Counting non-Flood Defence Grant in Aid property level investment The National Flood Forum • Registered Charity No. 1121642 A Company Limited By Guarantee • Registered in England & Wales No. 4349401 Registered Office: Old Snuff Mill Warehouse, Park Lane, Bewdley, Worcs DY12 2EL • VAT Registered No: 786 2681 83 NFF Office The National Flood Forum Snuff Mill Warehouse Bewdley Worcestershire DY12 2EL Counting nonFlood Defence Grant in Aid property level investmentRev Amendments Issued to 2012 2013 2013 ision History Revision Ref / Date Issued Draft 1 Final Report Final Summary Report 2013 Contract The project was led by Paul Cobbing (National Flood Forum) and managed through a Project Board consisting of Richard Walker (Environment Agency), David Beuzeval (National Flood Forum) and Robbie Craig (Defra). Work on delivering the project was undertaken by Paul Cobbing, Amanda Davies, Jayne Paget and Chris Wright of the National Flood Forum. This collaborative project was conceived and contracted by Richard Walker (Environment Agency) with Paul Cobbing (national Flood Forum). It was jointly resourced and was delivered via a Project Board that consisted of - ..... . Work on it was undertaken by ..... Prepared by .......................................... Paul Cobbing, BSc, MSc, MCIEEM, CEnv Reviewed by ....................................... David Beuzeval& Richard Walker Purpose This document has been prepared for the Environment Agency. NFF accepts no responsibility or liability for any use that is made of this document other than by the Environment Agency for the purposes for which it was originally commissioned and prepared. NFF has no liability regarding the use of this report except to the Environment Agency contract. 2 Acknowledgement NFF extend their thanks to members of the Steering Group, particularly Richard Walker, Robbie Craig, David Beuzeval and to all those who guided us in formulating and implemented this project. We all like to thanks the dedicated staff and volunteers from the NFF who worked tirelessly to collect and analyse the data as part of this project. Copyright Counting non-Flood Defence Grant in Aid property level investment National Flood Forum 2013 3 Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Introduction 3. Methodology 4. Results 5. Discussion and evaluation 6. Key Findings and recommendations 7. References Appendices 1. List of companies 2. List of companies surveyed 3. Questionnaire for flood product manufacturers and services providers 4 1. Executive Summary The primary commissioning aim of this collaborative research project was to; provide an initial evidenced assessment of the size and rate of growth of the emerging market in the supply of flood risk protection to individual properties. The emphasis is on looking beyond Defra grant-funded property level protection (PLP) programmesand PLP projects supported via Flood Defence Grant in Aid (FDGiA) to evaluate the scale and growth in the wider supply of and demand for PLP products and services. The objectives were to: 1. Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). 2. Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits (from linkage with JBA cost effectiveness study results), essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. 3. Utilise both of the above and combining them, define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. 4. Ensure that techniques and tools developed will be available for ongoing use to measure annually. The starting assumption was that that there were around 50 companies in the PLP supply chain, however, 192 were found within a couple of weeks. A cross-sectional sample of 42 were surveyed via a questionnaire, resulting in an estimated turnover of £32,081,000 per annum in 2011/12, of which £24,776,250 was non-grant aided The conclusion is that in the UK there is a supply side estimated total PLP turnover of£127,655,646 with an estimated, non-grant aided turnover of £89,072 On the demand side, a questionnaire of 16local authorities and water companies revealed that procurement was from a relatively small number of companies due to difficulties in the procurement process, the lack of companies able to deliver a complete service, a lack of time and expertise on the part of the procurers and the availability of certain products. A few companies are highly dependent upon grant aid, but the majority (58%) are not reliant on grant aid at all. 30% of turnover is reliant upon grant aid, indicating that the market has developed significantly in recent years and has the potential to be self-sustaining. The JBA Cost effectiveness study, Defra 2012, Establishing the Cost Effectiveness of Propoerty Flood Protection FD257 identified typical benefit;cost ratios of greater than 1:1 for manually deployed flood resistance measures for flood thresholds of up to 2.5% annual exceedance (1 in 40 years). However these rose to 5.1 for all core property types exposed to flooding with a 10% annual exceedance probability (1:10) threshold. Taken at face value, benefit cost ratios of 5:1 for a reduction of flood risk through the use of manual resistance methods would provide a public benefit of £445,363280 from the estimate of non grant aided spend of £89,072,656, though not all non-grant aided spend is on manual resistance measures and the Cost Effectiveness study focusses on residential property, 5 whereas the spend in this study covers all sectors, residential, business and commercial despite these reservations, it would be reasonable to expect the results to be meaningful as the benefits for residential and business are likely to be similar, as backed by crosscomparison of Cost:Benefit between homes and offices in FD2607. The conclusion is that there is currently a significant private sector, non-FDGiAgrant aided spend of £89,072,656 on flood risk management through individual property level protection that is currently not accounted for in current estimates of flood defence spending. When benefit:cost ratios are taken in to account this produces a range of up to £445,363,280 in annual benefits. The sector is still in its infancy, with strong characteristics of an emerging sector. However, there are signs that it is beginning to mature, with some companies delivering a cradle to grave service, rather than a product, and with a number negotiating linkages with insurance companies. In addition, there are attempts to professionalise the sector through trade associations. Several companies have started to export their services and products, particularly in to Europe, USA and South East Asia. There is very little experience outside of the UK of these products and it would appear that this is a significant opportunity if it can be capitalised on. The Commission of Climate Change has estimated that there are up to 190,000 residential properties in England and Wales that would benefit from Property Level Protection (CCC Adaptation Sub Committee 4th Annual report). Multiplied by the average cost of proptecting a property (£5,000 is the grant aid offered by the Defra and Environment Agency pilot schemes), this equates to a potential market of £950,000,000. This is a huge potential market and does not take account of the potential for non-residential property. Delivering measures on this scale would require a significant increase in capacity and capability in the sector. The likely damage avoidance benefit value to customers (and their insurers, family, communities, shareholders and supply chain customers_ of this approach at the 5:1 ratio estimated in the JBA Cost effectiveness study, Defra 2012, Establishing the Cost Effectiveness of Property Flood Protection FD257 report would be £4,750,000,000. 6 2. Introduction 2.1 Context Property Level Protection (PLP) against flood risk, also sometimes known as property flood protection, or Individual Property Protection, takes two forms – Flood Resistance Measures – actions to reduce the risk of flood water entering a property Flood Resilience Measures – actions to minimise risks, damage and disruption caused if flood water does enter property Property level resistance and resilience measures are not mutually exclusive, in fact they are often complementary, the former reducing the likelihood, the latter reducing the consequence from the residual flood risk. In a similar sense the effectiveness and value of property level protection measures can be significantly enhanced through complementary community resilience measures and even community level FCRM schemes. Types of PLP resistance actions – (list) air brick covers, flood doors and barriers and non-return valves on the drainage system Types of PLP resilience actions -raising electrical circuits It is estimated that in England and Wales –4.15 million homes are at risk of flooding. 2.5 millionproperties are at risk from sea and/or river flooding, while a further 2 million are at risk from surface water (350,000 from both). Considerable progress has been made in recent years through significant capital investment to reduce the significance of fluvial and coastal flood risk to many properties and communities. A greater understanding of the likelihood of flooding to properties from surface water (sometimes combined with water from overflowing drainage and non-critical watercourses) has developed since the Pitt review. 7 However, the more diverse patterns and the extent of surface water flooding to homes and businesses during the summer, and latter months, of 2012 suggest that an increased focus, fresh approaches and targeted investment are required to enable communities to better manage and cope with localised sources of flooding. Both forms of PLP have a significant part to play alongside a range of catchment land management and community approaches to managing and minimising the impact of flooding. Flooding causes huge damage every year. The ABI estimate that an average of £350 million of insurance claims are paid each year for households and small businesses (ABI perscomm February 2013) and that this figure has been rising consistently. The 2007 floods resulted in total economic (damage) costs of £3.2bn, of which £2.12 billion estimated to have been incurred by households and businesses (Delivering benefits through evidence; the costs of the 2007 floods in England, Project: SC070039/R1, 2010, Environment Agency. The Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012 (CCRA 2012) ((Defra Project Code GA0204) Climate Change Risk Assessment for the Floods and Coastal Erosion Sector, January 2012) has projected that the risk of flooding will increase, with“annual flood damages to properties projected to increase by between 70% and 400% by the 2080s”. The Pitt Review of the 2007 floods in England recommended that government should take steps toincrease resilience in flood prone communities throughout the United Kingdom (UK), including theencouragement and implementation of more Property Level Protection (PLP) particularly in areaswhere large flood defence schemes are not feasible (Pitt, 2008) “RECOMMENDATION 12: All local authorities should extend eligibility for home improvement grants and loans to include flood resistance and resilience products for properties in high flood-risk areas. RECOMMENDATION 13: Local authorities, in discharging their responsibilities under the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 to promote business 8 continuity, should encourage the take-up of property flood resistance and resilience by businesses.” The Resilience Grants Pilot Projectsin 2007/2008 funded by Defra, resulted in 199 properties implementing flood resistance/resiliencemeasures in six communities Since then several other schemes have beenimplemented throughout the UK, with over 1,109 government funded PLP projects implementedthrough 63 schemes as a means of flood risk and vulnerability reduction strategy at a local level (Evaluation of the Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme: 25918 Draft ReportDefra, 2008).The Environment Agency funded measures in a further 1135 properties in 2011/12 through 72 schemes, perscomms – Robbie Craig, Defra. In addition, a number of other schemes have been funded by local authoritiesand water companies. One of the largest of these was the scheme in Cumbria following the 2009floods, delivered through the Cumbria Development Fund.(2012 National Flood Forum, PLP and insurance report)In addition, some water companies, local authorities and Community Foundation, Cumbria have also grant aided the installation of PLP. Prior to 2000, there were very few products available, apart from the ubiquitous sandbag, or home made “flood doors”. During the intervening years there has been a proliferation of products and services, as well as companies offering these. In parallel, use of at least some of these products and services for property level protection has been grant aided from the Flood Defence Grant in Aid (FD GiA) budget, firstlydirectly from Defra and more latterly through the Environment Agency.In the first round of funding,£3 million was made available to 25 local authorities in June 2009, to protect up to 593properties. In the second round, a further £2.6 million was awarded to 28 local authorities inMarch 2010, to protect an additional 532 properties, Evaluation of the Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme: 25918, Summary report March 2012. The Adaptation Sub Committee 3rd Progress report, Climate Change – is the UK prepared for flooding and water scarcity? 2012 estimates that, under a low investment in flood defences scenario, up to 330,000 properties could be protected from flood risk by 2035 by property level protection measures. Uptake rates would need to increase 35-fold to 14,000 properties per year to achieve this.Although the 9 report makes the assumption that all investment is currently government funded, which is almost certainly incorrect, the figures are nevertheless an interesting order of magnitude assessment of what is needed. Property level measures can offer alternatives where the creation and maintenance of FCRM asset systems (flood defences) are unfeasible or not financially viable. FCRM Partnership Funding (FDGiA) has the potential, coupled to local contributions, to support PLP and PLP inclusive community FCRM schemes. The overall effectiveness of PLP schemes (as per all other FCRM measures) won’t finally be known until they are tested in flood situations. A number of projects are underway to explore the relationship with insurance, the economic benefit and their long term viability, notably PLP and Insurance (2012, National Flood Forum), Defra: FD2657 Establishing the Cost Effectiveness of Property-level Flood Protection and Evaluation of the Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme: 25918 Draft Report, December 2011. Alongside the development of property level protection schemes has been the creation of business opportunities and the development of a range of products to meet that need. What is not clear is how much economic activity has been created, nor of the business benefit. There are further questions around what sectors have shown the greatest business activity and where this has taken place. One of the purposes of installing property level protection is to avoid economic damage to property and loss of income. Defra R&D project FD2607 undertaken by Entec in 2007 developed economic and financial models on the benefits of property level protection schemes (updated in 2012 through contract 2011s5610 PLP Cost effectiveness project). There is an opportunity to better understand these issues and bring the strands together to get an improved understanding of the economic impact and opportunities presented by property level protection schemes. The purpose of this study, and the contribution it can make to a better understanding, is to provide an estimate of the 10 scale, rate of growth and value of the emerging non-grant aided market in PLP products and services. The purpose of this project is to make use of the prior and 2012 refresh of valuation of PLP scheme outcomes and economic benefits and relate it to an evaluation of size and growth of non-FDGiA funded investment in and supply (and demand) market. The implications are that the drivers and rationale for growth assumption and establishing a baseline now are the pilots and demonstrable worth of FDGiA funded PLP coupled with growth in supply-side players that appears to be larger than just a response to more FDGiA investment in PLP. Flood events, media coverage and growing awareness of use of individual resistance and resilience products and services are also contributing and it appears that there is an emerging private market in PLP products and services. 2.2 Aims and objectives The project therefore aims to investigate and explore the supply chain benefits of the flood protection products market and the economic benefits of property level protection for non-FDGiA schemes.See the executive summary The primary commissioning aim of this collaborative research project was to provide an initial evidenced assessment of the size and rate of growth of the emerging market in the supply of flood risk protection to individual properties. The emphasis is on looking beyond Defra grant-funded property level protection (PLP) programmes and PLP projects supported via Flood Defence Grant in Aid (FDGiA) to evaluate the scale and growth in the wider supply of and demand for PLP products and services. 2.2.1 Specific objectives 11 1. Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). 2. Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits (from linkage with JBA cost effectiveness study results), essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. 3. Utilise both of the above and combining them, define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. 4. Ensure that techniques and tools developed will be available for ongoing use to measure annually. 2.2.2 Key themes The project explored a number of themes through the use of a survey of a sample of PLP companies within the emerging supply market. This was complemented by cross-reference surveying of a sample of local authorities and water companies to minimise risk of counting PLP produced and supplied in direct response to FDGiA funded demand, and to cross-reference PLP company claims of total annual turnover against company returns to Companies House. 1. Can a robust methodology be developed to estimate the size and value of the PLP industry? 2. Can this methodology be replicated? 3. What are the characteristics of the industry? 4. How well developed is the industry? 5. What are the challenges that the industry faces? 6. To what extent is the industry dependent upon grant aid? 7. Are there any geographic patterns observable? 12 3. Methodology The project aimed to investigate and explore the supply chain benefits of the flood protection products market and the economic benefits of property level protection for non-FDGiA schemes. Specific objectives Objective 1 - Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). Objective 2 - Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits (from linkage with JBA cost effectiveness study results), essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. Objective 3 - Utilise both of the above and combining them, define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. Objective 4 - Provide recommendations for development and refinement of method, including future expansion to explore worth of investment in better localised awareness and preparatory actions to reduce incident consequences. Ensure that techniques and tools developed will be available for ongoing use to measure annually. Objective 1 Objective 1 - Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). To understand objective 1 required: 13 1. A measure of how much households, businesses, local authorities and the third sector spend on FCRM measures 2. An understanding of how this is distributed geographically and by sector 3. A measure of how much FCRM measures are purchased through FDGiD Tasks PLP Companies 1. Design a questionnaire for PLP companies. 