Math 234 -Introduction to Probability and Statistics Instructor: Dr. Ari Wijetunga Office Telephone: 477-4007 Office Hours: See Website Department: Mathematics Office: MacLean 375C E-mail: wijetung@mnstate.edu Classroom: MA 169 2:15-4:00 MTWTHF Website: web.mnstate.edu/wijetung Course Description: Measures of central tendency and variation, probability, probability distributions, sampling distributions and the central limit theorem, estimation and tests of hypotheses for one population mean and proportion, and simple linear regression Prerequisite: Math 127 or Math 227 Credits: 3.0 credit hours Text: Statistics for Business and Economics by Anderson, Sweeney, Williams, Camm, and Cochran, 12th Edition TI 30 and above calculator or similar calculator with statistical functions is required. No cell phone calculators are allowed during examinations. Course Objectives: Students are expected to learn basic statistical concepts that are given in the course description and to follow other courses for which this course is a requirement. Instructional Strategies: Lecture mode. Examples will be discussed in class with student participation. Statistical data analysis is done using Excel and Minitab. Usage of hand calculators will also be discussed in class. Course Requirements: Students are expected to a) do all homework assigned, and examinations and b) learn to use hand calculators with statistical functions properly and to work with Excel and Minitab computer packages. Grading Policy: There will be Four hour-examinations (100 points each), homework assignments (100 points) and a. Final comprehensive examination (100 points). Scores will be averaged to 100 points. 90%- A; 80%-B; 70%-C; 60%-D, below 60%-F. No credit for late assignments. Disability Services: Students with disabilities who believe they may need an accommodation in this class are encouraged to contact Greg Toutges Coordinator of Disability Services at 477-2131 (Voice) or1-800627-3529 (MRS/TTY), FF 154 as soon as possible to ensure that the accommodations are implemented in a timely fashion. Attendance Policy: See Student Handbook http://www.mnstate.edu/sthandbook/POLICY/index.htm Academic Honesty: See student Handbook http://www.mnstate.edu/sthandbook/POLICY/index.htm Conduct in class: No cell phones, please. You may ask questions from your instructor at any time during the lecture. Please do not talk to your neighbors during the class, and I will ask you to leave the class if you disturb other students around you. If you want to leave the class early for some reason, please sit in the front row and leave quietly without disturbing the class. If you cannot come to class due to university events, please come and see me to discuss the material you have missed and use my web to stay current with the course material. Course Outline Section 1.1, 2, 3 2.1, 2.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.2 4.3 5.1,2 5.3 5.5 5.6 6.2 7.3,4 7.5 7.6 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 9.1,2 9.3 9.4 9.5 14.1,2 14.3 Topic Applications in Business and Economics, Data, Data Sources Summarizing Quantitative Data Measures of Location Measures of Variability Measures of distribution shape, relative location and detecting outliers Experiments, counting rules, and assigning probabilities Events and their probabilities Some basic relationships of probability Random variables, Discrete probability distributions Expected value and variance Binomial probability distribution Poisson distribution Normal probability distribution Point estimation and sampling distribution Sampling Distribution, Central Limit Theorem Sampling distribution of Sample Proportion Estimation of Population mean, σ known Estimation of Population mean, σ unknown Determining the sample size Estimation of Population proportion Developing Null and Alternative hypotheses, Type I and Type II errors Testing for Population mean, σ known Testing for Population mean, σ unknown Testing for Population Proportion Simple linear regression model, least square method Coefficient of determination and correlation 14.4, 5 14.6 Model assumptions, Testing for significance Using Regression equation for prediction Minitab and Excel are used for data analysis.