SOCI 3352.002, T&Th 2:00-3:20pm, PKH105 Professor: Dr. Linda Rouse (443 UH) Office hrs.: T,Th 12:30-1:30 and 3:30-4:30 or by appointment Phone: (817) 272-2661 Email: lrouse@uta.edu Fall 2011 SOCIAL STATISTICS COURSE OBJECTIVES: Statistical literacy is required for all undergraduate majors in the social sciences. This course will familiarize students with basic concepts and applications of descriptive statistics, probability, and inferential statistics. Related Courses, as listed or equivalent, are helpful though not required: Math 1302. College Algebra Math 1308. Elementary Statistical Analysis SOCI 3462. Research Methods (formerly SOCI 3305) To complete this course successfully you need to enter with basic skills in abstract reasoning and arithmetic operations. It will be your responsibility to make up deficiencies in preparation if you stay in the course. In addition, you will need to allocate sufficient hours weekly for class preparation. The following approaches are recommended: a. independent study (6-9 hours/wk) b. keep up with material presented and see the instructor regularly with specific questions c. discuss material with statistics teaching assistant d. find a study partner and/or form study groups e. reduce your course and work load f. get a tutor familiar with the material covered in this particular course REQUIRED READING: Available from Bird’s Copy Center (at the corner of East and South streets, near the post office.) Bring with you to class. Lecture notes: Understanding Social Statistics -- Parts 1-4. OPTIONAL: Any basic text such as Elementary Statistics in Social Research: The Essentials, by Jack Levin and James Alan Fox. Available through UTA Bookstore. REQUIRED MATERIALS: approved calculator for exams; non-programmable, with basic arithmetic functions only; no substitutes permitted. (Optional: index cards.) STAT “LAB”: Study groups are encouraged; e.g., weekly sessions to review concepts and to work problems can be held in the lounge in University Hall. EXAMS: For timing of exams, see the accompanying outline of topics. The first exam covers descriptive statistics, the second probability theory, and the third inferential statistics. There will also be a comprehensive final (over all material covered in course). Students are responsible for staying informed about possible changes in test dates. Bring 882 green scantron sheets, #2 pencils, and calculator to class on test days. In taking exams, you are expected to comply with the University’s policy for academic honesty, outlined in the Code of Student Conduct and Discipline (at http://www.uta.edu). For example, copying from other students or using notes of any kind during exams without instructor approval is unacceptable. See the UTA Website for description of relevant disciplinary procedures. Scores are provided to students, in class, the week following each exam. See the instructor outside of class to go over your individual test, or if you have any additional questions about course content. Keep in mind, this is a required upper division course with expectation that students will be able to demonstrate mastery of essential skills for social science and related majors in keeping with national standards. Typically, test scores will not improve without assistance or substantial change in study habits. Make-up policy: In cases of exams missed with reasonable and documented cause the instructor must be notified and arrangements made for a make-up exam within two days, otherwise zero points will be assigned for that exam grade. [UTA policy is to provide alternate sites for exams rather than cancellation in the event of a bomb threat, in addition to tracing and prosecuting responsible parties.] DISABILITY: Students who need accommodation based on disability will please inform the instructor before the first exam. The Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) requires “reasonable accommodation” to ensure equal opportunity for students with disabilities, facilitated at UTA by the Office for Student Disabilities located at 102 University Hall. GRADES:* Final grades will be assigned according to total points earned on exams out of total possible points, e.g.: 100 points Exam 1 100 Exam 2 100 Exam 3 300 Final – see UTA final exam schedule on-line Tues., Dec.13th 2-4:30 p.m. ------ Total 600 points A= B= C= D= 540 pts. 480 420 360 * See also section on class participation. DROP DATE: The last day to drop this term is Friday, November 4th. Students who are not attending but fail to officially withdraw from the course will receive a final grade of F. ATTENDANCE: Since topics in the course build on familiarity with previously covered material, consistent attendance is particularly important in this course. Points will be lost for excessive absence. Attendance will be officially recorded by means of a sign-up sheet. If you are having unexpected problems with attendance and are worried about the effect on your grade, see the instructor. Note that having another student sign in for you, signing the attendance sheet then leaving class, or coming at the end of class simply to sign are actions demonstrating lack of academic integrity and subject to penalty. CLASS PARTICIPATION: will be considered