2. Get questionnaire checked for efficacy with Project Board 3. Write a covering letter 4. Produce a list of PLP providers and service deliverers and place into sectors, as per Blue Pages. Develop the list by speaking to staff, Trustees and wholesalers. 5. Deliver the questionnaire using staff and volunteers 6. Collect data from Companies House records and/or other sources in order to gain information about annual turnover. Local authorities and water companies 1. Design a questionnaire for surveying local authorities 2. Get the questionnaire checked for efficacy with Project Board 3. Write a covering letter 4. Survey local authorities 5. Deliver the questionnaire using staff and volunteers Individuals 1. Design a questionnaire 14 2. Get the questionnaire checked for efficacy with Project Board 3. Write a covering letter 4. Survey our membership and affiliates 5. Deliver the questionnaire using staff and volunteers Analysis and reporting 1. Analyse data 2. Draft report for the section 3. Get feedback from Project Board 4. Finalise report Objective 2 Objective 2 - Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits, essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. Evaluation of the Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme information 1. Research literature on measuring the intangible impacts of flooding 2. Evaluate the Evaluation of Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme information 3. Identify a compatible way (if available) of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure 4. Draft report for the section 5. Get feedback from the Project Board 15 6. Finalise report Objective 3 Objective 3 - Utilise both of the above and combining them, define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. 1. Review the evidence from Objective 1 and Objective 2 2. Devise a methodology if possible. 3. Apply the methodology 4. Draft report 5. Get feedback from the Project Board 6. Finalise report Objective 4 Objective 4 - Provide recommendations for development and refinement of method, including future expansion to explore worth of investment in better localised awareness and preparatory actions to reduce incident consequences. 1. Develop recommendations 2. Draft report 3. Get feedback from the Project Board 4. Finalise report Ensure that techniques and tools developed will be available for ongoing use to measure annually. 16 Throughout the project the methods will be documented ad reproduced to enable replicability 17 4. Results 4.1 Objective 1 Objective 1 - Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). Survey of businesses A search for companies involved with PLP unearthed 190 organisations, roughly four times what had been expected (Appendix 1). Their distribution is shown in Figure 1 18 Aberdeenshire x1 Dorset x2 Lincolnshire x5 Sandwell x1 Bedfordshire x1 Dudley x2 London x4 Sheffield x4 Berkshire x3 Dundee x2 Manchester x2 Shropshire x2 Birmingham x4 Durham x2 Merseyside x1 Somerset x1 Bristol x1 East Sussex x3 Monmouthshire x2 South Yorkshire x1 Buckinghamshire x4 East Yorkshire x2 N Ireland x1 Staffordshire x4 Essex x10 Newport (Wales) x1 Stirlingshire x2 Camarthenshire x1 Flintshire x1 Cambridgeshire x2 Suffolk x1 Norfolk x3 Gloucestershire x3 Cardiff x1 Surrey x8 North Ayrshire x1 Hampshire x4 Cheshire x9 Swansea x2 North Yorkshire x5 Herefordshire x2 Colwyn Bay x1 Unknown x2 Hertfordshire x6 Northamptonshire x2 Warwickshire x3 Hull x3 Northumberland x1 West Sussex x5 Ireland x2 Norwich x1 West Yorkshire x4 Kent x2 Nottinghamshire x1 Wiltshire x3 Lancashire x4 Oxfordshire x3 Wolverhampton x1 Leeds x3 Powys x2 Worcestershire x6 Leicestershire x3 Rhyll x1 Yorkshire x7 Cornwall x2 Coventry x2 Darlington x1 Denbighshire x1 Derbyshire x5 Devon x2 Figure 1 Distribution of companies involved with flood risk The unknown category includes 2 businesses, one of which has gone out of business since the survey started, the other which operates off a mobile telephone number One other company has ceased trading, from Lincolnshire. The rest are predominantly rural but otherwise with a fairly even distribution.The 190 companies was the total unearthed through a combination of prior knowledge, searching Blue Pages (the online directory of flood product companies) discussions within the 19 National Flood Forum and web searches on key words – “flood product”, “flood protection”, “flood defences for homes”, “property level protection”, Companies were from the following categories: 1. Manufacturer of flood products 2. Supplier of flood products 3. Installer of flood products 4. Wholesaler of flood products A number of other categories were also recorded 1. Surveyors 2. Reinstaters 3. Loss adjusters 4. Telemetry providers 5. Others Where a company occurred in more than one category, all of its attributes were recorded. The location of the companies (minus the 2 unknowns) were analysed as follows: City – 57 (30%) vs rural (130 %) Places were categorised by their Tier 1 status and whether the area is predominantly urban or rural England 164 (87%), Wales 14 (7%), Scotland 7 (4%), Ireland 2 (1%), Northern Ireland 1 (1%) The overwhelming majority of companies were based in England North 49 (26%), South 84 (45%), East 27 (14%), West 28 (15%) The vast majority of companies were based in the South of England. 48 companies (Appendix 2) were surveyed through a telephone questionnaire (Appendix 3). These were selected randomly, but cross checked at the end to 20 ensure that there was a good distribution geographically, with a range of products and/or services. No adjustment through additional surveying was undertaken. Almost all companies responded favourably[WHICH ONES?]. Details of turnover are provided at Table X, and Figures 13 and 14. They provide a very broad spectrum. Geographic distribution is shown in Figure 2, indicating a broad spread across the country, but also a concentration in rural areas.Using the same measures of distribution, the following results were obtained: City – 14 (29%) vs 57 (30%)in the main database Rural 34 (71%) vs (130 %) in the main database The vast majority of companies are based rurally England 41 (85%) vs 164 (87%) in the main database Wales 5 (10%) vs 14 (7%) in the main database Scotland 1 (2%) vs 7 (4%) in the main database Ireland 0 (0%) vs 2 (1%) in the main database Northern Ireland 1 (2%) vs 1 (1%) in the main database The overwhelming majority of companies were based in England North 16 (33%) vs 49 (26%) in the main database South 20 (42%) vs 84 (45%) in the main database East 3 (6%) vs 27 (14%) in the main database West 8 (17%) vs 28 (15%) in the main database 21 The vast majority of companies were based in the South of England. Comparison between the main dataset and the sample shows a very close correlation. The most significant difference is in the North, South East, West distribution, where the sample has a higher number in the North compared to the data set and a correspondingly lower sample from the East. However, the differences are not large. Yorkshire Dundee Leeds Oxfordshire x2 Bristol East Sussex x2 Leicestershire x2 Sheffield x2 Buckinghamshire East Yorkshire Lincolnshire Swansea Cambridgeshire Essex x2 Merseyside x2 Newport Cardiff Flintshire London Staffordshire Cheshire X2 Colwyn Bay Norwich Warwickshire X2 Derbyshire Herefordshire North Yorkshire West Sussex Devon x2 Hertfordshire Northamptonshire x2 West Yorkshire Dorset Hull Northern Ireland Wiltshire x2 Worcestershire Figure 2 Distribution of companies completing the questionnaire 21 companies were VAT registered, less than half those sampled, indicating the small size of many of the organisations. All respondents agreed to be contacted for further information should this be required. Figure 3 identifies the sectors that companies in the sample are trading in. This is fairly evenly spread, but with the supply of flood products predominating. With 104 responses, many companies are clearly involved with several sectors and almost all are involved in the supply of flood products. 22 Figure 3 Sectors that companies are trading in – Q5a Figure 4 identifies the types of flood product that companies trade in. There is a strong predominance of flood barriers, door barriers and air brick covers. 23 Figure 4 – Type of flood product that companies trade in – Q5b Figure 5 identifies the services provided by companies. A smaller number of these types of service are being provided, but with a small emphasis on property surveys. Figure 5 Services provided by companies – Q5c 24 The largest category was “other” with 24 responses. These consisted of: commercial and larger openings, patio and garage doors, gateways Hire services Design and testing of products Training and CPD Insurance for people who have a kitemarked product/excess insurance providing have PLP Timber treatment Survey and advise Emergency planning Drying houses Advice on how to use flood products Flood kits Visits to schools to advise on flood risk Water Resources Assessment Steel stairs, platforms, custodial doors Engineering feasibility, coastal drainage Catchment modelling, water cycling, strategic FRA , drainage Annual Maintenance contracts, work with Insurers to reduce risk The main business interest of companies(Q6)was listed as: Manufacturing and installing flood protection products Flood barriers Manufacture and supply of alternative sandbags Design and manufacture of flood products and services. Water Proofing Specialists Manufacturers of ventilation products - builders merchants supply Monitoring, telemethry, early warning system Flood Risk Assessment and Hydraulic modelling Flood drying/ alternative to Insurance Plastic Moulders Manufacture of fencing, building products, supplier of agricultural buildings Fire and Flood Damage Paper Rolls, General stationery Supply of flexible and protective packaging Engineering consultants Buy and sell bags Consultant Engineering and Coastal Management Sewerage pumps Water Resources Assessment Flow control 50% Provision of services for local government/Councils and Water Authorities Water Industry related services Military Flood Defences 25 Building Consumables Pump Hire Of these, 29(60%) are primarily flood related Most companies (25, 51%) had been trading for over 10 years and 34 (69%) had been trading for over 5 years. Only 14 companies had been trading for 5 years or less. Figure 6 – Length of time that companies had been tradingQ7 A very similar response was obtained when people were asked how long their company had been trading in flood related products. 22, 46%) had been trading in flood products for over 10 years and 34 (71%) had been trading for over 5 years. Only 14 companies had been trading for 5 years or less. However, there was a slight increase in the number of companies who had been trading in flood products for 1 year or less (8, 16%) compared to companies who had been in existence for 1 year or less (5, 10%). 26 Figure 8 Length of time that companies had been trading in flood related productsQ8 Almost all of the companies (44, 90%) were limited companies, with one instance where the original company was a limited liability partnership. Only 3 companies were sole traders (0.6%) and one company listed itself as “other”, describing itself as “private”, possibly a sole trader. Q9 Figure 9 Type of company structure Respondents were asked through an open question how many people they employ. People responded in a number of ways, but overall the minimum number of employees was taken to be 11,088, and the maximum, taking in to account ranges given and the use of temporary staff, was 11,509. Taking account of international operations this figure rose to 24,024. 27 Figure 10 illustrates the breakdown of these figures for the maximum number of employees (11,509). 30 companies (61%) employed up to 10 staff. 12 companies employed between 11 and 50 staff (25%), 2 companies employed between 51 and 100 staff (4%), and 3 companies employed between 101 and 200 staff (6%). This illustrates that there is a strong predominance of micro businesses and small and medium enterprises (SMEs). However, the data include several much larger companies that contained PLP related teams within them (see below for further details) The largest companies do other FCRM work beyond PLP products and services and so probably a return of over 100 employees don’t represent PLP activity as exclusively as with some others/ Figure 10 Number of companies employing different numbers of employees Figure 11 illustrates the number of employees per company categorised by company size (as measured by the number of employees working in flood risk management). The remainder of the graph demonstrates a rising number of employees with company size. There is a large spike of people represented in the 101-200 employee category. This figure comes from only 3 companies and may include people in other roles. 28 Figure 11 Number of employees per company working in flood risk, categorised by company size For some companies, especially larger ones, flooding related work is only one aspect of their business. For example two companies employing over 1000 staff, one of them over 8000, are both very large infrastructure and professional services consultancies with several divisions. Flooding forms only part of their work. By way of example, Capita Symonds has a total workforce in the UK of about 2000 and a global workforce of about 20,000, but has a flood risk team of 30-35 people in the UK. In addition they utilise other people in the company, such as building surveyors as necessary. Similarly a number of construction and agricultural merchants have a PLP element to their work. Figure 12 sets out total number of employees per company, illustrating the role of large institutions and international companies whose products and services extend beyond PLP products and in to other flood risk management activities as well as other areas of activity. 29 Figure 12 Total number of employees per company Respondents mentioned flexibility of approach as being important in being able to cope with fluctuating market demand: 20 - 9 Consultants 3 - 9 Temporary Less than 10 (encompasses several 100 national network) X and his wife are directors. They borrow labour from the parent comapny as and when needed 8 Directors - 16/17 Associates contract work 38, staffing has increased each year. Last year it increased gradually. They are concerned that if there is a lull they will have to let people go, but because of their global market, their interest in the heavy flood protection products and commercial products, they can keep going. A few of the larger companies sell abroad, or have operations overseas Globally 4000 Capita Symonds 2000 (Group - 20,000) 19 plus 5 in Holland 200 in UK also have company in India Respondents were asked for their company turnover, Q11. 36 companies provided data and 12 declined, were unable to provide the figures or were in their first year of trading. Cross referencing with employment figures, the number of companies that declined includes the full range of company size, ranging from 1 to 200 employees: There was a huge range of turnover, from £2,000 to £350 million. Summing the responses from the 36 companies that responded, annual turnover was £430,039,000. Respondents were also asked what proportion of this turnover was related to flood risk activities, Q12. Again, not all companies responded. The 38 30 that did were a slightly different set to the previous question, but broadly similar in cross section. Using these figures, the median annual turnover that was from flood risk activities from the 38 companies that responded was 71.32% of total turnover. There were 32 respondents that answered both questions 11 and 12 in a way that could be analysed together. These had a combined turnover of £290,739,000 with a flood related turnover of £87,453,000 (3%). The average turnover per company was £2,732,906. However, this masks the impact of one very large company, Polygon UK and Ireland with a turnover of £250 million and a turnover of £62,500 on flood related products and services, illustrated in Table 1 and Figure 13. 2,000 12,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 50,000 100,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 200,000 300,000 310,000 360,000 420,000 450,000 500,000 500,000 600,000 649,000 650,000 650,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 2,000,000 2,400,000 3,000,000 9,000,000 62,500,000 Table 1 Annual turnover (£) of flood related products for 32 companies, in rank order Figure 13 Annual turnover of flood related products for 32 companies, in rank order Figure 14 illustrates annual company turnover on flood related products and services with Polygon UK and Ireland data removed. These had a combined turnover of 31 £40,739,000, with a flood related turnover of £24,953,000 (61%). The average turnover per company was £804,935. Figure 14 Annual turnover (£) of flood related products for 30 companies, in rank order Using £2,732,906 as the average turnover per company would produce an overall turnover of £519,252,140for the 190 companies identified. Using the figure of £804,935 as the average turnover per company would produce an overall turnover of £152,937,650 for the 190 companies identified Therefore there is a potential range of the turnover of flood related products and services of £152,937,650 to £519,252,140. An analysis and rationalisation of Questions and figures 10 – 14 above to identify the likely total size and proportionate cashflow of the sample companies that relate to property level protection manufacture, distribution, specification and installation activities – thus defining the supply side annual turnover of the private sector PLP market in the UK is reflected in Table 2 below.. This also includes cross-referencing. The gross annual turnover amounts to £32,081,000. If translated to the 190 companies identified this would equate to a gross turnover of £127,655,646 Column 5 of the table highlights the PLP turnover probably related to the private sector for the sample, £24,776,250, i.e. non-grant aided. If translated to the 190 companies identified it would equate to a gross turnover of £89,072,656. Questionnaire row Adjusted number NB NEED TO turnover REMOVE (£) DESCRIPTORS FROM THIS COLUMNBEFORE PUBLISHING % to count as PLP 32 % private sector Probable PLP turnover related to the private sector, (£) 1.(Flood Ark) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. (Scotland) 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. (Wales) 19. 20. (Floodbond) 21.(North of Ireland) 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. (Polygon) 27. (South Wales) 28. 29. (bag wholesaler) 30. 31. 32. 33.(capita symmonds) 34.