The Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth Virtual Desktop Infrastructure An Ecosystem Analysis Richa Bansal, Ross Guida, and Sara Russo Entrepreneurship and Innovation Strategy Fall 2010 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 I. Introduction For years now the promises and future of the virtual desktop infrastructure (VDI) industry have received a close eye from analysts in the tech space. A quick Google search of “virtual desktops,” “VDI,” or “desktop virtualization” will expose you to an industry that has been promised huge and rapid growth. Despite the hype, another year (2010) is about to pass that was yet again not the year of virtual desktops. So what is in store for the future of VDI? What are the hold-ups to this industry’s growth potential? Who are the key players? And will the complex interworking of the industry allow for 2011 to be the year VDI really takes off. II. Overview The industry offers a great potential for high returns both from the companies who offer solutions within the VDI industry and to the customers who are looking for an ever more efficient way to provide desktop computing to their respective users/employees. Mark A. Margevicius, an industry analyst from Gartner provides a concise summary to the value proposition for the industry: “Hosted virtual desktops provide end-user flexibility, efficiency, possible energy savings and other benefits, enabling administrators to manage desktops from a centralized location and end users to access their desktops from machines in any location1.” This flexibility, single point of management, and end user delight are the key value propositions for the customer. Once VDI has developed into a more robust and mature industry, the desire is to have these features be the reality for the customers. To accomplish a full VDI solution, packages must cost far less and be more easily implemented than the current competition, traditional networked desktops. Essentially the challenges of the industry are to make VDI the computing solution of choice when a company is faced with the option of buying several hundred or even several thousand new desktops and the supporting infrastructure to network them, versus implementing a VDI solution with virtual desktops supported by servers, connection brokers, thin clients, and software management platforms. This alternative VDI solution is starting to become an economically beneficial option2, but the switching costs are still high, holding back new customers from considering and making the switch. Even though VDI is still expensive, confusing, and difficult to implement, it has a strong potential upside. Thus industry analysts are all closely watching and writing about both the barriers to wider acceptance of the industry 1 2 Gartner, Mark A. Margevicius, Get Ready for Hosted Virtual Desktops, 15 June 2010 Gartner, William Maurer & Richard T. Matlus , MarketScope for Hosted Virtual Desktop Services, 8 June 2010 Page 2 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 and how quickly these barriers can be overcome3. However, there are many customers who recognize that these costs are quickly being driven down. They realize that if they can overcome the IT manpower switching cost in the short term to become knowledgeable and experienced with VDI implementation, they will be at the forefront of being able to leverage VDI and its increasing advantages in the next year or two. III. Key Players & Ecosystem There are many reasons for holdups within VDI4; large technical barriers are still being brought down to produce a final integrated product that is accepted by both the end user and IT management. However the industry itself is still fractured and immature, with many large and small players both competing and working together to advance the VDI industry. A key hold-up to all this is that how VDI players will structure the industry is not yet established. These companies are all fighting for a larger piece of the pie, instead of working together to grow the pie. This competition is natural, but with the great complexity of how these industry players must work together, it is also holding back VDI from competing with a traditional desktop solution. This is the great dilemma that each player within the industry is facing. In addition, as naturally expected, the larger players have more influence; in this case those players are VMware, and Cirtix. Both are battling with each other for industry dominance, and right now VMware is the bigger of the two, but there are also indications To dive further into the analysis, a segmentation of the industry must be explored and the interactions among key players must be defined. For this analysis a high level view of the six major players segments is discussed. 1. Virtual Machines The actual virtual machines are created on servers through the combination of the bare metal servers and setting those servers up with desktop virtualization platform. This actually takes the server, its storage, and computing power, and makes it possible to divide these resources up to form individual virtual desktops. Major Players: VMWare ESX Server, XenServer (Citrix) 3 4 Gartner, Mark A. Margevicius, Top 10 Issues With Hosted Virtual Desktops, 10 June 2010 ZDNet, Dan Kusnetzky, What happened to virtual desktops? 