Solution to HW problems Ch.3 31. a. 607 is one standard deviation above the mean. Approximately 68% of the scores are between 407 and 607 with half of 68%, or 34%, of the scores between the mean of 507 and 607. Also, since the distribution is symmetric, 50% of the scores are above the mean of 507. With 50% of the scores above 507 and with 34% of the scores between 507 and 607, 50% - 34% = 16% of the scores are above 607. b. 707 is two standard deviations above the mean. Approximately 95% of the scores are between 307 and 707 with half of 95%, or 47.5%, of the scores between the mean of 507 and 707. Also, since the distribution is symmetric, 50% of the scores are above the mean of 507. With 50% of the scores above 507 and with 47.5% of the scores between 507 and 707, 50%- 47.5% = 2.5% of the scores are above 707. c. Approximately 68% of the scores are between 407 and 607 with half of 68%, or 34%, of the scores between 407 and the mean of 507. d. Approximately 95% of the scores are between 307 and 707 with half of 95%, or 47.5%, of the scores between 307 and the mean of 507. Approximately 68% of the scores are between 407 and 607 with half of 68%, or 34%, of the scores between the mean of 507 and 607. Thus, 47.5% + 34% = 81.5% of the scores are between 307 and 607. 32. a. z x x 2300 3100 .67 1200 4900 3100 1.50 1200 b. z c. $2300 is .67 standard deviations below the mean. $4900 is 1.50 standard deviations above the mean. Neither is an outlier. d. z x 13000 3100 8.25 1200 $13,000 is 8.25 standard deviations above the mean. This cost is an outlier. 34. a. x s b. z xi 765 76.5 n 10 ( xi x )2 442.5 7 n 1 10 1 x x 84 76.5 1.07 s 7 Approximately one standard deviation above the mean. Approximately 68% of the scores are within one standard deviation. Thus, half of (100-68), or 16%, of the games should have a winning score of 84 or more points. z x x 90 76.5 1.93 s 7 Approximately two standard deviations above the mean. Approximately 95% of the scores are within two standard deviations. Thus, half of (100-95), or 2.5%, of the games should have a winning score of more than 90 points. c. x s xi 122 12.2 n 10 ( xi x )2 559.6 7.89 n 1 10 1 Largest margin 24: z 35. a. x xi 79.86 3.99 n 20 Median = b. x x 24 12.2 1.50 . No outliers. s 7.89 4.17 4.20 4.185 (average of 10th and 11th values) 2 Q1 = 4.00 (average of 5th and 6th values) Q3 = 4.50 (average of 15th and 16th values) ( xi x )2 12.51 0.81 n 1 19 c. s d. The distribution is significantly skewed to the left. e. Allison One: z 4.12 3.99 0.16 0.81 2.32 3.99 2.06 0.81 The lowest rating is for the Bose 501 Series. Its z-score is: Omni Audio SA 12.3: z f. z 2.14 3.99 2.28 0.81 This is not an outlier so there are no outliers. 46. a. 18 16 14 12 y 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 x b. Positive relationship c/d. xi 80 x 80 16 5 ( xi x )( yi y ) 106 yi 50 ( xi x )( yi y ) 106 26.5 n 1 5 1 sx ( xi x )2 272 8.2462 n 1 5 1 sy ( yi y )2 86 4.6368 n 1 5 1 sxy sx s y 26.5 0.693 (8.2462)(4.6368) A positive linear relationship Ch.4 P36 3. 6! (6)(5)(4) 120 (6 3)! BDF BFD DBF DFB FBD FDB 4. a. 50 10 5 ( xi x ) 2 272 sxy rxy y ( yi y ) 2 86 30 1st Toss 2nd Toss 3rd Toss H T H (H,H,T) T H H T H T T H T H T b. (H,H,H) (H,T,H) (H,T,T) (T,H,H) (T,H,T) (T,T,H) (T,T,T) Let: H be head and T be tail (H,H,H) (T,H,H) (H,H,T) (T,H,T) (H,T,H) (T,T,H) (H,T,T) (T,T,T) c. The outcomes are equally likely, so the probability of each outcomes is 1/8. 27. Big Ten Pac-10 Yes No a. P(Neither) = b. P(Either) = c. P(Both) = 29. a. No 3645 6823 10,468 6823 .51 13, 429 2961 4494 849 .49 13, 429 13, 429 13, 429 849 .06 13, 429 1033 .36 P(E) = 2851 854 .30 2851 964 .34 P(D) = 2851 P(R) = b. Yes 849 2112 2,961 Yes; P(E D) = 0 4494 8935 13,429 1033 .43 2375 c. Probability = d. 964(.18) = 173.52 Rounding up we get 174 of deferred students admitted from regular admission pool. Total admitted = 1033 + 174 = 1207 P(Admitted) = 1207/2851 = .42 Let C = event consumer uses a plastic card B = event consumer is 18 to 24 years old Bc = event consumer is over 24 years old 37. Given information: P(C) .37 P(B C) .19 P(Bc C) .81 P(B) .14 a. P(C B) P(C B) P(B) but P(C B) is unknown. So first compute P(C B) P(C) P(B C) .37(.19) .0703 Then P(C B) b. P(C B) .0703 .5021 P(B) .14 P(C Bc ) P(C Bc ) P(Bc ) but P(C Bc ) and P(Bc ) are unknown. However, they can be computed as follows. P(C Bc ) P(C)P(Bc C) .37(.81) .2997 P(Bc ) 1- P(B) 1 .14 .86 Then P(C Bc ) P(C Bc ) .2997 .3485 .86 P(Bc ) c. There is a higher probability that the younger consumer, age 18 to 24, will use plastic when making a purchase. The probability that the 18 to 24 year old consumer uses plastic is .5021 and the probability that the older than 24 year old consumer uses plastic is .3485. Note that there is greater than .50 probability that the 18 to 24 years old consumer will use plastic. d. Companies such as Visa, Mastercard and Discovery want their cards in the hands of consumers who will have a high probability of using the card. So yes, these companies should get their cards in the hands of young consumers even before these consumers have established a credit history. The companies should place a low limit of the amount of credit charges until the young consumer has demonstrated the responsibility to handle higher credit limits.