Econ 399 A4 Topics covered by date Date September 6 September 11 September 13 September 18 September 20 September 25 September 27 October 2 October 4 October 9 October 11 October 16 October 18 October 23 Topics Covered Course outline, course aims, discussion of plagiarism “What is Econometrics”, Overview of Maple Supply and Retirement Savings models and data sets Estimation Methods - Fitline example (with 3 candidate ‘estimators’) - Derivation of the OLS estimator - Sample Shazam program discussed - Algebraic Properties of OLS - Derivation and interpretation of R2 and adjusted-R2 - review of R2 and adjusted-R2 - interpretation of coefficients in multiple regression (including special cases such as a model with quadratic terms) - statistical properties of u, Y and OLS ̂1 ) in a model with estimators (including E(𝛽 only one explanatory variable) - unbiased estimators ̂1 (exact - Variance and standard error of 𝛽 formula provided for a model with only one explanatory variable) - t-tests in multiple regression models - t-tests continued - testing joint hypotheses: the F test ̂1 - Derive variance and standard error for 𝛽 - F tests continued More on F and t tests Use of the test command in SHAZAM t-test example Confidence Intervals Omitted Variable Bias Introduction to Dummy Variables Chow tests: with and without the use of dummy variables Librarian visit Reset tests: how to interpret SHAZAM output Assignment #1 returned Assignment #1 reviewed Reset tests: a new application of the F test Reviewed Practice Midterm Readings Chapter 1 of Textbook - Fitline handout -Chapter 2.1, 2.2, Appendix 2A in Textbook Chapter 2.3, 3.1, 3.2 and 6.3 in Textbook Chapter 2.5, 3.2, 3.3, 6.3 Chapter 2.5, 3.2, 3.3. 4.1 to 4.3 Chapter 4.1 to 4.5 Chapter 2.5 Chapter 4.1 to 4.5 Chapter 4.1 to 4.5 Sections 4, 5 and 6 of the Lab Manual Chapter 4.3 Chapter 3.3 Chapter 7.1 Chapter 7.1 to 7.4 SHAZAM Reset Example posted on course webpage Chapter 9.1 Assignment #2 answers Reviewed Assignment #2 Answers October 25 October 30 November 1 November 6 November 8 November 13 November 15 November 20 November 22 November 27 November 29 December 4 Mid-term Seasonal Dummies Probit Mid-term test returned and discussed Heteroskedasticity Assignment #2 returned Visit from Centre 4 Writers Rep Discussion of term paper Heteroskedasticity continued (including correction of SHAZAM code for first version of BP test) Fall Break – No class Heteroskedasticity continued (weighted least squares) Autocorrelation (also known as Serial Correlation) Autocorrelation, continued Autocorrelation, continued Prediction Intervals Adding Dynamics to Time Series Models Adding Dynamics to Time Series Models Multicollinearity Preparation for Final Exam posted to website. Usual password Chapter 7, p.368, Chapter 17.1 Chapter 8 Chapter 8 Chapter 8 Chapter 12 Chapter 12 Lab Manual (8.1 to 8.6) Chapter 9.2, 10.2 Chapter 9.2, 10.2 Chapter 3.4, p.137