28 December 2009 Page 3 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 2. Connection Broker Above we described how the virtual machines are basically formed. Now there is the job of connecting and interfacing these virtual machines to the end users. To accomplish this, a connection broker software package must be installed into the VDI solution project. Major Players: VMWare View, XenDesktop (Citrix) 3. Thin Client Thin client devices are the physical connection point at the desk location of the end user. A thin client is a small device that simply accepts an Ethernet communication cable for I/O communication and connections for the end user’s monitor, keyboard, mouse, and USB devices. Unlike the traditional desktop infrastructure where the operating system is physically located on the local machine, a thin client relies on a network desktop image hosted remotely. Major Players: Hewlett Packard, Pano Logic, Wyse 4. VDI Management Platforms Once the main infrastructure is in place, a software management tool used by the IT staff of VDI customers provides the interface for each customer to manage the virtual desktops. Major Players: VMWare View Premier, XenServer 5 Management Tool (Citrix), Unidesk v1.1, Wanova 5. Customers VDI customers are the companies who implement VDI solutions to provide their employees, or end users, with virtual desktops instead of traditional desktops. In this case the purchase decision is usually made through a collaborative effort between the IT departments and management teams of the purchasing customer. Overall, once implemented it is the IT staff and virtual desktop users who make up each customer. Major Players: Early adopters and IT thought leaders, who are relied upon to advance the industry before mass adoption take place. 6. Operating system Although there are many options for which operating system can be run on a VDI platform, by and large the solution is a Microsoft operating system (OS), the OS most companies currently run for Page 4 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 their desktops. The difficulty this raises is Microsoft has a policy for what is known as VECD, Microsoft’s licensing policy, that is both complicated to understand and implement correctly, and is expensive5. This policy is regarded as unfair by many as a way Microsoft can overcharge for its OS. Figure 1: Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Ecosystem This complicated and fractured environment has become difficult to operate in for the player categories summarized above, but also offers huge rewards for those players that establish themselves for the likely event that VDI takes off and starts to steal significant market share from traditional desktops. Another complication is that the unknown future structure of the industry will likely block out players who seem to be a strong value-add at present; however, without a crystal ball investors and large players are having a hard time determining which areas to focus on. 5 Gartner, Michael A. Silver, It Pays to Understand the VECD License, 21 September 2009 Page 5 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 A classic example of this is the relationship a small player like Unidesk, who provides a desirable option for the management platform6 has with the larger players it is trying to both compliment and compete with. These same larger players who provide options for the virtual machine server and broker, such as VMware & Citrix, could have their value increased with a supporting product like Unidesk. Instead, they are trying to downplay the effectiveness and possible superiority of the Unidesk product. This is because they both also play in the management platform space. For the overall advancement of the industry and the increased revenue of the best players (virtual machine servers and brokers from VMware and Citrix, and a management platform from Unidesk), this competition to dominate multiple industry segments is not helping VDI adoption; it confuses customers and holds the industry back. Overall this one example is a small representation of the fractured, evolving, and competitive nature of the VDI industry. Instead players should attempt to work in closer collaboration, to grow the VDI pie, as stated before, even if it means taking a slightly smaller fraction of the pie. This policy would help advance all players in VDI’s goal of gaining desktop market share. V. Risks Desktop virtualization reduces cost of infrastructure for companies by reducing the need for each employee or user to have a high level of hardware processing power associated with each desktop. It also it creates a central source for keeping data from where all information could be accessed. Though VDI has many benefits, it still faces several challenges due to incentives and barriers by several players in the VDI ecosystem. In discussing the risks faced by each of the players in the ecosystem, we focus on the platforms (virtual machines and connection brokers), hardware vendors (thin clients), peripheral service providers (management platforms), customers, and operating systems. The adoption of technology hinges on how all the players in ecosystem meet the requirements of an ever adopting technology cycle. Each of the players in the ecosystem has a critical role in making this technology successful. For the purposes of this report, we will not be focusing on initiative risk, but rather the adoption and coinnovation risk as seen from the perspective of each of the key players: A. Customers The customers in this equation are the companies that deploy virtualization and the end