Resource Management Guide No. 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management JULY 2014 © Commonwealth of Australia 2014 ISBN: 978-1-922096-66-1 (Online) With the exception of the Commonwealth Coat of Arms and where otherwise noted, all material presented in this document is provided under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au) licence. The details of the relevant licence conditions are available on the Creative Commons website (accessible using the links provided) as is the full legal code for the CC BY 3 AU licence. Use of the Coat of Arms The terms under which the Coat of Arms can be used are detailed on the following website: www.itsanhonour.gov.au/coat-arms. Contact us Questions or comments about this guide should be directed to: Public Management Reform Agenda Department of Finance John Gorton Building King Edward Terrace Parkes ACT 2600 Email: pmra@finance.gov.au Internet: www.pmra.finance.gov.au This guide contains material that has been prepared to assist Commonwealth entities and companies to apply the principles and requirements of the Public Governance, Performance and Accountability Act 2013 and associated rules, and any applicable policies. In this guide the: mandatory principles or requirements are set out as things entities and officials ‘must’ do; and actions, or practices, that entities and officials are expected to take into account to give effect to those and principles and/or requirements are set out as things entities and officials ‘should consider’ doing. Property Management Guidance This publication is one of a series designed to assist Australian Government entities in their management of property and form part of the Resource Management Guide series1: No. 500 Overview of the Commonwealth Property Management Framework No. 501 Property Management Planning Guidance No. 502 Guidance for the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process for Australian Government Construction Projects No. 503 Whole-of-life Costing for Australian Government Property Management No. 504 Commonwealth Property Management Framework Lease Endorsement Process No. 505 Funding Arrangements for Commonwealth Property 1 Full series available at www.finance.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 1 Contents PROPERTY MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE .......................................................................................................................... 1 AUDIENCE .............................................................................................................................................................. 3 RESOURCES ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 PURPOSE ............................................................................................................................................................... 4 WHEN TO UNDERTAKE A WHOLE-OF-LIFE COSTING ....................................................................................................... 5 WHOLE-OF-LIFE COSTING FOR THE PURPOSE OF COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS AND THE TWO STAGE CAPITAL WORKS APPROVAL PROCESS ................................................................................................................................................................ 5 Determine the Objectives and Project Scope .................................................................................................. 6 Identify Feasible Options ................................................................................................................................ 6 Estimate the Whole-of-Life Cost ..................................................................................................................... 6 GLOSSARY ............................................................................................................................................................ 16 APPENDIX A - SCHEDULE OF TYPICAL COSTS IN AN INITIAL ESTIMATE ............................................................................... 17 Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 2 Audience This Guide applies to all Non-Corporate Commonwealth entities (Non-Corporate entities) subject to the Public Governance, Performance and Accountability Act 2013 (PGPA Act) and Commonwealth Property Management Framework (Property Framework). Resources This guide is available on the Department of Finance website at www.finance.gov.au. Additional guidance is available from the Commonwealth Property Management Framework webpage at http://www.finance.gov.au/property/property/property-managementframework.html or by contacting propertyframework@finance.gov.au Introduction 1. When planning the acquisition or lease of assets, the initial capital outlay is often the main element being considered. There are, however, ongoing costs that will be incurred over the life of the asset that are less visible but no less essential to the operation of the asset.2 These costs need to be taken into account as part of any cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of a capital works proposal. This process of estimating these costs from the initial acquisition or construction of an asset through the operational phase with ongoing maintenance and to final disposal is known as Whole-of-Life Costing (WLC).3 2. WLC is a key strategic asset management tool that contributes to the achievement of the entity’s financial and non-financial objectives. The WLC does this through: a. Informed decision-making: WLC provides a systematic method for comparing project alternatives and identifies the option that represents best value for money; b. Long term asset planning: Entities are better placed to understand future resource requirements for the public works under their control; c. Consistent costing approach across options: Options that are costed on the same basis allow for a more robust analysis and can be more appropriately compared; and d. Transparency and accountability: Visibility of the WLC associated with a proposed investment allows for closer scrutiny of the project and ensures that decision-makers are able to prioritise the use of public resources. WLC provides a baseline for considering how best to manage resources and costs over the useful life of the asset. 