LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS SHORT-TERM INDUSTRY AND OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS 2014-2016 Asa Hutchinson, Governor State of Arkansas Daryl Bassett, Director Department of Workforce Services Published By: Department of Workforce Services Labor Market Information Occupational Career Information “Equal Opportunity Employer/Program” “Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.” P.O. Box 2981 Little Rock, AR 72203 Phone: (501) 682-3123 Fax: (501) 682-3186 TTD/TTY Voice: 1-800-285-1121 TDD: 1-800-285-1131 State of Arkansas Home Page: http://www.arkansas.gov Department of Workforce Services Home Page: http://dws.arkansas.gov Labor Market Information Web Portal: http://www.discover.arkansas.gov Except for ranking tables, the projections contained in this publication are summary level. To find a more detailed industry or occupation, go to the Labor Market Information Library at http://www.discover.arkansas.gov. 2 Table of Contents Explanation of Industry Projections Data Explanation of Occupational Projections Data Definition of Important Terms Methodology Total Employment Projections by Workforce Investment Area …………………………………….5 …………………………………….5 …………………………………….6 …………………………………….7 …………………………………….8 Percent Growth of Total Employment by Workforce Investment Area (Chart) …………………………………….9 Local Workforce Investment Areas …………………………………….10 Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings …………………………………….11 …………………………………….12 …………………………………….13 …………………………………….15 …………………………………….16 North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile …………………………………….18 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division …………………………………….19 Industry Rankings …………………………………….20 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group …………………………………….22 Occupational Rankings …………………………………….23 Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. 25 26 ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. 32 27 29 30 33 34 36 37 ……………………………… 39 ……. ……………………………… 40 ……. ……………………………… 41 ……. ……………………………… 43 ……. ……………………………… 44 ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. ……………………………… ……. 46 47 48 50 51 3 4 City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division Industry Rankings 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group Occupational Rankings ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. 53 ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. 60 61 ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. 67 68 69 ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… …. ………………………………… 74 75 76 78 …. 54 55 57 58 62 64 65 71 72 79 EXPLANATION OF INDUSTRY PROJECTIONS DATA LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS 2014-2016 NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Indu str y t it le ac cor di ng to the Nor th A mer ica n Indu str y Cl as si fi cat ion Sy st em ( N AI C S) T it le and Cod in g Str uct ure An es ti mat e of t he num ber of job s in an ind ustr y in 2014 The p roj ec ted numb er o f job s exp ect ed to be in an ind ustr y in 2016 NAICS Code Indu str y cod e a cc ord ing to the N orth Am eri can In du stry C la ss if i cat ion Sy ste m (N AI C S) T itl e a nd Co di ng Str uc ture Net Growth Percent Growth Tota l n umb er o f job s a n ind ust ry is exp ect ed to ga in or l ose o ver the 2014 to 20 16 peri od Per ce nt cha nge i n the num ber of job s in an ind us try over th e 2 014 to 2016 per io d EXPLANATION OF OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS DATA LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS 2014-2016 SOC Code The occupational code based on the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Coding and Title Structure SOC Title The occupational title based on the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Coding and Title Structure 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment An estimate of the number of jobs in an occupation in 2014 The projected number of jobs expected to be in an occupation in 2016 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Total number Percent change in Average number of Average number of of jobs an the number annual job openings annual job openings occupation of jobs in an expected to expected to be is expected to gain occupation over the be created during available during the or lose over the 2014 to 2016 the projection projection period due 2014 period period due to to the need to replace to 2016 employment growth workers who leave the period occupation Total Annual Openings Average number of annual job openings expected to be available during the projection period due to employment growth and replacements 5 6 Definition of Important Terms Base Employment – The average number of jobs in a particular industry or occupation during the benchmark year or quarter. Current Employment Statistics (CES) – A monthly survey of business establishments that provides estimates of employment, hours, and earnings data by industry for the nation as a whole, all states, and most major metropolitan areas. Employment – The number of jobs in a business or firm at any given time. Establishment – The physical location of a certain economic activity, for example, a factory, mine, store, or office. Generally, a single establishment produces a single good or provides a single service. Fastest Growing – Refers to percent growth. The higher the percent growth, the faster an industry or occupation is growing. Industry – A group of establishments that produce similar products or provide similar services. Metropolitan Statistical Area – A county or group of contiguous counties that contains an urban center of at least 50,000 residents and has a high degree of economic and social ties. Net Growth – The difference between projected employment and base employment. North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) – A system used in assigning industry-designated code numbers to employers and/or establishments based on the nature of their activities, services rendered, or products delivered. It was established by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget and is used by all agencies for data compilation. Occupation – A set of activities that employees are paid to perform; employees who perform the same tasks are in the same occupation, whether or not they are in the same industry. Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) – A federal/state cooperative program that produces employment and wage estimates for over 800 occupations. These are estimates of the number of people employed in certain occupations and estimates of the wages paid to them. The estimates are also used to gather occupational staffing patterns by industry, which are used to project employment needs by occupation. Percent (%) Growth – The rate at which an industry or occupation is expected to grow or decline. Projected Employment – The average number of jobs expected to be in an industry or occupation in the future. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) – A federal/state cooperative program that produces employment and wage data for workers covered by state unemployment insurance laws and federal workers covered by the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees Program; data is arranged by the type of industry according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Sector – A level of industry classification under supersector according to the NAICS structure. Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) – A coding system used by all federal statistical agencies to classify workers into occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, calculating, or disseminating data. Subsector – A level of industry classification under sector according to the NAICS structure. Supersector – The top level of industry classification according to the NAICS structure. Workforce Investment Area – A group of contiguous counties where employment, training, and educational services are provided; established through the Workforce Investment Act to provide services for eligible youth, adults, and dislocated workers. Methodology The following is a brief overview of the method used to produce short-term employment projections for the local workforce investment areas. Data Development Data development is accomplished by using three sources: The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wage reports. This source provides all of the covered employment for Arkansas. A firm or business is considered “covered” if it meets the guidelines established under the Unemployment Insurance Law. The Current Employment Statistics Survey. This source provides employment information for noncovered establishments, which are railroads, the Federal Work Study Program, churches, religious-based schools, church-related day cares, elected officials, commissioned insurance agents, and sheltered workshops. Agriculture employment. This is obtained from the Census of Agriculture. The Census of Agriculture is taken in years ending in a two or a seven. Industry Projections The industry projections in this publication were produced using the Projections Suite System software, authorized by the U.S. Department of Labor and developed by the Utah Department of Workforce Services. The software has several components. The system forecasts employment using several models. The analyst chooses an appropriate forecast for each industry. All areas are done at the same time. In addition, business news related to closures, layoffs, openings, and expansions is used in the forecasting process and adjustments are made when necessary. Occupational Projections Occupational projections are produced by merging industries and occupations together into an industry-occupational matrix. This matrix is a table showing the occupational pattern of each industry (i.e., the ratios of employment by occupation in a specific industry). The statewide matrix is based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey and uses a Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) code for each occupation. The occupational employment projections contained in this publication were created using the Projections Suite System software, authorized by the U.S. Department of Labor and developed by the Utah Department of Workforce Services. The software applies occupational change factors to the projected patterns to form a projected matrix. In addition, using national self-employment and unpaid family workers staffing patterns, the system generates base and projected employment for self-employed and unpaid family workers. Data Limitations The projections contained in this publication are estimates based on historical data. It is important not to take these projections as the actual employment numbers that will occur in 2016. While every attempt is made to utilize current and near future events, such as business closings, corporate layoffs, openings, and expansions, it is not possible to know everything that is occurring. Events that take place after the projection period or announcements concerning closings, layoffs, openings, and expansions known after projections were completed are not reflected in the forecasts. In addition, legislative policy could cause employment to change. Events such as these may cause the actual employment numbers to vary significantly from these projections. It is important to consider both net growth and percent growth when looking at projections. Industries or occupations with small employment will generally have higher growth rates than those with larger employment, but these industries may only add a few employees over the projection period. For occupational projections, it is important to look at both replacement and growth annual openings. Even if an occupation is in decline, it still may have openings to replace workers who leave the profession for various reasons. 7 8 Total Employment Projections by Workforce Investment Area Workforce Investment Area Northwest Arkansas North Central Arkansas Northeast Arkansas Western Arkansas West Central Arkansas Central Arkansas City of Little Rock Eastern Arkansas Southwest Arkansas Southeast Arkansas 2014 Estimated Employment 278,120 81,199 107,487 115,231 121,914 169,638 184,677 41,856 90,039 80,072 2016 Projected Employment 285,884 81,938 110,641 118,455 125,221 173,401 189,051 42,680 90,357 79,601 Net Growth Percent Growth 7,764 739 3,154 3,224 3,307 3,763 4,374 824 318 -471 2.79% 0.91% 2.93% 2.80% 2.71% 2.22% 2.37% 1.97% 0.35% -0.59% Annual OpeningsGrowth 4,158 714 1,668 1,732 1,782 2,011 2,280 624 511 252 Annual OpeningsReplacement 6,424 1,858 2,500 2,639 2,878 4,004 4,169 967 2,036 1,792 Annual OpeningsTotal 10,582 2,572 4,168 4,371 4,660 6,015 6,449 1,591 2,547 2,044 The Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area (WIA) is projected to add the most jobs during the 2014-2016 projection period with 7,764 new jobs anticipated to be added to the job market. The City of Little Rock WIA is estimated to increase employment by 4,374 jobs. At a growth rate of 2.93 percent, the Northeast Arkansas WIA is predicted to be the fastest growing Area in the state. In all, six areas are forecast to grow by more than two percent. While all Areas are forecast to have more annual replacement openings than annual growth openings, the Eastern Arkansas WIA shows a smaller gap between the two. The Southeast Arkansas WIA is the only Area in the state estimated to experience a net loss of jobs with 471 jobs anticipated to be lost in the local economy, but that only translates to a decline of less than one percent. Percent Growth of Total Employment by Workforce Investment Area 3.00% 2.93% 2.50% 2.79% 2.80% 2.71% 2.37% 2.00% 2.22% 1.97% 1.50% 1.00% 0.91% 0.50% 0.35% 0.00% -0.59% -0.50% -1.00% -1.50% Northwest Arkansas North Central Arkansas Northeast Arkansas Western Arkansas West Central Arkansas Central Arkansas City of Little Rock Eastern Arkansas Southwest Arkansas Southeast Arkansas 9 10 Local Workforce Investment Areas NW Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Newton, Searcy, and Washington Counties NE North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area NC Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp, Stone, Van Buren, White, and Woodruff Counties Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area E W Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett, and Randolph Counties C Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area WC Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Polk, Scott, and Sebastian Counties SE SW West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area LR Clark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Johnson, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Pope, and Yell Counties Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Faulkner, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Pulaski outside the city limits of Little Rock, and Saline Counties City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area Inside the city limits of Little Rock Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, and St. Francis Counties Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Calhoun, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada, Ouachita, Sevier, and Union Counties Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Grant, Jefferson, and Lincoln Counties Northwest Arkansas The Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area (WIA) has many tourist attractions. Among these are the Buffalo National River and the Prairie Grove Civil War Battlefield. Nestled in the Ozark Mountains, the Area gives visitors a chance to view Rocky Mountain Elk near Ponca, and the picturesque city of Eureka Springs offers shopping and unique architecture. The Crystal Bridges Museum of American Art in Bentonville houses a permanent collection of signature works from American artists, along with galleries dedicated to regional art including American Indian art. The Northwest Arkansas WIA consists of nine counties: Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Newton, Searcy, and Washington. The area borders two states, Missouri to the north and Oklahoma to the west. The Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which includes McDonald County in Missouri, is located within this Area. Several large companies, including Wal-Mart and Tyson, have headquarters here, along with many trucking companies. The University of Arkansas, the state’s largest public university, is located in Washington County in the city of Fayetteville. It offers a large variety of educational programs ranging from bachelor’s degrees to doctoral programs, leading to a variety of job and career opportunities for its graduates. John Brown University, a private four-year university, is located in Siloam Springs. Offering associate degrees and certificate programs, Arkansas State University-Mountain Home, North Arkansas College, and Northwest Arkansas Community College are two-year colleges based in this Area. The Northwest Arkansas WIA has the largest employment base in the state and is predicted to have the largest growth, which provides job seekers with a variety of career choices among the many industries and occupations. The Area is projected to gain 7,764 jobs, an increase of 2.79 percent, by 2016. Goods-Producing industries are estimated to gain 526 jobs, while Services-Providing industries are forecasted to add 7,253 jobs. A decrease of just 15 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers is anticipated between 2014 and 2016. Professional and Business Services is expected to be the top supersector in both net and percent growth with 2,610 new jobs, an increase of 6.14 percent. Management of Companies and Enterprises is predicted to be the top growing industry in the Area with 1,292 new jobs anticipated. Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions is estimated to be the fastest growing industry, increasing employment by 18.86 percent between 2014 and 2016. Chemical Manufacturing is a step behind at 18.85 percent. Primary Metal Manufacturing is projected to be the top and fastest declining industry with a loss of 375 jobs, or 20.36 percent of its workforce. The Northwest Arkansas WIA is projected to have 10,582 annual job openings with 4,158 for growth and expansion and 6,424 for replacement. Office and Administrative Support Occupations is predicted to be the top growing major group with 1,060 new jobs by March 2016. At 5.37 percent, Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations would be the fastest growing major group with 76 new jobs. Retail Salespersons, of the Sales and Related Occupations major group, is predicted to be the top growing occupation in the Area with 364 new jobs, while Food Scientists and Technologists, of the Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations major group, is predicted to be the fastest growing occupation with a growth of 13.58 percent. Retail Salespersons is also estimated to have the most annual job openings with 565. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to be the top declining occupation losing 90 jobs, while Tool and Die Makers, of the Production Occupations major group, is expected to lose 14.65 percent of its workforce. 11 12 Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 278,120 28,046 27,860 186 43,620 1,433 1,306 127 8,714 33,473 20,125 13,348 206,454 53,378 8,765 28,106 15,341 1,166 2,348 8,192 5,800 2,392 42,506 10,489 22,673 9,344 55,366 26,882 28,484 24,773 2,183 22,590 8,621 11,270 2016 Projected Employment 285,884 28,031 27,845 186 44,146 1,386 1,269 117 9,097 33,663 20,686 12,977 213,707 54,901 8,929 29,202 15,622 1,148 2,293 8,502 5,965 2,537 45,116 11,071 23,965 10,080 56,725 27,282 29,443 25,979 2,370 23,609 8,735 11,456 Net Growth Percent Growth 7,764 -15 -15 0 526 -47 -37 -10 383 190 561 -371 7,253 1,523 164 1,096 281 -18 -55 310 165 145 2,610 582 1,292 736 1,359 400 959 1,206 187 1,019 114 186 2.79% -0.05% -0.05% 0.00% 1.21% -3.28% -2.83% -7.87% 4.40% 0.57% 2.79% -2.78% 3.51% 2.85% 1.87% 3.90% 1.83% -1.54% -2.34% 3.78% 2.84% 6.06% 6.14% 5.55% 5.70% 7.88% 2.45% 1.49% 3.37% 4.87% 8.57% 4.51% 1.32% 1.65% Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 551000 722000 561000 541000 621000 311000 611000 452000 624000 445000 NAICS Title Management of Companies and Enterprises Food Services and Drinking Places Administrative and Support Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Ambulatory Health Care Services Food Manufacturing Educational Services General Merchandise Stores Social Assistance Food and Beverage Stores 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 22,673 19,764 8,768 10,489 9,854 14,226 26,882 7,715 6,472 4,087 23,965 20,733 9,479 11,071 10,413 14,644 27,282 8,078 6,813 4,332 1,292 969 711 582 559 418 400 363 341 245 5.70% 4.90% 8.11% 5.55% 5.67% 2.94% 1.49% 4.71% 5.27% 5.99% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 712000 325000 519000 236000 453000 488000 561000 532000 485000 713000 Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions Chemical Manufacturing Other Information Services Construction of Buildings Miscellaneous Store Retailers Support Activities for Transportation Administrative and Support Services Rental and Leasing Services Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 334 244 106 1,580 1,525 838 8,768 699 345 1,610 397 290 121 1,773 1,679 908 9,479 755 372 1,730 63 46 15 193 154 70 711 56 27 120 18.86% 18.85% 14.15% 12.22% 10.10% 8.35% 8.11% 8.01% 7.83% 7.45% 13 14 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 331000 332000 493000 454000 112000 Primary Metal Manufacturing Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Warehousing and Storage Nonstore Retailers Animal Production 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 1,842 2,862 1,674 609 977 1,467 2,643 1,583 556 925 -375 -219 -91 -53 -52 Percent Growth -20.36% -7.65% -5.44% -8.70% -5.32% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 331000 454000 332000 212000 493000 Primary Metal Manufacturing Nonstore Retailers Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Mining (except Oil and Gas) Warehousing and Storage 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 1,842 609 2,862 97 1,674 1,467 556 2,643 90 1,583 -375 -53 -219 -7 -91 Percent Growth -20.36% -8.70% -7.65% -7.22% -5.44% Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code SOC Title 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 278,120 29,272 13,814 7,215 2,593 1,415 4,414 1,444 16,304 3,282 12,493 6,228 3,085 22,049 8,583 9,650 27,741 39,208 1,412 9,021 9,941 22,970 25,986 2016 Projected Employment 285,884 29,764 14,539 7,564 2,654 1,491 4,536 1,508 16,605 3,340 12,928 6,382 3,163 23,027 8,910 10,000 28,686 40,268 1,400 9,314 10,123 23,098 26,584 Net Growth Percent Growth 7,764 492 725 349 61 76 122 64 301 58 435 154 78 978 327 350 945 1,060 -12 293 182 128 598 2.79% 1.68% 5.25% 4.84% 2.35% 5.37% 2.76% 4.43% 1.85% 1.77% 3.48% 2.47% 2.53% 4.44% 3.81% 3.63% 3.41% 2.70% -0.85% 3.25% 1.83% 0.56% 2.30% Annual OpeningsGrowth 4,158 291 362 174 34 38 61 32 150 36 218 78 39 489 164 186 472 544 7 148 96 230 308 Annual OpeningsReplacements 6,424 514 244 118 58 42 93 21 334 77 232 108 98 924 160 187 936 876 38 148 220 453 544 Annual OpeningsTotal 10,582 805 606 292 92 80 154 53 484 113 450 186 137 1,413 324 373 1,408 1,420 45 296 316 683 852 15 16 Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 41-2031 35-3021 41-2011 39-9021 53-3032 35-3031 43-6014 53-7062 43-4051 37-2011 SOC Title Retail Salespersons Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Personal Care Aides Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Waiters and Waitresses Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Customer Service Representatives Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 2014 Estimated Employment 10,414 2016 Projected Employment 10,778 3.50% Annual OpeningsGrowth 182 Annual OpeningsReplacements 383 Annual OpeningsTotal 565 5,505 331 6.01% 166 264 430 5,948 3,747 11,347 5,387 236 229 219 209 4.13% 6.51% 1.97% 4.04% 118 114 110 104 307 20 170 268 425 134 280 372 4,616 4,793 177 3.83% 88 55 143 4,934 3,827 5,110 3,999 176 172 3.57% 4.49% 88 86 157 100 245 186 3,914 4,084 170 4.34% 85 66 151 Annual OpeningsGrowth 16 22 45 8 4 3 8 18 3 6 Annual OpeningsReplacements 8 4 12 5 1 2 2 10 1 1 Annual OpeningsTotal 24 26 57 13 5 5 10 28 4 7 Net Growth Percent Growth 364 5,836 5,712 3,518 11,128 5,178 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 19-1012 13-1081 13-1161 11-3121 29-2032 49-3011 15-1133 11-2021 13-1121 29-2056 SOC Title Food Scientists and Technologists Logisticians Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Human Resources Managers Diagnostic Medical Sonographers Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Software Developers, Systems Software Marketing Managers Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 2014 Estimated Employment 243 470 993 195 93 71 221 492 82 151 2016 Projected Employment 276 515 1,083 212 101 77 238 529 88 162 Net Growth Percent Growth 33 45 90 17 8 6 17 37 6 11 13.58% 9.57% 9.06% 8.72% 8.60% 8.45% 7.69% 7.52% 7.32% 7.28% Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2031 35-3021 41-2011 35-3031 53-3032 53-7062 11-9013 43-9061 43-4051 13-1199 37-2011 SOC Title Retail Salespersons Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Waiters and Waitresses Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Office Clerks, General Customer Service Representatives Business Operations Specialists, All Other Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 2014 Estimated Employment 10,414 2016 Projected Employment 10,778 3.50% Annual OpeningsGrowth 182 Annual OpeningsReplacements 383 Annual OpeningsTotal 565 5,505 331 6.01% 166 264 430 5,948 5,387 11,347 5,110 12,018 6,364 3,999 4,196 236 209 219 176 -90 125 172 230 4.13% 4.04% 1.97% 3.57% -0.74% 2.00% 4.49% 5.80% 118 104 110 88 0 62 86 115 307 268 170 157 192 128 100 48 425 372 280 245 192 190 186 163 3,914 4,084 170 4.34% 85 66 151 2014 Estimated Employment 12,108 905 2016 Projected Employment 12,018 818 Net Growth Percent Growth -90 -87 -0.74% -9.61% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 0 Annual OpeningsReplacements 192 20 Annual OpeningsTotal 192 20 568 488 -80 -14.08% 0 8 8 198 169 -29 -14.65% 0 2 2 574 550 -24 -4.18% 0 18 18 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2 Annual OpeningsTotal 2 Net Growth Percent Growth 364 5,836 5,712 5,178 11,128 4,934 12,108 6,239 3,827 3,966 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 11-9013 51-4041 51-4072 51-4111 45-2092 SOC Title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Machinists Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Tool and Die Makers Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 51-4111 51-4072 51-4051 51-4041 51-4193 SOC Title Tool and Die Makers Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders Machinists Plating and Coating Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 2014 Estimated Employment 198 2016 Projected Employment 169 -29 -14.65% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 568 488 -80 -14.08% 0 8 8 74 905 64 818 -10 -87 -13.51% -9.61% 0 0 1 20 1 20 122 112 -10 -8.20% 0 2 2 Net Growth Percent Growth 17 18 North Central Arkansas The North Central Arkansas WIA has numerous tourist attractions within its borders. Near Mountain View, visitors can tour the underground beauty of Blanchard Springs Caverns and listen to traditional American mountain music at the Ozark Folk Center. Created by a dam in 1964, the 40,000-acre Greers Ferry Lake offers outdoor adventurists plenty of fishing, boating, and camping. Nearby, the Little Red River flows out of the lake’s tailwaters, providing excellent trout fishing. In fact, a world-record setting brown trout, weighing 40.4 pounds, was caught on the river in 1992. The North Central Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp, Stone, Van Buren, White, and Woodruff, with the state of Missouri bordering the area to the north. The Area is home to three public two-year colleges that are part of the Arkansas State University (ASU) system with campuses located in Beebe, Newport, and Searcy. Also located in North Central Arkansas are two private four-year institutions, Lyon College in Batesville and Harding University in Searcy. Rounding out the Area’s educational opportunities are several community, technical, and trade schools, including the UA Community College in Batesville and Ozarka College in Melbourne. The North Central Arkansas WIA is projected to add 739 jobs through March 2016, or increase employment by 0.91 percent. Goods-Producing industries are expected to have a net gain of 196, while the Services-Providing industries could add 770. The Area is predicted to experience a loss of Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers with an decrease of 227. Manufacturing is projected to be the top growing supersector in the North Central Arkansas WIA with a gain of 285 jobs. Leisure and Hospitality is estimated to be the fastest growing supersector with a gain of 4.19 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places leads all industries in net growth with an estimated gain of 239. Machinery Manufacturing is forecasted to be the fastest growing industry increasing employment by 33.63 percent. Hospitals is projected to lose 240 jobs over the next two years, while Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries is predicted to lose 15.79 percent of its workforce. The Area is expected to have 2,572 total job openings annually between 2014 and 2016. Of these, 1,858 would be for replacement, while 714 would be for growth and expansion. Production Occupations is projected to be the top growing major group with 247 new jobs. Team Assemblers is estimated to be the top growing occupation raising employment by 105, while Painters, Transportation Equipment could be the fastest growing occupation with a 20 percent increase in jobs. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to lose the most jobs with a decline of 126 jobs, while Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining could lose 11.11 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining occupation in the North Central Arkansas WIA. With 152 annual job openings anticipated, Cashiers is estimated to lead all occupations in job openings. North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 81,199 11,794 11,745 49 12,809 2,407 771 1,636 2,283 8,119 3,735 4,384 56,596 15,765 1,872 9,324 3,856 713 521 2,477 1,946 531 3,373 1,146 191 2,036 20,584 8,986 11,598 5,728 366 5,362 2,358 5,790 2016 Projected Employment 81,938 11,567 11,518 49 13,005 2,347 829 1,518 2,254 8,404 3,699 4,705 57,366 15,942 1,909 9,545 3,774 714 513 2,572 2,042 530 3,501 1,166 202 2,133 20,653 9,054 11,599 5,968 384 5,584 2,350 5,867 Net Growth Percent Growth 739 -227 -227 0 196 -60 58 -118 -29 285 -36 321 770 177 37 221 -82 1 -8 95 96 -1 128 20 11 97 69 68 1 240 18 222 -8 77 0.91% -1.92% -1.93% 0.00% 1.53% -2.49% 7.52% -7.21% -1.27% 3.51% -0.96% 7.32% 1.36% 1.12% 1.98% 2.37% -2.13% 0.14% -1.54% 3.84% 4.93% -0.19% 3.79% 1.75% 5.76% 4.76% 0.34% 0.76% 0.01% 4.19% 4.92% 4.14% -0.34% 1.33% 19 20 North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 722000 336000 333000 621000 452000 561000 624000 611000 522000 311000 Food Services and Drinking Places Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Ambulatory Health Care Services General Merchandise Stores Administrative and Support Services Social Assistance Educational Services Credit Intermediation and Related Activities Food Manufacturing 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 4,889 814 565 3,263 2,932 1,874 2,131 8,986 1,449 2,334 5,128 1,021 755 3,434 3,069 1,971 2,211 9,054 1,514 2,393 239 207 190 171 137 97 80 68 65 59 4.89% 25.43% 33.63% 5.24% 4.67% 5.18% 3.75% 0.76% 4.49% 2.53% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 333000 336000 112000 488000 485000 486000 425000 515000 453000 551000 Machinery Manufacturing Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Animal Production Support Activities for Transportation Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation Pipeline Transportation Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers Broadcasting (except Internet) Miscellaneous Store Retailers Management of Companies and Enterprises 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 565 814 319 438 114 147 172 125 485 191 755 1,021 367 479 124 159 186 135 520 202 190 207 48 41 10 12 14 10 35 11 33.63% 25.43% 15.05% 9.36% 8.77% 8.16% 8.14% 8.00% 7.22% 5.76% Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 622000 484000 213000 236000 339000 NAICS Title Hospitals Truck Transportation Support Activities for Mining Construction of Buildings Miscellaneous Manufacturing 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 3,248 2,004 822 415 440 3,008 1,867 722 384 409 -240 -137 -100 -31 -31 -7.39% -6.84% -12.17% -7.47% -7.05% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 512000 442000 213000 999100 236000 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Support Activities for Mining Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Construction of Buildings 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment 38 125 822 216 415 32 107 722 198 384 Net Growth Percent Growth -6 -15.79% -18 -14.40% -100 -12.17% -18 -8.33% -31 -7.47% 21 22 North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code SOC Title 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 81,199 11,440 1,295 370 463 249 1,421 228 5,330 626 5,153 2,681 1,503 6,029 2,603 2,975 7,589 10,134 541 3,033 3,159 7,351 7,026 2016 Projected Employment 81,938 11,320 1,312 375 454 245 1,444 234 5,379 636 5,140 2,678 1,533 6,246 2,620 3,044 7,760 10,216 574 2,991 3,165 7,598 6,974 Net Growth Percent Growth 739 -120 17 5 -9 -4 23 6 49 10 -13 -3 30 217 17 69 171 82 33 -42 6 247 -52 0.91% -1.05% 1.31% 1.35% -1.94% -1.61% 1.62% 2.63% 0.92% 1.60% -0.25% -0.11% 2.00% 3.60% 0.65% 2.32% 2.25% 0.81% 6.10% -1.38% 0.19% 3.36% -0.74% Annual OpeningsGrowth 714 15 15 4 3 2 12 3 24 7 28 16 16 112 20 38 88 64 16 8 22 162 36 Annual OpeningsReplacements 1,858 190 24 4 10 6 30 3 107 13 98 47 46 224 49 57 272 225 16 54 76 158 151 Annual OpeningsTotal 2,572 205 39 8 13 8 42 6 131 20 126 63 62 336 69 95 360 289 32 62 98 320 187 North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 51-2092 35-3021 39-9021 41-2031 41-2011 35-2014 35-3031 43-6014 51-4121 35-2011 37-2011 SOC Title Team Assemblers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Personal Care Aides Retail Salespersons Cashiers Cooks, Restaurant Waiters and Waitresses Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers Cooks, Fast Food Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 2014 Estimated Employment 839 2016 Projected Employment 944 12.51% Annual OpeningsGrowth 52 Annual OpeningsReplacements 14 Annual OpeningsTotal 66 1,533 91 5.94% 46 74 120 1,233 2,338 2,391 512 762 65 63 53 30 30 5.57% 2.77% 2.27% 6.22% 4.10% 32 32 26 15 15 6 84 126 10 38 38 116 152 25 53 1,315 1,342 27 2.05% 14 16 30 284 852 310 877 26 25 9.15% 2.93% 13 12 7 17 20 29 1,145 1,170 25 2.18% 12 20 32 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2 1 0 14 Annual OpeningsTotal 10 5 4 66 Net Growth Percent Growth 105 1,624 1,168 2,275 2,338 482 732 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 51-9122 49-3011 51-4111 51-2092 51-9121 51-4121 35-2014 31-2021 35-3021 13-2072 SOC Title Painters, Transportation Equipment Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Tool and Die Makers Team Assemblers Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers Cooks, Restaurant Physical Therapist Assistants Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Loan Officers 2014 Estimated Employment 75 52 60 839 2016 Projected Employment 90 59 68 944 Net Growth Percent Growth 15 7 8 105 20.00% 13.46% 13.33% 12.51% Annual OpeningsGrowth 8 4 4 52 75 83 8 10.67% 4 2 6 284 482 97 310 512 103 26 30 6 9.15% 6.22% 6.19% 13 15 3 7 10 2 20 25 5 1,533 1,624 91 5.94% 46 74 120 118 125 7 5.93% 4 2 6 23 24 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 35-3021 41-2031 51-2092 35-3031 53-7062 39-9021 41-1011 53-3032 SOC Title Cashiers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Team Assemblers Waiters and Waitresses Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Personal Care Aides First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 2014 Estimated Employment 2,338 2016 Projected Employment 2,391 2.27% Annual OpeningsGrowth 26 Annual OpeningsReplacements 126 Annual OpeningsTotal 152 1,533 91 5.94% 46 74 120 2,338 944 762 63 105 30 2.77% 12.51% 4.10% 32 52 15 84 14 38 116 66 53 1,332 1,345 13 0.98% 6 42 48 1,168 1,222 2,421 1,233 1,245 2,319 65 23 -102 5.57% 1.88% -4.21% 32 12 0 6 26 37 38 38 37 2014 Estimated Employment 8,281 2,421 1,307 1,684 679 2016 Projected Employment 8,155 2,319 1,267 1,653 659 Net Growth Percent Growth -126 -102 -40 -31 -20 -1.52% -4.21% -3.06% -1.84% -2.95% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 0 0 0 0 Annual OpeningsReplacements 131 37 22 30 12 Annual OpeningsTotal 131 37 22 30 12 Annual OpeningsReplacements 3 Annual OpeningsTotal Net Growth Percent Growth 53 1,624 2,275 839 732 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 11-9013 53-3032 29-1141 31-1014 37-2012 SOC Title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Registered Nurses Nursing Assistants Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 47-5013 49-9098 43-9021 29-1126 11-9021 SOC Title Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Data Entry Keyers Respiratory Therapists Construction Managers 2014 Estimated Employment 72 2016 Projected Employment 64 Net Growth Percent Growth -8 -11.11% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 251 236 -15 -5.98% 0 9 9 90 93 261 85 88 249 -5 -5 -12 -5.56% -5.38% -4.60% 0 0 0 1 1 4 1 1 4 3 Northeast Arkansas The Hemingway-Pfeiffer Museum and Educational Center in Piggott, including the home and barn studio where Ernest Hemingway lived and wrote portions of “A Farewell to Arms,” is just one of the many attractions located in the Northeast Arkansas WIA. A unique land formation, one of only two in the world, can be found in Crowley’s Ridge State Park near Paragould. Lake Charles, in Powhatan, is one of several lakes in this Area, offering camping and fishing. Built in 1888 and restored in the 1970s, the historical Powhatan Courthouse is the main attraction at Powhatan Historic State Park. The Northeast Arkansas WIA consists of seven counties: Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett, and Randolph, with the states of Missouri bordering the area to the north and Tennessee to the east. The Jonesboro Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in this Area. This Area is home to three four-year colleges, two private and one public: Williams Baptist College in Walnut Ridge, Crowley’s Ridge College in Paragould, and Arkansas State University in Jonesboro. Arkansas Northeastern College in Blytheville and Black River Technical College in Pocahontas are two-year colleges located in this WIA. The Northeast Arkansas WIA is expected to add 3,154 jobs during the projection period. At 2.93 percent, the Area is estimated to be the fastest growing WIA in the state. Goods-Producing industries are predicted to have a net gain of 843 jobs, while Services-Providing industries could add 1,983. A net gain of 328 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers is anticipated. Manufacturing is expected to be the top growing supersector with 695 new jobs. Driving the growth is Food Manufacturing, which is estimated to gain 406 jobs, making it the top growing industry in the Area. Leisure and Hospitality is expected to be the fastest growing supersector with an increase of 4.21 percent. Waste Management and Remediation Service is anticipated to be the fastest growing industry with a gain of 29.18 percent. Not all of the Manufacturing supersector is seeing a favorable outlook. Primary Metal Manufacturing is expected to be the top declining industry with a loss of 128 jobs, while Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing is likely to be the fastest declining industry with an anticipated loss of 70 percent of its workforce. The Northeast Arkansas WIA is expected to have 4,168 annual openings during the projection period. Of these, 2,500 would be for replacement, while 1,668 would be for growth and expansion. Production Occupations is predicted to be the top growing major group adding 428 new jobs to the labor market. Team Assemblers is predicted to be the top growing occupation with a gain of 164 jobs. Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders is estimated to be the fastest growing occupation raising employment by 16.98 percent. The top and fastest declining occupations are also in the Production Occupations major group. Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic is estimated to lose 28 jobs between 2014 and 2016, while Sewing Machine Operators could lose a quarter of its workforce. At 4.34 percent, Transportation and Material Moving Occupations is anticipated to be the fastest growing major group. Cashiers is expected to be the top occupation in number of annual openings with 179 anticipated. 25 26 Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 107,487 9,574 9,496 78 24,577 1,898 1,803 95 3,152 19,527 5,852 13,675 73,336 18,631 3,826 11,693 2,657 455 782 3,127 2,192 935 6,708 1,613 523 4,572 26,774 11,027 15,747 8,156 425 7,731 2,686 6,472 2016 Projected Employment 110,641 9,902 9,827 75 25,420 1,929 1,837 92 3,269 20,222 6,265 13,957 75,319 19,312 3,902 12,065 2,906 439 765 3,168 2,201 967 6,947 1,657 553 4,737 27,368 11,084 16,284 8,499 468 8,031 2,690 6,570 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,154 328 331 -3 843 31 34 -3 117 695 413 282 1,983 681 76 372 249 -16 -17 41 9 32 239 44 30 165 594 57 537 343 43 300 4 98 2.93% 3.43% 3.49% -3.85% 3.43% 1.63% 1.89% -3.16% 3.71% 3.56% 7.06% 2.06% 2.70% 3.66% 1.99% 3.18% 9.37% -3.52% -2.17% 1.31% 0.41% 3.42% 3.56% 2.73% 5.74% 3.61% 2.22% 0.52% 3.41% 4.21% 10.12% 3.88% 0.15% 1.51% Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 311000 722000 621000 333000 336000 488000 624000 452000 622000 484000 561000 Food Manufacturing Food Services and Drinking Places Ambulatory Health Care Services Machinery Manufacturing Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Support Activities for Transportation Social Assistance General Merchandise Stores Hospitals Truck Transportation Administrative and Support Services 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 2,186 7,187 4,483 1,934 3,987 551 4,249 3,521 4,632 1,281 4,315 2,592 7,481 4,712 2,157 4,157 710 4,397 3,649 4,729 1,371 4,405 406 294 229 223 170 159 148 128 97 90 90 18.57% 4.09% 5.11% 11.53% 4.26% 28.86% 3.48% 3.64% 2.09% 7.03% 2.09% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 562000 Waste Management and Remediation Service 257 332 75 29.18% 488000 Support Activities for Transportation 551 710 159 28.86% 311000 Food Manufacturing 2,186 2,592 406 18.57% 327000 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 530 598 68 12.83% 333000 Machinery Manufacturing 1,934 2,157 223 11.53% 713000 Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries 383 425 42 10.97% 451000 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores 424 465 41 9.67% 453000 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 531 574 43 8.10% 236000 Construction of Buildings 780 839 59 7.56% 484000 Truck Transportation 1,281 1,371 90 7.03% 27 28 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 3,762 3,634 -128 -3.40% 331000 Primary Metal Manufacturing 337000 Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing 491 402 -89 -18.13% 326000 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 1,513 1,473 -40 -2.64% 448000 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 675 651 -24 -3.56% 316000 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing 30 9 -21 -70.00% 335000 Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing 928 907 -21 -2.26% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 30 9 -21 -70.00% 491 402 -89 -18.13% 63 55 -8 -12.70% 316000 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing 337000 Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing 814000 Private Households 425000 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 192 173 -19 -9.90% 493000 Warehousing and Storage 318 300 -18 -5.66% Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code SOC Title 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 107,487 9,535 2,130 624 667 342 2,516 380 6,988 834 6,142 2,952 1,631 8,552 3,274 3,247 10,764 13,761 1,139 4,084 4,713 14,068 9,144 2016 Projected Employment 110,641 9,824 2,192 641 689 353 2,577 391 7,056 841 6,361 3,046 1,659 8,869 3,339 3,378 11,081 14,048 1,161 4,225 4,873 14,496 9,541 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,154 289 62 17 22 11 61 11 68 7 219 94 28 317 65 131 317 287 22 141 160 428 397 2.93% 3.03% 2.91% 2.72% 3.30% 3.22% 2.42% 2.89% 0.97% 0.84% 3.57% 3.18% 1.72% 3.71% 1.99% 4.03% 2.95% 2.09% 1.93% 3.45% 3.39% 3.04% 4.34% Annual OpeningsGrowth 1,668 145 31 9 12 6 30 6 34 6 110 48 14 158 32 66 162 159 11 72 86 268 204 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2,500 162 42 10 15 10 55 6 142 19 115 53 48 338 62 59 364 308 33 68 106 270 216 Annual OpeningsTotal 4,168 307 73 19 27 16 85 12 176 25 225 101 62 496 94 125 526 467 44 140 192 538 420 29 30 Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 51-2092 11-9013 53-3032 35-3021 41-2031 39-9021 53-7062 41-2011 29-1141 51-4121 SOC Title Team Assemblers Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Personal Care Aides Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Cashiers Registered Nurses Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 2014 Estimated Employment 2,969 5,033 1,722 2016 Projected Employment 3,133 5,194 1,865 2,322 3,198 1,358 2,527 2,661 1,898 1,355 5.52% 3.20% 8.30% Annual OpeningsGrowth 82 80 72 Annual OpeningsReplacements 48 80 26 Annual OpeningsTotal 130 160 98 115 4.95% 58 111 169 108 91 79 71 60 59 3.38% 6.70% 3.13% 2.67% 3.16% 4.35% 54 46 40 36 30 30 118 8 80 143 32 33 172 54 120 179 62 63 Net Growth Percent Growth 164 161 143 2,437 3,306 1,449 2,606 2,732 1,958 1,414 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 51-3093 43-5032 51-3011 49-9043 13-1161 47-2211 51-2041 53-3032 43-5111 43-4061 SOC Title Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance Bakers Maintenance Workers, Machinery Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Sheet Metal Workers Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs 2014 Estimated Employment 53 224 52 136 78 237 83 1,722 2016 Projected Employment 62 248 57 149 85 258 90 1,865 88 141 16.98% 10.71% 9.62% 9.56% 8.97% 8.86% 8.43% 8.30% Annual OpeningsGrowth 4 12 2 6 4 10 4 72 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2 6 1 2 1 4 3 26 Annual OpeningsTotal 6 18 3 8 5 14 7 98 7 7.95% 4 2 6 11 7.80% 6 2 8 