming, rebar, oiling, inspection, placement, curing, form removal, final finish or other? 5.2. Joint participation in the preconstruction process. Both ICE and the CMGC contractor should attend and participate in preconstruction team and interim (milestone) review meetings together. The engineer is not generally required to attend these meetings because their estimate is assembled based on historic prices and not through a construction style estimate. By attending progress meetings, both the ICE and CMGC contractor are exposed to consistent project background, risks, and assumptions that are used to develop pricing, including some of the following items: ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 4 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC 5.2.1. Type of equipment used to perform the work. 5.2.2. Risk ownership. Discuss and agree upon who owns project risks. Which risks will be bid by the contractor? Which risks will be assigned to the owner? Which risks will be shared? Contractors bid risk, and any disagreement about who owns the risk can create pricing differences between the ICE and the CMGC contractor. 5.2.3. Schedule agreement. Pricing can fluctuate dramatically if the ICE and contractor bid different schedules. 5.2.4. Material sources. It is important for the contractor and the ICE to agree on materials sources when applicable. For example, the contractor may assume materials need to be imported in order to meet specification, but the ICE may assume that onsite materials can be used to manufacture the required materials. As an added benefit, when the ICE and the contractor work together during the preconstruction phase, it increases the potential for design innovations and construction cost savings. 5.3. Progressive, Interim Pricing (Pricing Milestones). One of the most critical steps in successfully negotiating price on a CMGC contract can be to develop progressive pricing milestones as the project develops. The number of pricing milestones varies based on the complexity of the project. Logical pricing milestones are built into the typical design process at 30%, 60%, and 95% review meetings. Pricing milestones allow the owner to expose and resolve pricing disagreements early in the CMGC process prior to the final GMP negotiations. 5.4. Blind Estimate Comparison Process. 5.4.1. During each pricing milestone, the CMGC contractor submits a “bid” to the owner for the work. This is a non-binding bid, referred to by some agencies as a contractor’s “opinion of probable construction cost” or OPCC. Although non-binding, an OPCC bid is considered a good-faith estimate of construction costs and assumes that prices for items of work will not vary dramatically between pricing milestones, unless the change is substantiated by documentable changes in bidding assumptions or Work. This is why open book estimating and critical path schedule control are other beneficial elements in a successful in the CMGC process. A change in price between pricing milestones or GMP requires the CMGC contractor to demonstrate a significant change in bidding assumptions and to back up this justification by “opening up their books” to show a significant change in labor, equipment, material costs, production rates, crew sizes, equipment usage, phasing, and other factors that were used to develop pricing. 5.4.2. The ICE price is then compared to the CMGC contractor’s OPCC and the engineer’s estimate (if applicable). For a Blind Estimate comparison process the ICE provides this comparison. The owner is allowed to see the CMGC contractor’s proposed prices, and the engineer’s estimate, if applicable, but in order to maintain integrity of the ICE’s bid, ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 5 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC the ICE’s estimate is kept hidden or “blind” from the owner and the CMGC contractor. The ICE provides the owner with a comparison that shows variance between the ICE and the contractor’s OPCC for the overall bid and for each bid item. A good approach to this process is to ensure the variance analysis does not reveal whether or not the contractor’s price is high or low. Instead, the variance is reported as “within tolerance” or “outside tolerance”, where the tolerance is set by the owner. For example, an owner may set the tolerance as ± 10% which is a common percentage used in design-bid-build to determine the ability of an agency to award bids. The owner may use the engineer’s estimate as a third estimate to help resolve disputes between the ICE and the CMGC contractor. The latter approach can add additional complications due to the nature of the estimate process for the engineer versus the ICE and CMGC contractor. A non Blind process would be where all bids are tabulated and reviewed by all parties. 5.4.3. Quantity & Pricing Reconciliation Meetings. Following each pricing milestone, the ICE, owner, and contractor meet to reconcile pricing differences. Differences in bidding assumptions are discussed for bid items that differ by more than 10%, with the goal of resolving or narrowing these differences. The ICE participates in these discussions, but the owner is not allowed to direct the ICE to modify their price because this would violate the independent, unbiased estimating role of the ICE. The owner is allowed to discuss the ICE’s bidding assumptions and attempt to understand the differences in order to reconcile these differences and help the two parties reach common bidding assumptions. 5.5. Final Price Negotiation Using an ICE to Reach GMP 5.5.1. The process to reach GMP is similar to the blind estimate pricing milestone process discussed in the previous section, with two key differences: First, during final price negotiations, the CMGC contractor submits a formal, contractual bid to the owner. The final bid should be submitted to the owner using the formal bidding process required by the owner for design-bid-build projects (electronic or hard bid). 5.5.2. Second, the owner is allowed to see the ICE’s price when the bids are “opened”. If the final bid proposed by the CMGC contractor does not fall within tolerances set by statute or pre-determined percentage that could be based on project complexity, degree of specialty work, etc., for awarding a bid, then the owner can: 5.5.2.1. Terminate the contract with the CM and advertise the project competitively through a low bid process, 5.5.2.2. Elect to continue negotiations with the CMGC contractor in an attempt to reach an agreeable price. For example, some owners allow contractors to negotiate ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 6 CMGC White Paper Independent Cost Estimating for CMGC an unsuccessful GMGC bid one final time before terminating the contract with the CM and letting the contract out for low bid. i Minnesota Statute Sec.2. [161.3207] Construction Manager/General Contractor Contracts; Definitions, Subd. 3 “Phase 2 construction manager/general contractor contract”. ii Minnesota Statute Sec.4. [161.3209] Construction Manager/General Contractor Contracts; Definitions, Subd. 3, paragraph 2b. ▼▼ Prepared for MnDOT by Parsons Brinckerhoff, Page 7