Topics for Today Hypothesis tests for comparing 2 means Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 1 of 21 A Clarification The assignment and most of my in-class examples will present the ________ Hypothesis. The textbook usually describes a situation and specifies the ____ Hypothesis to be tested. This is a conscious choice on my part as the Research Hypothesis (ie: scientific question) is almost always the easiest thing to identify in a real problem. Consider which of these you’d be more likely to hear: Test the null hypothesis that Treatment A works vs Does Treatment A work? Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 2 of 21 Comparison of Two Means All of the hypothesis tests done up until now have considered evaluation of hypotheses for a ______ population and based on results from a ______ sample. eg: students in a school district members of a union children aged 3-5 But we can also consider comparing means of ___ (or more) populations to see if they’re different. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 3 of 21 Let’s consider some examples and write research hypotheses for them: Example 1 (Q18 from the text): A social psychologist is interested in social differences between teenaged girls and boys. Specifically, he believes the number of ‘good friends’ is different. Research Hypothesis: Individuals: Populations: Variables: Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 4 of 21 Parameters: Statistical Null and Alternative Hypotheses: Example 2 (Q19 from the text): A personnel consultant wants to compare the absenteeism (days absent during a 1 year period) among hourly and salaried workers because she thinks they may be different. Research Hypothesis: Individuals: Populations: Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 5 of 21 Variables: Parameters: Statistical Null and Alternative Hypotheses: Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 6 of 21 Why are we always testing the mean? Before we review the relevant _______________ for these hypotheses, let’s address this question. The textbook questions, and most research hypotheses, don’t necessarily specifically identify the ____ (µ) as the _________ to test. How do we know that’s what we should use? The answer is probably not very satisfying: If you have interval or ratio data, it turns out that the mean is usually the best thing to compare! Basically, if you can legally calculate an average, do it. If not (you have _______ or _______ data), you may have to test a __________ … Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 7 of 21 Rearranging Hypotheses for 2 Means Here are the three pairs of hypotheses we could test for 2-means: H0: µ1 = µ2 vs Ha: _______ H0: µ1 = µ2 vs Ha: µ1 ≤ µ2 H0: µ1 = µ2 vs Ha: _______ These can all be rearranged as follows: H0: µ1 - µ2 = 0 vs Ha: ___________ H0: µ1 - µ2 = 0 vs H a : µ1 - µ2 ≤ 0 H0: µ1 - µ2 = 0 vs Ha: ___________ These two sets of hypotheses are equivalent. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 8 of 21 Test Statistic for the Difference of Means This is a more complicated test statistic than the one-sample (ie: 1-mean) t-test. The key point is that you now have two of everything have: two ___________ o with means µ1 and µ2 two ____________ o 𝑋̅1 and 𝑋̅2 two __________________________ o s1 and s2 and two ____________ o n1 and n2 Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 9 of 21 So, our old test statistic for 1-sample t-test: 𝑋̅ − 𝜇 𝑋̅ − 𝜇 𝑡𝑛−1 = = 𝑠 𝑠𝑋̅ ⁄ 𝑛 √ now becomes the 2-sample test statistic (equal variances) _____________________ where the 𝑠𝑋̅1−𝑋̅2 part is the big ugly expression on page 229. We won’t calculate 𝑠𝑋̅1−𝑋̅2 by hand, but will use SPSS to evaluate. (on the assignment, you are free to calculate 𝑠𝑋̅1 −𝑋̅2 by hand if you choose not to use SPSS or want to check your SPSS results, but I won’t do this in class … though is an example in the textbook in Box 7.1) Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 10 of 21 An Assumption Note that the test statistic on the preceeding page is only if the two populations have “_______________”. Essentially we can only use this equation if we’re pretty confident that the variability in the two populations is ______________. How do we do this if we don’t know the true population variances? [ Note on slide 9, I didn’t say we have 𝝈𝟏 and 𝝈𝟏 … cause we don’t! ] We do have our sample variances, s1 and s2, and can use these to see whether it’s possible σ1 and σ1 could be _______. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 11 of 21 Checking for Equal Variances There are mathematical ways to check, but we will use the same rule of thumb as in the textbook. Assume the variance in the two groups is _____ if unless one sample standard deviation is ______________ of the other. For example, _________ Let’s redo the example in Box 7.1using SPSS. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 12 of 21 Example (from the text Box 7.1): A survey of new graduates asking about job prospects. Is there a difference in concern between men and women? Research Hypothesis: Individuals: Populations: Variables: Parameters: Statistical Hypotheses: Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 13 of 21 In SPSS, note that we have to enter the data differently than shown in the textbook. We enter each __________ on a separate line, and each ________ in a separate column (this is why I’ve been so stringent in listing these for every example) Sex is Nominal, so you can enter any values you want, but 0 and 1 are easiest. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 14 of 21 Commmands for performing the 2-sample ttest (more on determining ‘Independent’ and ‘paired’ later) Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 15 of 21 Dialogue box for a 2-sample t-test. Note that the variable associated with the parameter we’re testing (ie: mean prospect) goes in the ‘test variable’ box. The variable which distinguishes populations goes in the ‘Grouping Variable’. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 16 of 21 Click on ‘Define Groups’ and select the values of the Grouping Variable (in this case Sex) which define your two populations. …. Select continue and you’re back to the main dialogue. Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 17 of 21 Results of the test! Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 18 of 21 Some questions to answer based on this output: What are the sample means for the two groups? What is the p-value? For α=0.05 is there a statistically significant difference in concern over job prospects between the two groups? Conclusion: Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 19 of 21 A video recap: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BX9iMIC6mcg (a choco-nutty is just chocolate covered nuts) Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 20 of 21 Today’s Topics 2-sample t-test for equal variances - Hypotheses are similar to 1-sample test but involve 2 means - Test statistic is similar to 1-sample test but more complicated - Sample standard deviations must be comparable (ie: one is not twice the other one) - Interpretation of p-values is same (reject or don’t reject the null) New Reading Chapter 7 up to page 241 Stat203 Fall 2011 – Week 8 Lecture 3 Page 21 of 21