Internet Appendix for “Money Doctors” NICOLA GENNAIOLI, ANDREI SHLEIFER, AND ROBERT VISHNYοͺ We provide proofs of the results in the paper (part I), as well as an alternative formulation of the model with additive utility from financial advice (part II). I. Proofs Proof of Proposition 1: Consider the expressions for ππ΄ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) and ππ΅ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) in equations (8) and (9). For any π ≥ 0, in equilibrium we must have π −ππ΄ π −ππ΅ ∈ [√1 − π, 1 √1−π ], (IA.1) otherwise only one manager makes zero profits. This manager could cut his fee and make some positive profits as well. This condition alone implies that when π = 0, the unique equilibrium features ππ΄∗ = ππ΅∗ = 0. When π > 0, the equilibrium must be inside the above interval and satisfy the manager’s first-order conditions. When ππ΄ ≥ ππ΅ these first-order conditions are ππ΄ : ππ΅ : π −ππ΄ 2 ) π −ππ΅ (π − 2ππ΄ ) β [( (π − 2ππ΅ ) β 1 + 2 [ π −π 2 − (1 − π)] − 2ππ΄ (π −ππ΄ ) = 0, (IA.2) π΅ 1−( π − ππ΄ 4 ) ππ΅ π − ππ΄ 4 π − ππ΅ − ( ) = 0. 4π π π − ππ΅ ] π −π These two equations cannot be jointly satisfied for ππ΄ > ππ΅ . To see this, set π¦ ≡ (π −ππ΄ ) and solve π΅ the above first-order conditions for ππ΄ and ππ΅ as a function of π¦. Next, impose the condition ππ΄ π −π > ππ΅ . This identifies a quadratic equation in π¦ that cannot be satisfied for (π −ππ΄ ) > √1 − π. As a π΅ consequence, the only possible equilibrium featuring ππ΄ ≥ ππ΅ is symmetric, that is, ππ΄∗ = ππ΅∗. It is * Citation format: Gennaioli, Nicola, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny, Internet Appendix for “Money Doctors,” Journal of Finance, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12188. Please note: Wiley-Blackwell is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing material) should be directed to the authors of the article. 1 straightforward to check that in that equilibrium equation (8) of Proposition 1 is met. When ππ΄ ≤ ππ΅ , the same argument shows that ππ΄∗ = ππ΅∗ is the only equilibrium satisfying the above first-order conditions. In this symmetric equilibrium, the second-order conditions are also met (i.e., managers’ objective functions are locally concave). Proof of Corollary 1: Without managers, investors do not obtain any excess return. With π 2+π money managers, each investor invests π₯ = 2ππ (1+π) at expected excess return π under his most trusted manager. With quadratic utility, the aggregate welfare gain is given in Corollary 1. Proof of Lemma 1: Given investment π₯π , the optimal mixture (π₯1,π , π₯2,π ) of assets 1 and 2 solves π 2 2 πππ₯π₯1,π,π₯2,π [π 1 π₯1,π + π 2 π₯2,π ] − 2 [π1 π₯1,π + π2 π₯2,π ], (IA.3) subject to π₯1,π + π₯2,π = π₯π . The first order conditions of the problem are given by π π§ − πππ§ π₯π§,π = π πππ π§ = 1,2, (IA.4) where π is the Lagrange multiplier attached to the constraint π₯1,π + π₯2,π = π₯π . It is easy to see that the above first-order conditions are satisfied at the portfolio of Lemma 1. Proof of Proposition 2: Because investors separately choose the manager to invest in a specific asset and the amount to invest, the profit of each manager j is separable in the two assets and equal to ππ (π1,π΄ , π1,π΅ ) + ππ (π2,π΄ , π2,π΅ ). Managers thus compete in the two assets separately and, for each of the assets, equilibrium fees and investments follow from Proposition 1, yielding equations (13), (14), and (15). Proof of Corollary 2: The equilibrium under investors’ misperception is found by replacing in Proposition 2 the true return of asset z with investors’ expected return. The properties described in Corollary 2 then follow. Proof of Proposition 3: Suppose that there is no trust, that is, π = 0. In this case, Bertrand competition among money managers prevails. Suppose that we are in an equilibrium in which both 2 managers pander at π‘ = 0; formally, ππ΄ = ππ΅ = 1. In this equilibrium, managers make zero profits at t = 0. At t = 1, the manager with higher assessed ability captures the entire market while the other makes zero profits. Consider, for instance, the outcome attained at t = 1 by manager A. When πΜπ΄ > πΜπ΅ , the manager captures the full market. If πΜπ΄ ≤ π 1,π + 2πΜπ΅ , the fee that manager A can charge is restricted by what investors can obtain with manager B. As a result, manager A charges a fee ππ΄ = πΜπ΄ − πΜπ΅ so that investors are just