users who actually use these services on a day-to-day basis. It is important for organization to focus on the 6 Gartner, Terrence Cosgrove & Ronni J. Colville, New Approaches to Client Management, 25 February 2010 Page 6 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 barriers for the usage of this technology as any downtime in their network could mean significant loss in business. Adoption Risk: Usability limitations and security are one of the several problems that can arise from an improperly managed VDI7. In order to get the ROI on the VDI, right VDI management tools are required. Customers need peripheral and other services in order to mitigate the risk which physical machines may exhibit due to transformation to Virtual Desktops. Inability of their end user’s own system to integrate seamlessly with the entire package reduces their effectiveness in making most of the virtual desktop platform. In order for the easy adoption of the technology, these organizations require that the VDI provides reliability, security, ease of use and other backup programs in order to make this an effective platform. They also possess significant challenges also to keep IT infrastructure in the organization seamless, especially for large organizations with offices and personnel spread across geographies. Co-Innovation risk: The end user should be able to easily switch between different desktops while working. The users inability to use his/her own desktop or any downtime could reduce the effectiveness of the virtual desktop system. VDI also requires the adoption of a compatible operating system which meets the technical requirements of the brokers. This can pose a challenge for other software services which the end user needs to deploy on his/her system and a potential conflict of configurations and requirements of that software with the operating system. Thus there is significant risk to get these customers to innovate or adapt this technology and make the provider aware of challenges they face in order to make the technology more robust. Despite several risks, VDI technology provides significant benefits to the companies. Therefore, customers should have an interest in being part of the innovation and development of the VD. B. Operating Systems Adoption Risk: Operating system developers also present significant adoption chain risk. They are the final interface for the user where these VD platforms are deployed and thus need to adopt the VD technology and integrate in their OS. There is also a competitive element to the platform as OS owners try to create their own applications that emulate or complement the services offered by VD providers. Most operating systems, such as Microsoft Windows, do not implement virtual desktops 7 http://www.tricerat.com/topics/desktopmanagement Page 7 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 at installation time. Microsoft provides a Virtual Desktop PowerToy8 - for its Windows XP OS- a software-based virtual desktop manager, which simulates many desktops. However, the functionality provided is less comprehensive than that of many other virtual desktop solutions. Co-innovation Risk: - Application compatibility problems are common, because application developers do not expect virtual desktops to be in use on the Windows platform. The brokers such as Citrix obtain the source code license to Microsoft's Windows in order to address the compatibility issues. Although VMware virtual machines run in user-mode, VMware Workstation itself requires the installation of various drivers in the host operating-system, notably to dynamically switch the Global Descriptor Table (GDT) and the Interrupt Descriptor Table (IDT). If Microsoft refuses to give access to its operating system then they possess an ultimate barrier without which this service cannot be developed and deployed. For example, in 1995, Citrix shipped a multiuser version of Windows NT with remote access, known as WinFrame. During the development of WinFrame for Windows NT 4, Microsoft decided that it did not want to license Windows NT 4 source code to Citrix. Not only that, Microsoft threatened to build its version of WinFrame. Citrix and Microsoft entered negotiations about how best to resolve this dilemma. After negotiations, Microsoft agreed to license Citrix technology for Windows NT Server 4.0, resulting in Windows Terminal Server Edition. This is only one of the several instances where the incentives of OS developers and VD brokers clash and stalled the development of VD platforms. The technology also involves several protocols which should be agreed to by both the integrating technologies. The core technology that Microsoft did not buy was the ICA protocol. This has been one of the reasons why the technology has had several limitations. In January 2008, Citrix announced an expanded alliance with Microsoft to deliver a set of virtualization solutions to address the desktop and server virtualization markets to ensure broad interoperability between their technologies. To reduce the risk of collaboration Citrix indulged in joint marketing, training and channel activities were conducted with Microsoft. There is also threat to Microsoft as VMware product line can run different operating systems on a dual-boot system simultaneously by booting one partition natively while using the other as a guest within VMware Workstation. 