DecAID Analysis of Dead Wood Habitat for the Sunflower Fire and Wall Watershed Analysis Area Post-fire habitats offer a unique opportunity to manage for areas of high snag density, which are typically rare spatially and temporally. Because LRMP standards and guidelines likely do not adequately address species use of these high density habitats, this cumulative effects analysis was supplemented with analysis using information from DecAID. In order to compare cumulative impacts to high density dead wood habitat with “natural conditions” in DecAID, an appropriately-sized analysis area is needed to incorporate a landscape large enough so that high snag densities in the area are representative of habitat conditions from which the inventory data were collected. The area must encompass enough acres to account for all of the DecAID habitat types present in the fire area or affected area. Refer to the DecAID Advisor for more information on calculating the size of the analysis area. Two assumptions were made in this analysis: 1) Areas meeting or exceeding the 80% tolerance level represent snag pulses created by large events like wildfire or insects and disease events. 2) Unharvested inventory plot data (plots with and without measureable snags) from DecAID represents historic range of variability (HRV) of snag distribution and density for the analysis area. Table 1 displays the snag density meeting 80% tolerance level by habitat type for snags ≥10 inches dbh (weighted for all 3 structural condition classes) and the percentage of the landscape expected to be in that condition from the DecAID histograms. Areas meeting or exceeding the 80% tolerance level represent snag pulses created by large events like wildfire or insects and disease events. The information provided in DecAID (See Determining Size of Analysis Area for Distribution Analysis of Current Conditions document) indicates that the analysis area for determining if the outcome of the disturbance results in excess acres of high snag densities at the landscape level, as compared to the distributions from unharvested plots in DecAID, the area would need to encompass at least 3,700 acres of the Eastside Mixed Conifer (EMC_ECB) habitat type and at least 1,660 acres of the Ponderosa Pine/Douglas-fir (PPDF) habitat type. There are approximately 51,382 acres of EMC_ECB habitat and 25,686 acres of PPDF habitat in the Wall Watershed and the affected area from the Sunflower Fire is entirely within the watershed, making this area an appropriate size with sufficient composition of habitat types for DecAID analysis. Table 1. Tolerance Levels (Snag Density) and Percent of Landscape Expected to Meet 80% Tolerance Levels for the ≥10 inch diameter group under the Reference Condition from DecAID. Eastside Mixed Conifer Ponderosa Pine/Douglas-fir >10”dbh >10”dbh Size Class (dbh) a 20.8 snags/acre 4.8 snags/acre 80% Tolerance Level % of Landscape >80% 20% 20% tolerance levelb a Data for Eastside Mixed Conifer and Ponderosa Pine/Douglas-fir acquired from DecAID Table inv-3b (≥10 inch dbh). b Data for Eastside Mixed Conifer acquired from DecAID Figures EMC_ECB_O.inv-14, EMC_ECB_S.inv-14, and ECM_ECB_L.inv-14. Data for Ponderosa Pine/Douglas-fir acquired from Figures PPDF_O.inv-14, PPDF_S.inv-14 and PPDF_L.inv-14. The analysis area includes the Wall Creek 5th field watershed. The analysis area totals approximately 77,000 acres of PPDF and EMC_ECB habitat. Table 2 displays the acres of habitat with snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level needed to meet the historic/reference condition in DecAID by habitat type for snags ≥10 inches dbh. Table 2. Acres with snag densities in excess of the 80% tolerance level needed to meet the reference condition. Habitat Type Acres of Habitat Percent of Total Acres with Type in Analysis Landscape Above Snag Densities Area 80% TL to Meet Exceeding the 80% Reference Condition TL Needed/Expected 51,382 20% 10,276 EMC 25,686 20% 5,137 PPDF The best available vegetation and dead wood data for the Wall Watershed (GNN modeling completed in Summer 2014 using data and imagery collected in 2012) indicates that there are currently approximately 3,664 acres of Eastside Mixed Conifer (Blue Mountains, EMC_ECB) and 5,805 acres of the Ponderosa Pine/Douglas-fir (PPDF) habitat that have snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level for these habitat types (See Table 3). Table 3. Acres with snag densities in excess of the 80% tolerance level in the Wall Watershed prior to the Sunflower Fire and other activities and events impacting high snag density patches. EMC_ECB