indifferent (but they all invest with A). At this fee, the manager’s profit is proportional to (π 1,π + πΜπ΅ )(πΜπ΄ − πΜπ΅ ). If instead πΜπ΄ > π 1,π + 2πΜπ΅ , manager A is so talented that he can act as a monopolist. As a result, he charges a fee ππ΄ = (π 1,π + πΜπ΄ )/2 and his 2 profit is proportional to (π 1,π + πΜπ΄ ) /4. Thus, when π = 0 the future expected profit of manager A are proportional to πΏππ΄ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) = +∞ πΏβ∫ −∞ Μπ΅ π 1,π +2π [∫ Μπ΅ π (IA.5) (π 1,π + πΜπ΄ )2 ] β(πΜπ΄ , πΜπ΅ |ππ΄ , ππ΅ )ππΜπ΄ ππΜπ΅ , 4 Μπ΅ π 1,π +2π +∞ (π 1,π + πΜπ΅ )(πΜπ΄ − πΜπ΅ ) + ∫ where β(πΜπ΄ , πΜπ΅ |ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) is the π‘ = 0 (normal) distribution of average abilities at t = 1 conditional on managers choosing portfolios ππ for π = A, B at t = 0. Given statistical independence of managerial skills, this distribution is the product of two densities β(πΜπ |ππ ) for π = A, B. We can express the problem of the manager at t = 0 as follows. Denote by ππ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ , ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) the profit of manager j at t = 0 and and by ππ (πΜπ΄ , πΜπ΅ ) the manager’s equilibrium profits at t = 1 when the assessed abilities are (πΜπ΄ , πΜπ΅ ). At t = 0, then, the manager’s optimal strategy solves maxππ,ππ ππ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ , ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) + πΏ β¬ ππ (πΜπ΄ , πΜπ΅ )β(πΜπ΄ |ππ΄ ) β(πΜπ΅ |ππ΅ )ππΜπ΄ ππΜπ΅ . (IA.6) We replace the double integral in the above expression by the expression for ππ΄ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) that we just calculated. Since the current profit of manager A is zero, and his future profit increases in πΜπ΄ , the manager wishes to boost his assessed ability at t = 1 as much as possible. As a result, full pandering is never an equilibrium. By deviating to contrarianism ππ΄ = 0, the manager does not lose any current profit (which is zero anyway), but boosts future profits by moving β(πΜπ΄ |ππ΄ ) to the 3 right. The same argument holds for manager B. As a result, a full pandering equilibrium cannot exist in the absence of trust. Proof of Proposition 4: From equation (1), the static profit of a monopolist manager delivering an expected excess return π π at fee ππ is proportional to ππ β (π π − ππ )/π. For given expected return π , the optimal fee charged by the manager is given by ππ = π π /2. At this optimal fee, the manager’s static profit is equal to π π2 4π . If the manager panders, his clients perceive an expected first period return of π 1,π and a first period risk of (π£ + π). In the second period, pandering generates an expected excess return that is normally distributed with mean π 1,π − (π 1,π − π£ π£π π 1 ) (π£+π) and variance π£+π . The variance of returns perceived by investors as of the second period is instead equal to π 2π£+π . π£+π Note that we assume here that asset class 1 continues to be the overvalued one in the second period, but this assumption does not qualitatively affect our results. The expected discounted payoff obtained by the manager from pandering at t = 0 is then given by 2 π£ π£π 2 [π 1,π − (π 1,π − π 1 ) (π£ + π )] + π£ + π π 1,π +πΏ . 2π£ + π 4 β (π£ + π) 4π π£ + π (πΌπ΄. 7) If instead the manager acts contrarian, his clients perceive an expected first-period return of π 2,π and a first period risk of (π£ + π). In the second period, contrarianism generates an expected excess π£ π£π return that is normally distributed with mean π 1,π + (π 2 − π 2,π ) (π£+π) and variance π£+π (where the term π 1,π comes from the fact that both managers pander at π‘ = 1). The variance of returns perceived by investors as of the second period is instead equal to π 2π£+π . π£+π The expected discounted payoff obtained by the manager from being contrarian at t = 0 is then given by 2 π 2,π 4 β (π£ + π) +πΏ 2 π£ π£π [π 1,π + (π 2 − π 2,π ) (π£ + π )] + π£ + π 2π£ + π 4π π£ + π 4 . (πΌπ΄. 