InIInfo RARE EARTH WEEKLY REVIEW OCT 20-24,2014 Oct.24,2014 |Published by Info-RE|www.info-re.com A Weekly Highlight of the Rare Earth Market Table of Contents Market Summary……………………………………………P2 China Highlights……………………………………………..P3 Global Highlights…………………………………………….P5 Contact us Author: Margaret Xue End user Highlights…………………………………………P6 Email: margaret@info-re.com Pricing Highlights……………………………………………P9 Tel: +86 -10-5649-0177 Rare Earth Outlook for Next Week…………………P12 Fax: +86 -10-5649-0377 Mobile: +86-136-9132-5401 2 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 Market Summary Chinese government has been promoting the rare earth integration and consolidation and a report from a local media said that China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will argue the plans for the establishments of three large rare earth groups next week, with Guangdong Rare Earth Group, Ganzhou Rare Earth Group and China Minmetals Rare Earth Group involved. Meanwhile, rare earth projects outside of China have been accelerating their pace recently. Northern Minerals Ltd. announced that the government of Western Australia has given environmental approval for the proposed mine and ore processing facility at the company’s heavy rare earths project, Browns Range. And Lynas obtains green light from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as related experts have recently concluded that the Lynas rare earth processing facility near Kuantan generates very low level radioactive waste. China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct 20-24, 2014 Product Price on Oct 20 Price on Oct 24 Unit Change Pr/Nd Pr/Nd metal 99% min 366,000-371,000 366,000-371,000 Pr/Nd metal 99% min FOB 80-85 80-85 Pr/Nd oxide 99% min 285,000-288,00 283,000-286,000 Pr/Nd oxide 99% min FOB 58-63 58-63 RMB/t 0 $/kg = RMB/t -2,000 $/kg 0 Dy Dy metal 99% min 1,850-2,050 Dy metal 99% min FOB 400-440 Dy oxide 99% min 1,380-1,400 Dy oxide 99% min FOB 300-320 Fe-Dy Dy 80% min 1,400-1,430 Fe-Dy Dy 80% min FOB 310-330 1,850-2,050 400-440 1,390-1,410 300-320 1,410-1,430 310-330 RMB/kg = $/kg = RMB/kg +10 $/kg = RMB/kg +5 $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = La In the rare earth market, terbium and dysprosium are undoubtedly the outstanding elements across the rare earth complex during the past week with prices seen signs of bottoming out, some actual business reported and suppliers being reluctant to accept low selling prices. The expected launch of sales of oxides of terbium and dysprosium on October 31 on Fanya Metal Exchange is cited as the main reason behind the relatively active markets for dysprosium and terbium over the past week and some investors are keen to build up stocks and wait for prices to rebound from the current relatively low basis. Downstream consumer buying for the two oxides, however, is still reported flat because most buyers remain staying on the sidelines and only restocking material depending on their orders from customers. Praseodymium/neodymium prices have been holding generally steady this week as suppliers are not motivated to further lower prices, though lower prices have been seen in the market from suppliers who are very keen to sell from stocks. Given the stability in terbium and dysprosium prices, as well as some small activities expected in the days to come from NdFeB manufacturers, praseodymium/neodymium prices are predicted to have little room to fall again. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market La metal 99% min 35,000-37,000 La metal 99% min FOB 9-9.5 La oxide 99.9% min 14,000-15,000 La oxide 99.9% min FOB 4.3-4.8 La oxide 99.999% min 38,000-40,000 La oxide 99.999% min FOB 8-9 35,000-37,000 9-9.5 13,500-14,500 4.3-4.8 38,000-40,000 8-9 RMB/t -550 $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = Ce Ce carbonate 45% REO 6,000-6,500 5,800-6,300 RMB/t Ce carbonate 45% REO FOB 2.5-2.8 2.5-2.8 $/kg Ce metal 99% min 38,000-40,000 38,000-40,000 RMB/t Ce metal 99% min FOB 10-12 10-12 $/kg Ce oxide 99.9% min 13,000-14,000 12,500-13,500 RMB/t Ce oxide 99.9% min FOB 4.2-4.5 4.2-4.5 $/kg -200 = = = -500 = Nd Nd metal 99% min 360,000-365,000 Nd metal 99% min FOB 79-83 355,000-360,000 RMB/t 78-83 $/kg Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd -5,000 -0.5 3 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 China Highlights Plans for the establishments of three rare earth groups to be argued next week China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct20-24, 2014 Product Price on Oct 20 Price on Oct 24 Unit Change Nd oxide 99% min 270,000-275,000 270,000-275,000 RMB/t = Nd oxide 99% min FOB 57-60 57-60 $/kg = Tb Tb metal 99% min 3,450-3,650 Tb metal 99% min FOB 780-830 Tb oxide 99.99% min 2,400-2,600 Tb oxide 99.99% min FOB 570-620 China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) will argue the plans for the establishments of three rare earth groups next