8 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citrix Page 8 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 C. Peripheral Services (Management Platforms) – Peripheral services are management tools and enhancement systems that make the adoption of the VD easier. Adoption Risk: These services exist to provide support to adoption of VD and thus have incentive in making the system integrate and successful. Co-innovation risk: - These are very essential and critical for the adoption of these as they provide proper separation and security needs of the IT infrastructure. They provide uniform, secure and customized desktop space which is essential for system administrators to deploy customized environments with limited user interaction to system tools and resources. Their inability to separate and segregate could possess security breaches9. VD platforms prefer working with them to help deploy and finance such tools. Citrix and VMware provide several of their own tools for managing this complexity. D. Hardware Providers (Thin Clients) – The hardware manufacturers such as Dell and HP have to again be a participant and integrate the VD system well in order to make it work effectively. Adoption Risk: – The hardware manufacturers have to adopt the technology and provide support for integration. Since the main application of thin clients is for use in VD environments they have incentive to direct resources for the development of hardware. Co-Innovation Risk: Thin clients present significant co-innovation risk. They have to be customized or supported for appropriate HVD deployment as they are customized for different business application. They have to also co-innovate with all the key participants of the ecosystem in order to provide low priced components. Their ability to innovate and provide valuable products decreases the chances of adoption and deployment. For example, innovations such as OS and application streaming10 has made the VD technology more usable. VDI technology adoption is catching on and thus presents opportunities and incentives for these players to co-exist and co-innovate with each other. While some have more incentives than others, the increasing consumer demand for these services has driven and will drive more innovation in future for VDI. 9 http://www.virtual-strategy.com/Insights/tricerat-20090805.html 10 http://itmanagement.earthweb.com/datbus/article.php/11068_3877221_2/Top-Five-Thin-Client-HardwareVendors.htm Page 9 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 VI. Conclusion Virtual Desktop Infrastructure has yet to take off as an overwhelming success. Though variants of this technology platform have been available for a number of years, the key players in this industry continue to try to figure out how to get customers to embrace VDI as a cost-effective and well-performing solution. Since the VDI market has been developing for a number of years, we have seen many of the players change strategies. For example the operating system creators held out for many years, requiring users to pay a licensing fee for every machine on which they accessed their virtual desktop. Rather than saving companies costs by allowing them to give employees thin clients at work and access to the same desktop through a desktop machine at home, each employee would cost the company many times the operating system licensing fee. That changed in 2010 when Microsoft11 agreed to accommodate virtual desktops through a more affordable licensing program that no longer tied the OS to a single, physical machine. Because VDI has evolved to the point of being a serious cost-saving consideration for large corporations, Microsoft could no longer be a licensing roadblock and risk losing market share in operating systems. This change in cost structure is a big breakthrough for allowing the VDI ecosystem to become more of a reality. Looking at the evolution of VDI compared to what the initial expectations were a few years ago, the results have been disappointing. The players in the ecosystem have yet to prove that VDI is both costsaving and well-performing to the point that it is a viable option for large organizations. We have seen some success with Desktop-As-A-Service (DaaS) for smaller organizations, where the cost to rent desktop services from a third-party provider has proven very cost-effective. Companies like ThinkGrid12 have begun to offer small business VDI at an affordable price. While it is not the full VDI implementations predicted when it was first introduced, the popularity of cloud computing has made it possible for hosted desktop services, or DaaS, to take off. Clearly the largest hurdles in the VDI market were not technology—they were in the collaboration of ecosystem members. Microsoft kept their licensing tied to physical machines, virtual machine/broker makers held the management platforms at arm’s length, and customers resisted adopting virtualization because of perceived loss of user control. As we begin to see these co-innovation hurdles overcome, it is clear that desktop virtualization could be a great solution for some organizations. It offers centralized 11 http://download.microsoft.com/download/C/6/7/C673E444-6DDD-40B8-B29F625354F2A8F7/Licensing_Windows_for_Virtual_Desktops_Whitepaper.pdf 12 http://www.thinkgrid.co.uk/ Page 10 of 11 Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Bansal, Guida, & Russo – EIS – Fall 2010 management of employee desktops, secured data that used to reside on individual machines, and a great potential for cost-savings. Page 11 of 11