8) The monopolist manager thus prefers to pander than to be contrarian when (πΌπ΄.7) is higher than (πΌπ΄.8), which occurs when 2 2 π 1,π − π 2,π π£(π£ + π) >πΏβ . π£ π(2π£ + π) [(π 2 − π 2,π ) + (π 1,π − π 1 )] [2π 1,π + [(π 2 − π 2,π ) − (π 1,π − π 1 )] (π£ + π )] When, as assumed, both assets are misvalued by the same amount, that is, (π 2 − π 2,π ) = (π 1,π − π 1 ), the above condition becomes as reported in Proposition 4: 2 2 π 1,π − π 2,π [(π 2 − π 2,π ) + (π 1,π − π 1 )]2π 1,π 5 >πΏβ π£(π£ + π) . π(2π£ + π) II. Trust as an Additive Boost to Utility In this setup, managers are rewarded not for helping investors take risk, but more generally for helping them invest. Formally, delegating to the manager acts as an additive boost to the investor’s utility. To see how this works, suppose that investor π delegates to manager π investments π π (π₯π,π , π₯π,π ) in the safe and risky asset, respectively. In addition, the same investor makes safe and π π π π π π risky investments (π₯π,π , π₯π,π ) on his own, where we have that π₯π,π + π₯π,π + π₯π,π + π₯π,π = 1. Then the utility of investor π is given by π π π π ππ (π₯π,π , π₯π,π , π₯π,π , π₯π,π , ππ ) = (IA.9) π π Μ π₯π,π (π π + ππ,π − ππ ) + π₯π,π (π + ππ,π − ππ ) + π π Μ +π₯π,π (π π + ππ,π ) + π₯π,π (π + ππ,π ) 2 π π + π₯π,π (π₯π,π ) − π. 2 Here π Μ is the expected return of the risky asset. Parameter ππ,π ≥ 0 captures the utility boost obtained by the investor when hiring manager π. Parameter ππ,π is the utility obtained by the investor from investing on his own. When ππ,π β« ππ,π for all π and π = A, B, the investor never invests on his own. Consistent with our previous analysis, this is the case we consider here. As in our basic setup, the critical choice for the investor is whether to hire manager A or B. π π π π Formally, in this case we have π₯π,π = π₯π,π = 0 and thus π₯π,π = 1 − π₯π,π . The utility of the investor is then given by π ππ (π₯π,π , ππ ) = (π π + ππ,π − ππ ) + π π₯π,π π − π (π₯π,π ) 2 2 π, (IA.10) where π is (as in our basic setup) the expected excess return of the risky asset. The optimal investment in the risky asset is given by π₯Μπ,π = π /π, and the indirect utility experienced by investor π when delegating to manager π is given by π 2 ππ,π (π₯Μπ,π , ππ ) ≡ π π + 2π + ππ,π − ππ . 6 (IA.11) The investor chooses A over B provided π(π₯Μπ,π΄ , ππ΄ ) ≥ π(π₯Μπ,π΅ , ππ΅ ), which is equivalent to πΜ π ≡ ππ,π΄ − ππ,π΅ ≥ ππ΄ − ππ΅ . (IA.12) Investor π chooses manager A when the extra utility boost he obtains from doing so is larger than the extra fee charged by A. Suppose that πΜ π is distributed in the population of investors according to a cumulative distribution function π»(π). Investors with πΜ π > 0 are A-trusting, while investors with πΜ π < 0 are Btrusting. We assume that this distribution has zero mean (i.e., ∫ πππ»(π) = 0), so that there is no systematic preference for either manager and π»(π) is symmetric around zero. The profits earned by money managers A and B are then given by ππ΄ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) = ππ΄ [1 − π»(ππ΄ − ππ΅ )] (IA.13) ππ΅ (ππ΄ , ππ΅ ) = ππ΅ π»(ππ΄ − ππ΅ ), (IA.14) respectively. Given the assumed symmetry of π»(π), the Nash Equilibrium is symmetric (ππ΄∗ = ππ΅∗ = π ∗) and the equilibrium fee is identified by the first-order condition 1 − π»(0) − π ∗ π» ′ (0) = 0 ⇒ π∗ = (IA.15) 1 , 2π» ′ (0) provided the second-order condition 2π» ′ (0) + [π» ′′ (0)/2π» ′ (0)] > 0 is met. As an example, suppose that π is normally distributed, so that π»(π) is the cumulative distribution function of the normal distribution. We denote the variance of such distribution as πΜ. The mapping with parameter π is clear. The utility drop experienced by the average investor when − switching to his less preferred manager is equal to E(π|π ≥ 0) = π2 Μ +∞ π 2π ∫0 π β Μ √2ππ β ππ, which increases in variance πΜ, as in our main model. The heterogeneity of investors also increases in πΜ. With this normal distribution we have that the second-order condition is satisfied and equilibrium fees are equal to 7 Μ ππ π∗ = √ 2 . (IA.16) In the case in which trust generates an additive utility boost, managers can charge positive fees, and these fees increase in the dispersion πΜ of investors’ trust across the two managers. There are two important differences between this model and ours. First, since the manager is not helping the investor take risk, fees do not reflect a sharing of expected market return, in the sense that π ∗ is independent of the expected return (and thus implicitly of the risk π ∗) of different asset classes. Second, and related, the incentives for money managers to pander are weaker in this model, precisely because money managers cannot charge higher unit fees for placing investors into hot asset classes with higher perceived returns. 8