Net Growth Percent Growth 9 24 5 13 7 21 7 143 95 152 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 41-2031 35-3021 11-9013 51-2092 53-7062 53-3032 35-3031 43-9061 51-4121 SOC Title Cashiers Retail Salespersons Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Team Assemblers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Waiters and Waitresses Office Clerks, General Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 2014 Estimated Employment 2,661 3,198 2016 Projected Employment 2,732 3,306 71 108 2.67% 3.38% Annual OpeningsGrowth 36 54 2,322 2,437 115 4.95% 58 111 169 5,033 2,969 5,194 3,133 161 164 3.20% 5.52% 80 82 80 48 160 130 2,527 2,606 79 3.13% 40 80 120 1,722 1,365 2,409 1,355 1,865 1,416 2,457 1,414 143 51 48 59 8.30% 3.74% 1.99% 4.35% 72 26 24 30 26 70 50 33 98 96 74 63 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsReplacements 143 118 Annual OpeningsTotal 179 172 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 51-4031 51-4021 51-4072 43-9021 53-3022 SOC Title Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Data Entry Keyers Bus Drivers, School or Special Client 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal 565 537 -28 -4.96% 0 6 6 359 346 -13 -3.62% 0 7 7 187 178 -9 -4.81% 0 2 2 117 411 110 404 -7 -7 -5.98% -1.70% 0 0 2 6 2 6 Annual OpeningsReplacements 0 Annual OpeningsTotal 0 Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 4) SOC Code 51-6031 51-7042 51-7011 43-9021 43-5041 SOC Title Sewing Machine Operators Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Data Entry Keyers Meter Readers, Utilities 2014 Estimated Employment 24 2016 Projected Employment 18 -6 -25.00% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 56 50 -6 -10.71% 0 0 0 62 117 80 58 110 76 -4 -7 -4 -6.45% -5.98% -5.00% 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 Net Growth Percent Growth 31 32 Western Arkansas The Western Arkansas WIA is home to the two highest mountain peaks in Arkansas; Mount Magazine near Paris and Rich Mountain at the Queen Wilhelmina State Park near Mena. The Cossatot River, an American Indian word for skull crusher, provides some of the most challenging whitewater rafting in the state. Settled by Swiss and German immigrants in the 1880s, Altus has become the wine capital of Arkansas, producing several award-winning wines from grapes grown in the Boston Mountains. Area visitors can also see an eight-foot tall statue of Popeye in Alma, the self-proclaimed spinach capital of the world. The Western Arkansas WIA consists of six counties: Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Polk, Scott, and Sebastian; and is bordered to the west by the state of Oklahoma. The Arkansas portion of the Fort Smith Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in the Western Arkansas WIA. The Area is home to the University of Arkansas at Fort Smith, a four-year public university located in Sebastian County. Offering associate degrees and certificates, Rich Mountain Community College in Mena and Arkansas Tech-Ozark are two-year colleges located in this Area, providing residents with a range of educational options. The Western Arkansas WIA is expected to experience a net gain of 3,224 jobs during the projection period. Goods-Producing industries are projected to have a net gain of 638 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are estimated to add 2,256. A gain of 330 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers is anticipated during the projection period. Professional and Business Services is expected to be the top and fastest growing supersector in the Area with a gain of 843 jobs during the projection period, an increase of 8.72 percent. All three industries in Professional and Business Services are included in the Top 10 Growing Industries List. However, Food Manufacturing is estimated to be the top growing industry adding 475 jobs to its workforce. At 18.76 percent, Support Activities for Transportation and Paper Manufacturing are statistically tied as the fastest growing industries in the Western Arkansas WIA. Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing is estimated to lose 225 jobs between 2014 and 2016 making it the top declining industry, while Publishing Industries (except Internet) could be the fastest declining industry with a decline of 19.81 percent. The Western Arkansas WIA is projected to have a net job gain of 2.80 percent between 2014 and 2016. Around 4,371 annual job openings are expected to be available during the projection period with 2,639 for replacement and 1,732 for growth and expansion. The Production Occupations major group is projected to add the most jobs increasing by 552 during the projection period. The top four fastest growing occupations are in this major group with Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders projected to be the fastest growing occupation with a growth of 15.94 percent. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is predicted to be the top growing occupation with 145 anticipated during the projection period. Legal Occupations, with a projected growth of 4.74 percent is estimated to be the fastest growing major group. Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining is tied with Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers as the top declining occupation with 12 job losses each. Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining is also predicted to be the fastest declining occupation with a loss of 13.19 percent of its workforce. With 168 annual job openings anticipated, Retail Salespersons leads in the number of job openings. Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 115,231 10,977 10,899 78 26,261 2,064 585 1,479 3,417 20,780 11,396 9,384 77,993 21,936 3,794 11,743 5,702 697 1,180 3,703 2,491 1,212 9,667 2,044 2,105 5,518 22,907 8,509 14,398 8,447 413 8,034 4,075 6,078 2016 Projected Employment 118,455 11,307 11,229 78 26,899 1,934 584 1,350 3,456 21,509 12,168 9,341 80,249 22,479 3,954 12,031 5,805 689 1,132 3,698 2,488 1,210 10,510 2,292 2,226 5,992 23,441 8,555 14,886 8,798 457 8,341 4,086 6,105 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,224 330 330 0 638 -130 -1 -129 39 729 772 -43 2,256 543 160 288 103 -8 -48 -5 -3 -2 843 248 121 474 534 46 488 351 44 307 11 27 2.80% 3.01% 3.03% 0.00% 2.43% -6.30% -0.17% -8.72% 1.14% 3.51% 6.77% -0.46% 2.89% 2.48% 4.22% 2.45% 1.81% -1.15% -4.07% -0.14% -0.12% -0.17% 8.72% 12.13% 5.75% 8.59% 2.33% 0.54% 3.39% 4.16% 10.65% 3.82% 0.27% 0.44% 33 34 Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 311000 561000 722000 541000 322000 622000 621000 452000 327000 551000 Food Manufacturing Administrative and Support Services Food Services and Drinking Places Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Paper Manufacturing Hospitals Ambulatory Health Care Services General Merchandise Stores Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Management of Companies and Enterprises 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 8,612 5,355 7,402 2,044 1,114 4,100 4,745 3,856 733 2,105 9,087 5,821 7,703 2,292 1,323 4,300 4,919 4,000 860 2,226 475 466 301 248 209 200 174 144 127 121 5.52% 8.70% 4.07% 12.13% 18.76% 4.88% 3.67% 3.73% 17.33% 5.75% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 488000 322000 327000 325000 326000 541000 425000 713000 561000 453000 Support Activities for Transportation Paper Manufacturing Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Chemical Manufacturing Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries Administrative and Support Services Miscellaneous Store Retailers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 469 1,114 733 197 373 2,044 362 377 5,355 523 557 1,323 860 231 430 2,292 404 418 5,821 567 88 209 127 34 57 248 42 41 466 44 18.76% 18.76% 17.33% 17.26% 15.28% 12.13% 11.60% 10.88% 8.70% 8.41% Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 335000 213000 333000 999100 511000 Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing Support Activities for Mining Machinery Manufacturing Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Publishing Industries (except Internet) 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 2,631 1,009 1,360 1,079 207 2,406 886 1,294 1,018 166 -225 -123 -66 -61 -41 -8.55% -12.19% -4.85% -5.65% -19.81% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 511000 213000 113000 335000 339000 Publishing Industries (except Internet) Support Activities for Mining Forestry and Logging Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing Miscellaneous Manufacturing 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth 207 1,009 79 2,631 227 166 886 72 2,406 209 -41 -123 -7 -225 -18 Percent Growth -19.81% -12.19% -8.86% -8.55% -7.93% 35 36 Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 115,231 10,831 3,308 933 937 411 2,269 401 5,220 1,028 6,324 3,631 1,822 9,283 3,080 2,852 10,739 15,623 1,114 4,392 4,817 14,811 11,405 2016 Projected Employment 118,455 11,137 3,434 966 954 416 2,310 420 5,262 1,051 6,584 3,758 1,882 9,653 3,199 2,914 11,015 16,005 1,163 4,424 4,922 15,363 11,623 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,224 306 126 33 17 5 41 19 42 23 260 127 60 370 119 62 276 382 49 32 105 552 218 2.80% 2.83% 3.81% 3.54% 1.81% 1.22% 1.81% 4.74% 0.80% 2.24% 4.11% 3.50% 3.29% 3.99% 3.86% 2.17% 2.57% 2.45% 4.40% 0.73% 2.18% 3.73% 1.91% Annual OpeningsGrowth 1,732 154 68 16 15 6 20 10 22 15 130 64 30 185 60 38 142 204 26 40 66 303 119 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2,639 183 59 14 20 12 50 6 105 22 117 64 48 374 56 54 359 354 30 75 106 289 242 Annual OpeningsTotal 4,371 337 127 30 35 18 70 16 127 37 247 128 78 559 116 92 501 558 56 115 172 592 361 Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 11-9013 51-3022 51-9198 35-3021 35-3031 41-2031 53-3032 29-1141 53-7062 37-2011 SOC Title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers Helpers--Production Workers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Waiters and Waitresses Retail Salespersons Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Registered Nurses Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 2014 Estimated Employment 5,622 1,653 1,907 2016 Projected Employment 5,767 1,764 2,010 2.58% 6.72% 5.40% Annual OpeningsGrowth 72 56 52 Annual OpeningsReplacements 89 38 36 Annual OpeningsTotal 161 94 88 1,997 99 4.96% 50 96 146 2,120 3,420 4,568 1,962 2,389 96 93 93 85 68 4.74% 2.80% 2.08% 4.53% 2.93% 48 46 46 42 34 105 122 68 32 74 153 168 114 74 108 1,722 66 3.99% 33 28 61 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2 2 Annual OpeningsTotal 24 7 Net Growth Percent Growth 145 111 103 2,096 2,024 3,327 4,475 1,877 2,321 1,656 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 51-9196 51-9122 51-9023 51-9195 13-1161 43-5032 13-2082 37-2021 51-9121 51-9032 SOC Title Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Painters, Transportation Equipment Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance Tax Preparers Pest Control Workers Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 2014 Estimated Employment 276 77 2016 Projected Employment 320 87 Net Growth Percent Growth 44 10 15.94% 12.99% Annual OpeningsGrowth 22 5 77 86 9 11.69% 4 2 6 60 149 210 146 68 67 164 230 159 74 7 15 20 13 6 11.67% 10.07% 9.52% 8.90% 8.82% 4 8 10 6 3 2 2 6 2 2 6 10 16 8 5 241 262 21 8.71% 10 4 14 334 362 28 8.38% 14 6 20 37 38 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2031 11-9013 41-2011 35-3031 35-3021 53-3032 53-7062 51-3022 51-9198 29-1141 SOC Title Retail Salespersons Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Cashiers Waiters and Waitresses Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers Helpers--Production Workers Registered Nurses 2014 Estimated Employment 3,327 5,622 2,471 2,024 2016 Projected Employment 3,420 5,767 2,516 2,120 93 145 45 96 2.80% 2.58% 1.82% 4.74% Annual OpeningsGrowth 46 72 22 48 1,997 2,096 99 4.96% 50 96 146 4,475 2,321 1,653 1,907 1,877 4,568 2,389 1,764 2,010 1,962 93 68 111 103 85 2.08% 2.93% 6.72% 5.40% 4.53% 46 34 56 52 42 68 74 38 36 32 114 108 94 88 74 2014 Estimated Employment 91 174 1,646 96 198 54 2016 Projected Employment 79 162 1,636 88 192 48 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 0 0 0 0 0 Annual OpeningsReplacements 4 6 27 2 3 2 Annual OpeningsTotal 4 6 27 2 3 2 Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal -13.19% -12.82% -11.11% -9.76% -8.33% 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 2 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsReplacements 122 89 133 105 Annual OpeningsTotal 168 161 155 153 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 47-5013 49-9098 51-2092 53-7073 13-1041 19-4093 SOC Title Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Team Assemblers Wellhead Pumpers Compliance Officers Forest and Conservation Technicians -12 -12 -10 -8 -6 -6 -13.19% -6.90% -0.61% -8.33% -3.03% -11.11% Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 47-5013 27-3022 19-4093 47-5071 53-7073 SOC Title Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining Reporters and Correspondents Forest and Conservation Technicians Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Wellhead Pumpers 2014 Estimated Employment 91 39 54 41 96 2016 Projected Employment 79 34 48 37 88 Net Growth -12 -5 -6 -4 -8 4 2 2 1 2 West Central Arkansas The West Central Arkansas WIA contains unbelievable natural resources for recreational use, including multiple lakes and mountains. Petit Jean State Park, located near Morrilton, is home to Cedar Falls, the tallest continuously flowing waterfall in the state. The Crater of Diamonds State Park, located in Murfreesboro, is recognized as the only public diamond mine in the world where you keep what you find. Visitors found 121.02 total carats in 2014 with one that was 6.19 carats. Hot Springs is also a center for tourism with its famous Bathhouse Row, a theme park, and other historic attractions. The West Central Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Clark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Johnson, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Pope, and Yell; with the Hot Springs Metropolitan Statistical Area located within the WIA. The Area has several four-year colleges: Arkansas Tech University in Russellville, Henderson State University and Ouachita Baptist University in Arkadelphia, and the University of the Ozarks in Clarksville. There are also a number of two-year community and technical colleges in the Area: National Park Community College in Hot Springs, a campus of the University of Arkansas Community College System in Morrilton, and College of the Ouachitas in Malvern. The West Central Arkansas WIA is expected to see a growth of 3,307 by the first quarter of 2016. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 373 new jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 2,528. There is estimated to be 406 more Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers in this Area by 2016. Leisure and Hospitality is predicted to be the top and fastest growing supersector adding 760 new jobs, an increase of 6.35 percent. Driving this growth is Food Services and Drinking Places with a growth of 422 making it the top growing industry in the West Central Arkansas WIA. Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing is forecasted to be the fastest growing industry, raising employment by 49.62 percent over the next two years. Hospitals is projected to experience a loss of 128 jobs making it the top declining industry, while Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries is anticipating a 13.92 percent decline in its workforce making it the fastest declining industry in the Area. The Area’s employment is expected to increase by 2.71 percent during the projection period. An estimated 4,660 annual job openings are anticipated in this Area. Growth and expansion is estimated to account for 1,782 of those jobs, while 2,878 would be for replacement. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is projected to add the most jobs with 462 between 2014 and 2016. Personal Care and Service Occupations is predicted to be the fastest growing major group with an increase of 6.99 percent. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to be the top growing occupation with a gain of 239. Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters is forecasted to be the fastest growing occupation increasing employment by 46.48 percent. Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door is projected to lose the most jobs with 11 anticipated to be cut, while Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers could lose 7.84 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining occupation. Cashiers is estimated to have the most annual job openings with 235 between 2014 and 2016. 39 40 West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 121,914 12,672 12,592 80 22,481 2,314 1,784 530 4,293 15,874 9,086 6,788 86,761 21,135 2,187 13,720 3,856 1,372 953 4,129 3,107 1,022 8,327 2,776 427 5,124 28,372 12,589 15,783 11,976 1,942 10,034 3,930 7,939 2016 Projected Employment 125,221 13,078 13,000 78 22,854 2,388 1,872 516 4,224 16,242 9,262 6,980 89,289 21,595 2,145 14,209 3,930 1,311 914 4,274 3,183 1,091 8,832 2,855 452 5,525 29,026 12,757 16,269 12,736 2,199 10,537 3,962 7,950 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,307 406 408 -2 373 74 88 -14 -69 368 176 192 2,528 460 -42 489 74 -61 -39 145 76 69 505 79 25 401 654 168 486 760 257 503 32 11 2.71% 3.20% 3.24% -2.50% 1.66% 3.20% 4.93% -2.64% -1.61% 2.32% 1.94% 2.83% 2.91% 2.18% -1.92% 3.56% 1.92% -4.45% -4.09% 3.51% 2.45% 6.75% 6.06% 2.85% 5.85% 7.83% 2.31% 1.33% 3.08% 6.35% 13.23% 5.01% 0.81% 0.14% West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 722000 561000 624000 621000 611000 452000 445000 321000 311000 721000 Food Services and Drinking Places Administrative and Support Services Social Assistance Ambulatory Health Care Services Educational Services General Merchandise Stores Food and Beverage Stores Wood Product Manufacturing Food Manufacturing Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 8,632 4,813 3,793 4,929 12,589 3,998 1,831 2,219 5,992 1,402 9,054 5,203 4,157 5,108 12,757 4,159 1,977 2,318 6,075 1,483 422 390 364 179 168 161 146 99 83 81 4.89% 8.10% 9.60% 3.63% 1.33% 4.03% 7.97% 4.46% 1.39% 5.78% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 337000 111000 488000 327000 451000 532000 624000 561000 445000 811000 Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing Crop Production Support Activities for Transportation Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores Rental and Leasing Services Social Assistance Administrative and Support Services Food and Beverage Stores Repair and Maintenance 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 131 92 352 379 405 281 3,793 4,813 1,831 807 196 127 399 417 444 308 4,157 5,203 1,977 868 65 35 47 38 39 27 364 390 146 61 49.62% 38.04% 13.35% 10.03% 9.63% 9.61% 9.60% 8.10% 7.97% 7.56% 41 42 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 622000 493000 221000 999300 448000 Hospitals Warehousing and Storage Utilities Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 3,705 1,139 1,372 3,549 624 3,577 1,077 1,311 3,489 571 -128 -62 -61 -60 -53 -3.45% -5.44% -4.45% -1.69% -8.49% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 512000 425000 448000 454000 814000 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Nonstore Retailers Private Households 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment 79 282 624 142 84 68 247 571 130 78 Net Growth Percent Growth -11 -13.92% -35 -12.41% -53 -8.49% -12 -8.45% -6 -7.14% West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 121,914 11,820 2,440 765 1,083 623 2,549 328 7,859 1,193 6,378 4,174 2,305 10,503 4,286 4,865 12,198 16,793 1,095 4,790 4,852 11,560 9,455 2016 Projected Employment 125,221 12,167 2,484 770 1,071 624 2,598 334 8,006 1,215 6,460 4,287 2,381 10,965 4,451 5,205 12,625 17,128 1,145 4,802 4,961 11,858 9,684 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,307 347 44 5 -12 1 49 6 147 22 82 113 76 462 165 340 427 335 50 12 109 298 229 2.71% 2.94% 1.80% 0.65% -1.11% 0.16% 1.92% 1.83% 1.87% 1.84% 1.29% 2.71% 3.30% 4.40% 3.85% 6.99% 3.50% 1.99% 4.57% 0.25% 2.25% 2.58% 2.42% Annual OpeningsGrowth 1,782 174 26 5 2 4 26 4 74 13 47 57 40 232 83 173 218 192 26 20 73 170 124 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2,878 198 43 12 22 18 54 5 156 26 120 72 72 423 79 92 420 388 28 80 108 246 214 Annual OpeningsTotal 4,660 372 69 17 24 22 80 9 230 39 167 129 112 655 162 265 638 580 54 100 181 416 338 43 44 West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 11-9013 39-9021 43-4051 35-3021 41-2011 35-3031 53-3032 41-1011 41-2031 53-7062 SOC Title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Personal Care Aides Customer Service Representatives Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Waiters and Waitresses Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers Retail Salespersons Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 2014 Estimated Employment 7,045 1,637 2,105 2016 Projected Employment 7,284 1,808 2,248 2,165 3,106 2,054 2,525 1,879 3,226 2,295 3.39% 10.45% 6.79% Annual OpeningsGrowth 120 86 72 Annual OpeningsReplacements 112 9 55 Annual OpeningsTotal 232 95 127 137 6.33% 68 104 172 136 88 82 75 75 69 4.38% 4.28% 3.25% 3.99% 2.32% 3.01% 68 44 41 38 38 34 167 106 38 40 118 73 235 150 79 78 156 107 Net Growth Percent Growth 239 171 143 2,302 3,242 2,142 2,607 1,954 3,301 2,364 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 51-7011 49-3011 39-9021 39-2021 33-9032 51-5112 37-2021 39-2011 45-2092 43-5032 SOC Title Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Personal Care Aides Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Security Guards Printing Press Operators Pest Control Workers Animal Trainers Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 2014 Estimated Employment 71 78 1,637 365 513 73 93 160 2016 Projected Employment 104 89 1,808 401 562 79 100 172 33 11 171 36 49 6 7 12 46.48% 14.10% 10.45% 9.86% 9.55% 8.22% 7.53% 7.50% Annual OpeningsGrowth 16 6 86 18 24 3 4 6 476 510 34 7.14% 17 15 32 113 121 8 7.08% 4 3 7 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsReplacements 0 2 9 4 7 1 2 6 Annual OpeningsTotal 16 8 95 22 31 4 6 12 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 11-9013 35-3021 41-2031 35-3031 43-4051 53-7062 39-9021 53-3032 41-1011 SOC Title Cashiers Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Waiters and Waitresses Customer Service Representatives Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Personal Care Aides Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 2014 Estimated Employment 3,106 7,045 2016 Projected Employment 3,242 7,284 136 239 4.38% 3.39% Annual OpeningsGrowth 68 120 2,165 2,302 137 6.33% 68 104 172 3,226 2,054 2,105 2,295 1,637 2,525 1,879 3,301 2,142 2,248 2,364 1,808 2,607 1,954 75 88 143 69 171 82 75 2.32% 4.28% 6.79% 3.01% 10.45% 3.25% 3.99% 38 44 72 34 86 41 38 118 106 55 73 9 38 40 156 150 127 107 95 79 78 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsReplacements 167 112 Annual OpeningsTotal 235 232 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 49-9012 53-7063 47-2073 49-2022 43-9021 SOC Title Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door Machine Feeders and Offbearers Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers Data Entry Keyers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal 169 158 -11 -6.51% 0 5 5 553 543 -10 -1.81% 0 12 12 441 432 -9 -2.04% 0 10 10 102 94 -8 -7.84% 0 2 2 128 121 -7 -5.47% 0 2 2 Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 49-2022 49-9012 49-9052 43-9021 49-9051 SOC Title Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers Data Entry Keyers Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth 102 94 -8 -7.84% 0 2 2 169 158 -11 -6.51% 0 5 5 88 128 147 83 121 142 -5 -7 -5 -5.68% -5.47% -3.40% 0 0 0 2 2 5 2 2 5 45 46 Central Arkansas The Central Arkansas WIA is home to the Prairie County Museum in Des Arc, which contains artifacts and exhibits that tell the story of the Lower White River’s influence on the first settlements in the Arkansas frontier, while Pickles Gap Village in Conway presents a unique variety of shops for those traveling through to the Ozarks. Located in Scott, the Plantation Agricultural Museum, tells the history of cotton agriculture in the state; and the Toltec Indian Mounds State Park, a national historic landmark, preserves and interprets the state’s tallest Native American mounds. The Little Rock Air Force Base in Jacksonville is the world’s largest training ground for C-130 pilots and North Little Rock’s Old Mill, an authentic reproduction of a water-powered gristmill, was seen in the opening credits of “Gone with the Wind.” The Central Arkansas WIA consists of six counties, all within commuting distance of the City of Little Rock WIA: Faulkner, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Saline, and the portion of Pulaski County outside of Little Rock. The majority of the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in this Area. Three four-year colleges and universities are located in Conway: the University of Central Arkansas, home to Arkansas’s Public Broadcasting Station, Arkansas Educational Television Network (AETN); Hendrix College; and Central Baptist College. There are satellite campuses of other colleges and universities, including the University of Arkansas at Little Rock-Benton and the Pulaski Technical College-Saline County Career Center in Bauxite. Two two-year colleges, Shorter College and Pulaski Technical College, are located in North Little Rock. The Area is expected to add 3,763 new jobs, an increase of 2.22 percent. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 227 new jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 3,534 jobs. However, minimal change is expected in Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers between 2014 and 2016. Professional and Business Services is expected to be the top and fastest growing supersector adding 1,007 jobs during the projection period and increasing by 5.77 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is estimated to be the top growing industry with an increase of 697 new jobs. Data Processing, Hosting and Related Services is predicted to be the fastest growing industry increasing by 30.73 percent. On the negative side of the economy, Paper Manufacturing is estimated to lose 101 jobs making it the top declining industry, while Transportation Equipment Manufacturing is anticipated to lose 12.30 percent of its workforce. The Central Arkansas WIA is expected to have 6,015 annual job openings during the projection period with 2,011 being for growth and expansion and 4,004 being for replacement. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations is projected to be the top growing major group with an increase of 681. Driving this growth is Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food, which is predicted to be the top growing occupation with a gain of 236 jobs. Computer and Mathematical Occupations is forecasted to be the fastest growing major group adding 5.29 percent to its workforce. The fastest growing occupation is set to be Computer Systems Analysts, which is anticipated to add 8.10 percent to its workforce. Order Clerks is projected to lose the most jobs with 17 expected to be cut, while Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, is estimated to lead all occupations in percent decline with an anticipated decline of 6.28 percent. Cashiers is estimated to have the most annual openings with 385 between 2014 and 2016. Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 169,638 13,207 13,097 110 22,574 2,249 825 1,424 8,736 11,589 3,882 7,707 133,857 36,180 6,757 22,060 6,824 539 1,217 6,061 4,109 1,952 17,446 6,822 1,103 9,521 34,071 13,967 20,104 16,417 1,089 15,328 8,238 14,227 2016 Projected Employment 173,401 13,209 13,101 108 22,801 2,128 848 1,280 9,009 11,664 3,815 7,849 137,391 36,905 6,806 22,760 6,809 530 1,248 6,101 4,067 2,034 18,453 7,137 1,167 10,149 34,827 14,081 20,746 17,177 1,137 16,040 8,269 14,411 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,763 2 4 -2 227 -121 23 -144 273 75 -67 142 3,534 725 49 700 -15 -9 31 40 -42 82 1,007 315 64 628 756 114 642 760 48 712 31 184 2.22% 0.02% 0.03% -1.82% 1.01% -5.38% 2.79% -10.11% 3.13% 0.65% -1.73% 1.84% 2.64% 2.00% 0.73% 3.17% -0.22% -1.67% 2.55% 0.66% -1.02% 4.20% 5.77% 4.62% 5.80% 6.60% 2.22% 0.82% 3.19% 4.63% 4.41% 4.65% 0.38% 1.29% 47 48 Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 722000 Food Services and Drinking Places 14,178 14,875 697 4.92% 561000 Administrative and Support Services 9,060 9,708 648 7.15% 621000 Ambulatory Health Care Services 5,839 6,201 362 6.20% 4.62% 541000 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 6,822 7,137 315 452000 General Merchandise Stores 6,195 6,436 241 3.89% 624000 Social Assistance 4,813 5,001 188 3.91% 238000 Specialty Trade Contractors 6,070 6,233 163 2.69% 424000 Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 2,228 2,349 121 5.43% 441000 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 3,672 3,790 118 3.21% 611000 Educational Services 13,967 14,081 114 0.82% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 179 234 55 30.73% 1,225 1,337 112 9.14% Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry 180 196 16 8.89% 339000 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 165 178 13 7.88% 486000 Pipeline Transportation 65 70 5 7.69% 561000 Administrative and Support Services 9,060 9,708 648 7.15% 621000 Ambulatory Health Care Services 5,839 6,201 362 6.20% 551000 Management of Companies and Enterprises 1,103 1,167 64 5.80% 311000 Food Manufacturing 708 748 40 5.65% 531000 Real Estate 1,359 1,434 75 5.52% NAICS Code NAICS Title 518000 Data Processing, Hosting and Related Services 453000 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 115000 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 322000 Paper Manufacturing 1,384 1,283 -101 -7.30% 493000 Warehousing and Storage 1,165 1,101 -64 -5.49% -8.74% 425000 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 721 658 -63 336000 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 366 321 -45 -12.30% 443000 Electronics and Appliance Stores 801 759 -42 -5.24% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 336000 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 366 321 -45 -12.30% 425000 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 721 658 -63 -8.74% 322000 Paper Manufacturing 1,384 1,283 -101 -7.30% 454000 Nonstore Retailers 161 150 -11 -6.83% 493000 Warehousing and Storage 1,165 1,101 -64 -5.49% 49 50 Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 169,638 12,680 5,445 3,779 1,470 690 4,200 638 9,334 1,915 9,978 5,868 3,117 15,435 6,095 5,813 18,609 24,929 631 9,050 7,486 9,578 12,898 2016 Projected Employment 173,401 12,815 5,560 3,979 1,497 704 4,254 650 9,449 1,942 10,336 5,984 3,218 16,116 6,290 6,000 19,036 25,347 645 9,156 7,602 9,671 13,150 Net Growth Percent Growth 3,763 135 115 200 27 14 54 12 115 27 358 116 101 681 195 187 427 418 14 106 116 93 252 2.22% 1.06% 2.11% 5.29% 1.84% 2.03% 1.29% 1.88% 1.23% 1.41% 3.59% 1.98% 3.24% 4.41% 3.20% 3.22% 2.29% 1.68% 2.22% 1.17% 1.55% 0.97% 1.95% Annual OpeningsGrowth 2,011 72 60 100 16 7 28 6 58 14 180 58 50 340 98 95 218 240 8 88 64 76 133 Annual OpeningsReplacements 4,004 218 96 54 33 20 88 10 187 40 186 103 76 612 114 100 658 570 17 168 172 190 291 Annual OpeningsTotal 6,015 290 156 154 49 27 116 16 245 54 366 161 126 952 212 195 876 810 25 256 236 266 424 Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 35-3021 41-2011 43-4051 35-3031 39-9021 41-2031 37-2011 53-7062 29-1141 35-2014 SOC Title Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Customer Service Representatives Waiters and Waitresses Personal Care Aides Retail Salespersons Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Registered Nurses Cooks, Restaurant 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal 4,000 4,236 236 5.90% 118 192 310 5,365 3,244 3,194 2,370 5,459 5,559 3,385 3,325 2,493 5,574 194 141 131 123 115 3.62% 4.35% 4.10% 5.19% 2.11% 97 70 66 62 58 288 85 166 13 201 385 155 232 75 259 3,098 3,202 104 3.36% 52 52 104 3,006 2,654 1,279 3,102 2,732 1,356 96 78 77 3.19% 2.94% 6.02% 48 39 38 96 45 26 144 84 64 Annual OpeningsReplacements 6 5 8 26 Annual OpeningsTotal 24 20 20 64 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 15-1121 39-2021 29-1123 35-2014 51-4011 35-3021 29-1122 29-1127 29-2021 39-9021 SOC Title Computer Systems Analysts Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Physical Therapists Cooks, Restaurant Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and Plastic Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Occupational Therapists Speech-Language Pathologists Dental Hygienists Personal Care Aides 2014 Estimated Employment 432 428 351 1,279 2016 Projected Employment 467 458 375 1,356 35 30 24 77 8.10% 7.01% 6.84% 6.02% Annual OpeningsGrowth 18 15 12 38 134 142 8 5.97% 4 3 7 4,000 4,236 236 5.90% 118 192 310 328 401 213 2,370 347 424 225 2,493 19 23 12 123 5.79% 5.74% 5.63% 5.19% 10 12 6 62 2 5 4 13 12 17 10 75 Net Growth Percent Growth 51 52 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 35-3021 41-2031 35-3031 43-4051 53-7062 43-5081 43-9061 37-2011 29-1141 SOC Title Cashiers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Waiters and Waitresses Customer Service Representatives Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Stock Clerks and Order Fillers Office Clerks, General Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Registered Nurses 2014 Estimated Employment 5,365 2016 Projected Employment 5,559 194 3.62% Annual OpeningsGrowth 97 4,000 4,236 236 5.90% 118 192 310 5,459 3,194 3,244 3,006 3,440 3,661 5,574 3,325 3,385 3,102 3,485 3,727 115 131 141 96 45 66 2.11% 4.10% 4.35% 3.19% 1.31% 1.80% 58 66 70 48 22 33 201 166 85 96 110 76 259 232 155 144 132 109 3,098 3,202 104 3.36% 52 52 104 2,654 2,732 78 2.94% 39 45 84 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacements Annual OpeningsTotal 332 224 883 868 136 -17 -15 -13 -10 -9 -4.87% -6.28% -1.45% -1.14% -6.21% 0 0 0 0 0 9 2 47 16 2 9 2 47 16 2 Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsReplacements 288 Annual OpeningsTotal 385 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 43-4151 51-9196 43-3071 51-9198 51-9032 SOC Title 2014 Estimated Employment Order Clerks Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Tellers Helpers--Production Workers Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 349 239 896 878 145 Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 4) SOC Code 51-9196 51-9032 43-4151 43-4071 43-9011 SOC Title Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Order Clerks File Clerks Computer Operators 2014 Estimated Employment 239 2016 Projected Employment 224 145 349 89 120 -6.28% Annual OpeningsGrowth 0 Annual OpeningsReplacements 2 Annual OpeningsTotal 2 -9 -6.21% 0 2 2 -17 -4 -5 -4.87% -4.49% -4.17% 0 0 0 9 2 2 9 2 2 Net Growth Percent Growth -15 136 332 85 115 City of Little Rock The City of Little Rock WIA has numerous attractions and resources for people to enjoy. There are a number of museums in the Area, including the Arkansas Arts Center, which houses art galleries, a Children’s Theater, and other attractions related to the arts. As Arkansas’ largest airport, the Bill and Hillary Clinton National Airport transports over two million passengers in and out of the city each year. Central High School is considered one of Arkansas' most important historical landmarks. In 1957, the school was brought to national attention in one of the earliest school desegregation struggles in the modern civil rights movement. With the addition of the Clinton Presidential Library and the revitalization of the River Market District, the downtown area has become a tourist destination for the State and Area. In addition, if you like biking or walking, three pedestrian/biking bridges may fit your style: the Junction Bridge, the Big Dam Bridge, and the Two Rivers Bridge. The Area is also home to the American Taekwondo Association, which has more than 300,000 active members worldwide and hosts its World Championships annually. The City of Little Rock WIA is a center for government operations, serving as the county seat of Pulaski County as well as the state’s capital. The WIA is recognized as part of the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway Metropolitan Statistical Area. Three four-year colleges are located in the Area: one public university, the University of Arkansas at Little Rock; and three private colleges, Arkansas Baptist College, Philander Smith College, and Remington College. It is also home to the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences and the UALR William H. Bowen School of Law, one of two law schools in the state. A campus of Pulaski Tech is also located not far from the Pulaski/Saline County line. This amounts to a wealth of educational opportunities for the citizens of Arkansas, especially in the central part of the state. The City of Little Rock WIA is expected to grow by 4,374 jobs by 2016, or an increase of 2.37 percent. Goods-Producing industries are projected to experience a net gain of 269 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 3,995. Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers is expected to experience a gain of 110 jobs. Professional and Business Services is estimated to be the top growing supersector in the City of Little Rock WIA adding an anticipated 979 new jobs. At 4.89 percent, Leisure and Hospitality is projected to be the fastest growing supersector. Food Services and Drinking Places is estimated to gain 520 new jobs between 2014 and 2016. Machinery Manufacturing is expected to be the fastest growing industry with a gain of 18.32 percent. On the negative side of the economy, Hospitals in the City of Little Rock WIA could lose 114 jobs making it the top declining industry, while Wood Product Manufacturing could be the fastest declining industry with a rate of 18.25 percent. Area employers are expected to have 6,449 annual openings during the projection period. Of these, 4,169 would be for replacement and 2,280 for growth and expansion. Office and Administrative Support Occupations is projected to be the top growing major group with 567 new jobs, while Personal Care and Service Occupations is estimated to be the fastest growing major group with a gain of 5.52 percent. Retail Salespersons, of the Sales and Related Occupations major group, is anticipated to be the top growing occupation with 212 new jobs and have the most annual openings with 300, while Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic could be the fastest growing occupation at a growth of 15.79 percent. On the negative side of the economy, Data Entry Keyers is forecasted to lose the most jobs with 19 job losses anticipated, while Computer Operators could lose 6.93 percent of its workforce, making it the fastest declining occupation in the City of Little Rock WIA. 53 54 City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 184,677 10,680 10,569 111 11,583 394 4,037 7,152 2,400 4,752 162,414 27,447 6,641 14,836 4,311 1,659 5,366 13,814 11,252 2,562 23,518 10,096 3,246 10,176 47,734 12,718 35,016 14,324 1,485 12,839 6,957 23,254 2016 Projected Employment 189,051 10,790 10,679 111 11,852 387 4,142 7,323 2,401 4,922 166,409 28,154 6,704 15,386 4,372 1,692 5,493 14,109 11,471 2,638 24,497 10,491 3,433 10,573 48,666 12,695 35,971 15,024 1,628 13,396 7,038 23,428 Net Growth Percent Growth 4,374 110 110 0 269 -7 105 171 1 170 3,995 707 63 550 61 33 127 295 219 76 979 395 187 397 932 -23 955 700 143 557 81 174 2.37% 1.03% 1.04% 0.00% 2.32% -1.78% 2.60% 2.39% 0.04% 3.58% 2.46% 2.58% 0.95% 3.71% 1.41% 1.99% 2.37% 2.14% 1.95% 2.97% 4.16% 3.91% 5.76% 3.90% 1.95% -0.18% 2.73% 4.89% 9.63% 4.34% 1.16% 0.75% City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 722000 621000 541000 561000 624000 551000 623000 524000 517000 999200 NAICS Title 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment Food Services and Drinking Places Ambulatory Health Care Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Social Assistance Management of Companies and Enterprises Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Insurance Carriers and Related Activities Telecommunications State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 11,094 8,432 10,096 9,814 4,517 3,246 2,538 6,693 3,082 13,177 11,614 8,932 10,491 10,203 4,901 3,433 2,723 6,867 3,244 13,320 520 500 395 389 384 187 185 174 162 143 4.69% 5.93% 3.91% 3.96% 8.50% 5.76% 7.29% 2.60% 5.26% 1.09% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 333000 442000 713000 454000 453000 624000 451000 623000 811000 444000 Machinery Manufacturing Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries Nonstore Retailers Miscellaneous Store Retailers Social Assistance Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Repair and Maintenance Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 737 662 1,115 103 1,092 4,517 830 2,538 1,094 792 872 766 1,243 112 1,185 4,901 891 2,723 1,168 842 135 104 128 9 93 384 61 185 74 50 18.32% 15.71% 11.48% 8.74% 8.52% 8.50% 7.35% 7.29% 6.76% 6.31% 55 56 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 622000 424000 999100 321000 611000 Hospitals Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Wood Product Manufacturing Educational Services 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 19,529 1,902 3,860 126 12,718 19,415 1,843 3,822 103 12,695 -114 -59 -38 -23 -23 Percent Growth -0.58% -3.10% -0.98% -18.25% -0.18% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 321000 493000 443000 326000 237000 Wood Product Manufacturing Warehousing and Storage Electronics and Appliance Stores Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 126 115 395 523 574 103 108 374 504 555 -23 -7 -21 -19 -19 Percent Growth -18.25% -6.09% -5.32% -3.63% -3.31% City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code SOC Title 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 184,677 11,696 10,537 5,800 2,191 1,817 4,200 2,711 9,924 2,887 17,417 5,188 4,012 12,870 6,838 5,450 18,520 33,940 193 4,861 7,231 6,829 9,565 189,051 11,943 10,758 6,033 2,244 1,851 4,239 2,769 10,010 2,910 17,705 5,422 4,069 13,404 7,000 5,751 19,068 34,507 193 4,963 7,427 7,014 9,771 4,374 247 221 233 53 34 39 58 86 23 288 234 57 534 162 301 548 567 0 102 196 185 206 2.37% 2.11% 2.10% 4.02% 2.42% 1.87% 0.93% 2.14% 0.87% 0.80% 1.65% 4.51% 1.42% 4.15% 2.37% 5.52% 2.96% 1.67% 0.00% 2.10% 2.71% 2.71% 2.15% 2,280 125 112 116 28 17 20 29 52 18 150 119 29 267 81 152 278 323 1 53 98 106 106 4,169 214 202 92 46 54 88 40 190 61 320 90 99 542 130 106 569 716 5 82 162 138 226 6,449 339 314 208 74 71 108 69 242 79 470 209 128 809 211 258 847 1,039 6 135 260 244 332 57 58 City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 41-2031 43-4051 39-9021 35-3021 35-3031 41-2011 11-1021 31-1014 41-3021 43-1011 SOC Title Retail Salespersons Customer Service Representatives Personal Care Aides Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Waiters and Waitresses Cashiers General and Operations Managers Nursing Assistants Insurance Sales Agents First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 5,291 5,414 2,014 5,503 5,624 2,218 212 210 204 4.01% 3.88% 10.13% 106 105 102 194 142 11 300 247 113 2,829 2,661 2,870 2,761 2,196 2,551 2,983 2,768 2,961 2,850 2,283 2,628 154 107 91 89 87 77 5.44% 4.02% 3.17% 3.22% 3.96% 3.02% 77 54 46 44 44 38 136 138 154 44 38 58 213 192 200 88 82 96 2,856 2,926 70 2.45% 35 66 101 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 51-4033 29-9091 39-9021 39-9031 49-9041 39-3091 29-2081 31-2021 13-1161 17-2072 SOC Title Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Athletic Trainers Personal Care Aides Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors Industrial Machinery Mechanics Amusement and Recreation Attendants Opticians, Dispensing Physical Therapist Assistants Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 76 88 12 15.79% 6 2 8 91 2,014 209 251 164 70 142 454 80 101 2,218 228 273 178 75 152 485 85 10 204 19 22 14 5 10 31 5 10.99% 10.13% 9.09% 8.76% 8.54% 7.14% 7.04% 6.83% 6.25% 5 102 10 11 7 2 5 16 2 2 11 2 7 10 2 3 6 2 7 113 12 18 17 4 8 22 4 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2031 43-4051 35-3021 41-2011 35-3031 29-1141 43-9061 53-7062 39-9021 43-1011 SOC Title 2014 Estimated Employment Retail Salespersons Customer Service Representatives Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Waiters and Waitresses Registered Nurses Office Clerks, General Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Personal Care Aides First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 5,291 5,414 5,503 5,624 212 210 4.01% 3.88% 106 105 194 142 300 247 2,829 2,983 154 5.44% 77 136 213 2,870 2,661 6,427 4,655 2,961 2,768 6,476 4,703 91 107 49 48 3.17% 4.02% 0.76% 1.03% 46 54 24 24 154 138 109 96 200 192 133 120 2,700 2,766 66 2.44% 33 86 119 2,014 2,218 204 10.13% 102 11 113 2,856 2,926 70 2.45% 35 66 101 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth 375 356 -19 -5.07% 0 5 5 1,049 1,039 -10 -0.95% 0 12 12 1,055 1,048 -7 -0.66% 0 29 29 204 101 197 94 -7 -7 -3.43% -6.93% 0 0 2 1 2 1 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 43-9021 43-6011 25-2031 29-2053 43-9011 SOC Title Data Entry Keyers Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education Psychiatric Technicians Computer Operators 2014 Estimated Employment Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 43-9011 43-9021 29-2053 43-2011 41-3011 SOC Title Computer Operators Data Entry Keyers Psychiatric Technicians Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Advertising Sales Agents 2014 Estimated Employment 101 375 204 250 327 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth 94 356 197 244 321 -7 -19 -7 -6 -6 -6.93% -5.07% -3.43% -2.40% -1.83% 0 0 0 0 0 Annual OpeningsReplacement 1 5 2 4 10 Annual OpeningsTotal 1 5 2 4 10 59 60 Eastern Arkansas The Eastern Arkansas WIA is home to several national historic landmarks and interesting facts. The Parkin Archeological Park, in Parkin, is a former American Indian village that some scholars believe was the village Casqui, which was visited during the expedition of Hernando De Soto in 1541. In addition, on the border of Lee and Phillips Counties, a granite monument marks the initial site for the East/West baseline of the 1815 survey of the Louisiana Purchase. Village Creek State Park, located in the Crowley’s Ridge area, is known for its fishing, hiking trails, and lush scenery. The King Biscuit Time radio show, the longest running daily radio show in the nation, has broadcast blues music for over 60 years on KFFA in Helena. The Eastern Arkansas WIA consists of five counties: Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, and St. Francis. With Tennessee bordering this Area to the east, Crittenden County makes up a portion of the Memphis Metropolitan Statistical Area, the forty-first largest in population in the United States according to the Census Bureau. Although there are no four-year colleges in the Area, several two-year institutions offer a variety of programs. Crowley’s Ridge Technical Institute and East Arkansas Community College are in Forrest City, Phillips County Community College of the University of Arkansas System is in Helena, and Mid-South Community College is in West Memphis. The Eastern Arkansas WIA is expected to experience a net growth of 824 jobs by 2016. Goods-Producing industries are projected to experience a net gain of 166 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 517. Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers are predicted to gain 141 jobs during the projection period. Professional and Business Services is anticipated to be the top and fastest growing major group with a gain of 235 and a 10.16 percent increase in employment. Social Assistance, of the Education and Health Services supersector, is predicted to be the top growing industry adding 280 new jobs, while Waste Management and Remediation Services, of the Professional and Business Services supersector, is anticipated to increase by 67.07 percent, making it the fastest growing industry. On the negative side of the economy, Hospitals is projected to be the top and fastest declining industry with an anticipated loss of 381 jobs, or 39.28 percent of its workforce. The Eastern Arkansas WIA is expected to have 1,591 annual job openings during the projection period with 967 being for replacement and the remaining 624 for growth and expansion. Personal Care and Service Occupations is projected to be the top and fastest growing major group with a net gain of 207 jobs, an increase of 9.24 percent. Driving this growth is Personal Care Aides, which is expected to gain 136 jobs, or increase employment by 11.81 percent between 2014 and 2016. On the negative side of the economy, Registered Nurses is estimated to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 106, while Respiratory Therapists could see a loss of 38.10 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining occupation. Overall, the Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations major group is predicted to lose 167 net jobs, a drop of 8.95 percent of its Area workforce. Cashiers is estimated to have 100 annual job openings leading all occupations in the Area. Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 41,856 3,931 3,903 28 5,452 1,043 1,165 3,244 1,841 1,403 32,473 9,216 1,964 4,706 2,334 212 211 1,273 754 519 2,314 537 187 1,590 10,669 4,688 5,981 3,332 576 2,756 1,099 4,359 2016 Projected Employment 42,680 4,072 4,044 28 5,618 1,042 1,197 3,379 1,961 1,418 32,990 9,357 2,054 4,858 2,243 202 216 1,224 700 524 2,549 553 198 1,798 10,618 4,667 5,951 3,512 656 2,856 1,094 4,420 Net Growth Percent Growth 824 141 141 0 166 -1 32 135 120 15 517 141 90 152 -91 -10 5 -49 -54 5 235 16 11 208 -51 -21 -30 180 80 100 -5 61 1.97% 3.59% 3.61% 0.00% 3.04% -0.10% 2.75% 4.16% 6.52% 1.07% 1.59% 1.53% 4.58% 3.23% -3.90% -4.72% 2.37% -3.85% -7.16% 0.96% 10.16% 2.98% 5.88% 13.08% -0.48% -0.45% -0.50% 5.40% 13.89% 3.63% -0.45% 1.40% 61 62 Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 624000 561000 722000 311000 452000 621000 424000 562000 325000 236000 999300 Social Assistance Administrative and Support Services Food Services and Drinking Places Food Manufacturing General Merchandise Stores Ambulatory Health Care Services Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods Waste Management and Remediation Service Chemical Manufacturing Construction of Buildings Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 2,374 1,508 2,378 660 1,427 1,529 1,046 82 378 611 1,830 2,654 1,661 2,499 737 1,503 1,605 1,114 137 432 649 1,868 280 153 121 77 76 76 68 55 54 38 38 11.79% 10.15% 5.09% 11.67% 5.33% 4.97% 6.50% 67.07% 14.29% 6.22% 2.08% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Growth of 5) NAICS Code 562000 325000 624000 311000 327000 561000 517000 424000 236000 333000 NAICS Title Waste Management and Remediation Service Chemical Manufacturing Social Assistance Food Manufacturing Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Administrative and Support Services Telecommunications Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods Construction of Buildings Machinery Manufacturing 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 82 378 2,374 660 107 1,508 70 1,046 611 238 137 432 2,654 737 118 1,661 75 1,114 649 252 55 54 280 77 11 153 5 68 38 14 67.07% 14.29% 11.79% 11.67% 10.28% 10.15% 7.14% 6.50% 6.22% 5.88% Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 622000 484000 493000 524000 611000 721000 NAICS Title Hospitals Truck Transportation Warehousing and Storage Insurance Carriers and Related Activities Educational Services Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 970 1,005 666 150 4,688 378 589 927 629 115 4,667 357 -381 -78 -37 -35 -21 -21 -39.28% -7.76% -5.56% -23.33% -0.45% -5.56% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code 622000 454000 524000 321000 448000 NAICS Title Hospitals Nonstore Retailers Insurance Carriers and Related Activities Wood Product Manufacturing Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 970 24 150 81 127 589 17 115 65 113 -381 -7 -35 -16 -14 -39.28% -29.17% -23.33% -19.75% -11.02% 63 64 Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 41,856 3,742 602 102 168 163 810 218 3,276 237 1,865 1,519 1,436 3,109 1,600 2,240 4,126 5,506 646 1,353 2,002 2,852 4,284 42,680 3,831 606 102 171 166 827 221 3,288 243 1,698 1,564 1,472 3,221 1,650 2,447 4,244 5,530 644 1,413 2,033 2,939 4,370 824 89 4 0 3 3 17 3 12 6 -167 45 36 112 50 207 118 24 -2 60 31 87 86 1.97% 2.38% 0.66% 0.00% 1.79% 1.84% 2.10% 1.38% 0.37% 2.53% -8.95% 2.96% 2.51% 3.60% 3.13% 9.24% 2.86% 0.44% -0.31% 4.43% 1.55% 3.05% 2.01% 624 53 4 0 3 2 12 2 10 3 6 32 18 58 25 104 70 42 1 32 25 70 50 967 62 11 2 3 4 17 3 68 5 34 27 40 114 30 34 149 128 20 22 44 54 96 1,591 115 15 2 6 6 29 5 78 8 40 59 58 172 55 138 219 170 21 54 69 124 146 Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 39-9021 11-9013 31-1011 41-2011 35-3021 53-7062 51-2092 37-2012 39-9011 41-1011 SOC Title Personal Care Aides Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Home Health Aides Cashiers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Team Assemblers Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Childcare Workers First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,152 2,087 628 1,410 1,288 2,155 688 1,458 136 68 60 48 11.81% 3.26% 9.55% 3.40% 68 34 30 24 6 33 11 76 74 67 41 100 730 770 40 5.48% 20 35 55 1,140 356 643 545 770 1,180 394 675 576 798 40 38 32 31 28 3.51% 10.67% 4.98% 5.69% 3.64% 20 19 16 16 14 36 6 12 16 16 56 25 28 32 30 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 39-9021 51-2092 31-1011 33-9032 49-9041 47-2031 51-9011 53-7081 21-1093 47-2061 SOC Title Personal Care Aides Team Assemblers Home Health Aides Security Guards Industrial Machinery Mechanics Carpenters Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors Social and Human Service Assistants Construction Laborers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,152 356 628 109 173 156 68 96 156 338 1,288 394 688 118 187 168 73 103 167 361 136 38 60 9 14 12 5 7 11 23 11.81% 10.67% 9.55% 8.26% 8.09% 7.69% 7.35% 7.29% 7.05% 6.80% 68 19 30 4 7 6 2 4 6 12 6 6 11 2 5 2 2 2 4 7 74 25 41 6 12 8 4 6 10 19 65 66 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 39-9021 11-9013 53-7062 35-3021 41-2031 31-1011 35-3031 39-9011 41-1011 SOC Title Cashiers Personal Care Aides Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Home Health Aides Waiters and Waitresses Childcare Workers First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,410 1,152 2,087 1,140 1,458 1,288 2,155 1,180 48 136 68 40 3.40% 11.81% 3.26% 3.51% 24 68 34 20 76 6 33 36 100 74 67 56 730 770 40 5.48% 20 35 55 848 628 568 545 770 875 688 590 576 798 27 60 22 31 28 3.18% 9.55% 3.87% 5.69% 3.64% 14 30 11 16 14 31 11 30 16 16 45 41 41 32 30 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 623 88 47 365 227 517 71 33 353 216 -106 -17 -14 -12 -11 -17.01% -19.32% -29.79% -3.29% -4.85% 0 0 0 0 0 10 2 0 8 4 10 2 0 8 4 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 29-1141 41-3021 29-2034 29-2061 49-3031 SOC Title Registered Nurses Insurance Sales Agents Radiologic Technologists Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 29-1126 29-2011 43-3011 29-2034 29-2071 SOC Title Respiratory Therapists Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists Bill and Account Collectors Radiologic Technologists Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 21 20 33 47 40 13 13 23 33 32 -8 -7 -10 -14 -8 -38.10% -35.00% -30.30% -29.79% -20.00% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 Southwest Arkansas The Southwest Arkansas WIA contains some of the finest attractions in Arkansas. The Arkansas Museum of Natural Resources in Smackover revisits the industrial and social history associated with the oil boom of the 1920s. The South Arkansas Arboretum State Park in El Dorado preserves exotic plants and flowering species native to the West Gulf Coastal Plain region of the United States, while the City of Hope, the center for watermelon production in Arkansas, was ranked 14th in the nation in total poundage in 2013. The area is known for producing large watermelons, with a 268.8-pound watermelon recorded in 2005 and certified by the Guinness Book of World Records in 2006. The Southwest Arkansas WIA is the largest Workforce Area in the state in terms of the number of counties represented. Twelve counties are located within this region: Calhoun, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada, Ouachita, Sevier, and Union. Three states border the Area: Oklahoma to the west, Texas to the southwest, and Louisiana to the south. Miller County is part of the Texarkana AR/TX Metropolitan Statistical Area. Several educational opportunities are available in the Southwest Arkansas WIA. Southern Arkansas University in Magnolia is the only four-year college, while Cossatot Community College, University of Arkansas Community College at Hope, South Arkansas Community College, and Southern Arkansas University-Tech are all two-year colleges located in the Area. Employment in the Southwest Arkansas WIA is projected to increase by 318, or a 0.35 percent growth rate. Goods-Producing industries are predicted to gain 76 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are estimated to experience a net growth of 640 jobs. The Area is expected, however, to lose 398 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers. The Trade, Transportation, and Utilities supersector is projected to increase employment by 413 making it the top growing supersector in the Southwest Arkansas WIA. Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers is estimated to be the fastest growing industry raising employment by 31.80 percent. Leisure and Hospitality is expected to be the fastest growing supersector growing by 4.41 percent. Driving this growth is Food Services and Drinking Places with an anticipated gain of 203 new jobs. Paper Manufacturing is anticipated to decline by 103 jobs, making it the top declining industry, while Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing could lose 13.98 percent of its workforce between 2014 and 2016. Between 2014 and 2016, Southwest Arkansas WIA employers are estimated to have 2,547 job openings annually. Of these, 80% of the job openings, or 2,036, would be for replacement. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations is projected to be the top and fastest growing major group, adding 190 new jobs, or an increase of 3.51 percent. Leading the area in net growth is Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food with a gain of 62. Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters is expected to be the fastest growing occupation with a 10.29 percent rise in employment. On the negative side of the economy, the Management Occupations major group is predicted to experience a net loss of 215 jobs. Driving this decline is Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, which is expected to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 225. Roustabouts, Oil and Gas could lose 12.66 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining occupation. Cashiers leads the Area in the number of annual openings with 155 anticipated between 2014 and 2016. 67 68 Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 90,039 9,733 9,677 56 24,719 2,354 1,379 975 3,564 18,801 10,452 8,349 55,587 15,869 2,495 8,915 3,931 528 442 2,663 1,897 766 3,755 1,109 593 2,053 18,085 8,630 9,455 5,285 336 4,949 3,188 6,300 2016 Projected Employment 90,357 9,335 9,282 53 24,795 2,292 1,387 905 3,701 18,802 10,379 8,423 56,227 16,282 2,681 9,144 3,947 510 416 2,677 1,882 795 3,825 1,106 618 2,101 17,992 8,666 9,326 5,518 355 5,163 3,161 6,356 Net Growth Percent Growth 318 -398 -395 -3 76 -62 8 -70 137 1 -73 74 640 413 186 229 16 -18 -26 14 -15 29 70 -3 25 48 -93 36 -129 233 19 214 -27 56 0.35% -4.09% -4.08% -5.36% 0.31% -2.63% 0.58% -7.18% 3.84% 0.01% -0.70% 0.89% 1.15% 2.60% 7.45% 2.57% 0.41% -3.41% -5.88% 0.53% -0.79% 3.79% 1.86% -0.27% 4.22% 2.34% -0.51% 0.42% -1.36% 4.41% 5.65% 4.32% -0.85% 0.89% Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 722000 236000 452000 424000 562000 425000 321000 999300 332000 447000 NAICS Title 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment Food Services and Drinking Places Construction of Buildings General Merchandise Stores Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods Waste Management and Remediation Service Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers Wood Product Manufacturing Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Gasoline Stations 4,304 962 2,776 1,132 484 217 2,280 3,372 2,862 1,446 4,507 1,097 2,890 1,245 582 286 2,336 3,425 2,914 1,490 203 135 114 113 98 69 56 53 52 44 4.72% 14.03% 4.11% 9.98% 20.25% 31.80% 2.46% 1.57% 1.82% 3.04% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Growth of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 425000 562000 236000 488000 454000 492000 424000 451000 713000 444000 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers Waste Management and Remediation Service Construction of Buildings Support Activities for Transportation Nonstore Retailers Couriers and Messengers Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 217 484 962 149 117 198 1,132 149 298 697 286 582 1,097 166 130 220 1,245 162 315 733 69 98 135 17 13 22 113 13 17 36 31.80% 20.25% 14.03% 11.41% 11.11% 11.11% 9.98% 8.72% 5.70% 5.16% 69 70 Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 322000 624000 213000 622000 561000 NAICS Title Paper Manufacturing Social Assistance Support Activities for Mining Hospitals Administrative and Support Services 2014 2016 Estimated Projected Employment Employment 1,440 2,146 604 1,767 1,569 1,337 2,063 530 1,701 1,519 Net Growth Percent Growth -103 -83 -74 -66 -50 -7.15% -3.87% -12.25% -3.74% -3.19% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 334000 517000 213000 999100 237000 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing Telecommunications Support Activities for Mining Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 93 140 604 280 475 80 122 530 248 441 -13 -18 -74 -32 -34 -13.98% -12.86% -12.25% -11.43% -7.16% Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 90,039 9,557 1,881 421 1,048 450 1,752 258 5,365 701 3,684 2,666 1,331 5,406 2,585 2,612 7,138 11,231 902 4,861 4,386 12,729 9,075 90,357 9,342 1,877 418 1,056 455 1,739 257 5,376 699 3,681 2,666 1,356 5,596 2,570 2,565 7,318 11,249 892 4,943 4,421 12,736 9,145 318 -215 -4 -3 8 5 -13 -1 11 -2 -3 0 25 190 -15 -47 180 18 -10 82 35 7 70 0.35% -2.25% -0.21% -0.71% 0.76% 1.11% -0.74% -0.39% 0.21% -0.29% -0.08% 0.00% 1.88% 3.51% -0.58% -1.80% 2.52% 0.16% -1.11% 1.69% 0.80% 0.05% 0.77% 511 14 11 2 8 4 1 0 16 3 11 6 13 98 0 2 94 39 2 64 26 42 56 2,036 160 36 6 26 12 38 4 108 16 68 47 37 197 49 50 257 260 22 84 96 271 194 2,547 174 47 8 34 16 39 4 124 19 79 53 50 295 49 52 351 299 24 148 122 313 250 71 72 Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 35-3021 41-2011 41-4012 41-2031 35-3031 35-2014 53-3033 35-2011 47-2152 53-3031 SOC Title Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Cashiers Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products Retail Salespersons Waiters and Waitresses Cooks, Restaurant Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers Cooks, Fast Food Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Driver/Sales Workers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,152 1,214 62 5.38% 31 55 86 2,343 2,401 58 2.48% 29 126 155 735 787 52 7.07% 26 14 40 1,849 825 452 535 920 400 331 1,894 859 479 562 945 420 350 45 34 27 27 25 20 19 2.43% 4.12% 5.97% 5.05% 2.72% 5.00% 5.74% 22 17 14 14 12 10 10 68 43 9 8 18 5 5 90 60 23 22 30 15 15 Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 47-3015 47-2051 41-4012 53-1031 19-2031 35-2014 53-3031 35-3021 53-3033 47-2152 SOC Title Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators Chemists Cooks, Restaurant Driver/Sales Workers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 68 68 75 74 7 6 10.29% 8.82% 4 3 2 1 6 4 735 787 52 7.07% 26 14 40 175 186 11 6.29% 6 4 10 82 452 331 87 479 350 5 27 19 6.10% 5.97% 5.74% 2 14 10 2 9 5 4 23 15 1,152 1,214 62 5.38% 31 55 86 535 400 562 420 27 20 5.05% 5.00% 14 10 8 5 22 15 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings SOC Code 41-2011 11-9013 41-2031 35-3021 35-3031 53-7062 53-3032 43-9061 SOC Title Cashiers Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Retail Salespersons Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Waiters and Waitresses Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Office Clerks, General 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth 2,343 5,789 1,849 2,401 5,564 1,894 58 -225 45 2.48% -3.89% 2.43% 1,152 1,214 62 825 1,603 3,395 2,001 859 1,617 3,401 1,987 Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 29 0 22 126 92 68 155 92 90 5.38% 31 55 86 34 14 6 -14 4.12% 0.87% 0.18% -0.70% 17 7 3 0 43 51 52 41 60 58 55 41 41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 735 787 52 7.07% 26 14 40 43-3071 Tellers 701 693 -8 -1.14% 0 36 36 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 11-9013 39-9011 47-5071 43-9061 29-1141 SOC Title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Childcare Workers Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Office Clerks, General Registered Nurses 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 5,789 802 158 2,001 1,043 5,564 767 138 1,987 1,030 -225 -35 -20 -14 -13 -3.89% -4.36% -12.66% -0.70% -1.25% 0 0 0 0 0 92 24 4 41 18 92 24 4 41 18 Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 47-5071 49-9052 47-5013 51-9196 51-5112 SOC Title Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Printing Press Operators 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 158 48 92 66 96 138 43 85 61 91 -20 -5 -7 -5 -5 -12.66% -10.42% -7.61% -7.58% -5.21% 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 4 0 2 4 1 4 0 2 73 74 Southeast Arkansas Several attractions can be found in the Southeast Arkansas WIA. In Gillett, the Arkansas Post Museum, the first capital of the Arkansas Territory, explores the history of and life on the Grand Prairie and the Delta. Lake Chicot, near Lake Village, is Arkansas’ largest natural lake and the largest natural oxbow lake in the nation, offering excellent fishing opportunities. The Arkansas River flows into the Mississippi River near Arkansas City, while Stuttgart is home to the World Championship Duck Calling Contest each fall. The Southeast Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Grant, Jefferson, and Lincoln. Two states border the Southeast Arkansas WIA, Louisiana to the south and Mississippi to the east; and the Pine Bluff Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in this Area. Two campuses of the University of Arkansas system are in the Area, one in Pine Bluff, and the other in Monticello. Southeast Arkansas College, a two-year institution, is also located in Pine Bluff. Two campuses of Phillips County Community College, affiliated with the University of Arkansas System, are located in the Arkansas County cities of Stuttgart and DeWitt. This gives students a variety of choices for their academic studies. The Southeast Arkansas WIA is expected to lose 471 jobs between 2014 and 2016. Goods-Producing industries are projected to lose 247 net jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to experience a net loss of 243. The Area is predicted to experience a net gain of 19 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers. Leisure and Hospitality is projected to be the top supersector in both net and percent growth with 184 new jobs between 2014 and 2016, an increase of 4.28 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is estimated to be the top growing industry in the Southeast Arkansas WIA with a growth of 165, while Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores is predicted to increase employment by 8.96 percent making it the fastest growing industry. Overall, eight of the eleven supersectors in the Southeast Arkansas WIA are forecasted to experience net losses with Education and Health Services anticipating a loss of 218 jobs. Federal Government, Excluding Post Office is estimated to lose 184 jobs making it the top declining industry, while Utilities is estimated to lose 15.42 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining industry. Southeast Arkansas WIA employment is expected to decrease by 0.59 percent by 2016. There are 2,044 job openings projected to be available annually between 2014 and 2016. Of these, 252 would be for growth and expansion, while 1,792 would be for replacement. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations is projected to be the top and fastest growing major group gaining 143 jobs during the projection period, an increase of 3 percent. Driving this growth is Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food with a gain of 77 jobs making it the top growing occupation. Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians is estimated to be the fastest growing occupation adding 8.85 percent to its workforce. The Production Occupations major group is anticipated to lose the most jobs, losing 145 between 2014 and 2016, or 1.50 percent of its workforce. The Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations major group could lose 6.18 percent of its workforce. Office Clerks, General is estimated to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 39, while Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters is anticipated to be the fastest declining occupation with a 14.29 percent decline in jobs. Cashiers is estimated to have 113 annual jobs openings, leading the Area in the number of job openings Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Industry Projections by Major Division NAICS Code 000000 000671 006010 007010 101000 101100 110000 210000 101200 101300 102000 102100 420000 440000 480000 220000 102200 102300 520000 530000 102400 540000 550000 560000 102500 610000 620000 102600 710000 720000 102700 102800 NAICS Title Total All Industries Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Self Employed Workers, All Jobs Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs Goods Producing Natural Resources and Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Construction Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing Durable Goods Manufacturing Services Providing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Utilities Information Financial Activities Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional and Business Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Education and Health Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Leisure and Hospitality Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Government) Government 2014 Estimated Employment 80,072 7,555 7,503 52 18,378 2,244 2,197 47 2,010 14,124 8,268 5,856 54,139 13,316 2,056 7,709 2,909 642 349 2,527 1,986 541 2,800 960 354 1,486 19,426 8,454 10,972 4,295 237 4,058 2,229 9,197 2016 Projected Employment 79,601 7,574 7,524 50 18,131 2,252 2,194 58 1,947 13,932 7,997 5,935 53,896 13,276 2,125 7,728 2,880 543 319 2,491 1,950 541 2,905 963 374 1,568 19,208 8,430 10,778 4,479 251 4,228 2,197 9,021 Net Growth Percent Growth -471 19 21 -2 -247 8 -3 11 -63 -192 -271 79 -243 -40 69 19 -29 -99 -30 -36 -36 0 105 3 20 82 -218 -24 -194 184 14 170 -32 -176 -0.59% 0.25% 0.28% -3.85% -1.34% 0.36% -0.14% 23.40% -3.13% -1.36% -3.28% 1.35% -0.45% -0.30% 3.36% 0.25% -1.00% -15.42% -8.60% -1.42% -1.81% 0.00% 3.75% 0.31% 5.65% 5.52% -1.12% -0.28% -1.77% 4.28% 5.91% 4.19% -1.44% -1.91% 75 76 Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Industry Rankings (by NAICS Subsector) Top 10 Growing Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code 722000 321000 452000 561000 423000 333000 999300 332000 326000 424000 NAICS Title 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment Food Services and Drinking Places Wood Product Manufacturing General Merchandise Stores Administrative and Support Services Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods Machinery Manufacturing Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 3,655 1,562 2,227 1,400 900 1,394 2,870 1,101 408 1,039 3,820 1,679 2,308 1,479 953 1,439 2,915 1,141 436 1,067 165 117 81 79 53 45 45 40 28 28 4.51% 7.49% 3.64% 5.64% 5.89% 3.23% 1.57% 3.63% 6.86% 2.69% Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 451000 485000 321000 326000 423000 551000 561000 713000 444000 722000 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation Wood Product Manufacturing Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support Services Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers Food Services and Drinking Places 2014 2016 Net Percent Estimated Projected Growth Growth Employment Employment 201 115 1,562 408 900 354 1,400 212 503 3,655 219 125 1,679 436 953 374 1,479 223 528 3,820 18 10 117 28 53 20 79 11 25 165 8.96% 8.70% 7.49% 6.86% 5.89% 5.65% 5.64% 5.19% 4.97% 4.51% Top 5 Declining Industries (Ranked by Net Growth) NAICS Code NAICS Title 999100 311000 322000 221000 622000 Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Food Manufacturing Paper Manufacturing Utilities Hospitals 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 1,655 3,123 3,633 642 2,749 1,471 2,954 3,533 543 2,667 -184 -169 -100 -99 -82 Percent Growth -11.12% -5.41% -2.75% -15.42% -2.98% Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) NAICS Code NAICS Title 221000 999100 517000 237000 327000 Utilities Federal Government, Excluding Post Office Telecommunications Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 2014 2016 Net Estimated Projected Growth Employment Employment 642 1,655 167 529 183 543 1,471 149 473 164 -99 -184 -18 -56 -19 Percent Growth -15.42% -11.12% -10.78% -10.59% -10.38% 77 78 Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area 2014-2016 Occupational Projections by Major Group SOC Code 00-0000 11-0000 13-0000 15-0000 17-0000 19-0000 21-0000 23-0000 25-0000 27-0000 29-0000 31-0000 33-0000 35-0000 37-0000 39-0000 41-0000 43-0000 45-0000 47-0000 49-0000 51-0000 53-0000 SOC Title Total, All Occupations Management Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Production Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 80,072 7,946 2,024 500 553 696 1,601 345 5,164 552 4,050 3,346 3,001 4,759 1,813 2,600 6,565 10,339 1,667 2,576 4,173 9,679 6,123 79,601 7,936 1,994 488 523 653 1,590 346 5,159 549 3,975 3,310 3,014 4,902 1,823 2,599 6,595 10,207 1,639 2,531 4,132 9,534 6,102 -471 -10 -30 -12 -30 -43 -11 1 -5 -3 -75 -36 13 143 10 -1 30 -132 -28 -45 -41 -145 -21 -0.59% -0.13% -1.48% -2.40% -5.42% -6.18% -0.69% 0.29% -0.10% -0.54% -1.85% -1.08% 0.43% 3.00% 0.55% -0.04% 0.46% -1.28% -1.68% -1.75% -0.98% -1.50% -0.34% 252 8 4 2 1 0 1 1 10 2 1 2 10 76 7 8 34 8 3 8 14 36 16 1,792 134 37 7 12 20 34 5 104 10 76 60 74 176 34 40 236 228 40 44 94 187 139 2,044 142 41 9 13 20 35 6 114 12 77 62 84 252 41 48 270 236 43 52 108 223 155 Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Occupational Rankings Top 10 Growing Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 35-3021 41-2031 35-2011 53-3032 33-9032 35-3031 39-9021 51-7041 11-9013 41-4012 SOC Title Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Cooks, Fast Food Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Security Guards Waiters and Waitresses Personal Care Aides Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,461 1,538 77 5.27% 38 70 108 1,877 761 1,360 592 321 1,389 152 4,751 1,914 779 1,375 606 333 1,401 164 4,762 37 18 15 14 12 12 12 11 1.97% 2.37% 1.10% 2.36% 3.74% 0.86% 7.89% 0.23% 18 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 69 15 20 8 16 8 4 75 87 24 28 15 22 14 10 81 540 551 11 2.04% 6 10 16 Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Net Growth of 5) SOC Code 49-3041 51-7041 35-3021 51-4041 35-3031 35-2011 33-9032 41-4012 41-2031 49-9041 SOC Title Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Machinists Waiters and Waitresses Cooks, Fast Food Security Guards Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products Retail Salespersons Industrial Machinery Mechanics 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 113 152 123 164 10 12 8.85% 7.89% 5 6 3 4 8 10 1,461 1,538 77 5.27% 38 70 108 118 321 761 592 123 333 779 606 5 12 18 14 4.24% 3.74% 2.37% 2.36% 2 6 9 7 2 16 15 8 4 22 24 15 540 551 11 2.04% 6 10 16 1,877 651 1,914 661 37 10 1.97% 1.54% 18 5 69 18 87 23 79 80 Top 10 Occupations by Total Annual Openings (Top 10) SOC Code 41-2011 35-3021 41-2031 11-9013 53-7062 33-3012 43-9061 41-1011 53-3032 43-5081 SOC Title Cashiers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Retail Salespersons Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Correctional Officers and Jailers Office Clerks, General First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 2,107 2,084 -23 -1.09% 0 113 113 1,461 1,538 77 5.27% 38 70 108 1,877 4,751 1,521 1,697 1,850 1,112 1,360 851 1,914 4,762 1,525 1,693 1,811 1,120 1,375 845 37 11 4 -4 -39 8 15 -6 1.97% 0.23% 0.26% -0.24% -2.11% 0.72% 1.10% -0.71% 18 6 2 0 0 4 8 0 69 75 48 44 38 24 20 27 87 81 50 44 38 28 28 27 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 1,850 1,491 2,107 1,114 1,811 1,465 2,084 1,092 -39 -26 -23 -22 -2.11% -1.74% -1.09% -1.97% 0 0 0 0 38 26 113 19 38 26 113 19 420 398 -22 -5.24% 0 4 4 Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) SOC Code 43-9061 31-1014 41-2011 29-1141 51-4031 SOC Title Office Clerks, General Nursing Assistants Cashiers Registered Nurses Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent (%) Growth) (Minimum Decline of 5) SOC Code 51-7011 49-9051 49-2022 19-2031 51-6031 SOC Title Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers Chemists Sewing Machine Operators 2014 Estimated Employment 2016 Projected Employment Net Growth Percent Growth Annual OpeningsGrowth Annual OpeningsReplacement Annual OpeningsTotal 35 109 30 94 -5 -15 -14.29% -13.76% 0 0 0 4 0 4 57 50 -7 -12.28% 0 1 1 115 73 103 66 -12 -7 -10.43% -9.59% 0 0 3 0 3 0