in final grading, and can result in a raised or lowered final letter grade. Class participation includes staying current with material, working assigned problems, asking questions, avoiding excessive absence, and conducting oneself according to UTA guidelines for student rights and responsibilities (posted at http:// www.uta.edu). Students attending class are expected to be in class on time for the full period. Lateness in arrival and departure before the end of class are distracting to the instructor and to other students. If you cannot attend for the full class period, absent yourself, get notes from other students, and see the instructor outside of class if you have questions. Regarding class conduct, please take very seriously UTA guidelines for “classroom etiquette:” “The University expects that students will conduct themselves in a courteous fashion in the classroom. For example, students should arrive in class on time and stay for the duration of the class period. While in class, students should turn off cell phones and pagers and refrain from behaviors that will distract or disturb the instructor or other students” (see http://www.uta. edu). Disruptive classroom behavior violates the rights of others, both students and faculty, and interferes with the instructional activities and educational mission of the University. STUDENT SUPPORT SERVICES: UTA provides a variety of student support programs and resources, including tutoring, learning centers, developmental education, advising and mentoring, personal counseling, and federally funded programs, to help students connect with the University and achieve individual success. For referrals contact the Maverick Resource Hotline at 817 272-6107 or visit www.uta.edu/resources for more information. FINAL COMMENT: Statistics is a challenging logical discipline that improves critical thinking. With an appropriate investment of time and effort, this course will greatly enhance your ability to assess arguments based on numbers. Social statistics are numbers with a purpose. In the social sciences and related practice fields, statistics allow us to summarize information, draw reasonable generalizations from available data, and examine relationships among variables. In all these applications, statistics contribute to our understanding of human society and social behavior. SOCI 3352. Social Statistics Prof. L. Rouse COURSE OUTLINE Topics Assignments -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Descriptive Statistics Introduction Theory, Methods and Statistics Measurement Issues Review syllabus Lecture notes, pp.1-3 Lecture notes, p.4 Proportions, Percents, Ratios & Rates Reading Tables Frequency distributions and graphs Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Dispersion C.V. and the Normal Distribution Z scores Lecture notes, p.5 Lecture notes, pp.6-10 Lecture notes, pp.11-15 Lecture notes, pp.16-21 Lecture notes, pp.22-25 Lecture notes, pp.26-27 Lecture notes, pp.28-31 EXAM 1 Descriptive Statistics: Lecture notes, Glossary-1, Overview-1. Review also in-class practice quiz. Probability Theory Introduction to Probability Theory Lecture notes, pp.39-40 The Addition and Multiplication Rules Lecture notes, pp.41-43 Calculating Probabilities Lecture notes, pp.44 Conditional Probabilities in Bivariate Tables Lecture notes, pp.45-49 Proportional Reduction of Errors (PRE) Lecture notes, pp.50-52 Permutations and Combinations Lecture notes, pp.53-56 Tree Diagrams Lecture notes, pp.57,58 The Binomial Distribution Calculating Binomial Probabilities Lecture notes, pp.59-61 Lecture notes, pp.62 EXAM 2 Probability Theory: Lecture notes; Glossary-2; Overview -2; sample solutions. Review also in-class supplemental exercises. Inferential Statistics Introduction to Inferential Statistics Lecture notes, pp.69-71 Inferential Binomial Applications Lecture notes, pp.72,73 Steps in Hypothesis Testing Lecture notes, pp.74,75 Single Sample Z tests (for Means and Proportions) Lecture notes, pp.76-83 Student’s t for Single Sample tests (means) Lecture notes, pp.85,86 Comparing Z and t tests Lecture notes, pp.87,88 Point Estimates and Confidence Intervals Lecture notes, pp.89 EXAM 3 Inferential Statistics: Lecture notes; Glossary-3; Overview-3; sample solutions. Review also in-class supplemental exercises. Other Statistical Tests Two-Sample Tests (for Means and Proportions) Lecture notes, pp.107-112 Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Lecture notes, pp.113,114 Chi-square Lecture notes, pp.115-118 Correlation Lecture notes, pp.119-121 Bivariate Regression ---------Conclusion Lecture notes, pp.123,124 Lecture notes, p.129 The final includes the lecture notes on other statistical tests; Glossary-4, pp.125,126 and Overview-4, pp.127,128. Review also in-class practice exercises. COMPREHENSIVE FINAL – 100 mc/ tf questions, 3 pts each. Descriptive Statistics, Probability Theory, Inferential Statistics (Single Sample and Two Sample Tests) and Other Statistical Tests Understanding Social Statistics in its entirety (incl. glossaries and overviews). You may bring one 8½ x 11 sheet with notes to final. Also, bring your scantron sheet, pencils, and approved calculator. BE PREPARED, take your time, and you will do fine!