week. The three large rare earth groups are Gaungdong Rare Earth Group, Ganzhou Rare Earth Group and Minmetals Rare Earth Group. An official source from MIIT commented that the establishment of large rare earth groups has been actively promoted and will be completed in the near future. And the establishments of the other three large rare earth groups with Baotou Steel Rare Earth, Ximen Tungsten and Chalco involved have been reported approved. China’s ion-absorption rare earth concentrate to be exhausted within 20 years The reserves of ionabsorption medium and heavy rare earth concentrate in southern China have been exaggerated as some concentrate without industrial value has also been included. If the resources could not be effectively protected, China’s ion-absorption rare earth concentrate in southern China might be exhausted in the coming ten to twenty years, said Wang Jionghui, the Assistant of President at China Minmetals Corporation. He said that illegal mining for ion-absorption rare earth concentrate is still rife in southern China. Coupled with the low recycling rate, many resources have been wasted. 3,400-3,500 RMB/kg -100 780-830 $/kg = RMB/kg +50 $/kg = 2,500-2,600 570-620 Pr Pr metal 99% min 600,000-630,000 580,000-620,000 RMB/t -15,000 Pr metal 99% min FOB 145-155 145-155 $/kg = Pr oxide 99% min 470,000-480,000 460,000-470,000 RMB/t -10,000 Pr oxide 99% min FOB 110-115 110-115 $/kg = Eu Eu oxide 99.99% min 2,100-2,300 Eu oxide 99.99% min FOB 620-670 2,000-2,200 620-670 RMB/kg -100 $/kg = Gd Fe-Gd Gd 73% min 101,000-104,000 95,000-98,000 Gd oxide 99% min 88,000-91,000 82,000-84,000 Gd oxide 99% min FOB 21-26 21-26 Gd oxide 99.99% min 165,000-175,000 150,000-160,000 Gd oxide 99.99% min FOB 37-42 37-42 RMB/t -6,000 RMB/t -6,500 $/kg = RMB/t -15,000 $/kg = RMB/t = Y Y metal 99.9% min 230,000-260,000 230,000-260,000 Y oxide 99.999% min 33,000-35,000 33,000-35,000 Y oxide 99.999% min FOB 11.7-12.7 11.7-12.7 RMB/t = $/kg = Er Er oxide 99% min 260,000-270,000 260,000-270,000 Er oxide 99% min FOB 55-60 53-58 La/Ce mischmetal RMB/t $/kg La/Ce mischmetal Wang believes that a reduction in production capacity, (La 35%, Ce 65%) 33,000-36,000 33,000-36,000 RMB/t together with cracking down on illegal rare earth production is the key factor to support rare earth prices. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd = -2 = 4 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 Fanya Metal Exchange to list oxides of dysprosiumand terbium on October 31 Fanya Metal Exchange (Fanya) announced on October 21 that it will sell 15 tonnes dysprosium oxide and 3 tonnes terbium oxide on October 31. China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct20-24, 2014 Product Price on Oct 20 Price on Oct 24 Unit Change La/Ce mischmetal (La 35%, Ce 65%) FOB 8.5-9 8.5-9 $/kg = Sm Sm metal 99% min 90,000-95,000 90,000-95,000 RMB/t Sm metal 99% min FOB 21-24 21-24 $/kg Sm oxide 99% min 14,500-15,500 14,500-15,500 RMB/t Sm oxide The selling prices will 99% min FOB 4-5 4-5 $/kg depend on spot prices and is determined by sellers’ Mischmetal(Battery Grade) listed prices. Purchasers can buy the oxides according with low Zn& low Mg to sellers’ listed prices and the maximum single Mischmetal 120,000-130,000 120,000-130,000 RMB/t with low Zn & Mg buying amount is 50 kg. Mischmetal 24-27 24-27 $/kg So far three suppliers are qualified by the exchange, with low Zn & Mg FOB including Shenzhen Qianhai Kaishun Investment, Shenzhen Yuehai Huaxin Science & Technology Material and Shenzhen Qianhai Benji Rare Precious Metal. = = = = = = There are a few exchanges which have already listed rare earths contracts while with little effect seen on rare earth market during the past months. The Kunming city, Yunnan province-based exchange started indium trading in April 2011, and bismuth and gallium trading in February 2013. In addition, germanium, cobalt metal and APT, vanadium pentoxide and antimony are also listed on Fanya.Fanya has succeeded in building a leading position in indium and bismuth electronic markets. Jinchuan Group to restructure Gansu Rare Earth Jinchuan Group, a large state-owned mining group in Gansu, is to restructure Gansu Rare Earth Advanced Materials (Gansu Rare Earth for short). As Info-RE reported, Baotou Steel Rare Earth has been engaging in rare earth integration in northern China with Gansu Rare Earth involved. However, the local government authority in Gansu is not very interested in the consolidation and at last the largest nonferrous group in Gansu Jinchuan Group controls Gansu Rare Earth. Nonetheless, the Gansu-based rare earth producer has not its own rare earth mine with most rare earth raw material of Gansu Rare Earth coming from Baotou Steel Rare Earth. Grinm Advanced Materials obtained RMB27.07 million government subsidy Grinm Advanced Materials announced on October 20 that the company obtained RMB27.07 million government subsidy. According to the announcement, Grinm Advanced Materials and its subsidiaries of Grirem Advanced Materials Co., Ltd (Grirem) and Grikin Advanced Materials Co., Ltd got access to the sum of government subsidy yesterday issued by China’s Ministry of Finance. Minmetals Rare Earth plunged into loss in the first three quarters of 2014 China Minmetals Rare Earth issued its report for the first three quarters of 2014 with a loss of RMB3.6815 million seen, down 107.79% from the corresponding months of 2013. The report said that its operating revenue in January-September was RMB499 million, slightly up 4% year on year. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 5 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 The company cited that the persistently weak rare earth market resulted by a lack of downstream demand and falling prices is the main reason behind the loss of its profits. It has eased sales and production over the past months, which have seen marked reduction compared to the same months in 2013. Meanwhile, according to the company’s interim report, its loss for the first half of 2014 was RMB42 million, in comparison with its net profit of RMB10 million over the first six months of 2013. Global Highlights Northern Minerals’ Browns Range project granted environmental approval Northern Minerals Ltd. announced that the government of Western Australia has given environmental approval for the proposed mine and ore processing facility at the company’s heavy rare earths project, Browns Range. The company’s announcement said thatthe Project was referred to the WA Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) in May 2013. In August 2014, the EPA recommended approval of the Project to the WA Minister for Environment, stating it considers the Project can be managed to meet the EPA’s environmental objectives subject to its recommended conditions being adopted. George Bauk, the managing director at Northern Minerals said that receiving the primary environmental approval is a significant step forward in the Project’s development and clears the path for Browns Range to become the first significant dysprosium producer outside of China. The focus is now on finalising the Project’s Feasibility Study and securing offtake and financing to progress the Project through construction in 2015 and commissioning in 2016. IAEA: Lynas facility generates low radioactive waste The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) experts have concluded that the Lynas rare earth processing facility near Kuantan generates very low level radioactive waste, according to a report on the website of www.investorintel.com. The conclusion was made by the IAEA expert team following a follow-up mission to conduct an independent review of radiation safety at the rare earth processing facility. “The radiological risks of the Lynas plant are low because of the low level of radioactivity of the materials handled,” team leader and director of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology Division in the IAEA’s Department of Nuclear Energy, Juan Carlos Lentijo, said in a statement. He said in the preliminary observations, the follow-up mission found that good progress had been made in implementing the 11 recommendations made by the international body during its review mission in 2011. “Malaysia was actively updating its regulations in accordance with the most recent IAEA safety standards,” he said. Lynas welcomes China’s crackdown on illegal rare earths Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 6 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 Lynas Corporation Limited CEO Amanda Lacaze has welcomed Chinese media reports of further government initiatives to improve environmental practices and to reduce illegal rare earths mining in China. She commented that these initiatives are further evidence that China is serious about improving rare earths supply chains, for the benefit of all market participants. These new initiatives will support the emergence of sustainable pricing and sustainable environmental practices in rare earths supply chains. In turn, this should provide downstream industries with greater supply reliability. As Info-RE reported early this month, China’s eight government authorities with Ministry of Industry and Information Technology(MIIT) and Ministry of Land and Resources involved, jointly announced that China will launch a special campaign to crack down on illegal rare earth mining, trading and production between October 10, 2014 to March 31,2015. End User Highlights Rare earth substitute found for LEDs An abundant copper compound could replace rare-earth metals in household LEDs, making them more environmentally friendly. Most commercially available white LEDS are phosphor-based but incorporate rare earth metals like cerium. Researchers from Rutgers University developed another approach to white