(sandbag fillers) 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 600,000 310,000 1,400,000 3,000,000 200,000 350,000 850,000 70,000 649,000 2,000,000 100,000 650,000 360,000 150,000 50,000 40,000 50,000 350,000 500,000 250,000 50,000 350,000 100,000 130,000 2,000 1,750,000 650,000 300,000 2,400,000 100,000 20,000 25,000 600,000 75,000 175,000 500,000 500,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 50,000 30,000 420,000 350,000 50,000 9,000,000 25,000 32,081,000 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 100 10 25 0 50 10 100 100 100 100 100 33 50 50 100 50 60 50 70 100 100 100 100 50 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 75 100 10 100 100 100 0 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 300,000 155,000 1,400,000 1,500,000 120,000 122,500 416,500 70,000 649,000 2,000,000 100,000 325,000 180,000 150,000 50,000 40,000 50,000 175,000 405,000 250,000 50,000 350,000 100,000 130,000 2,000 875,000 650,000 300,000 2,400,000 100,000 20,000 25,000 300,000 56,250 175,000 25,000 500,000 150,000 250,000 0 15,000 420,000 350,000 50,000 0 9,000,000 25,000 24,776,250 Table 2 - Likely total size and proportionate cashflow of the sample companies that relate to property level protection manufacture, distribution, specification and installation activities, together with the cashflow related to private companies, ie non-FDGiA activity Question13 asked respondents if they produce more than one flood risk product or service, what proportion of turnover does each product/service type contribute. 12 companies responded, identifying a range of products from sandbags to flood doors. However, the larger companies all offered a range of services and products, aiming to provide a package. Of the 13 companies with a turnover greater than £1 million, 7 were involved in more than one element of the supply chain for flood related products and services. 4 of these companies specifically mentioned that they had a solutions based approach that involved other partners to provide a package of services around flood protection for homes and businesses. One of these involved a link to insurance and maintenance of installed products as part of an overall contract and we are aware of at least one other company that is about to enter the market to do the same. In Question 14 respondents were asked if turnover in flood related products and services had stayed the same, increased significantly or decreased significantly. Figure 15 illustrates that almost double the number of companies thought that turnover was increasing significantly compared to those who thought that it had stayed the same and those who had thought that it had decreased significantly. Trends in turnover of flood risk products and services 25 21 Number 20 15 12 11 10 4 5 0 stayed the same increased significantly decreased significantly nil response Turnover Figure 15 – Trends in turnover of flood risk products and services Table 3 demonstrates that where we have sufficient data (for 32 companies) different sized companies tend to have different perspectives of the market for flood risk properties and services. The smallest companies are by far and away the least optimistic, those with a turnover of between £500,000 and £1,000,000 most consistently perceive that turnover has increased significantly, whilst the largest 34 companies (with a turnover over £1,000,000) overall see the market as increasing, but with a higher proportion stating that it has remained the same and a smaller proportions stating that it has decreased significantly. The companies under £100,000 might be expected to be new entrants to the market, and therefore more vulnerable to fail. However, of the 7 companies, 2 were less than 2 years old, 1 was less than 3 years old, 2 were between 6 and 10 years old and the other 2 were over 10 years old. Turnover Stayed the same Increased significantly 7 6 Decreased significantly 2 0 Over £1,000,000 4 £500,000 1 £1,000,000 Between £100,000 3 2 2 and £500,000 Under £100,000 1 1 5 Table 3Trends in turnover of flood risk products and services as perceived by companies of different sizes. In response to the question, “Does turnover fluctuate?” respondents overwhelmingly felt that it did, Figure 16. Nil responses were largely from new entrants to the market. Number of responses Does turnover fluctuate? 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 40 yes no 5 3 yes no nil response nil response Response Figure 16 Does turnover fluctuate? Comments on the reasons for doing so included: Defra grant had a major negative impact as it was all about price and not about quality or suitability and householders seem to be waiting to see if they can get a grant rather than purchasing privately. The recession Seasonality 35 Getting Councils who have grants to make their minds up what they are doing. Very slow to act - panic near end of financial year. Panic and want stuff done in 5 mins Warnings of floods The weather has a knock on effect rather than seasons Weather, Government Grants, Councils spending Weather and Council funding Increasing - people abroad are more prepared to spend money on flood products/services than in England People say if they have been flooded once it will not happen again, people cannot be bothered because they think it is someone else’s problem, not theirs – they are not willing to help themselves The funding system - more co-operation needed with EA and DEFRA There are a lot more calls from areas that have flooded in recent weeks Delays in scheme implementation Economy - public sector decrease in spending. Shifting responsibilities for who provides sandbags Price competitive - not enough demand - funding revenues vary. Ring fenced money from DEFRA finishes next year - 6/12 months to teach new systems of funding Rainfall and flooding Government grants are only available at the end of their fiscal year. People have short memories so only buy or call when the floods have arrived. No floods = no sales EA cuts have hindered There was no common reason why the 3 companies that stated that turnover doesn’t fluctuate, one supplies materials to distributers all year, one is a large international concern and the third is a services company. In Question16 respondents were asked “There is often more interest in flooding after a flood event. How has this affected your company?” Responses varied and are summarised in Table 4 below. Broadly, there is a three way split between businesses that see no response, businesses that see increased interest, but not an increase in sales and those that do see a positive response. 1. There is more interest but it takes 3-6/6-9/12 months to result in more business 4 2. It hasn’t – 12 3. After 2007 the uptake was enormous but has gradually declined 4. It only affects people who have actually been flooded once/twice, so a response is limited 5. There is increased interest, but it is short lived and there is little impact on sales 14 6. We get a much better response from people abroad than in the UK 7. Sales increase afterwards 13 8. It depends on when new budgets start 36 4 12 1 1 14 1 13 1 Table 4 Summary to the question “There is often more interest in flooding after a flood event. How has this affected your company?” Q17 Respondents were asked “what proportion of flood risk sales have been grant aided?” In Figure 16, 28 (58%) of companies responded that they did not do grant aided work. 9 companies did grant aid work for local authorities, 5 for Defra, 5 for Environment Agency and 4 for water companies. 8 companies responded that they did grant aid work for other organisations. These included, Welsh Government (1), Regional Improvement and Efficiency Partnership (1), EU Funding (1) and 5 companies where it was not clear who the funder was. Figure 17 What proportion of flood risk sales have been grant aided? Selecting only those companies that were grant aided and provided details of their turnover (6 companies out of 10) and summing their turnover related to flood risk products produces a figure of £3,628,500 grant aided work, see Table 5. Of the four companies where the data could not be used, one was a new start up where the aspiration was to have a turnover of £100,000, all of it grant aided by local authorities,one provided no details of turnover and the others did not provide details of turnover that was grant aided. The total turnover of these four companies was £2,410,000, assuming that the aspiration of £100,000 was realised. Company Flood related turnover 1 2 3 4 £600,000 £3,000,000 £50,000 £300,000 5 6 £1,200,000 £650,000 Percentage of turnover grant aided 50 60 32 90-95 (90 selected) 90 25 37 Turnover that is grant aided £300,000 £1,800,000 £16,000 £270,000 Turnover that is not grant aided £300,000 £1,200,000 £34,000 £30,000 £1,080,000 £162,500 £120,000 £650,000 Total £5,162,000 £3,628,500 £2,334,000 Table 5Grant aided and non-grant aided turnover for companies that do grant aided work and who have declared their turnover. Table 4 also indicates that for the 6 companies that provided data, turnover that is not grant aided was £2,334,000, and an average of £389,000. None of the very small companies were involved with grant aided work, with only one company with a turnover below £300,000. All of the companies that did provide information were reliant for a substantial proportion of their work on grant aid. For some of them it might be considered that they are over reliant. In addition, comments from one company indicates that grant aid fluctuates significantly and from another that they form part of the supply chain for a company that sometimes does grant aided work. Of the 28 companies that indicated that they do not do grant aid work, 23 provided sufficient details of turnover, Table 6.Two of these had negligible turnover of flood related products due to this being the first year of trading. Therefore the total number of companies is 21, rather than 23. Of the 5 that provide details, two didn’t want to tell us, 2 didn’t know and 1 was in their first year of trading. Company Flood related turnover, £ Company Flood related turnover, £ 9 0 10 100,000 11 130,000 12 2,000 13 62,500,000 14 2,400,000 15 20,000 16 15,000 Company Flood related turnover, £ 17 500,000 18 £1,000,000 19 30,000 20 420,000 21 9,000,000 22 25,000 23 0 1,400,000 1 2 649,000 3 2,000,000 4 650,000 5 360,000 6 40,000 7 450,000 8 12,000 Total £81,703,000 Table 6Non-grant aided turnover for companies that do not do grant aided work and who have declared their turnover. Total turnover in flood related products that was not grant aided was £81,703,000. Once again there is one company with a very large turnover of £62,500,000. Taking this out,and adjusting the figures as per Table 2, leaves a turnover of £19,203,000 that was not grant aided. Relating to Question18, the proportion of sales to independent households or businesses is illustrated in Figure 18. This shows that most businesses had either a very low or very high proportion of sales to this sector. 38 Figure 18 Proportion of sales to independent households and business The turnover for each category is shown in Figure 19. It was possible to use data from 29 companies who between them had sales to individual households and businesses of £11,534,925. The turnover of the 12 companies who sold the highest proportion of sales to independent households and business spanned the full range of business size. Total turnover on flood risk products Number of Number of Percentage sold companies companies to individual with no data households and businesses £3,549,000 £3,875,000 £1,310,000 0 £470,000 £3,050,000 £600,000 £0 £0 £0 £30,000 £11,434,000 £63,135,000 £87,453,000 3 10 5 0 3 2 3 0 0 1 1 12 8 0 5 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 0% 2.5% 7.5% 15% 25% 35% 45% 55% 65% 75% 85% 95% Nil return Turnover sold to individual households and businesses, based on companies who provided data 0 £96,875 £982,500 £0 £117,500 £1,067,500 £270,000 £0 £0 £0 £22,500 £10,862,300 £0 £11,534,925 Respondents were asked whether they supplied flood product parts, products or services to other companies. 36 (75%) said that they did. 39 Figure 19 Whether companies supply flood product parts, products or services to other companies Respondents were asked whether they bought flood product parts, products or services from other companies. 29 said that they did. Figure 20 Whether companies buy flood product parts, products of services from other companies Of the 36 companies who did supply other companies, 21 also bought from other companies. Of the 10 companies that didn’t supply other companies, 9 bought from other companies. The one company that didn’t buy or sell from other companies has been trading for less than 3 years and has a turnover of approximately £2000. Of the 29 companies who bought from other companies, 19 supplied other companies. Respondents described a wide variety of supply chains, from very simple, we manufacture and supply to distributors nationally 40 to very sophisticated: There are approximately 30 suppliers, many of them from X. The Xare made across the road. The new Xproduct is to be made by XXX on the same estate. The X product is manufactured by partnering firms in X and X. They still have a factory in [country]. They are ISO 90001 and 14001 and try to get suppliers that are ISO registered. Supply chain management is important. Full traceability is required for all products. They have a compliance procedure and lessons learned quarterly meetings. This example also illustrates both a very local supply and demand chain dimension, as well as an international component within the same company. Sister company in Germany where made, designed in UK. Use smaller companies to fabricate A typical approach is Manufacture main barriers, buy in nuts, bolts, frames and plastic bring in to factory in Leicester and then wholesale and retail A number of companies emphasised the service element of their work: Get a job, surveyor goes in, assesses job and decides best product, comes back to company best products sources and ordered and fitted by experienced contractors Air brick covers, etc are bought in; everything other than the doors. This allows them to provide a complete service. They also buy in an independent chartered surveyor. A number of companies work in partnerships Agreement with XXX. Advert on website - domestic given to XXX - Industrial they do The flexible nature of some of these arrangements is also clear Sub contract -topographic survey. Also other way - they are asked to assist other companies doing surveys etc. A number of companies act as intermediaries Buy direct from Manufacturer, sell at a discount to XXX, XXX and builders In Question 22 respondents were asked whether the distribution of sales was even across the country. Figure 20 illustrates that 12 (25%) agreed that sales were evenly spread, whereas 34 (71%) thought that they were not. 41 Figure 21 Are products and services distributed evenly across the country? Respondents were asked where they were concentrated; responses were highly variable, with a slight concentration in the north, midlands and south west, Table 5 North 2 North East 5 North West 5 Yorkshire Midlands 8 South West 7 East South 4 London and the south 2 Depends on grant allocation 3 Urban areas Where it floods 3 International 3 Scotland better as more finance has been released and less red tape 5 Ireland Wales 3 Table 5 Concentration of sales Respondents were also asked where sales were least concentrated. Again, there is great variability, but some concentration of responses around the south and east, but also for Scotland, Wales and Ireland. East 5 South 3 London 4 Southeast 5 South West 5 North West 6 North East North 2 West of England Mainland UK Scotland 10 Wales 4 Ireland 4 UK poorest, better in Europe Table 6 Areas where fewest sales occur Both Tables 5 and 6 illustrate an international dimension to company trading 30 (63%) of companies were set up with the purpose of trading in flood products and services, 18 (37%) were not; see Figure 22. 42 Figure 22 Were flood related products or services part of the original purpose of your company? Of the 18 companies that were not set up originally to trade in flood related products and services, most were involved in the manufacture and trading of products. Only two companies were involved with consultancy type work. Water proofing preventative measures Ventilation Engineering approach to drainage Flood Risk Management and Planning Plastic Mouldings Wire Products Paper Rolls, General stationery Buying and selling packaging Gates Engineering Consultants Packaging Motor winding Pumps Equestrian matting/bedding. Forest machinery Water Resources 10%, Flood 15% Civil Structural Engineering Provide Protective Equipment to the MOD Fixings, Power Tools and screws Sole Trader - Pump Hire Table 7 Original purposes of companies, where this was not related to flood risk products and services. In response to the question, “What motivated you to trade in flood related products and services?” (Table 8), 18 were motivated by a gap in the market, 12 developed a product and 6 were stimulated to produce an idea by floods. In most instances there were a combination of motives. Change of career Saw a gap in the market 18 Developed a product 12 Floods generated an idea 6 Market development from an existing product 4 Requests from clients 5 An area where he could help Wanted to protect their own property 2 43 Problem solving as part of a partnership 2 Background in local authority working Interested in flood protection products Part of an international company Table 8 What motivated you to trade in flood related products and services? Respondents were asked if the value of the market for property level protection products and services is growing, contracting or stable, Figure 23. 28 (58%) believe that it is growing with only 5 (10%) believe that it is contracting, 6 (13%) believe that it is stable and 7 (14%) believe that it is fluctuating. This is a very positive view of the future and contrasts with the responses highlighted in Table 3 where large and medium sized companies have a positive view compared to small firms who typically have a poor outlook of the future. Figure 23 Is the value of the market for property level protection products and services growing, contracting or stable? Companies were also asked for the reasons for their responses. For those that thought that the market is growing a greater awareness was given as the most common reason, as well as a maturing market in property level protection. GROWING 1. Funding from grant aid 3 2. Flooding is not going to go away 3. Installing a few products is cheaper than retrofitting a whole house 4. People are taking measures as they forsee mortgage/insurance problems 2 5. This is not solely residential. Commercial opportunities especially in Scotland - different scheme whereby Government pay for certain amount 6. Greater awareness of the issue and products 12 7. More, better, cost effective and cheaper products available/ market maturing 8 8. New council responsibilities 9. Climate change 4 10. Media coverage 3 11. Changing weather –flooding 6 12. Influence of Insurance Companies on businesses and households 44 13. People see the damage caused by flooding - a little protection better than nothing Companies that saw the market contracting thought that this was due to lack of funding, lack of interest and the recession CONTRACTING 1. Lack of funding 2 2. Lack of interest 3. Recession, andcouncils cutting back Companies that indicated that the market was stable provided a combination of positive and negative views about the reasons for this STABLE 1. Systems are expensive for the average person. If insured and have not flooded they do not think it will ever happen and if so they are covered 2. Lack of confidence in the government and insurance industry 3. Good range of companies offering a selection of products. EA & DEFRA funding. Flooding more to the forefront 4. No grants given this year and no real floods 5. Have money, product awareness - only effects people who have been flooded 6. Lack of funding and view that it is potentially a long term problem 7. Lack of awareness Companies that regarded the market as fluctuating mostly took a negative approach FLUCTUATING 1. Last year it was growing, its currently in transition and they see a good future. 2. General public is reticent to pay, dependant on grants and funding 3. Solutions to flooding is changing, money not available 4. Weather 2 5. Costs increasing all the time 6. Government inertia, lack of viable products to satisfy the insurers, lack of understanding from property owners, lack of understanding about flood risk and where it is coming from 7. Economy - public spending cuts, Nil responders, nevertheless provided comments, essentially taking a negative perspective. NIL 1. People living in flood plains 2. Grants complicated, Grants mostly for social housing, stops the market operating Q29 – Companies were asked to identify the main barriers to the market for PLP growing further. There were almost as many responses as responders (see Annexe XXX for details; however, the most common factors were lack of funding (for a variety of reasons) and lack of awareness of flooding. Respondents were asked what action is required to overcome barriers to the market developing. Figure 24 illustrates that 31 (65%) companies stated that government action is required, 29 (60%) that awareness needs to be raised, 28 (58%), 26 (54%) 45 that clearer funding is required, 17 (35%) that industry action is needed and 11 (23%) that a lobby should be created. Other comments included: 1. Councils need to be made aware of different products. Need to increase contact with councils very difficult to get in touch with as no consistent department dealing with flooding so don't know who to get in touch with. People need to be more responsible for their own protection. Insurance companies need to endorse the use of these products only kitemarked ones. 2. LA should send out mailshot to each household explaining they are not going to send out sandbags 3. Stability of policies 4. EA should be involved in awareness of products that are not kitemarked. EA should have yellow pages of Flood Products 5. Flood alleviation - research - coherent funding. Strategy - diverse range of input - co -ordination 6. People cannot be bothered to spend money 7. Sent 3 products to many agencies and received no feed back 8. Time scale for completion [of projects] increased 9. The insurance industry incetivising people to invest 10. Government need to know what is available and economic, public need to know who is responsible 11. NFF to be more proactive in promoting tried and tested solutions and not just using Blue Pages as a revenue generation. A lot of these products are not fit for purpose and any failure of them in a real flood incident will push back the PLP opportunity massively 12. All about the Budget 13. Believes mortgage companies should insist on other help - ie add to mortgage 14. Need to be better advertised. Need to be sold through builders merchants 46 Figure 24 What is required to overcome barriers to the market growing? Approximately a third (17, 34%) of respondents said that they were familiar with how flood protection funding is going to work and two thirds (30, 63%) stated that they didn’t. Figure 25 Are you familiar with how flood protection will be funded (partnership funding?) 47 Respondents were asked whether they were familiar with the institutional responsibilities of the Environment Agency, local authorities, Defra and the RFCCs. 23 (48%) respondents did not mark any categories indicating that they were not familiar with any of these organisations. 24 (50%) of respondents were familiar with the work of the Environment Agency, 21 (44%) were familiar with the work of local authorities, 22 (46%) were familiar with the work of Defra and 15 (31%) were familiar with the work of RFCCs. Overall this indicates a lack of awareness of the work of these bodies and there were several notes indicating that people would like to be better informed. For example one respondent state that they would like a 1 page briefing on each organisation. Figure 25 Familiarity with institutional responsibilities of different public bodies Companies were asked how the market for Property Level Protection Products and services could be encouraged, Annexe XXXX. Raising awareness21 An association of manufacturers 2 Government legislation Changing flood risk terminology Insurance industry signalsand solutions eg requirements for protection 12 Encouragement of innovation through grants and funding 3 Develop flood groups and forums 2 Develop better quality products Local solutions 2 More government grants/funding 9 Local authority/flood group block buying of products 2 Better industry promotion of its products and services 2 Government/EA/local authority promotion of PLP Better local authority awareness Partnership working 48 If people cannot get insurance, need incentives to encourage them to get protection, show value of property can be increased Local authority awareness of problems in the commissioning process Respondents were asked, how the market for property level protection products and services purchased by individuals rather than through grant aid could be encouraged? Very similar responses were obtained, listed in Anexxe XXXX Respondents were asked what difference this would make to their company. Responses are listed below: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Would help to maintain the market Increase sales/business/the market 34 Not much 9 Greater awareness should lead to more sales 2 Been in market 40 years - is a realist. Better workmanship/delivery needed. If products were free, people would still be sceptical!! 6. Agencies together should have supported small companies 7. Work level should level out 8. Allow new ways of providing a service and presenting solutions to property owners Clearly respondents are looking for an increase in the business as being the primary outcome Respondents were asked to raise any additional issues that were of concern to them. Significant issues were: This is a difficult industry - the factors against us are price as we are not the cheapest but we are quality. SMARTEST was a total waste of time as it has not raised awareness at all but has taken our time. More people are setting up in business as they see climate change funding as a good money spinner. Insurance companies are key to growth they should treat these products like they do burglar alarms. Kitemark - understand the concept but feel penalised because our system is not a bolt down and we have been quoted £40k. We have testimonials from the EA etc but are always asked about kitemark. The market is very young and nieive. There are a lot of small participants of very variable quality and provenance, who may not be around for long. Currently there is a lot of infighting and backstabbing. A reputable representative body is needed, a National Flood Defence Association composed of Universities, BRE, RUSI, Red Cross, EA, RICS, Flood Hazard, Defra, etc charged with developing best practice and innovation. This needs to be scoped out and developed. Testing criteria for kitemark. EA are promoting kitemark only & this is a barrier for any innovation. Do not test in flood water only clean. Survey needs to look at geology and geography Where communities do not know where grants are available Qualified contractors doing work - cowboys a concern - must have products fitted correctly to work 49 People need to be more aware of complications of things blocking up. Pros and Cons need to be more aware Products available should all be tested/kitemarked. All should be quality fitted products Property Protection does not cover businesses, some funding to assist small businesses. More awareness, Do not build in Flood Plains, tighter controls. Lack of investment by Government and Local Authorities in supporting ongoing development Cost of Kitemarking - In Scotland don't have to have kitemark - goes on recommendation Everything is 'after the horse has bolted' - need incentives desparately. General Public often not worried about products after flood - just on clearing up FPA - historically not helped itself. Co-ordination needed between providers and installers - stop in fighting. Best solutions in one place, market will sort itself out Government/EA/Industry need to educate people 'not fit and forget' as their slogan. Products need maintaining to perform properly. Involvement from the Industry needs to change people’s perspective Need more Flood Fairs - people need to be made aware of thier risk and what you can do False claims made by some manufacturers - BSI need to overhaul current system - rigorous testing fit for purpose Stop building in flood plains - if do need much stricter controls. Set up local Flood Brigades like the Fire Service - local volunteers nned to act, know the area, trained by manufacturers, have access to products, stored locally Purchasing schemes for EA too diverse, too segregated, not uniform. Councils do not have enough money Increase education, get into schools, create flood community groups, locals band together to help their community Stop building in the Flood Plains - raise awareness of problems EA major flood people not helpful, take long time to give you information 21 days - not good in a demanding world. Charge for everything, knowledge often poor and too bureaucratic Standards of protection/services offered need strong regulation - cowboys out there. Summary of key results 1. A database of businesses was developed. This is much larger than had been anticipated, with 190 companies on the list compared to an estimated 50 at the outset. Since the survey was undertaken a few more companies have emerged 2. A survey of 48 property level protection products and services businesses was undertaken. The results identified that: a. The companies surveyed covered the full range of products and services fairly evenly 50 b. Half the companies have been in existence for over 10 years and almost half have been trading in flood related products and services for over 10 years c. The vast majority of companies are Limited Companies, with only a small number of sole traders d. There is a concentration of SMEs employing 0-10 people with a scattering of firms in each category above that, including large international concerns. e. There is a huge range in turnover from £2000 to £300 million. f. For the majority of firms, flood related products and services form a significant proportion of turnover, but the range is very wide. g. Slightly more companies think that turnover has increased significantly than has either stayed the same or decreased significantly, and a very high proportion state that turnover fluctuates significantly. Reasons given include the variability of the weather, the availability of grant aid, the way the grant aid is delivered and the lack of flood risk awareness in the UK compared to other markets. h. The proportion of sales that are grant aided are highly variable from 0 – 100%. i. The supply chains described are quite varied and the location of each company in its supply chains is very variable also. In many ways this is similar to the situation in the retrofitting energy efficiency sector for domestic properties, characteristic of new markets. j. Sales do vary across the country, but no common patterns have been found so far. k. Most companies believe that the market for flood risk products and services is growing l. Barriers identified are many, but include: i. Lack of funding ii. Lack of public awareness of flood risk or flood products iii. Lack of incentive for people to protect their own property iv. Public sector contracts and procurement processes v. Cost of kite marking is preventing innovation m. Using the data provided by the survey it was possible to estimate: i. Turnover of the industry ii. Grant aided turnover iii. Non-grant aided turnover iv. One particular company’s figures skewed the data significantly. A better understanding of the activities of this company would help to clarify the data. n. There is evidence that some of the larger companies are looking to provide a solutions based approach to property level protection, rather than just supplying and installing products. This indicates that the supply chain is beginning to mature. It includes an example of a service that 51 starts with a survey and installation, is linked to insurance provision and includes ongoing maintenance. We are aware of another company looking to take this approach. 3. The gross annual turnover of the companies surveyed amounts to £32,081,000. If translated to the 190 companies identified this would equate to a gross turnover of £127,655,646 4. PLP turnover probably related to the private sector for the sample was identified as £24,776,250, i.e. non-grant aided. If translated to the 190 companies identified it would equate to a gross turnover of £89,072,656. 52 Local Authority and Water Company survey All of the water companies in England were contacted as part of the survey. None responded. Most of the local authorities who had participated in the Defra and Environment Agency Property Level grant schemes from 2008 to 2011 were contacted and asked to complete a survey about their experiences of managing PLP schemes and the companies that they used. 16 local authorities responded: Wakefield Council Wychavon District Council South Derbyshire District Council Lewes District Council Bournemouth Borough Council Middlesborough Council Rotherham MBC Shropshire Council Table 9 Huntingdonshire District Council Oxford City Council Vale of White Horse District Council Somerset County Council Ribble District Council Newcastle City Council Leeds City Council Milton Keynes Council Local authorities who provided questionnaire responses Eight of these councils are urban and 8 rural. 6 come from the south of the country, 4 from the midlands and 6 from the north. Broadly speaking, 9 come from the east of the country and 7 from the west. 1. Why did your local authority get involved with the PLP Scheme? Respondents all wanted to provide protection to people from flooding, but for a variety of reasons: Where conventional defences cannot be used or are not financially available Where a number of properties suffered severe flooding in July 2007 and on occasions prior to that To protect an elderly lady who flooded annually, couldn’t get insurance and where there were significant public health issues. We considered PLP was a useful tool to assist in delivering and encouraging increased community participation on flood matters. To gain experience as we had never considered this before Because we had properties at risk which did not meet the government funding levels and they had been waiting for several years to get a scheme The potential availability of grant funding to address historic problem of property flooding Because we had four flood warning areas identified. We had done a considerable amount of work engaging with the public about flood risk and then we had a number of properties which met the Defra grant criteria 53 We were encouraged by local EA to apply for a grant following flooding of some properties in September 2008 Residents of properties affected by flooding contacted the council and asked for something to be done. We already knew where the most vulnerable sites were located so this was an opportunity to support the residents of qualifying properties. 2. To what extent has the PLP scheme addressed the issues you were concerned with? Respondents provided a great variety of comments, with 7 responses declaring that the scheme had been completely successful, one noted that the real benefit was peace of mind and another highlighted the relief for residents. However, 6 responses declared that the issues had only been partially addressed or that we wouldn’t know how effective they are until they are tested in a flood situation. One respondent said that uptake was very low and therefore didn’t address the issues concerned, whilst three stated that they could have funded many more schemes if the grant had been available. 3. How many different companies’ products and services did you use for your scheme?Which companies did you use and what for? Respondents came up with a number of different strategies to procure products. Number of companies used No response 1 2 3 4 5 Number of responses 2 2 4 1 0 7 Table 10- The number of different companies products and services used for schemes The non- respondents gave householders grants, who then chose and procured the services and products directly. Otherwise, there was an equal split between using a small number of companies and those who used 5. The companies used were: A private survey company who went bust 2 JBA Atkins for surveys JT Atkinson 2 ECO Coverage UK Local builders 3 54 Flash Flood Doors 2 Flood Angel 3 Flood Ark 3 Flood consult Floodgate 2 Floodguard Harvey Clarke Building Contractors Our current minor works Civil Engineering Contractor 2 Smart Airbricks 2 UK Flood Barriers 5 Water Tight International 3 Whitehouse Construction 5 Yorkshire Dampcourse Two companies, Whitehouse construction and UK Flood Barriers were each involved with just under one third of the schemes. Both of these companies, together with JT Atkinson undertake surveys and install a range of products, as well as their own. Therefore they make an ideal choice for local authorities wishing to procure through a small number of companies. It was noted that Whitehouse were at one point the only people who could provide a kitemarked flood door. Local builders and in-house civil engineering consultants were used on a number of occasions to deal with bespoke issues and minor works around installation. 4. Were these procured through a single contract or several? Several procurement strategies were evident from the responses received; sometimes more than one was used as part of the same process: 1. A single contract – “procurement rules meant that we had to go through one contract.” 2. A grant was provided to householders who then purchased the products. The local authority provided technical advice.- 3 3. Several contracts were let, mostly in batches of orders – 1 4. A single contact excluding surveys - 2 5. Several contracts were let to cover the range of goods and services required –5 6. A contract was let with a main civil contractor (one private, one the direct services contactor for the council) who bought in the best product for each location - 2 7. We used a single contract for surveys and the same for products and installation 8. XXXXX did the full installation although we had tried to set up a framework we thought would allow residents choice of products if they wished. A long process working through procurement procedures. We are currently trying to set up a framework we can use to employ contractors on behalf of residents 55 who wish to install PLFP but don't want to wait until grants may become available through EA Point 8.reflects comments from many flood product manufacturers that it would be really helpful to set up a simple procurement system with one council that could then be used as a framework contract for others around the country. They say (perscomm) that each council procures in a different way and that this makes it very difficult and time consuming to tender. A framework agreement would help everyone. One council evolved their approach as the scheme developed. “We explored at single contract for 40 properties, but realised once we received the tenders how inappropriate PLP was for the situation. With the other 8 properties we let individual contracts for each property - this enabled us to overcome issues between neighbours, which raises the question whether PLP can improve community resilience. It was our experience in one community that there was and is a distinct desire not to look after each other - this appears to originate from long standing disputes.” This also reflects a frequent comment from flood product companies that local authorities do not understand what PLP is or what is required to make it work successfully. They frequently get caught out by procurement rules that mean that they take short cuts, such as procuring all the products from a single firm and then finding that they are only appropriate for some buildings and some people. 9. Why did you take this approach? Essentially 7 approaches were adopted by local authorities: 1. Timescales to deliver the grant scheme meant that 5 local authorities felt that they had to use the most expeditious route. However, one local authority cited this as an opportunity to bring forward work, “in the EA's MTP plan process we would apply next summer for funds to start work Apri 2014 and its too long to wait. Unless local levy funding can be made available. Large contractors don't want to deal with private individuals but with larger schemes so if the Local Authority can act as an intermediary we can still progress work and give the public some confidence with the choice of contractor being used. I think residents are concerned about employing consultants to do a flood risk, give advice about protection and employ contractors so the LA can assist.” 2. Procurement rules – 4 councils cited needing to follow procurement rules, “Local Government procurement rules required us to go out to tender for each new scheme. (Note: it is possible to piggy back additional works onto an 56 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. existing contract, but the additional work cannot be too large, and requires Chief Officer Approval, we also have to demonstrate that this provides the best value for money” Easiest–2 councils followed their procurement approach because it was the easiest, “to simplify contract administration.” Another was concerned about complications from several contractors being on site at once. Lack of skills and/or experience was cited by one council, “with no experience of property flood protection, or managing contracts, the project needed to be easily and professionally managed and this approach added the benefits of all service suppliers and clients being "joined up". A single installation contractor offered a holistic approach to the block of terraces, as well as dealing with each household's individual needs. It was also considered to be the most cost effective solution, as we were offered high quality products at the least cost amongst the competition to be installed by experienced contractors who were flexible in offering suitable options for the residents preferences. This proved most valuable as some residents didn’t want the construction of sumps with submergible pumps in their homes for example, so alternative portable pumps were provided. Employment of a council led contracts manager ensured that the administration was managed professionally throughout.” We went to the only people who could supply the goods, was one response, “the contract that went out was split into three parts, one for plastic doors so we had to go to the only person who provides them. Then went to JT Atkinsons as they were the only ones who could supply hardwood doors. Third element i.e. tanking, sealing, external rendering etc., went out as a contract” It’s what the community wanted was cited by two local authorities, “we followed the line proposed by Dr Tim Harries of getting the communities involved in the process. We allowed them to select their own lead contractor.” Although some properties suffered similar flooding problems, the majority required different approaches to managing flood risk. It was therefore not beneficial to procure a single contract and potentially install unnecessary products at a property. It was therefore not beneficial to procure a single contract and potentially install unnecessary products at a property. Two local authorities took this approach. One authority however, was worried that “if everyone chooses different [products], once fitted they may prefer another product, etc.” We had in-house experience that we could utilise. Because of this, “we thought it best to allow individuals to choose what products/services they thought would benefit them, based on the Statement of Flood Risk Report produced and in conjunction with advice from us.” 57 9. Would you take a different approach in the future? If so, why and what would you do differently? Ten local authorities stated that they would not adopt a different approach in the future. This included all the different approaches listed in Question 8 above, apart from those who had a community led approach. It included responses such as: “No, I feel the resources required for this type of protection with multiple properties and owners involved are very time consuming and using the same supplier was easier and less problematic.” “No, seemed to work well, especially with the contractor that we had.” “I don't think there is any other way we could do it. We sent out specification to about 8 kitemarked companies and advertised in a civil engineering national publication. The trouble is there are so many people now jumping on the bandwagon.” Where a community led approach had been adopted, there was much greater equanimity: “Yes, as the process was fraught with problems, bickering between firms, if given the project again I would ask all companies to give presentations and have the communities select just one lead contractor. This was the process taken by Bath and NE Somerset.” “It would have been great to offer the scheme as a grant to the householders so that they liaised directly with the installers - we did this for one property as an experiment - but found it to be more costly as the VAT has to be paid as well. If the Local Authority undertakes the work we can claim the VAT this means that the monies go further. We also found that residents were reluctant to become directly involved (this is a wealthy, articulate community). If we commissioned the work we also ensured the work got done in the time allocated, which begs the question should flood defence products be VAT exempt.” There were also a few other comments: “Each project is different and the participation of residents is crucial, so I would keep an open mind and assess the best way of managing the needs of each property/community. However I suspect that a different approach would be unlikely as it is necessary for the project manager to have the appropriate skills and level of expertise to coordinate and quality control the various elements of the scheme. i have also seen the benefits of dealing with a single company steering the project through its stages and how its easier to deal with a single provider when difficulties arise.” 58 “it would depend on the circumstances and what had to be done.” “I think the main thing we would do is ensure the surveys were carried out by companies who could then do the installation.” 10. What funding did the local authority receive from outside sources, such as Defra or the EA? With two exceptions, all of the schemes were funded entirely from Defra and/or EA grant, though for one scheme there was the possibility of top-up funding through discretionary grants held by county councillors. One respondent did not name the source of the grant, but it provided 100% of the funding. The two respondents that mentioned a variety of funding sources, predominantly sourced funds from flooding related budgets, plus local authority funds. One respondent sourced a small sum from the PCT. “XXXX pilot scheme - £90k Defra + £10k RFDC + £90k LCC, Defra PLP £131,100 (round 1) plus £79,800 (round 2), EA PLP £85k, EA Grant in Aid (over programme) £120k, XXXX Local Levy £73k” “Defra £32k, local authority - £40k ish possible more fingers crossed, PCT £1.5k” 11. What contribution, if any, did the Local Authority make? 13 local authorities stated that they made no financial contribution, but they all mentioned the staff costs incurred by the local authority, “Time and therefore costs evaluating the reports produced for each property; advice to individual property owners; site visits to properties pre installation to give advice and how best to implement solutions and post installation prior to the release of grant monies.” “We made no contribution except with officer time which was considerable.” One respondent stated that the local authority contributed as follows: “Project 1 £5k for additional property and all admin/officer costs circa £10k. Project 2 -£ 5k but also extended to two other properties not part of the original bid £12k.” Another mentioned that they had “topped it up with the recent annual Defra funding.” 59 12. Are you aware of individuals or businesses who have bought PLP products and services over and above what was grant aided? If so please outline this. Eight local authorities responded that either individuals or businesses did not purchase PLP products and services over and above what was grant aided or that they were not aware of this. Eight respondents were aware of additional purchases: “Numerous individuals spent above the grant available, this however did not exceed 10-15% of the original grant sum available to them” “Only at one property - one barrier only. We try to encourage self-funding but are not aware whether people elect to do this.” “We are aware of one or two business investing in PLP -the details of which I do not have at hand” Yes the property in XXXX made a personal contribution to enable a level of protection outlined in their initial survey report. The residents contributed an additional £1k to provide flood barriers at 900m high.” ”Because of the costs of some work to properties, these exceeded the maximum allowed on the Defra scheme and the householders contributed the extra. This was 3 houses and up to £3,500.” “Yes, there were a number of properties that had more than the £7k maximum of work that was payable under Defra funding so they met the excess themselves. One homeowner withdrew from the scheme and had the work carried out under separate contract made privately.” “Yes one household decided not to go with flood barriers but to make up the difference to have plastic doors” “Northumbrian Water using Whitehouse Construction to fit PLFP to properties prone to sewer flooding. Will come from their own funding sources” 13. Are you aware of any business manufacturing or trading in flood products or services in your local authority area? Ten local authorities were not aware of business manufacturing or trading in flood products or services in their local authority area. One local authority referred to companies in their region that they worked with and another mentioned two companies that stocked flood products in their area. 60 Three respondents referred to specific companies in their areas, all of them significant organisations in the supply of flood protection products. One respondent specifically referred to Blue Pages as the best source of information on the topic. 61 Individual household survey 198 households were interviewed as part of the PLP and Insurance survey. Question 17 asked respondents about how their PLP scheme was funded 58 of the 198 responses indicated that they had made a financial contribution to the project, the rest being entirely grant aided. 25 indicated that they had funded the project entirely themselves. These tended to be the older schemes, but not exclusively, and cost from £100 to £10,000, with most schemes costing individuals between £1000 and £7000. However there were instances of individuals spending £10,000, £25,000, £45,000 and £100,000. Where individuals’ contributions and grant aid were involved, the grant aid typically formed between £30% and 60% of the total value, but some individual contributions were much greater, up to 90%. Most schemes ranged between £1000 and £10,000. From the data collected, the more expensive schemes involved significant building works, such as laying new solid floors, raising floor levels, tanking, raising electrics and building features such as garden walls, as well as the installation of PLP such as non-return valves, flood doors and air brick covers. There were 27 self-funded projects totalling £1,276,660, ranging from £10 to £1,000,000. There were 29 projects which were part grant aided, the self-funded element totalling £191,934. 27 respondents provided sufficient information to provide a number for the grant aided element, which totalled £104,800. There were two respondents who did not provide sufficient information to identify grant aid and a further two who did not provide sufficient information to identify personal and grant aid information. Therefore, the total self-funded element in the sample was £1,468,594 and the multiplier from the grant aid was 1.83. It should be noted that the sample was not specific to one year and contained schemes dating back to the year 2000. 62 Alternative approach to estimating the market in PLP It was anticipated that it would be possible to undertake a parallel exercise to estimate the scale of the market in PLP. Objective 1, tasks 6 and 7 were: 6. Collect data from Companies House records and/or other sources in order to gain information about annual turnover. 7. Verify data “as validated by” use of an accountant/graduate in accountancy role Annual reports from Companies House were obtained for a selection of businesses listed as trading in PLP. 10 reports were obtained from Companies House webcheck service. These reports also failed to provide the information necessary. The businesses covered the full range of business size. The information provided was not of sufficient detail to be of any practical use VAT registrations were also considered to be a possible way of obtaining information on turnover. VAT registration means sales of VAT rated goods are expected to be above £77,000 per year however being registered does not prove that this amount comes from flood protection products or services. It is not possible to get VAT reports. Therefore, it was not possible to obtain data that could be used to corroborate market information from the surveys Therefore it was also not possible to verify the data. 63 Evaluation of methodology 1. Can a robust methodology be developed to estimate the size and value of the PLP industry? The investigation produced a number, but how confident can we be that it truly represents turnover of the industry, rather than just the sample? The alternative approach (Companies House and VAT) didn’t work and validation of turnover of the sample against the overall population of companies remains the outstanding issue. Therefore, whilst there is some useful and interesting information it is not clear how robust the estimates of turnover are. The majority of the turnover reported is not grant aided and many companies do not produce any outputs that are grant aided. But a few companies are heavily reliant on grant aid for their work. Without this support it is not clear that these businesses would be viable. The PLP and Insurance report demonstrated that there is a lot of investment in PLP that occurs outside of grant schemes. This was partly validated by the survey of local authorities in this report, where some non-grant aided work was identified. 2. Can this methodology be replicated? With the exception of the validation process through Companies House and/or VAT registration, all aspects of the methodology can be replicated. However, it could be made simpler. The survey of companies could be shorter and simpler, whilst retaining the key questions. It may not be necessary to survey local authorities again, unless there has been a significant change in policy, such as the development of a new insurance framework. It is clear that many companies produce flood protection products and services as part of a wider product range that may, or may not, have anything to do with flooding. An example would be a large consultancy that provides surveying services as part of a much larger portfolio that covers flood defence schemes, climate change adaptation and mitigation, policy support and development consultancy. A clearer definition of what companies to include would help set some boundaries Some companies are developing a solutions approach where flood products are part of an overall service to a client, rather than trying to sell flood products. The client may nominally be a householder, but it could also be a water company, and insurance company, a housing association or a local authority. It is likely that this aspect of the industry will grow, especially if the insurance framework incentivises this approach. A clear definition as to what elements to include in this approach would be helpful, for example, should it include maintenance of products once installed. Some products are questionable as flood products. For example, specialist external renders are used as part of the waterproofing process to help protect properties from 64 flooding, but they are also used in normal construction work. Although not included in this report, should they be regarded as a flood product? 3. What are the characteristics of the industry? The flood resistant products industry is still relatively young and has the characteristics of a sector that is still developing rapidly: 1. Standards are available for some products and processes, but not all, and these are still the subject of discussion 2. A lack of trust from related industries and the public about the efficacy of the products. This is not that they don’t necessarily work, but that the industry has not developed the systems and process to provide assurance 3. The Flood Protection Association is relatively new and not all producers are members 4. There are a lot of very small companies producing a single product or service, as well a huge range of company size. 4. How well developed is the industry? The industry is showing some signs of fairly rapid development: 1. All of the companies surveyed were limited, with no sole traders 2. Many companies were very well established, having been in existence for over 10 years, although a number of these were established in other areas and have developed flood protection products and services subsequently. 3. There is now an industry boy, the Flood Protection Association 4. A number of companies are working across several niches 5. A number of companies are becoming part of, or constructing, supply and demand chains. Within this process there are a number of companies that effectively act as enablers or as a fulcrum. Examples include UK Flood Barriers who have a range of suppliers and partners, and Whitehouse Construction, who bring a series of services and products together, as well as being manufacturers and suppliers. 6. A few companies have identified that they offer solutions rather than a product or service. Polygon for example, offers a reinstatement solution to the insurance industry, 5. What are the challenges that the industry faces? As an emerging industry there are a number of particular challenges that need to be addressed: 1. Whilst building regulations and kite marks are available, there is still a question about what quality control really means. Is it just the product, the installation, the survey or the whole process? To what extent should the type of building be reflected in standards and how can the characteristics of the user be properly taken into account, such as age, physical ability, learning ability and cultural differences? To what extent should products be permanently integrated in to buildings (such as flood doors) or is this totally unrealistic, particularly for retrofitting a wide variety of buildings? 