3. The purpose of undertaking a WLC is to provide a consistent and transparent approach to government decision-making relating to capital assets, and to enable a comparative evaluation of the alternative options. Figure 1 provides an indicative example of the WLC over a typical asset’s life-cycle. 2 The economic life of the asset in the case of a capital works proposal, or the duration of the lease. 3 WLC could be and often is larger than the initial outlay. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 3 Figure 1: Costs over the asset life-cycle4 COST Acqu isition costs Operation Disposal Main ten ance Developmen t Start up Disposal LIFE CYCLE (YEARS) Purpose 4. The purpose of this guidance for Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management (the guidance) is to assist Non-Corporate entities subject to the PGPA Act to prepare WLCs for Australian Government capital works proposals. WLCs are an element of the cost-benefit analysis required as part of the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process5, in accordance with the Property Framework6 or as required when preparing submissions to the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Public Works (PWC)7. 5. Australian Government property management and capital works take place in a devolved environment, with individual entities taking the lead role for capital works as appropriate. Accordingly, entities are required to follow this guidance when preparing proposals for consideration by the Government, to provide consistency across the Australian Government. The guidance provides: a. key concepts and terms for use as appropriate by entities in undertaking WLCs for making fully informed property decisions; b. assistance with the calculation of the Net Present Value (NPV) and treatment of separate allowances such as risk provision and cost escalation; and c. directions to the other relevant policies and information to assist in property management decisions. 6. This guidance is primarily intended for use by Non-Corporate entities. Corporate Commonwealth Entities (Corporate entities) can use the guidance as a tool (or as part of a suite of tools) when developing WLC estimates for their capital works projects or leasing transactions. 7. The guidance has been written purposely with a domestic capital works focus. Those overseas projects that will need to undertake a WLC assessment can seek specific advice from the Overseas Property Office within the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. 4 Source: Life-Cycle Costing - Better Practice guide, ANAO, 2001. Please note this diagram is indicative only. 5 Guidance for the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process for Australian Government Construction Projects is available at www.finance.gov.au . 6 The Overview of the Commonwealth Property Management Framework is available at www.finance.gov.au. 7 The PWC manual requires WLC estimates to be included in submission to the PWC. Please see the PWC Procedure Manual which is available at www.aph.gov.au for further information. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 4 8. Corporate entities will need to consider additional factors when undertaking a WLC assessment (including the impact of financing considerations such as interest repayments on borrowings from the private sector and dividend payments to the Commonwealth). 9. This guidance may also assist tenderers and professionals such as architects, quantity surveyors, property managers, property service providers and engineering consultancies that maybe preparing an estimate on behalf of, or in conjunction with, entities by providing an indication of the degree of rigour that the Australian Government requires. When to Undertake a Whole-of-Life Costing 10. The maximum benefits from WLCs are achieved by undertaking the analysis as early as possible in the initial project development phase, before the detailed design phase or the acquisition phase. This allows refinements to be made during the design stage. The WLC can be revisited and refined during Stage Two of the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process, when information on the options becomes more accurate. 11. WLCs can continue to be a useful tool to monitor and control costs throughout the project life. WLCs can also assist entities when assessing the feasibility of enhancing current assets and planning and budgeting for their future asset requirements. 12. The robustness and confidence levels associated with undertaking a WLC during the initial project development phase will obviously be lower than the accuracy achieved at a project’s detailed design stage. As a result, the underlying assumptions associated with the WLC estimates should be appropriately documented and refined as the project matures (see ‘Document the Decision’ section of this guidance). 13. The WLC can also provide a robust test of the value of the asset when comparing it with the opportunity cost of capital. This test allows decision-makers to assess the different priorities, policy outcomes and environment and social factors with the WLC of the capital investment. Whole-of-Life Costing for the Purpose of Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process 14. For those proposals subject to the Two Stage Capital Works Approval Process, and which have been through the initial CBA process, the WLC will need to be further refined as part of the Second Stage of the approval process. 15. The key steps in conducting a WLC are illustrated in Figure 2 below and discussed later in this guide. Not all of these steps are relevant to the initial CBA which primarily relates to the requirements of the first three steps of process outlined in Figure 2. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 5 Figure 2: Key steps in the Whole-of-Life costing process Initial Cost-Benefit Analysis Determine Objectives and Scope Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Identify Feasible Options Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Whole-ofLife Costing Risk Analysis (incorporating risk into the estimate) Determine the Objectives and Project Scope Determine Objectives and Scope Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Identify Feasible Options Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Whole-ofLife Costing 16. The usefulness of the final WLC relies on the accuracy and relevance of the project scope. Relevant project stakeholders should be identified and consulted as early as practicable regarding the functional and performance objectives of the proposal. Determining the specific objectives and project scope of the proposal provides the criteria by which feasible options can be assessed. Identify Feasible Options Determine Objectives and Scope Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing 17. A range of suitable project options should be considered and assessed against the status quo at the outset. The strengths and weaknesses, upfront and ongoing costs, and risks can vary significantly between alternative property options8. 18. As part of the process of identifying options, any constraints on the project should be identified. These include functional, performance, budgetary, environmental or heritage constraints. Furthermore, if considering alternative lease types, the costs and responsibilities associated with the different lease arrangements should be identified and scrutinised as part of the process. This will save time and effort on analysing alternatives that are not feasible or are inconsistent with government guidance and strategic priorities. Estimate the Whole-of-Life Cost Determine Objectives and Scope 8 Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing Finance can assist entities to undertake a cost-benefit analysis. The Handbook of Cost-Benefit Analysis is also available at www.finance.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 6 Step 1 - Define the cost elements 19. In this stage, all costs associated with a capital works proposal should be investigated and documented including provisions for cost escalation. These costs should be clearly defined, be independent of one another (as far as possible), and include an estimated dollar value and the years in which the costs are forecast to occur. Any assumptions associated with forming these estimates should also be documented, along with the risks and confidence levels attached to each estimate. 20. Information on the relevant costs should be based on the best data available at the time. Information can be collected through analysing various historical records, usage data and consultation with industry and cost estimating experts. While correctly identifying costs is important in establishing accurate WLC, the amount of time and resources invested in estimating those costs should be commensurate with the size, risk and complexity of the proposed capital work (noting that these will be refined as the proposal matures). 21. Some broad categories of relevant costs to consider include:9 a. Acquisition costs – the estimated costs associated with acquiring the capital asset. These will include the design, planning, consultancy services, seeking approvals, environmental, the purchase price or the construction costs, including associated plant and equipment; b. Operating costs – the estimated costs (excluding maintenance) of operating or leasing the capital asset. These costs include utilities, labour, rental costs, interest paid, taxes, contract costs and other overhead costs. When considering rental payments, it is important to include assumptions for rent reviews and escalation, including costs associated with lease options and incentives; c. Maintenance costs – the estimated costs incurred in maintaining the capital asset over its useful life. These costs are to include any performance management, consumables, repairs and associated labour costs; and d. Disposal costs – the estimated costs associated with selling and/or safely disposing of the capital asset at the end of its useful life. This may include remediation costs and any due diligence, (if required). 22. These costs determine the total cost over the life of the capital asset which underpin capital asset proposals and it is therefore important that time is taken to ensure that all relevant costs are considered. Each delivery option will yield different costs as a consequence of the differences between risk profiles, contractor involvement, performance parameters and administrative overheads. For further assistance, Appendix A contains a typical example of a cost schedule. 23. Different financing models could also affect the WLC. This aspect should be considered when defining the cost elements. Depending on the financing model, the contractual arrangement may reduce the initial investment in exchange for a higher fee for service or higher rental payments (compared to market rates). This is particularly relevant for proposals to lease an asset or those proposals financed through Public Private Partnerships (PPPs), Private Financing Initiatives, Build Own Operate and Transfer models. 10 24. Entities should also be cognisant of any broader or site-specific environmental or social factors. All acquisitions, operations and disposal of assets can have direct and indirect 9 For further information see AS/NZ 4536: Life Cycle Costing – An application guide 1999. 10 For further information please refer to the National PPP guidelines available at www.infrastructure.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 7 environmental impacts and this may attract additional costs and benefits. These are not covered in detail in this guide but should nevertheless be included as part of an assessment of a specific proposal including any Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act) considerations. Step 2 - Estimate the Costs 25. Once the cost elements have been defined, the WLC of an asset can be estimated. This is done by calculating the sum of the capital and acquisition costs, operational and maintenance costs and disposal costs (less the residual value). Figure 3 provides an overview of the elements to consider. 26. The total capital cost component includes an estimate of all costs to acquire or lease the project. Entities should take a conservative approach when calculating capital costs as underestimation of the initial cost forecast is likely to result in the need to seek additional funding which may cause further delays and potentially, the need to reduce the project scope and compromise the final outcome. Figure 3: Elements of a Whole-of-Life Costing for Public Works11 Operational and Maintenance Costs Initial estimate • Approvals and planning • Design and estimate • Land acquisition • Construction Running Costs • Utilities and waste • Building administration • Lease costs • Levies Site/Asset Preparation • Resale costs • Probity costs • Marketing costs • Legal fees Provision for risk Staff costs to manage the asset operations Remediation and decommissioning costs Operating cost risk Owner cost risk Less residual value Provision for cost escalation 11 Disposal Costs Less Residual Value Capital and Acquistion Costs Please note The Goods and Services Tax should be included within all cost elements of the estimate (along with an indication of what portion is recoverable/non-recoverable, if appropriate). Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 8 Figure 4: Calculating the Capital Cost Figure 4 below illustrates how the capital cost estimate is constructed and the following sections describe the relevant elements within this process. Initial estimate (parametric analysis) Risk estimation (probabilistic simulation) Contingency Estimated Cost Apply optimism bias & expenditure/schedule profile adjustments Risk Cost $ Escalation Total capital cost $ Confidence Level Initial Estimate (First Stage) 27. For First Stage consideration by Cabinet, the base estimate can be developed internally by entities using the preferred approach for Entities is to use parametric (statistical) costing techniques12 for the development of cost elements until actual cost data is available. The building area is identified from initial scoping documents. Alternatively, if the capital works proposal is complicated, entities can engage a qualified quantity surveyor, in conjunction with other cost estimate specialists to produce the base estimate. 28. At this stage the base estimate is premised on only an indicative understanding of the scope of the works and a rudimentary understanding of the project risks. As a result of this understanding, a probabilistic approach to the cost estimate will factor in a considerable amount of the known risks likely to occur. 29. Entities should detail the limitations of the estimate as part of the WLC. This involves consideration and explanation within the estimate of elements such as adjustments for major changes in technology, new construction techniques, alternative procurement strategies or the business case. Entities should also identify aspects of the program which need to be subjected to sensitivity analysis and identify these in the project assumptions. The sensitivity of projected costs must be examined at this stage. Entities may wish to consider the use of statistical analysis to describe sensitivity to critical assumptions. Detailed Estimate (Second Stage) 30. For Second Stage consideration by Cabinet, the initial estimate is determined from the concept design and the functional design brief. This section is also normally completed by a qualified quantity surveyor in conjunction with other cost estimating specialists. At this stage, the base estimate is premised on a more detailed understanding of the project scope of works and an enhanced understanding of the project risks. As a result of development of the Detailed Business Case and supporting documentation, project risks are realised, refined or retired. 12 The Parametric Cost is the estimate of capital costs based on historical data of similar construction projects, generally based on desired square metres of floor area multiplied by a typical cost per square metre for a comparable building. Rates are available in cost estimating industry handbooks and reports, or can be provided by Finance. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 9 31. Typically, it is possible to achieve greater cost estimate certainty by advancing the design from the concept stage to the schematic stage or by putting the schematic design out to tender. Entities should further refine the reporting of risk for the Second Stage. As part of their cost estimate, entities should include a probabilistic assessment of the types of risks likely to occur, and an estimate of the cost and time required to mitigate the risk. 32. The PWC requires that, at a minimum, entities submitting works to the PWC include a cost estimate of risks, expressed as a dollar figure and percentage of the cost estimate, and provide a risk register listing the key temporal, financial, physical, environmental, social and legal risks attached to the project. Appropriate management strategies are to be provided in the risk register13. 33. It should be noted that the level of certainty achieved at the concept design stage is generally sufficient to allow the Second Stage consideration by Government. This means that entities do not incur unnecessary costs associated with detailed designs in the event that the Government decides the project should not proceed. Cost Escalation 34. The long lead times and the duration of many capital works projects mean that there is often a difference in the price of the building goods and services at the start and end of the project. A specific provision should be established for cost escalation to offset the expected rise in the construction inputs over the period of the project. 35. Quantity surveyors can be engaged to undertake this process. The entity should ensure that the cost escalation provision is separately identified and appropriate for the specific project. Proper regard should be given to relevant indices including the Consumer Price Index and construction-specific indices. Escalation provisions should be calculated and documented in four sub-elements: escalation up until commencement of construction; escalation during construction; escalation delay allowance based on the identified risk profile; and a provision for risk. 36. When considering risk, entities should identify the types of risk inherent in the delivery of the project, the proposed financial model to fund the project and the contracting arrangements of the capital project over the whole of its economic life. 37. As detailed in both the First Stage and Second Stage Initial Estimate section, the base estimate at both stages of approval should include an estimate of the risks associated with delivering the project. Entities should consider the risk management process during determination of the project budget. 38. The risk provision is required due to the uncertainty associated with the base estimate along with other contingent risks: a. Risks inherent within the initial estimate: Risks contained within the components of the base estimate that are very likely to occur (between 80 to 95 per cent probability or similar) in some form. For example, fluctuating costs attributed to the cost of labour during the construction phase; and b. Contingent risk: Risks attached to items outside the initial estimate that have less than 80 per cent likelihood of occurrence depending on particular events. For example, adverse weather events or contamination removal requirements. 13 For further information please refer to the PWC Procedure Manual available at www.aph.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 10 39. Entities may wish to consider their risk provision based on the sub-categories below: a. Design development contingency (inherent): a set percentage of the project cost allocated for cost growth as the scope and performance of the project become more defined; b. Construction contingency (inherent): a set percentage of the construction contract amount budgeted for unforeseen emergencies or design shortfalls identified after a construction project commences; and c. Unidentified risk contingency (contingent): an estimated percentage of the total project cost for these events where it cannot be classified as design development contingency or construction contingency. 40. The provision for risk should be based on an analysis of the identified risks and the probability of the risks occurring. Proper risk identification and assessment processes enable the project team to address the likelihood of risks occurring and to develop risk mitigation strategies.14 The risk provision should be expressed in dollar terms, with a corresponding probability of occurrence. 41. Because of the common occurrence of optimism bias in estimating, entities should pay particular attention to the detail in the risk provision, with a view to ensuring that the risk is not being understated and the impact of the risk on the project cost is not undervalued. Optimism Bias 42. ‘Optimism bias’ or ‘appraisal optimism’ refers to the demonstrated systematic tendency to be overly optimistic about the outcome(s) of a project. In other words, this is when favourable estimates and conditions are assumed to be the most likely occurrence. This may be prevalent amongst cost planners when costing major projects, and can lead to underestimating future costs and/or project managers overestimating benefits or underestimating scheduling requirements. 43. Entities should note that optimism bias is almost unavoidable when costing projects, and failure to account for this can lead to cost and time blowouts over the life of a project. In order to redress this, it is recommended that adjustments be made to the base costing, either via a sensitivity analysis, by adjusting the discount rates, or by applying an established optimism bias uplift to some or all of the cost elements. This will result in a more reliable costing, thereby outweighing the natural tendency towards optimism bias. 44. Engaging a cost planner and project manager with experience in projects with similar scopes may assist entities in mitigating the risks involved in optimism bias. Alternatively, third party objective viewpoints can be of assistance in this process, as can the use of personnel with experience in similar projects. A more detailed explanation of optimism bias can be found in the Handbook of Cost-Benefit Analysis15. Operational and Maintenance Costs 45. The operational and maintenance costs identified earlier in this section also need to be estimated and added to the capital and acquisition costs. 14 See AS/NZS 4360:1999 Risk Management; and HB143:1999 guidelines for managing risk in the Australian and New Zealand public sector and ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management Principles and guidelines. 15 Available at www.finance.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 11 46. Typically, these operating costs are developed by cost estimating experts using cost models drawn from existing buildings and facilities. Operating costs could include the rental costs, taxes (and what proportion is recoverable/non-recoverable) and interest paid (if applicable). 