Kazakhstan and World Order Astana, 26 August 2015 Co-organized by the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies (GCMC) and the Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP) Under the Foundation of the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan The rising tide of the “Asian Century” is exerting a profound influence in shaping new commercial and political connections throughout the Eurasian and Asian region. Incipient infrastructure projects point toward significant improvement in transportation, communication and energy connections throughout Asia and Eurasia. China’s role stands out as particularly important. Kazakh Prime Minister Karim Masimov in March 2015 signed $23 billion worth of trade and infrastructure agreements during his meetings with Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang in Beijing. Chinese President Xi Jinping extended the scope of economic cooperation yet further during his visit with Kazakh counterpart President Nursultan Nazarbayev in Astana in May 2015. Chinese leaders share with Kazakh leaders a vision of a closely linked Eurasia and Asia, connected by a modern infrastructure supporting commercial vitality. China’s proposal —“One Belt, One Road”—is a plan to finance and politically endorse economic development along the ancient “silk road” trading routes between China and Europe. The great bulk of Beijing’s recent overseas lending pledges have been financed through the China Development Bank and the China Ex-Im Bank. Looking ahead, the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has signaled yet a new phase of dynamic transformation throughout Asia, a transformation which draws Kazakhstan and the Central Asian countries toward an eastern-oriented foreign policy posture. The international security implications of these changes in Eurasia are significant. South and Central Asian countries continue to face many daunting security challenges—extremist insurgency, ISIL proselytizing for international violence, illicit trafficking, illegal migration, dispersion of weapons, the nexus of criminal networks and terrorist cults—and at the same time they face more traditional security challenges such as threats to territorial integrity and national sovereignty. International security cooperation in meeting all these challenges will be profoundly influenced by the policies and practices adopted for economic cooperation. Topics of discussion and order of operations: In order to address the international security implication of these changes, scholars and analysts from the Institute for World Economics and Politics will meet with counterparts from the Marshall Center and from the Near East—South Asia Center (NESA) in Astana, Kazakhstan to discuss Kazakhstan’s role in world order. Presentation and discussion sessions are devoted to four categories: Multi-vector policies in a Globalized World International Financial Institutions and World Order Violent Extremism and International Cooperation Technological Change and International Cooperation All the discussions are designed to follow the non-attribution rule. Participants will be encouraged to contribute their personal-professional views on the subjects. Individuals speak for themselves and not on behalf of any agency or state. Wednesday 26 August Event Time 09.00-09.30 Opening Session: Mr. Sagyndyk Nurahanov, Executive Director, the Foundation of the First President of Kazakhstan – the Leader of the Nation Dr. Sven Gareis, Deputy Dean, Marshall Center 09.30-10.45 Session I: Multi-vector policies in a Globalized World Brief presentations by panel members and discussion Dr. Sultan Akimbekov, “Kazakhstan and Multi-Vectoralism” Dr. Sven Gareis, “China Today and Tomorrow” Discussion Location IWEP, Astana 10-15 minutes each 10-15 minutes each 10.45-11.00 Coffee/Tea Break 11.00-12.15 Session II: Multilateral Organizations and World Order Brief presentations by panel members and discussion Dr. Askar Nursha Dr. Luba von Hauff, “Central Asian Security, Multilateral Organizations, and World Order: Towards an ‘Asian Century?” Ms. Brianne Todd Discussion 10-15 minutes each 12.30-14.00 Lunch 14.00-15.15 Session III: Violent Extremism and International Cooperation Brief presentations by panel members and discussion CPT Vitaly Gelfgat, “ISIS, Syria, Iraq and the World” Dr. Evgenii Pastukhov Dr. Alma Sultangaliyeva Discussion 15.15-15.30 Coffee/Tea Break 15.30-16.45 Session IV: Technological Change and International Cooperation Brief presentations by panel members and discussion Dr. Zhumabek Sarabekov Dr. Gregory Gleason, “Cyber Shockwave of Insecurity” 16.45-17.15 Closing Session: Kazakhstan and World Order Dr. Sultan Akimbekov, IWEP Director Dr. Sven Gareis, Deputy Dean, Marshall Center 10-15 minutes each List of Participants Foundation of the First President of Kazakhstan - Leader of the Nation 1. Sagyndyk Nurahanov - Executive Director Institute of World Economics and Politics under the Foundation of the First President - Leader of the Nation (IWEP) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Sultan Akimbekov Alma Sultangalieva Askar Nursha Evgenii Pastukhov Zumabek Sarabekov Andrey Katasonov - Director Advisor to the Director Coordinator, Foreign Policy Research Foreign Policy Expert Foreign Policy Expert Manager Experts sponsored by the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies (GCMC) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Dr. Sven Gareis, Deputy Dean, College of International Security Studies (CISS), GCMC Dr. Gregory Gleason, Director, Central Asia Programs, CISS, GCMC Dr. Luba von Hauff, Associate Fellow, German Council on Foreign Relations Dr. Yang Cheng, Deputy Director, Center for Russian Studies, East China Normal University Ms. Brianne Todd, Associate Professor, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies CPT Vitaly Gelfgat, Presidential Translator and Eurasian Foreign Area Officer, Pentagon GCMC Supporting Staff 1. Mr. Darren Adams, Central Asia Program Planner, GCMC 2. Mr. John D’Amato, Event Coordinator, GCMC US Embassy Astana 1. Maj Scott Christensen, Acting Defense Attaché 2. Bradford Chase Hopewell – Political Officer Library of the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan 1. 2. 3. 4. Timur Shaymergenov, Deputy Director, Academic and Analytical Work Marian Abisheva, Head of Division of National and International Projects Yerzhan Saltybaev, Head of the Division of Geopolitics and Regional Studies Mikhail Mironenko, Head of the Division for Strategic Studies and Forecasting JSC “Institute for military strategic research ” 1. Kozy-Korpesh Karbuzov - President Academy of Public Administration under the President of Kazakhstan 1. Auken Vilmur - Director of the National School of Public Policy Nazarbayev University 1. Richard Castleberry –Director of Business Development and Recruitment