2. In part due to the above, but also because of a lack of systematic evaluation of the effectiveness of property level protection, individuals and the insurance industry is not clear as to how effective PLP is. This is made more difficult by reports of cases where it has not worked. Individual reports of failure tend to be disseminated much more effectively than successes. The result is that 65 there is a lack of trust, particularly from the insurance industry in factoring in PLP in to insurance premiums and excesses. The recently produced Flood Risk Report Template is one way of helping to address this. 3. With the emergence of the Flood products Association, the need for companies to collaborate is becoming clearer. The recognition that there are areas where they need to collaborate and others where they should compete is an important milestone in the development of the industry. However, this is not universally recognised and much more work is required. 4. Whilst a few companies have recognised that they need to provide solutions, rather than just products or services, most have not. 5. Whatever replaces the Statement of Principles for household and small business flood risk insurance, there will be an opportunity to work with the insurance industry to help communities to become more resilient and improve access to insurance. 6. To what extent is the industry dependent upon grant aid? A striking finding from the results is that the industry is not very dependent upon grant aid. Out of a gross estimated turnover of £127,655,646 it was estimated that £89,072,656, 70%, was not grant aided, p51. Effectively this means that an additional £89,072,656 is being spent annually on flood risk management than is currently being accounted for. A few companies are highly dependent upon grant aid, but most (58%) are not reliant on grant aid at all. Only 30% of turnover is reliant on grant aid. Grant-aid from Defra and Environment Agency is focussed onachieving behaviour change with householders rather than business, although the net result is the increased protection of individual properties. This has implications for the future use of grant aid; how it should be focussed to best achieve the behaviour change results. In addition, how can behaviour change best be achieved with small businesses. Part of the solution will be contingent upon the outcome of the negotiations on a framework for flood risk insurance. 7. Are there any geographic patterns observable? No geographic patterns were observable in the data regarding concentrations of companies. 8. Did survey work come up with the numbers that are useful? The survey did produce a baseline indicating the size of the industry. It was found to be much larger than anticipated (190 companies) and with a significant annual turnover (£127,655,646) p51. Of this, only 30% is grant aided. This is effectively a useful baseline against which to compare future developments in the industry. What is not clear is what component of the turnover is driven by opportunities derived from insurance policy payments or reinstatement conditions when people make a claim. Further information and detail is also needed about the transactions of the larger companies, in order to more clearly establish what turnover relates to. This could be achieved by more detailed interviews. 66 The transactions from one or two large companies can affect the figures disproportionately. In this survey, these companies were removed from the dataset, so further investigation would be useful. During the course of the investigations a lot of “fuzzy” boundaries began to emerge. For example, whilst de-humidifiers do not really count as PLP, they do in the minds of the companies supplying them. Similarly, how do you separate out the PLP component in companies that provide an end to end service as part of reinstatement. 67 Objective 2 Objective 2 - Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits, essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. The intangible human impacts of flooding Evaluation of the Defra Property-level Flood Protection Scheme: Summary project March 2012 evaluated a programme of FDGiA funded Property Level Protection. By the close of the 2 year programme in March 2011, over £5.2 million had been awarded to 63 individual property-level flood protection schemes, offering practical flood protection solutions to 1,109 properties, using a variety of flood barriers, nonreturn valves and airbrick covers or replacements. In the first round of funding, £3 million was made available to 25 local authorities in June 2009, to protect up to 593 properties. In the second round, a further £2.6 million was awarded to 28 local authorities in March 2010, to protect an additional 532 properties. The benefits of this programme were estimated to be £4.80 per £1.00 spent. Defra set a cost benefit target to ensure flood and coastal risk management projects provide value for money. Projects funded by Flood Defence Grant in Aid must achieve a cost benefit ratio of 5 to 1. This means for every £1 spent, £5 of benefits (money saved in flood damages) must be achieved. The report also states, “generating other intangible benefits which are not included in the cost benefit analysis. These include reducing stress and anxiety for those living in fear of flooding, bringing communities together to decide how to manage their flood risk (one of the aims of Partnership Funding) and raising the general level of flood awareness and preparedness in communities.” Intangible impacts of flooding The impacts of flooding on people and communities can be devastating, with frequent reports of what appear to be extreme language to describe it. Some days I just felt like jumping off HumberBridge. It’s been that low, it’s been that bad, except I’m not brave enough to do it. But the state of mind you’ve been in – some days I’ve just sat in here and just sobbed and sobbed and sobbed. (Leanne, interview) Feelings of anxiety can continue to be experienced long after repairs have been completed and the person has returned to their home. Periods of bad weather, in particular, can be particularly stressful, as people fear a return of the flooding and are reminded of the emotions and hardships that they faced at the time: When I go home, the first thing I do if it’s been raining or is raining, is stop and check the level of the drain. The last thing before I leave is check the level of the drain just to make sure that I’m aware of its current state… There is a lot 68 of anxiety if the weather is going to be bad. As we move more into winter… the anxiety, I think, will rise and it’s affecting people. I think the main one is sleep patterns because a lot of us have said we are not sleeping through it and a lot of us are waking up and we’ve dreamt it’s been raining through the night because that’s on our mind all the time. (Amy, interview) When it rains I suppose, yes, I feel quite depressed … it maybe just triggers something in my brain. Yesterday it rained quite bad and I was coming in and the drain at the front is blocked and that was starting to fill and do you know, when you think - I just walk away and I don’t know what I’d do, I’d rather just set fire to the house, walk away and just never come back I think. I couldn’t do it again. (Abby, interview) Householders also describe the strain on their family relationships, for example with an increase in arguments. In some cases, the stresses on relationships can be amplified by the type of accommodation used during the recovery process. Those living in caravans or moving in with relatives while their home is being repaired often describe their stress and irritability as a result of having no personal space. However, relationships can also struggle in cases where the temporary accommodation is more adequate as people struggle to deal with their feelings of anger, tiredness and frustration. You get very fraught marriage-wise. We’ve had lots of arguments and lots of discussions and lots of “I’m leaving you when this is all done!” and “That’s it, the house is going up for sale!”. Because there’s nobody to help you – if my husband is working away during the week and he comes home on a weekend and we are in here, and it’s like all the stress I’ve had in the week goes straight on him, and all the stress he’s had in the week goes onto me… (Debbie, interview) Diarists also note concerns about their physical health. For example, some with longterm health problems, such as angina and arthritis, say that the flooding has made it harder for them to manage their condition, while other participants report suffering from coughs, colds, flu, stomach upsets and increased blood pressure in addition to more generalised feelings of malaise: I seem to be very run down and lethargic all the time (Kate, diary) Excerpts from The ongoing experience of recovery for households in Hull– response to the Pitt Review Interim Report Learning the lessons from the 2007 floods, Chapter 9 of the Pitt Review Interim Report.Rebecca Sims1, Will Medd1, Elham Kashefi1, Maggie Mort1, Nigel Watson1, Gordon Walker1, Clare Twigger-Ross2.1Lancaster University.2Collingwood Environmental Planning, 31st March 2008. CorrespondenceWill Medd (w.medd@lancaster.ac.uk) Rebecca Sims (r.sims@lancaster.ac.uk) These impacts can be long term too, The Effects of Flooding on Mental Health Health Protection Agency December 2011, exacerbated by the knowledge that 69 flooding, unlike other forms of “natural” disaster can, and often does, strike more than once. The National Flood Forum frequently receives comments such as “the recovery was far worse than the flood itself” and “I can’t sleep at night for fear that it will happen all over again”. The report Health Impacts of Climate Change, Health Protection Agency 2012, highlights that the evidence articulating the health impacts of flooding is not well researched, with several significant gaps. Therefore the benefits of flood defence schemes are unlikely to be valued sufficientlyin cost benefit estimates. This may be particularly the case where schemes actively require individual and community participation; where the process of engagement and empowerment can be valuable in itself. Market and non-market value Market and non-market valuation has been extensively studied in recent decades. For example, Valuing Our Natural Environment, Final Report NR0103, For Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, 20th March 2006 includes an articulation of the different types of value that make up Total Environment Value in relation to the Environment. The same principles apply to measuring society as well as the environment. “Total Economic Value The concept of Total Economic Value (TEV) has proven useful as a conceptual framework for keeping track of the wide range of complex and interrelated physical and value flows involved in valuing the natural environment. It reflects the use humans make of the natural environment (both through markets or informally) and also the value they may attribute to it unrelated to their current or future use. In other words, TEV consists of use value and non-use value (Defra, 2005)1. Use value involves some interaction with the resource, either directly or indirectly: Direct use value: Individuals make use of a resource in either a consumptive way (e.g. the fishing industry and agriculture) or a non-consumptive way (e.g. rambling). Indirect use value: Individuals benefit from ecosystem services supported by a resource rather than actually using it (e.g. watershed protection for flood mitigation, cycling processes for agriculture or carbon sequestration). Non-use value is associated with benefits derived simply from the knowledge that the natural environment is maintained. By definition, non-use value is not associated with any use of the resource or tangible benefit derived from it, although users of a resource might also attribute non-use value to it. Non-use value can be split into three basic components: Altruistic value: Derived from knowing that contemporaries can enjoy the goods and services the natural environment provides. 1 ‘Total’ in the term refers to the sum of its components, not the total value of the natural environment. The value measured is individuals’ preferences for or against changes in the quality and quantity of environmental goods and services. It is not the value of the entirety of the natural environment, without which we cannot contemplate human life on earth. 70 Bequest value: Associated with the knowledge that the natural environment will be passed on to future generations. Existence value: Derived simply from the satisfaction of knowing that ecosystems continue to exist, regardless of use made of them by oneself or others now or in future (also associated with ‘intrinsic value’). Finally, two categories not immediately associated with the initial distinction between use value and non-use value are: Option value: An individual derives benefit from keeping open the option to make use of some aspect of the natural environment in the future, even though he or she does not currently plan to make such use. It is “an additional value to any utility that may arise if and when the good is actually consumed” (Perman et al. 1999), and only exists because of uncertainty concerning future preferences and/or the availability of the good, and if the valuer is risk-averse. It can be regarded as a form of insurance to provide for possible future use. Quasi-option value: A related value arising through avoiding or delaying irreversible decisions, where technological and knowledge improvements can alter the optimal management of a natural resource. It does not require risk aversion. It is particularly relevant to the precautionary principle. A common example is the potential for genetic information in biodiversity to be used for creating pharmaceuticals or improved crop varieties. The term ‘benefit’ is used in the description of TEV above to mean maintaining or increasing human welfare. A cost, on the other hand, would relate to a change in the natural environment (e.g. pollution) that leads to a decrease in human welfare. Some use values can be expressed in monetary terms using data from actual markets. Use values derived from environmental goods and services that are not traded in markets, i.e. are non-market, and non-use values in general, are not reflected in market transactions unless there has been a government intervention in the form of taxation or another policy that forces the market price to incorporate these values. “ Results UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012 – Health Report S5.14.2. The total percase treatment and labour opportunity costs for cognitive behaviour therapy and non-directive therapy identified in Table 5.25 are rounded and define a range to be applied to the mid depression end point, within which the GP care cost is found. A central value is derived by taking the simple mean of these three values. This equates to £970 per person 71 This illustrates a typical market value where the impact is measured in terms of the cost of the services delivered. “There are also ‘intangible’ damages caused by flooding. These include stressrelated health impacts and loss of, or damage to, irreplaceable personal possessions (e.g. family photos, diaries etc.) and manifest themselves as the value of lost utility because of restricted activities, pain and suffering, anxiety about the future and concern and inconvenience to family members and others. These costs are not reflected in actual markets and hence cannot be estimated using actual market data. Generating evidence that such costs exist and producing initial estimates of their magnitude have been the focus of this study”. p9 R&D TECHNICAL REPORT FD2005/TD The Appraisal of Human related Intangible Impacts of Flooding. This particular study produced a sum for these damages of “about £200” per person through a willingness to pay to prevent flooding exercise.In essence, this research has attempted to value all of these intangibles through a single measure. Further work is currently being undertaken by the Health Protection Agency in West Sussex (pers. comm.) to better characterise the mental health impacts of flooding. This should then provide an opportunity to establish improved non-market values for these intangibles. Recent academic research and government policy has promoted a multi-criteria approach to the valuation of intangible impacts. See for example,Defra Evidence and Analysis series. Paper 5 Social Impacts and Wellbeing: multi-criteria analysis techniques for integrating nonmonetary evidence in valuation and appraisal. A discussion of current approaches and opportunities A paper for the Social Impacts Taskforce. Dec 2011. This paper advocates a multi-criteria approach to integrating non-monetary evidence. 72 Therefore, it seems likely that current values of the intangible benefits of flood defence schemes, including PLP, may be too low and it is possible that a very different value for the intangible impacts of flooding would be achieved through a multi-criteria approach. Therefore, more research is needed to come up with a value representing the intangible impacts of flooding. 73 Objective 3 The purpose of Objective 3 was to utilise both the survey of businesses and the analysis of date from Companies House and through combining them to define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. However, because the work with Companies house failed to produce useful results it was impossible to cross correlate in this way. On the demand side a partial analysis was conducted through a questionnaire of local authorities and water companies. The salient results are that: 1. Local authorities used a very limited number of companies for PLP work 2. Many of the same companies were used by different local authorities, so that the overall pool of companies involved with FDGiA grant work is quite small. 3. In addition to the PLP work, a proportion of the FDGiA grant was spent on ancillary works with traditional building firms. 4. A variety of constraints on local authorities shaped the way that they approached grant giving. These were a mixture of timescales, lack of expertise, procurement rules, what the community wanted, what was needed and available and what could be done most quickly and easily. 5. There was very little topping up of grants from local authorities, p59. 6. Local authorities were aware of some private purchasing of PLP, but not in a way that can be quantified easily. A better assessment of this is provided in the report PLP and Insurance, see p62 above, where householders were surveyed directly. 58 of the 198 responses indicated that they had made a financial contribution to the project, the rest being entirely grant aided. There were 27 self-funded projects totalling £1,276,660, ranging from £10 to £1,000,000. There were 29 projects which were part grant aided, the selffunded element totalling £191,934. 27 respondents provided sufficient information to provide a number for the grant aided element, which totalled £104,800. There were two respondents who did not provide sufficient information to identify grant aid and a further two who did not provide sufficient information to identify personal and grant aid information. Therefore, the total self-funded element in the sample was £1,468,594 and the multiplier from the grant aid was 1.83. This is likely to be a significant underestimate as the sample for this survey was obtained by contacting those who had received grant aid, as well as surveying local flood groups. Therefore the proportion could be skewed in favour of those receiving grant aid. It should be noted that the sample was not specific to one year and contained schemes dating back to the year 2000. Nevertheless this does indicate that there is a strong self funding component to the purchase of PLP and tends to 74 corroborate the finding in this survey that not all PLP schemes are grant aided. 75 5. Project Evaluation The project aimed to investigate and explore the supply chain benefits of the flood protection products market and the economic benefits of property level protection for non-FDGiA schemes. The primary aim was to provide an initial evidenced assessment of the size and rate of growth of the emerging market in the supply of flood risk protection to individual properties. The emphasis was on looking beyond Defra grant-funded property level protection (PLP) programmes and PLP projects supported via Flood Defence Grant in Aid (FDGiA) to evaluate the scale and growth in the wider supply of and demand for PLP products and services. The specific objectives were to: 1. Devise a method and produce an initial evidenced assessment of the scale and distribution, geographically and by sector, of expenditure by households, businesses, LAs and the third sector on FCRM measures to protect individual property (looking beyond the part-FDGiA funded property level protection schemes). 2. Identify how to utilise/adapt a parallel method of assessment of the likely damage avoidance benefits (from linkage with JBA cost effectiveness study results), essentially identify a compatible way of measuring the outcomes of that expenditure. 3. Utilise both of the above and combining them, define net value (and thus ‘returns’) for such property level investment across sectors. 4. Ensure that techniques and tools developed will be available for ongoing use to measure annually. Supply side The project started with the assumption that there were about 50 companies operating in the sector, based upon the National Flood forum’s previous experience, but through a scoping exercise found 190 Limited companies. A cross-sectional sample of 48 companies was surveyed via a questionnaire The gross annual turnover of the companies surveyed amounted to £32,081,000 in 2011/12. If translated to the 190 companies identified this would equate to a gross turnover of £127,655,646. PLP turnover probably related to the private sector for the sample was identified as £24,776,250, i.e. non-grant aided. Translated to the 190 companies identified it equated to a gross turnover of £89,072,656. Demand side A survey of local authorities and water companies revealed that procurement was from a relatively small number of companies. This was for a variety of reasons, but included issues procurement processes, lack of time and expertise and the availability of certain products. It also showed that a proportion of FDGiA grant went to other non PLP companies undertaking ancillary works such as groundworks and pointing. Data from this survey did not reveal that grant aided PLP schemes drew in additional funding from the local authority, insurance companies, water companies or householders, but a separate survey of householders who had protected their 76 homes, National Flood Forum 2012, PLP and Insurance, revealed that there was considerable additional funding provided by householders. The total self-funded element in this sample was £1,468,594 and the multiplier from the grant aid was 1.83. This is likely to be a significant underestimate as the sample for this survey was obtained by contacting those who had received grant aid, as well as surveying local flood groups, rather than all those who might have protected their homes. Therefore the proportion could be skewed in favour of those receiving grant aid. This corroborates the finding in this survey that the industry is not very dependent upon grant aid. Out of a gross estimated turnover of £127,655,646 it was estimated that £89,072,656, 70%, was not grant aided, p51. Effectively this means that an additional £89,072,656 is being spent annually on flood risk management than is currently being accounted for. A few companies are highly dependent upon grant aid, but most (58%) are not reliant on grant aid at all. Only 30% of turnover is reliant on grant aid. The JBA cost effectiveness study,Defra 2012,Establishing the Cost Effectiveness of Property Flood Protection: FD2657 reviewed and updated the average costs and damage avoidance benefits from the FDGiA programme. It found: “Compelling evidence for the cost effectiveness of manually deployed flood resistance measures, with high benefit cost ratios and high Partnership Funding Outcome Scores for typical flood thresholds of up to 2.5% annual exceedance probability (1 in 40 year). The higher cost of Automatic Resistance measures results in lower benefit cost ratios but there are still significant cost effective opportunities for schemes with appropriate levels of contribution, but at typically lower flood thresholds of 5% annual exceedance probability (1 in 20 year). The high cost of resilience measures indicates that these are a less cost effective option for Government intervention, unless flooding of a property occurs at greater than a 20% annual exceedance probability (1 in 5 year). Manual Resistance measures are more than twice as cost beneficial as automatic measures, achieving some very high benefit cost ratios. The effects of reliability have been examined but found not to have significant impacts on the overall outcomes.” Typical Benefit:cost ratios of greater than 1:1 were found for manually deployed flood resistance measures for flood thresholds of up to 2.5% annual exceedance probability (1 in 40 year). However these rose to 5:1 for all core property types exposed to flooding with a 10% AEP (1:10 year) threshold. This is in contrast to Automatic Resistance measures which generally exceed a benefit cost ratio of 2:1, but which never reach 4:1, for the higher frequency 10% AEP (1:10 year) flood threshold. Automatic Resistance measures are not cost beneficial for lower frequency flooding thresholds of 4% AEP (1:25 years) or less. 77 Taken at face value, benefit:cost ratios of 5:1 for a reduction of flood risk through the use of manual resistance methods would provide a public benefit of £445,363280 from the estimate of non-grant aided spend of £89,072,656. However there are a number of caveats: 1. Not all of the non-grant aided spend is on manual resistance measures 2. The Cost Effectiveness study focusses on residential property whereas the spend estimated in this study covers all sectors (residential, business and commercial). Nevertheless the benefits for business and residential are likely to be similar. Nevertheless, although there are some significant reservations, it would be reasonable to expect the results to be meaningful. This is backed by the results of the cross-comparison of thebenefit:costratio between homes and offices in Defra 2010,Developing the evidence base for flood resilience FD2607. Conclusions The conclusion is that there is currently a significant private sector, non-grant aided spend £89,072,656 on flood risk management through individual property level protection that is currently not accounted for in current estimates of flood defence spending. When benefit:cost ratios are taken in to account this produces a range of up to £445,363,280 in annual benefits. The survey of flood product suppliers indicates that the market for most firms is growing, reflecting that this is a relatively young sector. There is evidence from this survey that it is also maturing through supply and demand chain development and the development of a solutions focussed approach. In addition, Government policy (Flood and Water Management Act 2010) is increasingly seeking to provide a community focussed approach, particularly where traditional flood defences either will not work or where they do not offer sufficient benefits. Public attitudes to investing in protecting their own property have been at the heart of the grant aid programme. From this survey at least, there appears to be a proportion of the population that is investing in reducing their flood risk. Further development is likely to be contingent upon a number of factors, such as the outcome of the negotiations on a flood risk insurance framework, future incidences of flooding and the level of trust that PLP appears to engender. Nevertheless, this sector might reasonably be expected to continue growing. 78 6. Recommendations Objective 4 - Provide recommendations for development and refinement of method, including future expansion to explore worth of investment in better localised awareness and preparatory actions to reduce incident consequences. Now have a baseline. It could be improved by: Better definitions Clarity about what is and is not PLP Greater clarity about the turnover of larger companies How to deal with situations where PLP is part of a solutions based approach Greater understanding of grant aid from water companies and insurance companies Further studies – how the supply and demand site develops. How the solutions approach develops The role of quality and trust in developing in developing the marketand the supply and demand chain to support it. The extent of collaboration The spend on Manual vs automatic and Resilience measures 79 7. References 80 8. Appendices Companies involved with flood risk products Companies sampled in the questionnaire Questionnaire for companies dealing with Property Level Protection products and services Graphs of results and data 81 Appendix 1 Companies identified as being involved with flood risk products and services A Turner & Sons Ltd AAC Cryoma AAH Planning Consultants Absorbeez Absorbeez by Forkoak Rolls Ltd Acorn Group Action Dry Emergency Services Action Speedry AET formerley Aqua sac Affordable Flood Solutions Airbrick Flood Defence by Manthorpe Aire Group Andrew Collins Aqua Barrier Systems Ltd Aquacast Aquafence Aquatic Control Engineering Ltd AquatitePanseal Ark Total Solutions ARUP Avantiahomeprotect Balds Balm Bauer Inner City BCB International Ltd Betts Associates Ltd Birch Brothers Brian Percival Capital Symonds Caro Flood Defence Systems Ltd Carrier Barrier - Kintec Cleanwater Ltd Cobra Cole Easdon Consultants Crompton Moudings Ltd Dam Structures Damfast Flood Solutions Defence Doors Ltd Depositit DisasterCare Platinum Drymat® Systems Dryright Ltd Eaga EasifitVentguards Easiview Drainage Ebac Eco Coverage Technologies Gooch Group Eco Sound Eco Valve Ecochoice Ltd Edge Equipment Hire Ltd Egniol Egniol Environmental Defence Systems Ltd Environmental Innovations Ltd Environmental Sustainable Solutions Ltd Equity & General Insurance Services Ltd Euroblock Scotland Ltd Euroflo Fluid Handling Farrow Systems UK Flash Flood Doors Floating Castle Flood Prevention FloDef Limited Flood Ark Ltd Flood Bag - Mangar Flood Block Flood Consult Flood Control Ltd Flood Defend Flood Defender Ltd Flood Guards Systems Ltd Flood Management Company Flood Master Flood Matters Ltd Flood Proof Limited Floodbond Floodgate Floodsax Floodsearch UK Floodsentry Limited Floodshield Floodskirt (Woodward Associates) Floodstoppers Floodtite Systems Ltd Floodwall Flowstop Fluid Systems Technology Fluvial Innovations Ltd FRMS GDM Siphons Product Geodesign Barriers Ltd Geoff. Evans BSc CEng MICE Globehuggers Emergency Supplies RAB Consultants 82 Gravitas International Hamer Car Lift Co Ltd Hesco Bastian Ltd HiBar Flood Systems Ltd Home Dry Restoration Homeguard Products Hydrologic Ltd Hyropanel Ian Summerfield MRICS MCIOB IBS Engineered Products Limited Ideal Group IFDP Ltd IH Tools & Fixings Ltd Insurance Choice International Flood Control ISS Damage Control J BrehenyConstractors Ltd J T Atkinson & Sons Janus Uk Flood Defences Ltd JBA Consulting John Kilbride K B I (Installations) LTD Kayron Krustec UK L B Plastics Ltd Land and Partners Landscope Engineering Ltd Liquavision M Design UK Ltd. Maltby Land Surveys Ltd Malty Land Surveys Ltd Mangar International Marley Eternie Martin Wright Associates Mason Clark Associates McArthur Group Task Green Ltd Micro Drainage Mission Rubber (UK) Ltd Mouchel Multi-Flood Solutions Munters National Flood School One Delta Ltd Pebble Black Ltd Pell Frischmann Consultants Plasicab Protectahome Protek Risk UK Limited Proten Services Ltd Rainbow International Rapid Climate Control Raymond Brown Construction Ltd Reach and Rescue Ltd Rentokil Hygiene Restoration Express Limited Revetment Ltd RKB Ltd Robinson and Son Ryton Building Products Ltd Sanderson Associates Scrimsign Microelectronics Ltd Secure Inventories Sentry Safe UK Ltd SG Baker Ltd sld pumps Snorkelvent SPE Limited Sutcliffe & Co Insurance Consultants Telling Ltd The Alternative Accommodation Agency Ltd The Honeywagon Company The Property Care Association Three Counties Flood Risk Assessment Three Counties FRA Tilt Dam Ltd Total Flood Solutions txttools Ltd UK Flood Barriers UK Flood Control UK Pipelines Ltd Ventguard Products Ltd Verdeant Ltd Versadock International Ltd Water Out Water Resource Associates Ltd Waterco Watermark Projects WAC Watertight International Ltd Wavin Plastics Ltd, Weetwood Weir & Carmichael Ltd WERM Whitehouse Construction William M. Snape Manufacturing Services Woodway Engineering Zorbmat Ltd 83 Appendix 2 Companies sampled in the questionnaire Absorbeez Absorbeez by Fortoak Rolls Ltd AET AquatitePanseal BCB Internatyional Ltd Capita Symonds Carol Flood Defence Systems Defence Doors EasifitVentguards Eco Coverage EDS Flash Flood Doors Ltd Flood Ark Flood Control International Flood Defender Flood Divert Ltd Floodbond Floodgate Ltd Floodshield Floodtite Systems Ltd Fluvial Innovations Geodesign Barriers Gravitas International Ltd I H Tools & Fixings Ltd IBS Engineered Products Ltd Isodaq Technology Maclennan LSE Maris Pumps Martin Wright Associates Mouchel Consulting MrArthur Group Ltd Pell Frischmann Consultants Polygon UK & Ireland Pro Earth Developments (Europe) Ltd RAB Consultants Revetment Ltd Rytons Building Products Ltd S G Baker Snorkejvent Tilt Dam Total Flood Solutions Ltd UK Flood Barriers W Robinson & Sons Water Resources Assoication Ltd Waterco Watertight International Weir & Carmichael Ltd Zorbmat Ltd 84 Appendix 1 Questionnaire for companies dealing with Property Level Protection products and services This survey asks questions about Property Level Protection (PLP) against flood risk and the supply of flood protection products in order to help to gain an understanding of size and nature of the supply chain. A report will be produced outlining the industry characteristics, opportunities and challenges. All information provided will be made anonymous and information aggregated so that individual companies cannot be identified. This research covers the supply and installation of products and services involved in delivering Property Level Protection (PLP) against flood risk. Examples of flood products - Alternative sand bags, door barriers, flood barriers, air brick and vent covers, sewage flood prevention, tanking, manual and automatic pumps Examples of services - Flood risk assessors, Property surveys, Hydrological surveys Thank you for your participation, it is greatly appreciated. Instruction: please tick one answer (unless indicated otherwise) and respond in the space provided, where appropriate. Details about your company 1. Contact name ………………………………………………………………………………………………....................................... 2. Name of company …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 3. Address …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Postcode ………………………… Telephone …………………………………… Email ………………………………… 4. Which sectors are you involved with? Flood products 85 Manufacture of flood products supply of flood products Installation of flood products wholesaler of flood products Types of flood product that your company trades in alternative sand bags door barriers flood barriers air brick and vent covers sewage flood prevention tanking pumps Services Flood risk assessors Property surveys Hydrological surveys making properties flood resilient Other products or services …………………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 5. What is the main business interest of your company? …………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 6. How long has your company been trading? 0-1 Year 1-3 Years 3-5 Years 5-10 Years Over 10 Years 7. How long has your company been trading in flood related products or services? 0-1 Year 1-3 Years 3-5 Years 5-10 Years Over 10 Years The proportion of turnover related to flood risk We are interested in the type of companies that are operating in this sector, whether they have developed around one particular flood related product of service, whether a flood product or service has developed as a side operation from a product line or service. 8. What type(s) of company are you? Sole trader Limited Liability Partnership Public company Charity Limited company Industrial and Provident Society Other If “other” please specify ……………………………………………………………………………………………….…………………… 86 9. How many people do you employ? ……………………………..……………………………………………………………… Turnover 10. What is your overall turnover in a year? ………………………………………………………………..…………………… 11. What percentage of turnover is related to flood risk products or services? -………………………………… 12. If you produce more than one flood risk product or service, what percentage of turnover does each product/service type contribute? ………………………………………………………………………………........... ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 13. Has the turnover related to flood risk products and services in the last twelve months Stayed the same? Increased significantly? Decreased significantly? 14. Does turnover fluctuate? Yes No If ”yes”, are there any particular reasons for this? ……………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 15. There is often more interest in flooding after a flood event. How has this affected your company? …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 16. What proportion of flood risk sales have been grant aided? ………………………………………………………… Defra Environment Agency Don’t know Water company local authority Other, please indicate …………………………………………………………………………… 17. What proportion of sales have been to independent households or businesses? ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Supply chain characteristics One measure of business benefits of a sector is the extent to which a supply chain has developed. 18. Do you supply flood product parts, products or services to other companies? Yes No 19. Do you buy flood product parts, products or services from other companies 87 Yes No 20. Please describe these supply chains ………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Geographic distribution of sales of products and services The distribution of sales may not be even across the country for a variety of reasons. There may be trends for the industry as a whole that would indicate how policies are applied differently in particular areas. 21. Have you found that the sales of products and services is distributed evenly across the country? Yes No If not, where are they concentrated? ……………………………………………………………………………………………… 22. Where do fewest sales occur? …………………………………………………………………………………………………… The degree to which companies have developed into flood risk products and services from other fields, such as fire and recovery, general surveying or telemetry for other purposes. It is suspected that some companies have been set up to deliver a specific flood related product or service, but that many others have developed into this market from other fields. 23. Was flood related products or services part of the original purpose of your company? Yes No 24. What was your company originally set up to deliver? ………………………………………………………………… 25. What motivated you to trade in flood products or services? ……………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Your views about the future Your perceptions about the future of flood products and services market are important, as are the challenges and opportunities you see ahead. So this is an opportunity to outline what things you would most like to see happen to make the value of the market and its supply chains develop in the future. 26. Is the value of the market for Property Level Protection products and services growing, contracting or stable? Growing Contracting Stable Fluctuating 27. What do you see as being the main reasons for this? ………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 88 28. What are the main barriers to value of the market for Property Level Protection products and services growing further? .……………………………………………………………………………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 29. What help is required to overcome these barriers? Government action lobby Local authority action Industry action Clearer funding below Greater public awareness of products Creation of a Other, please explain ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 30. Are you familiar how flood protection will be funded in the future (Partnership Funding)? Yes No 31. Are you familiar with the institutional responsibilities of different public bodies and future funding. Please tick all that you are familiar with Environment Agency Local authorities Defra RFCCs 32. How could the market for Property Level Protection products and services be encouraged? ……. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 33. How could the market for Property Level Protection products and services purchased by individuals, rather than through grant aid, be encouraged? ………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 34. What difference would this make to your company? …………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 35. Please tell us about any other issues that may be of concern to you in the space below, by email or telephone. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 89 36. Are you willing for us to contact you if we have any questions about the answers that you have provided? Yes No Thank you for your time and help. Please return this questionnaire to Amanda Davies (Amanda.davies@floodforum.org.uk ) or: National Flood Forum, Old Snuff Mill Warehouse, Park Lane, Bewdley, Worcestershire DY12 2EL The questionnaire may also be completed online at www.floodforum.org.uk 90 Appendix 2 91 Appendix XXX Update on the Counting non-FD GiA property Level Investment Project The Environment Agency and the National Flood Forum entered into a partnership project to investigate the emerging market for property level flood protection products and services (PLP), as well as the economic benefits of property level protection for non-FDGiA schemes. Progress on the project has been delayed by the recent floods in England and Wales. This note therefore provides an update on progress and a plan for completion of the work. Update An essential component of the work has been to provide a methodology to establish the scale of the commercial activity being undertaken on property level investment so that comparisons can be made in the future. To establish this a series of activities have been undertaken: 9. A database of businesses has been developed. This is much larger than had been anticipated, with 190 companies on the list compared to an estimated 50 at the outset. 10. The opportunities for gathering data about these companies from external sources such as Companies House was investigated. The information gained was found to be not particularly useful. This will be detailed in the report. 11. A survey of over 40 property level protection products and services businesses has been undertaken. Initial analysis has identified that: a. The companies surveyed covered the full range of products and services fairly evenly b. Half the companies have been in existence for over 10 years and almost half have been trading in flood related products and services for over 10 years c. The vast majority of companies are Limited Companies, with only a small number of sole traders d. There is a concentration of SMEs employing 0-10 people with a scattering of firms in each category above that, including large international concerns. e. There is a huge range in turnover from £2000 to £300 million. f. For the majority of firms, flood related products and services form a significant proportion of turnover, but the range is very wide. g. Slightly more companies think that turnover has increased significantly than has either stayed the same or decreased significantly, and a very high proportion state that turnover fluctuates significantly. Reasons given include the variability of the weather, the availability of grant aid, the way the grant aid is delivered and the lack of flood risk awareness in the UK compared to other markets. h. The proportion of sales that are grant aided are highly variable from 0 – 100%. i. The supply chains described are quite varied and the location of each company in its supply chains is very variable also. In many ways this is similar to the 92 situation in the retrofitting energy efficiency sector for domestic properties, characteristic of new markets. j. Sales do vary across the country, but no common patterns have been found so far. k. Most companies believe that the market for flood risk products and services is growing l. Barriers identified are many, but include: i. Lack of funding ii. Lack of public awareness of flood risk or flood products iii. Lack of incentive for people to protect their own property iv. Public sector contracts and procurement processes v. Cost of kite marking is preventing innovation 12. A survey of water companies and local authorities is underway. It is not yet possible to identify any clear themes or issues Schedule for completion It is planned that the survey of water companies and local authorities will be completed during November. In the meantime the existing results will be analysed more fully and reported. The next step is to analyse what worked and what could be improved, leading to the design of a methodology that can be replicated in future years and which will allow comparison of how the market has developed, identification barriers to progress and any policy interventions that might be considered. Subject to more flooding, the National Flood Forum will produce a draft report by the end of December 2012 for discussion. A final report will be produced in Quarter 4 of the financial year. Paul Cobbing 21st October 2012 93 Annexe XXX Barriers to the market for PLP 1. Defra funding has a negative effect 2. There is no clear direction from government 3. People are unaware of their responsibility and expect councils to deliver sandbags 2 4. The market is currently self limiting by local authority perceptions about the difficulties of the grant schemes e.g. legal difficulties leading to delays. 5. Whether or not insurance/mortgage companies look to see if they are going to lose money. Council of Mortgage Lenders, Building Societies own flood prone houses and need to sort this out to enable sales of properties. 6. Lack of knowledge. Home owners value their properties - businesses not fully aware – it’s a small industry 7. Having the money to take defence measures. 8. People who are not flooded are not interested 3 9. Government cutbacks / recession - good products but money not available 10. Problem with lowest costs wins tenders - desire to say protected lots of properties cheaply. Schemes only provides barriers to householders - do not protect property. 11. Lack of Government assistance 12. Funding and industry being reactive not proactive 13. Government Insurance and SOP expiring soon 2 14. Ridiculous price of kitemarkin products 15. Funding - co-ordination throughout the industry. Lots of people involved in different sections - too scattered need to blend together 16. Grant Aid - If Government support is withdrawn - no money available significant barrier. Go to community - inform - this only happens when someone pays 17. Not being proactive. People cross that bridge when come to it 18. Most people under the impression Government fund or supply products 19. Cost 20. Money, people don't want to spend money 'after' an event and will not happen to them again! 21. Marketing of products. Greater clarity needed from Insurance Companies as what is needed to comply 22. Councils reluctant to give grants due to financial pressure. EA not interested in PLP 23. Insurance - more needed to make it compulsory to have flood insurance. More work with insurance industry needed 24. Cost 25. Prices of every commodity going up. Glass up 26%. Grant system is a closed shop, no consistency from Councils. Work on contract basis very long and hard with very little reward. Contract specification 40/50 pages too long short time to complete tenders 94 26. They have a basic item - sandbag -more competition lack of product innovation 27. N/A 28. Lack of funding and view that it is potentially a long term problem, other pressures on businesses more important 1:50, 1:100 risk 29. Education and economy 30. Ensure time set aside for research and development to improve products. Changes in funding from ring fenced to new scheme will cause problems as Councils do not have the expertise to handle. They will help councils 31. Restriction of Councils lack of funding. Only if flooded do they get Government help 32. Lack of Government understanding of flash flooding, continuing focus on fluvial flood protection which neglects impact of pluvial events, lack of insurable product solutions 33. many people believe barriers need to be large scale and are difficult to install 34. Challenging market for new products. Need to educate people, need to demonstrate product is reliable and works effectively 35. Lack of finance, Public perception - people think Government/LA should pay not individuals 36. People need to know what they can do, Need to raise awareness 37. Funding - lack of from all areas 38. None, lots of Hydrologists around, can cope with and do more work 39. Budget availability 40. Do not see any barriers 41. Money - lack of 42. Competition - now lots of alternatives available 43. Grant schemes - adverse way, Insurance company offer cheap insurance householder not going to spend large amount on protection unless incentives are given. LA interfere manipulate market -= stops free market. LA more interested in Social Housing than the Private sector 44. Lack of investment from Government - stifles innovation 45. Awareness of products - Local Councils need to be more responsible 95 Annexe XXXX Companies were asked how the market for Property Level Protection Products and services could be encouraged. 1. Raise awareness via an independent body such as the NFF who are totally impartial 2. LA should send out mailshot to each household explaining they are not going to send out sandbags 3. An association of manufacturers. Government legislation. 4. People need to TRULY know their flood risk. Terminology (1:100) is responsible for a lot of misunderstanding. People need to understand that they can take practical steps to protect themselves. They need to know the efficacy of flood products. The insurance sector can encourage action and signpost support. 5. Encouragement of innovation through grants and funding 6. Getting Individual Insurance companies to make up their minds what to do Building Societies. 7. Social media - interact with people. Areas flood regularly - flood groups and forums need to be formed and people aware of 8. Local Authorities make people more aware and what is available - mail drops, media coverage, local radio 9. Better quality products, some very poor ineffective material out there 10. Greater awareness - Insurance - serious flooding event 11. Insurance Companies to enforce Flood Protection in flood risk areas 12. Government incentives/subsidies for investment in design 13. Greater awareness 14. Through EA. This is where people go to look 15. More awareness of damage it can do 16. Government action - distinct upturn in sales to public when grants awarded 17. Insurance Companies do not acknowledge products installed - need to push for protection products 18. Engage with developers, education programme for householders - know where their property is, measures open to them 19. Promote and use local solutions. Local flood authorities not EA 20. Not sure - Insurance Companies - main drivers 21. Make Grants available 22. Insurance Companys offer incentives for protection measures taken - have it underwritten in the contract 23. Only if 'forced' into doing something (Insurance) Local Councils need a contingency plan in place 24. Clearer warnings - weather changes and bad weather - better clarity, education and awareness 25. Funding and awareness 96 26. Compulsory Insurance cover for everyone - more policies mean more work 27. Subsidy given to Householders for protection taken. Central Funding Grants & ABI must be transparent and offer something for protection 28. Insurance Companys need to be more involved. Homeowners cannot see a reason to spend a fortune on protection. Do not want to spend money if they cannot see a reduction in premiums. Ins Companys need to recognise protection taken, be consistent and offer reduced rates of insurance 29. Industry very fragmented, more uniform approach , encourage development of new products 30. The insurance industry incentivising people to invest in flood protection 31. By lobbying and greater understanding and effective Government support 32. Education 33. Make more affordable to homeowners - expensive for individuals. LA should block purchase and sell on. Stigma of flooding needs to improve, shame factor removed and make a more normal event 34. Government increase funding, more awareness 35. The industry has to do a better job of promoting its products and services. There has to be a general understanding that PLP is at the expense of the High Street 36. Get Home owners to club together, buy store and set up themselves. Need to be trained on how to install correctly. Group of pensioners in Witney set up a group, funded by Oxford CC, David Cameron attended 37. Government, marketing, educate everyone. EA need more marketing people need to be aware of local suppliers 38. Make Grants easier to obtain 39. Make Insurance more affordable 40. The Public are confused - some might need, others definitely, all about getting the right product for individual situation. More information 41. More publicity and education 42. Budget availability 43. Publicity - Local businesses to be more pro-active. Community/Councils identify areas 44. Council members not keen on some products see them as a temporary measure 'Ugly' not a long term solutions - 'a sticking plaster'. Local authorities not aware of all the funding that is available 45. More local Government funding, better partnership working 46. If people cannot get insurance - need incentives to encourage them to get protection, show value of property can be increased 47. Funding - Councils have no forethought - want products now - not prepared to wait weeks whilst made 48. More awareness of products 97 Appendix XXX Respondents were asked, how the market for property level protection products and services purchased by individuals rather than through grant aid could be encouraged? Very similar responses were obtained, listed in Anexxe XXXX Raise awareness via an independent body such as the NFF who are totally impartial LA should send out mailshot to each household explaining they are not going to send out sandbags public awareness. Provision of facts (eg relative risk of fire and flooding), Promotion of an understanding of flood risk (eg surface water). Need more levers. Building regs should be updated. The more the market develops, the more confusing it is. Where would you go to get started? People need to be directed. The market has the potential for abuse. There is a reputational risk for all providers eg Trust and reputational risk for Blue Pages Not sure if it can, unless they have experienced flooding, not sure they are interested. Products expensive and might never be used. Building Societies, Estate Agents to help the sale plus individual builders especially on flood plains. Need code put in place. On line Greater awareness Perceive benefit of buying product. Better Insurance, be aware Insurance Companies to enforce Flood Protection in flood risk areas Lower end user cost to attract people to protect themselves Trade Journal published quarterly Through EA. This is where people go to look Media, TV, Papers reporting, Councils notifying people at risk Individuals get cash back from Councils/Insurance Companies if they install protection products 98 Insurance Companies do not acknowledge products installed - need to push for protection products Insurance Companies offer discounts - make it part of the policy if Flood Protection measure taken Reduction in premiums and excesses to encourage growth of protection levels installed Not sure - Insurance Companies - main drivers. Need to know the benefits especially of their company - reduces time out of property Householders reluctant to part with their money, if flooded once - it will not happen to them again - more grants needed Economic Climate - not much money around need grants to encourage development. Householders have no spare money not encouraged to protect Apathy all round - people aren't bothered. Market will not flourish Education and Greater Awareness - as previous Needs to be part funded Compulsory Insurance cover for everyone - more policies mean more work ABI need to be involved. Incentives offered. Central Government involved. Insurance Companies must be aware of protection taken by householders and press to keep flooding cover Grant maintained systems paid for by Councils - not maintained/looked after - they are abused/kicked in as don't have an incentive - insurance not reduced Sell mostly to businesses ( large quantities) sell low volume to the public - no ideas The insurance industry incentivising people to invest in flood protection By lobbying and greater understanding and effective Government support Who is responsible - people need to know. Insurance Companies People need confidence of the people doing/installing work and products. Some solutions not tried and tested. BSI needs stronger/tougher regulations - products tested on site in a real event. Remove grant system make individuals more responsible Only people flooded buy products, if not flooded, won't buy - need greater awareness Education, people protect themselves from fire and theft - why not flooding PLP has to be seen as an investment rather than as a resentful purchase 99 Insurance is the key General Public need more education and knowledge of products available. Need to see and understand protection products Advertising Raise awareness, people usually only motivated when they have been flooded. Need to encourage protection Make Insurance coverage more beneficial - if people have a flood plan/products in place More awareness, DIY stores making products available, education and information. People must be prepared More floods! People need to be aware, help from Insurance companies. Need to know of products/services available and where to get information Down to individual resource More information - and how to go about protection Those that have been flooded are aware, those not affected need to be educated need to be aware and proactive, incentives needed Do not sell to the public Educate homeowners to realize if protection taken they can sell their property and increase its value Funding needs a partnership 50:50 between householder and product. Then not too expensive an outlay, Investment needed both sides and encourage people to selfprotect More awareness of products 100