LEDs based on I-VII binary semiconductors, in particular copper iodide. The hybrid phosphor materials are free of rare-earths and can be synthesized by a low-cost, scalable solution process, the researchers said. Introduction of ligands allows the LEDs to be tuned to emit a warm white glow or other colors. A sharp rise seen in China’s NEV output and sales in the first three quarters According to figures from China Auto Industry Association, China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) output in the first nine months was 38,533 unit and 38,163 unit for sales, sharply rising 290% and 280% respectively from the corresponding months of 2013. The rising speed has been accelerating in the past few quarters. The statistic data shew that the increases for NEV production and sales in the first quarter of 2014 were 180% and 160% respectively year on year, 270% and 290% for the second quarter and 390% and 380% seen respectively for the third quarter. In September, China’s NEV output reached 8,047 unit, up 833% from September 2013. Albemarle’s net sales up in Q3 2014 driven by Catalyst Solution Albemarle Corporation reported net sales of $642.4 million in the third quarter of 2014, up from net sales of $591.2 million in the third quarter of 2013, driven mainly by higher volumes across Catalyst Solutions and bromine products due to strong market demand and favorable pricing in Catalyst Solutions. Net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2014 were $1.85 billion, up from $1.75 billion for the same period in 2013, driven mainly by favorable Catalyst Solutions pricing and volumes on strong demand, and the favorable impact of a stronger European Union Euro, partly offset by lower pricing in Performance Chemicals. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 7 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 The company reported third quarter 2014 earnings of $72.8 million, or $0.93 per share, compared to third quarter 2013 earnings of $90.5 million, or $1.11 per share. Earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2014 were $151.8 million, or $1.91 per share, compared to $257.2 million, or $3.02 per share, for the same period in 2013. "We delivered better than forecast growth in net sales, earnings and cash flow this quarter driven by continued strength in Catalyst Solutions, and our full year will be well within the range of our guidance," said Albemarle president and CEO Luke Kissam. "We are also making excellent progress on the plan for integrating Rockwood and delivering the synergies of the combination once the transaction closes." Catalyst Solutions generated net sales of $277.9 million in the third quarter of 2014, a 23 percent increase from net sales in the third quarter of 2013 of $226.0 million, primarily on favorable Clean Fuels Technology and Performance Catalyst Solutions volumes and overall favorable Refinery Catalyst Solutions pricing, partly offset by unfavorable Heavy Oil Upgrading volumes. Catalyst Solutions segment income was $59.9 million in the third quarter of 2014, up 18 percent from third quarter 2013 results of $50.8 million, due primarily to favorable pricing (partly driven by higher metals surcharges), higher equity in income from unconsolidated investments and strong Clean Fuels Technology and Performance Catalyst Solutions volumes on market demand, partly offset by lower Heavy Oil Upgrading volumes due to our capacity expansion startup in Bayport, TX. Zhmag to acquire Dajun Tech to step into EV motor sector Yantai Zhenghai Magnetic Material Co., Ltd. (Zhmag) is set to buy 81.53% equity of Shanghai Dajun Technologies to step into electric vehicle motor field. Zhmag announced that before the acquisition, it holds 7.14% of Dajun Tech’s equity and after the purchase, it will hold 88.67% of Dajun Tech’s equity. Established in 2005, Shanghai Dajun Technologies, Inc. (Dajun Tech) is a hi-tech industry that specializes in the R&D and production of motors and control systems for hybrid-electric and electric vehicles (HEV/EV). Zhmag notes that given the fast development of new energy vehicle market, the motor driving system is set to become one of the companies’ major operating businesses in the future. Changshu exported 4.688 tonnes LED phosphor powder in Q3 2014 Changshu, Jiangsu province exported 4.688 tonnes LED phosphor powder in the third quarter of 2014, with the export value of $3.15 million, according to Changshu Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau. Changshu exported two kinds of LED phosphor powders last quarter, including the green powder and the yellow powder, accounting for 48.3% and 51.7% respectively. The main export destinations are Hong Kong and the US, with around 51.8% of the total amount exported to Hong Kong in the third quarter and about 46.1% exported to the US market. The price for the green LED phosphor powder is over three-time higher than the yellow powder. Compared to export prices in the second quarter, export prices for the green powder in Q3 2014 have slightly decreased by about 1.4%. However, the export prices for yellow LED phosphor powder have seen a 80% sharp increase from the previous quarter. Zhineng Rare Earth’s 2,000 tpy rare earth polishing powder project officially put into production The 2,000 tpy high-precision rare earth polishing powder project of Zhineng Rare Earth has been officially put into production recently. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 8 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 The project, with the investment of RMB460 million, commenced trial production in June and it includes the production of rare earth polishing powders, the research and development of single separated rare earth products and rare earth compounds. The annual output for high-precision rare earth polishing powder is 2,000 tonnes, with the annual output value of RMB550 million expected. Zhineng Rare Earth locates in Dechang, Sichuan province. Sichuan owns the second largest rare earth reserves in China. And most of rare earth resources in Sichuan concentrate around the ore-forming belt of Liangshan Mianning – Dechang. Rare earth nanocrystals and infrared light can reveal small cancerous tumors and cardiovascular lesions A new medical imaging method being developed at Rutgers University could help physicians detect cancer and other diseases earlier than before, speeding treatment and reducing the need for invasive, time-consuming biopsies, according to a report on the website of www.investorintel.com. The potentially lifesaving technique uses nanotechnology to reveal small cancerous tumors and cardiovascular lesions deep inside the body. It is showing promise in early tests by Rutgers researchers in the schools of engineering and pharmacy. The Rutgers technology, co-developed by Richard Riman, distinguished professor of Materials Science and Engineering, uses a different type of infrared light than is used for imaging today. Called shortwave infrared, it penetrates skin and other tissue more deeply than visible light or the near-infrared light used in current imaging methods. This light stimulates dyes made with nanocrystals of rare earth elements – a family of 17 similar metals that are not scarce but are difficult to mine. Rare earths are in growing demand for electronic products such as smart phones, video screens and electric car motors and batteries. While scientists and physicians have long recognized the potential value of shortwave infrared light, fluorescent dyes that react to this light have either been too toxic to use safely or could not deliver sharp images. The dyes that Moghe and his team are developing encapsulate rare-earth nanocrystals in a shell of human serum albumin. They are well tolerated, distribute quickly through the body and accumulate at the disease sites. The researchers can employ different types rare-earth elements, which glow under slightly different colors of shortwave infrared light, to create a family of probes that are sensitive to a variety of cancers. “In this way, we can get a precise picture of the makeup and stage of the disease,” he said. The researchers have demonstrated positive results in laboratory mice, and have shown that the spread of cancer even on a very small scale can be detected earlier than with traditional techniques such as magnetic resonance imaging or nearinfrared imaging. This may open up new avenues for early intervention. 21 cities to eliminate incandescent lamp before 2017 China’s 21 cities have jointly signed a proposal recently to eliminate the use of incandescent lamps in their own cities before 2017. Meanwhile, China issued an announcement on the gradual forbidden on import and sales of common incandescent lamp in 2011 and from October 2014, Chinese market is not allowed to import and sell 60 W and more efficient common incandescent lamps. The green lighting project has brought obviously energy saving results, and energy-saving light output has seen marked increase during the past few years. An official source from a related government agency said that China is a major lighting producer and consumer in the world. China’s production for incandescent lamps in 2013 was 3.89 billion units, accounting for about one third of the total world output. And China’s energy-saving light’s output was 4.16 billion, around 80% of theglobal output. Jiangmen Kanhoo plunged into loss in Jan-Sep Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 9 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 Jiangmen Kanhoo Industry Co., Ltd announced on October 22 that the company suffered a loss of RMB16.331 million in the first three quarters of 2014. Its operating revenue in the first nine months were RMB290 million, slightly down 0.02% from the corresponding period of 2013. The company explained that the drop in rare earth prices has resulted in the its falling prices for rare earth phosphor materials, leading to sharp decline of its gross profits and also the loss in its profits. Pricing Highlights Pr/Nd steady, small business expected Praseodymium/neodymium prices have been generally stable in the past week with RMB366,000-371,000/tonne for 99% praseodymium/neodymium metal and a further slight decrease of RMB2,000/tonne for 99% praseodymium/neodymium oxide, currently holding around RMB283,000-286,000/tonne. 