PPDF (acres) (acres) Acres of the EMC_ECB and PPDF habitat types that would be expected to exceed the 80% Tolerance 10,276 5,137 Level under historic conditions in the 77,068 acre analysis area for the ≥10 inch dbh group (20% of each habitat type) Current acreage with snag densities in excess of the 80% 3,664 5,805 Tolerance Level There are approximately 706 acres of stand replacement or mortality that would result in snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level (due to wildfire effects) in the EMC_ECB habitat type and approximately 248 acres in the PPDF habitat type in the Sunflower Fire Area. This includes all acres that burned at high and moderate severity that were below the 80% Tolerance Level pre-fire. There are additional acres of snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level in the analysis area resulting from insect and disease mortality. Based on examination of the most recent insect and disease mapping for 2012 and 2013, there are an additional 169 acres that would meet or be moving toward the 80% tolerance level in the EMC_ECB habitat and 137 acres in the PPDF habitat type, based on the level of tree mortality in these areas. There have also been fuels treatments (Wildcat II) in the Wall Watershed since 2012 that have affected patches of habitat with snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level; these changes are reflected in Table 4. Additionally, proposed danger tree felling along roads within the fire area would impact acres that are currently exceeding, or would exceed in the near future, the 80% Tolerance Level. Table 4 displays the amount of the analysis area over the expected amount of high density snag areas (20% of EMC and PPDF is expected). Table 4. Cumulative Impacts to High Snag Density Patches (Exceeding the 80% Tolerance Level) in the Wall Watershed. EMC_ECB PPDF (acres) (acres) Acres of stand replacement fire or increase in acres with +706 +248 snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level (Sunflower Fire) Acres of insect and disease locations providing snag +169 +137 densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level Acres of fuels treatment resulting in a decrease in acres -52 -7 with snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level Acres of danger tree felling that would result in a -26 -17 decrease in acres with snag densities in excess of the 80% Tolerance Level Net change in acreage proving snag densities in excess +797 +361 of the 80% Tolerance Level a All additions are the result of activities occurring since approximately September 1, 2012. Imagery used for GNN snag modeling was collected at this time; all activities after this date would not be reflected in the existing snag density data for the Umatilla National Forest. Table 5 displays the current acreage of high density snag areas, the net change in acreage for these areas, and how this compares with what would have been expected historically. Table 5. Cumulative Impacts to High Snag Density Patches (Exceeding the 80% Tolerance Level) in the Wall Watershed. EMC_ECB PPDF (acres) (acres) Current acreage with snag densities in excess of the 80% 3,664 5,805 Tolerance Level Net change in acreage proving snag densities in excess +797 +361 of the 80% Tolerance Level Net acreage with snag densities in excess of the 80% 4,461 6,166 Tolerance Level Acres expected to exceed the 80% Tolerance Level, 10,276 5,137 based on reference condition/historic information Acres in excess of expected levels (20% of habitat -5,815 +1,029 type exceeding the 80% Tolerance Level) Table 5 indicates that there is currently a deficit (-5,815 acres) in the EMC_ECB habitat type within the Wall Watershed in areas with snag densities that exceed the 80% Tolerance Level. As there is a deficit in this habitat type, salvage of high density snag patches created by the Sunflower Fire would generally not be considered appropriate given the value of ephemeral, post-fire high-snag density patches to a number of wildlife species, primarily cavity excavating birds including the black-backed, three-toed, hairy, and Lewis’ woodpeckers. Table 5 also indicates that there is currently a small surplus in the PPDF habitat type of patches of snag that exceed the 80% Tolerance Level. Larger patches of fire-killed trees would be appropriate for salvage in this habitat type. Appropriate design criteria for partial retention (variable retention) would be provided for affected areas. These recommendations would be based on the best science available with regard to wildlife habitat requirements in burned stands.