47. When considering the operating costs such as rental payments it is important to include assumptions for rent reviews and escalation (if applicable). It is also important to incorporate the costs associated with lease options or incentives. This will provide an appropriate basis to make value for money assessments. Disposal Costs 48. The costs of disposing, decommissioning and in some cases remediation of an asset once at the end of its useful life must also be accounted for and added to the capital, acquisition, operational and maintenance costs (less the residual value). Disposal costs may include16: a. due diligence assessments; b. resale costs; c. legal fees; d. marketing fees; e. procurement costs; f. probity costs; g. remediation and decommissioning costs; and h. any ongoing liabilities. 49. As with determining operational and maintenance costs, disposal costs can be identified through analysing records of similar disposals and the use of estimating experts and industry consultants. Consider Alternate Funding Determine Objectives and Scope Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing 50. While most of these property decisions will be funded directly through budget appropriations, entities are also encouraged to consider the applicability of alternative funding options such as: a. entering into a lease commitment with a private developer to fund construction of office accommodation; and b. sharing funding and project risks with the private sector by leveraging private sector investment in infrastructure assets through its balance sheet by way of government guarantee or equity investment. 16 This list is not exhaustive and depends on the property. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 12 51. The appropriate use of alternative funding options must be considered in the light of the total cost to government inclusive of risk throughout the life of the arrangement and the economic life of the asset. Calculate the Net Present Value and Sensitivity Analysis Determine Objectives and Scope Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing 52. The Net Present Value (NPV) of the project is the discounted value of the expected benefits of the project less the discounted value of the expected costs. As part of the determination of NPV entities should undertake a sensitivity analysis. This is a technique which involves altering the parameters of a project evaluation to see how they affect the outcome. This technique allows entities to appropriately gauge the NPV estimates. 53. For information on how to determine the NPV, including how to determine the discount rate, undertake a sensitivity analysis and account for optimism bias, entities should refer to Finance’s Handbook of Cost-Benefit Analysis and Introduction to Cost-Benefit Analysis and Alternative Evaluation Methodologies. 54. The Australian National Audit Office (ANAO) also provides guidance on calculating the NPV of a project, recommending the following formula.17 Present Value = FV/(1+r)^n Where FV = the amount to be spent or received at a point in the future; n = the number of intervals between the present and the future transaction; r = the discount rate applicable to the chosen intervals; and ^ = raised to the power nominated. For example, an expense of $100 in three years’ time with a discount rate of 10% would have a present value (PV) of: PV = 100/(1+0.1)^3 = 100/1.331 = $75.10 55. In supporting WLC costing, sensitivity analysis is used to assess the levels of uncertainty associated in forecasting variables such as operating and maintenance costs and key assumptions such as the economic life of the asset Document the Decision Determine Objectives and Scope 17 Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing Life-Cycle Costing - Better Practice guide, ANAO 2001. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 13 56. Documentation is a critical element to provide robust accountability and transparency. Where appropriate it can be as simple as a table of expected annual costs. Complex projects may include modelling which details various future scenarios and cost drivers. Documentation on WLC should, at the very least, reflect the rationale for the decision particularly where a higher capital cost is offset by lower long-term ownership costs. Entities should balance the level of detail in the documentation against the size, risk and complexity of the project. 57. A well planned and executed WLC evaluation that is supported by appropriate documentation is more likely to withstand external scrutiny. It also allows for the result to be understood and verified by others. Documentation for WLC can include the discounted cash flow analysis and related information (including all assumptions and supporting reasoning), Work Breakdown Structure reports and procurement reports. 58. At the First Stage approval, the Initial Business Case should provide detail on the following information and the relation to the WLC estimates: a. the assumptions on which the options depend; b. the details of the different delivery options and their effects on the cost estimates; c. the strengths and weaknesses of the different delivery options; d. the initial cost estimates – quantified and recorded; e. the timing of the different delivery options and the timing of critical milestones; f. the underlying assessment of probable risks (see Appendix B for more detail); and g. the sensitivity analysis undertaken. 59. When the Second Stage Approval submission is prepared, the Detailed Business Case should incorporate several supporting documents in relation to the cost estimates. At this point of the project’s development, documents such as cost plans, risk management plans, stakeholder management plans and project schedules will provide more detail regarding the WLC estimates. 60. The PWC also requires the provision of WLC estimates in relation to major capital works submissions to the PWC and this should be taken into account where relevant. Entities should refer to the PWC Procedure Manual18 for guidance on the full requirements of PWC submissions. Review Whole-of-Life Costing Determine Objectives and Scope Identify Feasible Options Estimate Wholeof-Life Costs Consider Alternate Funding Calculate NPV and Sensitivity Analysis Document Decision Review Wholeof-Life Costing 61. Updating the WLC, documentation as major changes occur will make it simpler to monitor the assets cost against the initial estimate and to update relevant stakeholders in a timely manner19. 18 Available at www.aph.gov.au. 19 In relation to major public works that have been referred to the PWC, entities should have regard to the requirements to update the PWC Committee. Additional information is available from the PWC Procedure Manual available www.aph.gov.au. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 14 62. In the operational phase, the WLC can also assist in: a. proactive asset management and planning; b. provision of feedback for future cost planning; and c. the identification of cost savings. 63. As more information becomes available, it is important to update the WLC estimates accordingly. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 15 Glossary Build Own Operate Transfer (BOOT) Financing arrangement in which a developer designs and builds a complete project or facility at little or no cost to the Government or a joint venture partner; owns and operates the facility as a business for a specified period (usually 10 to 30 years) after which transfers it to the government or partner at a previously agreed or market price. Cost Escalation The increase in the cost of a good or service over a defined period of time. Discounted Cash Flow The current value of all the future cash to be generated by a development project. Disposal cost The cost of removing an asset after its usefulness has ended. Entities Non-Corporate Commonwealth Entities under the PGPA Act and those Corporate Commonwealth Entities who may wish to refer to the Guidance as a tool. Major Public Works Capital works that are estimated to cost in excess of $15 million dollars. See the Public Works Committee Act 1969 (PWC Act) for additional information. Maintenance costs Costs associated with maintaining the efficiency and dependability of the asset. Net Present Value The discounted value of the expected benefits of a project, less the discounted value of the expected costs. Optimism Bias The demonstrated systematic tendency to be overly optimistic about the outcome(s) of a project, whether by underestimating cost, underestimating schedules or overestimating outcomes. Private Financing Initiatives A method of providing funds for major capital investments where private firms are contracted to complete and manage the projects. These contracts are typically given to construction firms and last a long time, sometimes up to 30 years. The public services are leased to the public and the government authority makes annual payments to the private company. Public Private Partnership A partnership between a government and an organisation in the public sector for the delivery of infrastructure and associated services traditionally provided by the government, such as railways, freeways, etc. Public Works Architectural or engineering work, most typically relating to the construction, refurbishment or repair of buildings or other structures. See the Public Works Committee Act 1969 for a full definition. Residual Value The price at which an asset is expected to be sold at the end of its useful/required life. Risk Management The system application of management policies, procedures and practices to the tasks of identifying, analysing, assessing, treating and monitoring risk. Risk Provision A financial allowance to offset the uncertainty associated with the base estimate and other contingent risk. Risk Weighted Estimate A cost estimate incorporating the effect of likely risk occurrences and the cost of mitigating the risk. The effects can take the form of additional cost, schedule slippage or reduction in asset performance. Sensitivity Analysis A technique involving changes to the parameters of a project/programme evaluation to see how they affect the outcome; a straight forward and rapid technique to gauge the robustness of net present value estimates. Work Breakdown Structure In project management, a work breakdown structure (WBS) is an exhaustive, hierarchical (from general to specific) tree structure of deliverables and tasks that need to be performed to complete a project. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 16 Appendix A - Schedule of Typical Costs in an Initial Estimate20 Land Due diligence Approvals Land acquisition Site clearance and preparation Government duties, taxes and fees Legal fees Design and estimation Design fees Project management fees Staff costs (including travel) Construction Main structure Site works including prep and remediation Substructure/foundation Frame Columns Roof Upper floors Stairs External walls/doors Interior walls/doors Windows Lift and conveyor installations Plumbing Special equipment Services Water installations Gas installation Electric light and power Storm water and sewerage services Heating Ventilation Air conditioning Fire protection Security systems Exterior finishes 20 Landscaping Drainage This schedule is designed as an example only. The supporting breakdown of costs categories (e.g. staff costs) should also be documented. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 17 Car park Roads, footpaths and paved areas Support costs Project management fees Supervision fees Staff costs (incl. procurement activity) Legal fees Operating costs 21 Rental costs Revenues (if applicable) Repair and maintenance costs (as required) Mid-life fit-out costs (as required) Utilities Depreciation and amortisation Taxes Interest paid Refurbishment and associated lifecycle costs Plant and equipment costs Remediation of hazardous or toxic materials on site (if applicable) Decommissioning and make good costs (if applicable) Rental Incentives21 (if applicable) Rental Incentives can offered by the landlord in the form of rental holidays, provision of a new fit-out or cost of refurbishment for the life of the lease arrangement. These should be calculated in the form of revenue to the entity as a result of the arrangement. Resource Management Guide 503 Whole-of-Life Costing for Australian Government Property Management | 18