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 Pr/Nd oxide(RMB/t) 150,000 Pr/Nd metal(RMB/t) 100,000 50,000 0 Dysprosium prices appear firmer on restocking from investors This week dysprosium prices have seen signs of firming with some bullish investors tending to restock material and wait for prices to head up and suppliers not keen to sell material at relatively low prices. 99% dysprosium oxide prices are holding around RMB1,390-1,410/kg, compared to RMB1,380-1,400/kg early this week. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 10 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 2500 2000 1500 Dy oxide(RMB/kg) 1000 Dy metal(RMB/kg) FeDy(RMB/kg) 500 0 Praseodymium oxide continues falling on relatively ample supply Some 99% praseodymium oxide is currently available at about RMB460,000/tonne, compared to RMB470,000480,000/tonne seen a few days ago and prices have still been depressed by relatively ample domestic supply. In the meantime, lower prices of RMB580,000-600,000/tonne for 99% praseodymium metal are reported in the market even though some suppliers have been holding prices above RMB600,000/tonne. 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 Pr oxide(RMB/t) 300,000 Pr metal(RMB/t) 200,000 100,000 0 Europium oxide prices stable as little business done Europium oxide prices head further down to RMB2,000-2,100/kg this week from RMB2,100-2,300/kg amid so slack downstream demand. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 11 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 Eu oxide(RMB/kg) 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 Eu oxide(RMB/kg) 1000 500 0 Gadolinium prices slide again, market expectation cautious Much lower prices of about RMB82,000/tonne for 99% gadolinium oxide are reported in the market now, compared to about RMB86,000-88,000/tonne seen last week from motivated suppliers. Meanwhile, ferro-gadolinium (Gd 73%) prices have dropped to about RMB95,000-96,000/tonne recently, in comparison with about RMB102,000-103,000/tonne last week. 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 Gd oxide(RMB/t) 60,000 FeGd(RMB/t) 40,000 20,000 0 Terbium oxide price range widens It is difficult for buyers to obtain 4N terbium oxide at about RMB2,400-2,500/kg and prices move up to RMB2,500-2,600/kg from the wider range of RMB2,400-2,600/kg earlier this week. 99% terbium metal prices maintain at about RMB3,400-3,500/kg, similar to prices seen last week. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 12 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 20-24,2014 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 Tb oxide(RMB/kg) 1500 Tb metal(RMB/kg) 1000 500 0 Rare Earth Outlook for Next Week Investors’ restocking of oxides of terbium and dysprosium and the purchases from national stockpile buying of rare earths, as well as the expected launch of the two oxides on Oct 31 on Fanya Metal Exchange, have supported domestic prices for dysprosium and terbium this week and some bullish market players predict that prices are likely to bottom out next week. Nonetheless, prices are not likely to sharply rise due to a lack of restocking from consumers. Praseodymium/neodymium prices are expected to keep relatively steady next week as suppliers are not keen to further lower prices to drive business and some small activities might be seen from NdFeB makers. However, given the ample stocks and generally quiet downstream consumer buying, it is hard to see prices to head north in the short term. Lanthanum and cerium prices are also predicted relatively stable in the coming week even though some cautious market players warn that prices might move further down depressed by so heavy domestic stocks. Prices for oxides of praseodymium and gadolinium, which have seen marked reductions this week, are likely to continue down in the near future because of the absence of motivated buyers as well as relatively large supply. The export market is also expected to be quiet in the short term as overseas buyers still have little buying interest in view of sluggish orders from their customers and relatively healthy stocks. Many of them have been postponing their restocking for rare earth materials due to the expected change of China’s rare earth export restrictions in 2015 caused by the WTO ruling. Oct 20-24, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd